LRCX
Lam Research Corp
stock NASDAQ

Economy means hype all by datacenter story telling, Algo pump by theme..
Few past themes, Theranos, Madoff-Ponzi, Enron broadband, FTX-SBF etc
All pump semi make vibe by $SMH $QQQ by Algo pump speculation $MU $WDC $SNDK $AMAT $LRCX $ASML
NKE gave earnings

AMAT’s my steady pick, but LRCX could run harder if HBM stays hot.

Amat. LRCX, klac, asml, onto. These companies all benefit from the massive hyperscaler capex

I own amat and LRCX. Klac looking good too though. Amat is my pick of the 3

>That's the thing for most people, they only hear about hot stocks when they've already become hot and everybody starts talking about them, and they start wanting a piece of the pie too
It's why this sub, and most of the investing subs are plastered about Micron, NVDA, or the Mag 7--but companies like LRCX actually enable everything upstream. They're quiet compounders.

Because South Korea just committed $500B+ in fab and other investments. A good portion of that will go to semi equipment makers like AMAT or LRCX

All semi suppliers are booming. KLAC, LRCX, ASML all also going up.

AMAT, KLAC, LRCX

exit LRCX $434.29
$4.12 profit per share

Investors stay quiet when stocks rally, but valuations for AMD, INTC, ALAB, and to some extent AMAT and LRCX, look unsustainable at current prices. When a correction begins, these names will likely drop sharply. Exercise caution

long LRCX $430.17

Where are we off too? I just unloaded LRCX that I’ve been holding for 15 yrs

LRCX is on a ride too. Pissed my trailing stop activated at 370 last week!!!

KLAC and LRCX too strong?

$SMH $AMAT $ASML $LRCX $MU $INTC $AMD
US chip act 50 Billion for semi, last 4 years, how many Billions pumped ?
Korea chip act story similar, cautious for crash

AMAT or LRCX or KLAC ?

Structurally, this is a bullish but trading a 10-year macroeconomic headline requires separating the long-term trend from short-term implied volatility (IV).
headlines causes an IV spike in names like AMAT or LRCX, buying long vertical spreads will carry a steep premium. If the expectation is that these stocks will grind higher slowly as the actual spending eventually hits their balance sheets, calendar spreads can capitalize on a near-term IV crush while maintaining exposure to the broader structural trend.

Last week Korea, Samsung and SK basically committed almost 2,000 trillion won (\~$1.3T) into chips, AI data centers and the whole stack over the next 10 yrs. Biggest industrial plan in their history.
So I sat down and reworked every semi equipment name I follow. My take:
If HBM and DRAM stay the AI bottleneck, the first dollar a fab spends in a capex cycle goes to equipment. Not packaging, not wafers. Tools. Equipment orders hit the P&L way faster than fab output ramps.
$AMAT is the one I keep coming back to. Not because they win any single step the hardest, but because you literally can't build a fab without them showing up. PVD, CVD, CMP, epi. HBM, DRAM, NAND. Samsung, SK, Micron, TSMC, Intel glass substrate, advanced packaging. They touch all of it. Pulled the chart on moomoo, it's been riding the 20 EMA since April and hasn't even tested it. Tells you where the money is parked.
$LRCX is the higher beta HBM bet. HBM needs way more etch, TSV and wafer thinning vs vanilla DRAM. AMAT mgmt themselves said HBM has 3-4x the process steps. If HBM stays tight LRCX prints the most.
Quick rest of the bench:
$KLAC. Inspection. Boring grower, yields matter more every node.
$ONTO. Advanced packaging metrology. Underrated if CoWoS keeps choking.
$TER. Test. Indirect, longer test times = good for them.
$AMKR. OSAT, rides TSMC capex.
$ACMR. Different story, China domestic substitution play, not the global capex trade.
Ranking on the storage capex trade: AMAT, LRCX, then KLAC, then ONTO/AMKR, then TER, ACMR is its own thing.
If I could only hold one for the AI decade I'd still pick AMAT. Capex itself is the trend.
Am I sleeping on anything here? Anyone bigger on LRCX over AMAT?

Margin debt at $1.4 Trillion
Margin interest almost \~10% ?
How long extremely high margin can hold, when Q2-ER on deck, ER-blackout going
Jumping from software $IGV $MSFT $META $CRM $NOW $ADBE $ACN to semi $SMH $MU $AMAT $LRCX $ASML $INTC $AMD $MRVL $SNDK $WDC rotational chair one after another by Algo scammers

Looking to add short slowly to every semi & memory & semi tool stocks
Even to $NVDA $MU $SPCX $SNDK $WDC $INTC $AMD $AMAT $LRCX $ASML $TSM $ON $MRVL $SMCI $SMTC $SMH $QQQ $SPY until Q2 earnings over.
Bank earnings coming soon for Q2, that drives all exit same time from same ETF. Inflation at 4.2%, interest rate high, earnings pain soon catch reality