META
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
stock NASDAQ

META

OP obviously isn't looking at the big picture. Of the top 20 stocks it's only TSLA that's down bad so far this year. META has also corrected -10%. Except for these the top 20 gained this year so far in the past few months.

So calls on META?

I was thrilled to load up on Microsoft below $400, however, this isn't a circle-jerk post about patting each other on the back.
If I compare it to a company like Google, it seems to me, based on respective earnings and balance sheets, that MSFT and GOOG are about the correct kind of gap between them as of this point.
At what point are you selling, or did you sell Microsoft? At what point did you trim, or are you trimming Microsoft?
I feel like there may be some value in trimming or perhaps even selling around these levels, to allocate into other stocks.
For perspective, my other holdings are Amazon and Meta, which I do not believe to be worth considering trimming or selling yet. Any trimming I would likely reallocate to META due to a significant PE compression that will happen after they report next earnings (they still have the tax bill quarter compromising their PE ratio as of current, so their PE is basically on 3 Q's of earnings instead of 4, next quarter will bump it back up to 4 Q's worth of earnings)

yeah that's sus af. Has been going for a while, all other Bag7 (META in particular) seem to do some shady shit too.

META Shows Positive Aggregate GEX, Holds Near the Put Wall at 600

I agree with you.
What are you favorite plays, given the assumptions you've made?
I figure the old GOOG/MSFT/AMZN will be the big winners, along with AAPL eventually and META. Software is the PRIMARY beneficiary right now, which could be disruptive, but I think most of the firm-moat companies that are around now will be around later, just with fewer employees (which means more profitable).
How are you playing this?
Man, I really missed the boat when those Mythos headlines came out. I knew I should have been buying cyber security stocks at the time. I even had owned Fortinet for a long time but sold when it went through a full year of going absolutely fucking nowhere and then BOOM.

thinking about adding SPCX to my portfolio... my only AI play rn is META @ $552

tell that to my META shares

Marikina = Bahain is the META noon palang if may balita ng bagyo sa Metro Manila, hindi nawawala na baha na sa Marikina, or may news team nakabantay sa ilog
Pero akalain mo now ko lang nalaman na di na sila Bahain.

AI is actually being commoditized. Plus META is pushing open source AI. NVDA has reached out to Wall Street to help finance a 1/2 trillion dollar infrastructure rollout for AI. They can no longer fund it via their own profits or market capitalization.

Calls on META puts on this guy

Cut my portfolio and started an ETF pie as I was recommended (75% All world, 25% Nuclear ETF) I have insane conviction on META (if you couldn’t already tell) and plan on holding forever which is why it’s just under 50% of my portfolio. I’m currently saving for my first car (I’m 19) which is the 2k in amd. I bought in after earnings for a bit of growth until my weekly savings are adequate for a car and I’ll sell most of my AMD. After that I’m planning on doing around £300 monthly into my ETF pie and £200 monthly to split around my portfolio? I’m still fairly knew to investing so any advice is more than welcome. Just trying to save for the future and not lose all my money 😂

I have recently made this comment on the daily discussions thread :
[https://www.reddit.com/r/AMD\_Stock/comments/1vjfq4r/comment/p2ochyo/?utm\_source=share&utm\_medium=web3x&utm\_name=web3xcss&utm\_term=1&utm\_content=share\_button](https://www.reddit.com/r/AMD_Stock/comments/1vjfq4r/comment/p2ochyo/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button)
Which basically says :
>I have just completed my extensive review of the 2026Q2 ER, and there is alot I can say that have already been said by others, but let me tell you this
>**ANY 2027 REVINUE ESTIMATE THAT IS LESS THAN $100B IS ABSOULTLY CLUELESS.**
>Just go and read the transcripts to understand what management said about the growth numbers in 2027.
**Here is Why I think that ANY 2027 REVINUE ESTIMATE THAT IS LESS THAN $100B IS ABSOULTLY CLUELESS.**
# Analysts estimates for AMD 2026 & 2027 Revenue:
|**Fiscal Period Ending**|**Revenue Estimate**|**YoY Growth**|**FWD Price/Sales**|**Low**|**High**|**# of Analysts**|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|**Dec 2026**|50.81B|46.68%|15.53|48.34B|52.66B|42|
|**Dec 2027**|87.46B|72.14%|9.02|61.26B|116.10B|47|

2026Q2 revenue segments
**Data center: $6,718B Up 107% (you can subtract the $800m charge and adjust the number if you want)**

**Client: 3,841 Up 6%**

**Embedded: $977 Up 19%**


**Now for the Remaining 2 quarters of 2026:**
**For Embedded:**
in Q1 Lisa said the design wins are incredible and Embedded is expected to ramp up well above 20% annually by 2H2026 or something of those sorts, we are starting to see that coming up nicely.
**For client:**
1- AMD Ryzen™ AI Halo releases in Q3 to launch client segment higher
2- Next year DDR5 ram prices are expected to start coming down so the scalpers will start dumping (the No.1 cause of client Ram price increases are scalpers no supply) , If you don't agree you can ignore this and just slap a 10% growth on Client due to CPUS and AI Halo.
So, the client segment is having 2 headwinds pushing it in 2027 (Ram coming down sharply, AMD Ryzen™ AI Halo ramping)

**For Data center:**
For Q3 & Q4 of 2026 We shall have a few $$ from the Q4 Helios ramp: A 0.5 GW for oracle (50,000 MI450s), A fair estimate of half of those 50K GPUs by EOY2026
For 2027 we have Helios ramp and the Anthropic 2 GW+ 2 GW for both OpenAI and META + Microsoft deployment however large that may be.
Also For 2027 management clearly indicated a very well above 100% data center revenue in 2027 compared to 2026.
\--------------------------------------------------------
**For 2027**
So you have a clear & significant growth in all segments, You can with ease estimate a base case for Q3 & Q4 2026, You could therefore add a 100% multiplier For Data center revenue as a Base/Bear case for 2027. as its been given by management.
A $100B becomes an extremely conservative base case here,
$75B-$99B means you're basically bearish on the AMD.
Anything less than 75 means you're basically bearish on the AI Buildout and the whole economy and Expect the Tiwan invasion and the fall of the west as a base case here.

(( low analysts estimates are at $61.26B )) that's basically 2026Q4 multiplied by 4 with no sequential growth whatsoever with no ramps. (( Burry and Ed Z.'s Scenarios ))
So when an ""Analyst "" project less than 100B they're being bearish.
But when so many of them do it that the average estimates becomes bearish enough to be 87.46B then yeah , Alot of those 47 analysts are actually **clueless to what is happening and what management is already giving them as a given data driven from visible obligations.**
as a final cherry on cake, here's a what I believe to be a base case projection of TSMC's projected 2027 capacity allocation, Make of that as you want, and leave a nice comment ...
[LOOK IT UP !!](https://preview.redd.it/h1ws03anknih1.jpg?width=852&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ea31f6cfcb3c7c2c4067622130b14705313a6c52)
References :
[https://ir.amd.com/financial-information/financial-results](https://ir.amd.com/financial-information/financial-results)
Q2 2026
Quarter Ended Jun 27, 2026
[Earnings Release](https://ir.amd.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/1295/amd-reports-second-quarter-2026-financial-results)
[HTML](https://ir.amd.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/1295/amd-reports-second-quarter-2026-financial-results)
[Earnings ](https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/nucz8m7v/)
[Webcast](https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/nucz8m7v/)
[Audio](https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/nucz8m7v/)
[Transcript](https://d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net/_55290e38f3fafb37f420fede91561c89/amd/db/841/9237/webcast_transcript/AMD2Q26EarningsCallTranscript.pdf)
[Slide PresentationPDF](https://d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net/_55290e38f3fafb37f420fede91561c89/amd/db/841/9237/presentation/AMD+Q2+2026+Earnings+Slides+FINAL.pdf)
[Financial Tables:](https://d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net/_55290e38f3fafb37f420fede91561c89/amd/db/841/9237/financial_tables_pdf/Q2+2026+GAAP+and+Non-GAAP+Earnings+Tables.pdf)
[ PDF](https://d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net/_55290e38f3fafb37f420fede91561c89/amd/db/841/9237/financial_tables_pdf/Q2+2026+GAAP+and+Non-GAAP+Earnings+Tables.pdf)
[ XLSX](https://d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net/_55290e38f3fafb37f420fede91561c89/amd/db/841/9237/financial_tables_xlsx/Q2+2026+GAAP+and+Non-GAAP+Earnings+Tables.xlsx)
Q1 2026
Quarter Ended Mar 28, 2026
[Earnings Release](https://ir.amd.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/1284/amd-reports-first-quarter-2026-financial-results)
[HTML](https://ir.amd.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/1284/amd-reports-first-quarter-2026-financial-results)
[Earnings Webcas](https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/ib3y8hjv)[t](https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/ib3y8hjv)
[Audio](https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/ib3y8hjv)[Transcript](https://d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net/_55290e38f3fafb37f420fede91561c89/amd/db/841/9232/webcast_transcript/AMD_1Q_2026_Earnings.pdf)
[Slide Presentation](https://d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net/_55290e38f3fafb37f420fede91561c89/amd/db/841/9232/presentation/AMD+Q1%2726+Earnings+Slides+Final.pdf)
[PDF](https://d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net/_55290e38f3fafb37f420fede91561c89/amd/db/841/9232/presentation/AMD+Q1%2726+Earnings+Slides+Final.pdf)
[Financial Tables](https://d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net/_55290e38f3fafb37f420fede91561c89/amd/db/841/9232/financial_tables_pdf/Q1+2026+GAAP+and+Non-GAAP+Earnings+Tables.pdf)
[PDF](https://d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net/_55290e38f3fafb37f420fede91561c89/amd/db/841/9232/financial_tables_pdf/Q1+2026+GAAP+and+Non-GAAP+Earnings+Tables.pdf)[ ](https://d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net/_55290e38f3fafb37f420fede91561c89/amd/db/841/9232/financial_tables_xlsx/Q1+2026+GAAP+and+Non-GAAP+Earnings+Tables.xlsx)
[XLSX](https://d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net/_55290e38f3fafb37f420fede91561c89/amd/db/841/9232/financial_tables_xlsx/Q1+2026+GAAP+and+Non-GAAP+Earnings+Tables.xlsx)

*That's all folks*

Big time congratulations, Played $META earnings on a small scale, and it backfire.

66 next week, still work, plan to retire @ 68 & 5 months. Want to work 1 yr without earnings penalty from SS, FRA 67. Have about 6% of portfolio invested in QQQI, SPYI, QDVO, GPIQ. I add significantly to this basket which pays me about $2,200 mo. But, I add more aggressively to my core holdings of the basics: mutual funds & ETFs, a few from Fidelity & Vanguard, Schwab, T Rowe Price…primarily VOO, VOOG, FSPTX, FXIAX, SCHG… Heavy on tech, S&P 500, banking. Old, very old. Also hold other SPACS, LPs, midstream pipeline companies such as MPLX, ET, ENB. Many other names too… O, JEPQ, BST, UTG, the dog PFE, BTI, MO, CGC (loser), STK, AGNC…
Most are winners and powerful dividend payers. Some are duds.
And lots of SPCX, META, AAPL, NVDA just for fun.
But, the best way to win: skip all this crap and add to your core holdings now & forever. The broad based, not too eccentric, S&P and Technology Funds are guaranteed intermediate & long term winners. They are also short term winners about 70% of the time. I feel like I’m too old to untangle the mess I made without significant tax consequence, but the bulk of new money, expected to continue forever, is invested in core ETF holdings, ROTHED to the max, but outside retirement accounts too. Some is peeled away for fun. We are all at the mercy of America in that risk assets could enter a prolonged period of downward repricing if the perception becomes the rapid decline of capitalism resulting from recent election results. Or, God forbid, if the investing community is convinced we are headed toward adoption of European economic and societal models. Then we’re truly doomed. If they kill the goose, real or imagined, our assets go with it.
There’s nowhere to hide if you have any money at all.

Mag 7 YTD check-in:
🟢 $AMZN: +22%
🟢 $NVDA: +15%
🟢 $AAPL: +13.7%
🟢 $GOOGL: +13.4%
🟢 $MSFT: +7%
🔴 $META: -8.5%
🔴 $TSLA: -24%

META - is it time?

META, Youtube, TikTok, Amazon (kinda). A walled garden is a company that sells the advertising directly. The decision and data is controlled and owned by them.

Capex capex capex. The META dagger