KALU
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation
stock NASDAQ

Couldn't happen till October or November at the earliest.
Just look at the [wet bulb temps](https://zoom.earth/maps/temperature-wet-bulb/#view=25.5199,55.9145,7z/model=icon/date=2026-06-27,05:00,-5). Bandar Abbas is presently 35 C dry bulb, 30 wet bulb. Soldiers moving in combat gear would get heatstroke within a couple hours June-September, regardless of hydration status. Poses same difficulties for an active defense, but defense can stay in caves. Compare to Baghdad, presently 43 dry bulb but a tolerable 22 wet bulb.
Moreover, look at the current US ground force structure (smaller than in 1991 or 2003), munitions status (drained both by the Russian invasion of Ukraine and Bibi's war), and alliance network. Turkey denied US use of bases and airspace since the outset, Saudi Arabia and Qatar denied these when Abqaiq and Ras Laffan were struck, and Iraq and Oman are friendly with the Iranians. Bibi was already stuck in two wars of his own making before starting a third, so won't provide support. Its just UAE and Kuwait on the US side, this time, and their militaries are mainly for internal security.
Still, I wouldn't put it past this POTUS and SecDef, who have been purging anyone willing to object to bad ideas from the brass. It may be worthwhile to hold oily E&Ps (I like EGY & AMPY here), nitrogenous fertilizers (CF), and aluminum (KALU & CSTM). The commodity ETFs (USO, BNO, UCO) will get a boost especially when backwardation returns to the curve, roll yields have meant all are up 42% YTD. BNO may be of particular interest, as POTUS is permitted by law to curtail or halt US exports.

Couldn't happen till October or November at the earliest.
Just look at the [wet bulb temps](https://zoom.earth/maps/temperature-wet-bulb/#view=25.5199,55.9145,7z/model=icon/date=2026-06-27,05:00,-5). Bandar Abbas is presently 35 C dry bulb, 30 wet bulb. Soldiers moving in combat gear would get heatstroke within a couple hours June-September, regardless of hydration status. Poses same difficulties for an active defense, but defense can stay in caves. Compare to Baghdad, presently 43 dry bulb but a tolerable 22 wet bulb.
Moreover, look at the current US ground force structure (smaller than in 1991 or 2003), munitions status (drained both by the Russian invasion of Ukraine and Bibi's war), and alliance network. Turkey denied US use of bases and airspace since the outset, Saudi Arabia and Qatar denied these when Abqaiq and Ras Laffan were struck, and Iraq and Oman are friendly with the Iranians. Bibi was already stuck in two wars of his own making before starting a third, so won't provide support. Its just UAE and Kuwait on the US side, this time, and their militaries are mainly for internal security.
Still, I wouldn't put it past this POTUS and SecDef, who have been purging anyone willing to object to bad ideas from the brass. It may be worthwhile to hold oily E&Ps (I like EGY & AMPY here), nitrogenous fertilizers (CF), and aluminum (KALU & CSTM). The commodity ETFs (USO, BNO, UCO) will get a boost especially when backwardation returns to the curve, roll yields have meant all are up 42% YTD. BNO may be of particular interest, as POTUS is permitted by law to curtail or halt US exports.