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LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc. Common Stock
stock NASDAQ

At Close
Apr 27, 2026 3:59:58 PM EDT
859.38USD-2.525%(-22.26)5,290,802
0.00Bid   0.00Ask   0.00Spread
Pre-market
Apr 27, 2026 9:28:30 AM EDT
854.98USD-3.024%(-26.66)215,483
After-hours
Apr 27, 2026 4:53:30 PM EDT
856.01USD-0.392%(-3.37)10,165
OverviewOption ChainMax PainOptionsHistoricalExchange VolumeDark Pool LevelsDark Pool PrintsExchangesShort VolumeShort Interest - DailyShort InterestBorrow Fee (CTB)Failure to Deliver (FTD)ShortsTrendsNewsTrends
LITE Reddit Mentions
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We have sentiment values and mention counts going back to 2017. The complete data set is available via the API.
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LITE Specific Mentions
As of Apr 28, 2026 4:17:35 AM EDT (<1 min. ago)
Includes all comments and posts. Mentions per user per ticker capped at one per hour.
2 hr ago • u/Personal-Apricot2878 • r/stocks • whats_the_most_undervalued_510x_potential_stock • C
ALMU is a photonics company with an IP advantage that will allow cheaper manufacturing and faster production than anyone else in the market. Once they’re trusted by the hyperscalers they will easily be able to undercut everyone else in the market on price and speed.
The reason the stock hasn’t taken off yet is because they are still proving they can scale. But there are several very promising signs that commercialization is around the corner and they have an all star team of ex-nvidia, intel, Kyocera, etc. experienced industry experts working on the transition and recently announced a partnership with tower and sumitomo. Despite all this progress they are still only $350 market cap. To put that into perspective, LITE and COHR are both about $60B market cap, so it has the potential to be a 200x+ over the next 5 years.
sentiment 0.92
8 hr ago • u/acrossseasons • r/stocks • why_is_the_stock_market_diverging_from_every • C
Bruh what?? have you even looked at forward guidance? What stocks are you buying? Forward guidance is INSANE right now. You redditors keep thinking data centers getting cancelled and stalled is bad, but it’s so fucking bullish. They’re getting cancelled because the companies originally contracted to build them can’t get their hands on the hardware and energy needed to build them. It’s all being bought out by big players. I’m 50% invested in AI bottlenecks and the demand is INSANE. I invested in LITE at 380 because of the photonics bottleneck and NVDA completely bought them out. I also bought SIVE and now it’s skyrocketing because it can’t meet photonics demands quick enough either. This bottleneck isn’t going anywhere either. All these bottleneck companies have contracts going into 2028+. I’m holding all these stocks (COHR, TSEM, AAOI, SIVE, LITE, SNDK, MU, and more) till mid 2027 then dumping. I’m up 100% - 200%+ on all of these and they’re not going anywhere for at least another 2 years.
sentiment -0.88
8 hr ago • u/Turboturay • r/wallstreetbets • poet_yolo_fail_being_the_top_signal_and_learning • C
What are the “other strong assets” you reinvested in? What do you think about LITE?
sentiment 0.57
9 hr ago • u/cosmo7 • r/wallstreetbets • poet • C
Calls on LITE maybe.
sentiment 0.36
10 hr ago • u/medphysik • r/algotrading • trades_427_added_occ_would_avoid_poet_on_the_news • Data • B
https://preview.redd.it/z7twjpva9txg1.png?width=4183&format=png&auto=webp&s=bde4e94cddb6564c842410e66981f08facdf556e
# Quantitative Backtest & AI Opportunity Rankings
**Date/Time generated:** 2026-04-27\_16-06-04
|Ticker|Risk-Adj Score|Signals (3Y)|20D Win Rate|20D Avg Ret|AI Grade|AI Rationale|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|**AAOI**|3.5577|10|80.0%|42.40%|**A**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 3.5577, supported by an exceptionally strong backtest (80% win rate, 42.40% average return) for similar signals, indicates a high-quality entry opportunity. The robust macro trend (50 EMA / 200 SMA ratio of 2.2557) and healthy 21-Day RSI (58.35) further bolster a bullish outlook. With a positive 50-day trajectory slope for the score, the setup appears compelling despite being below its recent local maximum. Final Grade: A|
|**BW**|3.358|7|57.1%|32.18%|**B**|The current Master Score of 3.3580, supported by a very bullish macro trend (2.0734) and positive trajectory, signals a strong entry. While the score is below a recent local maximum, the positive trajectory slope suggests continued momentum. Historical backtest data reveals an exceptional 32.18% average return for winning trades, though the 57.1% win rate and small sample size (7 signals) warrant caution. Overall, this presents a good entry with significant upside potential despite minor timing considerations. Final Grade: B|
|**LWLG**|2.9003|6|83.3%|10.83%|**B**|The LWLG setup presents a strong entry, supported by a robust macro trend (1.8449) and excellent historical backtest performance (83.3% win rate, 10.83% avg return). While the 21-Day RSI at 62.35 is slightly elevated for a new entry and the Master Score (2.9003) is below its 131-day local maximum, its positive trajectory (1.5967) is favorable. The strong fundamentals and proven historical efficacy suggest a high-quality entry, despite some existing momentum. Final Grade: B|
|**LITE**|2.672|7|85.7%|30.80%|**A**|The LITE entry presents a strong setup, with a robust macro uptrend (2.02) and a positive trajectory in the Risk-Adjusted Score (slope 1.05). Historical backtest data is exceptionally strong, boasting an 85.7% 20-day win rate and a remarkable 30.80% average return. This combination of positive current momentum and outstanding historical performance indicates a high-quality entry. Final Grade: A|
|**AEHR**|2.4925|5|60.0%|1.13%|**C**|The current setup exhibits strong underlying bullish momentum as indicated by the high Macro Trend and Master Score (2.4925) with a positive trajectory. However, the 21-Day RSI is overbought at 70.91, suggesting the current entry might be ill-timed. Furthermore, historical backtest data shows a low 20-Day average return of only 1.13%, despite a 60% win rate, which does not strongly support a profitable immediate entry. Consequently, while the asset shows strength, current timing and expected returns are suboptimal. Final Grade: C|
|**FSLY**|2.4206|7|28.6%|\-3.98%|**F**|The current entry for FSLY is highly questionable given the extremely poor historical backtest performance, with a 20-day win rate of only 28.6% and an average return of -3.98%. Although the macro trend is bullish and the Risk-Adjusted Score trajectory is positive, the current score (2.4206) is significantly below its recent 50-day local maximum (6.3941), suggesting suboptimal entry timing. Combined, the historical unprofitability and current timing indicate very high risk for this entry. Final Grade: F|
|**POET**|2.2856|8|75.0%|10.69%|**A**|The current entry for POET presents a very strong setup, with a high Master Score of 2.2856 showing a positive trajectory and exceeding its recent local maximum. This is further supported by robust backtest data, boasting a 75.0% win rate and a 10.69% average return over 20 days. Combined with a strong bullish macro trend (50 EMA / 200 SMA: 1.1668), this indicates a high-quality opportunity. Final Grade: A|
|**CIEN**|2.253|10|80.0%|14.80%|**A**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 2.2530 is strong and trending upward, supported by an excellent macro uptrend and highly compelling backtest data showing an 80% win rate and 14.80% average return. While the 21-day RSI is elevated and the score is below its recent local maximum, the positive trajectory and historical performance are very favorable. This setup indicates a high-quality entry. Final Grade: A|
|**OCC**|2.0214|10|60.0%|13.71%|**A**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 2.0214, alongside a positive trajectory slope and excellent historical 20-day win rate (60.0%) and average return (13.71%), signals a high-quality entry. The bullish macro trend (50 EMA / 200 SMA: 1.2647) and neutral RSI further strengthen this setup, well below its prior local maximum from 125 days ago. This combination presents a very favorable risk/reward profile. Final Grade: A|
|**SNDK**|1.9702|2|100.0%|39.51%|**C**|The strong macro trend and compelling historical win rate/return data (from limited signals) are highly positive. However, the high 21-day RSI and the Master Score's significantly negative trajectory, with its peak 51 days ago, signal declining entry momentum. Despite a positive current score, these factors suggest the present moment is not an optimal entry point. Final Grade: C|
|**COHR**|1.9685|7|57.1%|10.39%|**A-**|The strong macro trend and positive trajectory of the Risk-Adjusted Score indicate a favorable setup for COHR. With an excellent historical 20-day average return of 10.39%, the backtest data points to high potential despite a moderate 57.1% win rate. The current Master Score, although below its recent maximum, is improving, making this a promising entry. Final Grade: A-|
|**CNTX**|1.8916|7|42.9%|1.11%|**D**|While the macro trend is strongly bullish and the current Risk-Adjusted Score is above the signal threshold, its 50-day trajectory is negative, significantly declining from its recent local maximum. The historical backtest data reveals a low 20-day win rate of 42.9% and a meager 1.11% average return across only 7 signals. This indicates that the entry signal's quality is deteriorating, and its past performance suggests low reliability for positive returns. Given the weakening signal and poor historical efficacy, this represents a low-quality entry. Final Grade: D|
|**ICHR**|1.834|8|100.0%|11.91%|**A**|ICHR presents a high-quality entry given its strong bullish macro trend, positive Master Score trajectory, and outstanding backtest performance with a 100% win rate and 11.91% average return. While the 21-day RSI is overbought and the current Master Score is below its recent 50-day peak, the robust historical success and overall signal strength are highly compelling. Final Grade: A|
|**LASR**|1.8314|10|70.0%|11.15%|**A**|The LASR setup shows a positive macro trend and a Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.8314 with a favorable positive trajectory. While below its recent 50-day local maximum, the increasing score indicates potential for upward movement. Historical backtest data strongly supports this entry with an impressive 70.0% 20-day win rate and an 11.15% average return. This suggests a high-quality entry given the current metrics and historical performance. Final Grade: A|
|**WDC**|1.7393|7|100.0%|19.05%|**B+**|The WDC setup benefits from a strong macro trend and exceptional backtested performance, showing a 100% win rate and 19.05% average return for signals above 1.0. The current Master Score of 1.7393 meets this threshold, suggesting high potential based on historical data. However, an overbought 21-Day RSI and the Master Score's negative trajectory (-0.3622 slope) indicate diminishing relative strength and that the optimal entry might be past. While historically reliable, the timing aspects are a concern. Final Grade: B+|
|**APEI**|1.6881|12|91.7%|19.90%|**A**|The current Master Score of 1.6881 is very strong and supported by exceptional backtest data, showing a 91.7% win rate and 19.90% average return. While slightly below its recent local maximum, the score's positive trajectory slope is encouraging. Combined with a bullish macro trend (1.3427) and healthy RSI (56.08), this indicates a high-quality setup. This represents a highly promising entry point. Final Grade: A|
|**LPTH**|1.6572|9|66.7%|18.41%|**A**|The current Master Score of 1.6572 indicates strong signal strength with a positive trajectory, complemented by a very bullish macro trend. Historical backtest performance is excellent, demonstrating a 66.7% win rate and an impressive 18.41% average return. While the current score is below its recent local maximum, the overall metrics and compelling historical success strongly suggest a high-quality entry. Final Grade: A|
|**PBR**|1.6024|10|70.0%|4.41%|**A**|The macro trend for PBR is strongly bullish, and the 21-Day RSI is healthy. The Current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.6024 is excellent with a positive trajectory, though slightly below its recent peak. Supported by a robust 70% win rate and 4.41% average return from historical signals, this indicates a very favorable entry. Final Grade: A|
|**PARR**|1.5858|7|57.1%|10.16%|**B+**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.5858, driven by a positive trajectory and strong bullish macro trend, presents a solid entry. While the score is below its recent local maximum, historical signals show an impressive 10.16% average return over 20 days. Despite a modest 57.1% win rate and small backtest sample, the overall momentum and potential returns are favorable. Final Grade: B+|
|**AP**|1.5098|9|66.7%|6.59%|**B**|The Master Score of 1.51 is positive, backed by excellent historical performance with a 66.7% win rate and 6.59% average return. However, the significantly negative 50-day trajectory slope (-0.39) and the score's decline from a 5.69 peak 41 days ago indicate the optimal entry window may have passed. While macro trend is strong and RSI bullish, the decaying signal momentum makes this a moderate entry. Final Grade: B|
|**DOCN**|1.5059|12|83.3%|17.37%|**A**|The macro trend and momentum are bullish, with the Master Score showing a positive trajectory from a strong current value of 1.5059. While this score is below its recent local maximum, it indicates robust conditions. Crucially, the backtest data reveals an exceptional 83.3% win rate and 17.37% average return for similar signals, signifying high reliability. This setup represents a high-quality entry despite not being at the absolute peak of the scoring cycle. Final Grade: A|
|**STX**|1.4918|9|88.9%|16.83%|**C**|This setup offers exceptional historical performance with an 88.9% win rate and 16.83% average return when the Master Score exceeds 1.0. While the current Master Score of 1.4918 indicates a valid signal and the macro trend is strong, the 71.75 RSI points to overbought conditions. Furthermore, the Master Score's negative 50-day trajectory (-0.2711) suggests diminishing momentum for a current entry. Final Grade: C|
|**FN**|1.4871|8|87.5%|15.41%|**A**|The macro trend (50 EMA / 200 SMA: 1.3187) is strongly bullish, and the 21-Day RSI (59.87) is healthy. The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.4871 is robust, showing a positive trajectory (0.0395 slope) and falling within the parameters of historical signals that boast an impressive 87.5% win rate and 15.41% average return. This strong alignment of current metrics with highly successful backtest data suggests a very high-quality entry point for FN. Final Grade: A|
|**VRT**|1.484|8|62.5%|9.56%|**B-**|The setup presents a strong macro trend and positive Master Score trajectory, supported by promising backtest data (62.5% win rate, 9.56% avg return). However, the elevated RSI and the current Master Score significantly below its recent 50-day local maximum indicate the optimal entry point may have passed. While still a positive signal, its diminished strength from the peak suggests a moderately attractive entry. Final Grade: B-|
|**FTAI**|1.4762|9|88.9%|18.70%|**B**|The Master Score of 1.4762 is positive and aligns with exceptional historical backtest performance, boasting an 88.9% win rate and 18.70% average return. However, the negative trajectory slope (-0.3558) and significant distance from the recent local maximum (2.8901) indicate the signal is past its peak strength. While the macro trend remains strongly bullish (1.2547), this entry presents a good but not optimal opportunity due to the decaying signal momentum. Final Grade: B|
|**HUT**|1.4457|6|83.3%|9.91%|**B**|The current setup presents a moderately strong entry, with a bullish macro trend and a Master Score exceeding the historical signal threshold for excellent returns and win rates. However, the Master Score's negative trajectory and high RSI suggest declining momentum and potentially less optimal timing compared to its past peak. While historical performance for qualifying signals is very strong, the current score is falling from its recent local maximum, warranting a cautious approach despite the upside potential. Final Grade: B|
|**CSTM**|1.4357|8|87.5%|15.81%|**B**|The current Master Score of 1.4357 indicates a high-quality entry, strongly supported by excellent historical backtest performance (87.5% win rate, 15.81% average return) for similar signals. However, the negative 50-day trajectory slope and current score significantly below its recent local maximum suggest the signal has been declining. While fundamentally robust and riding a strong macro trend, this setup appears past its optimal entry point, warranting caution. Final Grade: B|
|**AU**|1.4132|11|90.9%|19.35%|**B**|Despite a negative trajectory in the Risk-Adjusted Score, its current value of 1.4132 still falls within the historically successful backtest criteria (Local Max > 1.0). This historical performance boasts an impressive 90.9% win rate and 19.35% average return, underscoring the signal's robust potential. Combined with a strong macro trend (1.2540), the current setup presents a favorable, though potentially sub-optimal timing, entry. Final Grade: B|
|**CF**|1.4061|9|55.6%|2.30%|**B**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.4061 is strong and shows positive momentum with a 0.3400 trajectory slope, indicating an improving setup. While not at its recent 50-day local maximum, the bullish macro trend (1.2521) and healthy RSI (53.43) are supportive. Backtest data for similar signals indicates a moderate but positive edge, with a 55.6% 20-day win rate and 2.30% average return. This suggests a good quality entry with favorable conditions. Final Grade: B|
|**ASX**|1.4024|8|100.0%|7.72%|**A**|The current Master Score of 1.4024, coupled with an excellent 100% historical 20-day win rate and 7.72% average return for similar signals, indicates a high-quality entry. The strong macro trend and positive score trajectory are highly bullish. While the 21-Day RSI is overbought, the exceptional backtest performance suggests this remains a very strong signal. Final Grade: A|
|**NOK**|1.3967|9|66.7%|7.16%|**A**|The Master Score of 1.3967, supported by a strong macro trend and positive trajectory, signals a high-quality entry opportunity. While the 21-day RSI is elevated and the score is below its recent local maximum, these are minor concerns given the robust backtest performance. Historical signals with a Local Max > 1.0 boast an excellent 66.7% win rate and 7.16% average return over 20 days. This indicates a compelling entry based on historical efficacy. Final Grade: A|
|**VALE**|1.3896|8|87.5%|7.71%|**B**|The historical backtest data shows excellent win rate and average returns, with a strong macro trend supporting an entry. However, the Master Score's negative trajectory and significant distance from its recent local maximum indicate deteriorating signal quality, suggesting this is not an optimal entry point. Final Grade: B|
|**BE**|1.3812|8|62.5%|27.85%|**B**|The current entry benefits from a strong macro trend and excellent historical backtest performance, showing a 62.5% win rate and 27.85% average return for similar signals. However, the high 21-day RSI and the Master Score's negative 50-day trajectory indicate weakening momentum from its significantly higher peak 51 days ago. While the current score still meets historical signal criteria, the decaying strength introduces notable caution for this entry. Final Grade: B|
|**VLO**|1.3719|10|70.0%|9.91%|**A**|The current VLO entry presents a strong setup, with a Master Score of 1.3719 well above the signal threshold and a positive trajectory, backed by a robust bullish macro trend and neutral RSI. Although below its recent local maximum, the historical backtest data strongly supports this entry with an excellent 70.0% win rate and 9.91% average return. This indicates a high-quality trading opportunity. Final Grade: A|
|**ABEV**|1.3416|10|50.0%|3.60%|**B**|The current Master Score of 1.3416 exhibits positive momentum with a 0.3891 trajectory, aligning with a clear macro uptrend. Backtest data reveals a 50.0% win rate and 3.60% average return for similar signals, indicating a moderately favorable setup. While the score is below its 54-day local maximum, its positive slope suggests improving conditions for entry. Final Grade: B|
|**VICR**|1.3325|8|75.0%|19.65%|**C**|The backtest data for signals above 1.0 shows excellent historical win rate and average returns, backed by a strong macro trend. However, the current entry is concerning due to a very overbought 21-Day RSI and a rapidly declining Master Score trajectory, significantly below its recent peak. These factors indicate diminishing signal strength for a current entry, despite the score being above the historical threshold. Final Grade: C|
|**DIOD**|1.3228|8|87.5%|9.41%|**A**|The current Master Metric of 1.3228 is strong, exhibiting a positive trajectory, and aligns with a robust bullish macro trend (1.3251). Historical backtest data for similar signals is exceptional, showing an 87.5% win rate and 9.41% average return. While the 21-Day RSI is overbought at 73.83, the overwhelming quantitative evidence points to a high-quality entry setup. Final Grade: A|
|**CVX**|1.2774|8|62.5%|3.20%|**A**|The current Master Score of 1.2774, coupled with a positive trajectory and robust historical backtest showing a 62.5% win rate and 3.20% average returns, suggests a strong entry. The bullish macro trend of 1.1516 provides further support for this setup. While the 21-day RSI is neutral at 44.80, the overall quantitative signals are highly favorable. Final Grade: A|
|**GEV**|1.2593|5|80.0%|10.38%|**A-**|The current Master Score of 1.2593, combined with a positive trajectory and exceptionally strong backtest data (80% win rate, 10.38% average return for similar signals), indicates a highly favorable setup. A robust bullish macro trend further supports this, though the elevated 21-Day RSI of 70.87 suggests the stock is currently overbought. Despite the RSI and not being at its recent local maximum, the overwhelming quantitative evidence points to a strong entry opportunity based on historical performance. Final Grade: A-|
|**DELL**|1.2425|8|75.0%|15.28%|**B**|The current Master Score of 1.2425, combined with a positive trajectory and exceptionally strong backtest data (75% win rate, 15.28% average return for similar signals), indicates a high-quality entry. The macro trend is also strongly bullish. While the 21-day RSI at 70.39 suggests overbought conditions and potential for a short-term pullback, the overall signal from the Master Metric and historical performance remains very compelling. Final Grade: B|
|**MPC**|1.219|11|81.8%|8.37%|**A**|The Master Score of 1.2190 is strong, indicating a quality entry, further supported by a positive trajectory slope of 0.2309. Backtest data is exceptional, showing an 81.8% win rate and 8.37% average return over 11 signals. Coupled with a very bullish macro trend (1.1550) and neutral RSI, this presents a highly favorable entry opportunity. Final Grade: A|
|**MU**|1.1911|8|75.0%|15.74%|**B**|The macro trend is strong, and historical backtest data shows excellent performance with a 75% win rate and 15.74% average return when the signal's local max was above 1.0. However, the high 21-Day RSI suggests potential overextension, and the Master Score's significantly negative trajectory indicates waning momentum since its recent peak 28 days ago. While the current score of 1.1911 still meets the historical threshold, the decaying signal quality makes this entry less optimal. Final Grade: B|
|**TTMI**|1.1873|9|100.0%|18.82%|**B-**|The historical backtest data for comparable signals is exceptionally strong, boasting a 100% win rate and 18.82% average return, suggesting high potential. However, the current Master Score of 1.1873 exhibits a significant negative trajectory from its recent peak, indicating weakening entry quality momentum. This decline, alongside a high RSI, suggests increased risk for a current entry despite the favorable macro trend. Final Grade: B-|
|**TTMI**|1.1873|9|100.0%|18.82%|**D**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.1873, while positive, is significantly overshadowed by its sharp negative 50-day trajectory (-0.9330) and considerable decline from the 2.8100 local maximum 51 days ago. Although historical backtest data for strong signals shows an outstanding 100% win rate and 18.82% average return, the current entry quality is undermined by the rapidly fading signal strength and high 21-Day RSI (68.23). Despite a positive macro trend, entering now appears to be chasing a deteriorating signal, missing the optimal entry window. Final Grade: D|
|**MPLX**|1.137|11|90.9%|6.11%|**A**|The macro trend is bullish, and the Master Score of 1.1370 is strong with a positive trajectory, exceeding the historical signal threshold. Although below its recent local maximum, the exceptionally strong backtest data, showing a 90.9% win rate and 6.11% average return for similar signals, provides robust validation. This setup presents a high-quality entry opportunity. Final Grade: A|
|**VZ**|1.1141|11|63.6%|2.02%|**A**|The VZ entry benefits from a strong bullish macro trend (1.1079) and a Master Score (1.1141) above the profitable historical signal threshold, with a positive trajectory (0.2483). While the current score is below its recent local maximum, its rising slope indicates improving conditions. Backtest data for similar signals is favorable, showing a 63.6% win rate and 2.02% average return over 20 days, supporting a high-quality entry. Final Grade: A|
|**MO**|1.0817|10|80.0%|4.18%|**A**|The current setup for MO presents a promising entry. The Master Score is above 1.0 with a positive trajectory, indicating improving conditions, supported by a strong macro uptrend. Historical backtest data for signals above 1.0 shows an impressive 80.0% 20-day win rate and a 4.18% average return, suggesting a high-probability trade. Final Grade: A|
|**AVUV**|1.065|10|100.0%|6.87%|**B**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.0650, combined with a strong macro trend, aligns with a historically robust signal demonstrating a 100% 20-day win rate and 6.87% average return. While the historical performance for signals above 1.0 is exceptional, the current 21-day RSI of 68.13 is high, and the Master Score's trajectory slope is negative (-0.0886). This declining momentum from a 50-day local maximum suggests the optimal entry timing has likely passed. Despite strong signal validation, the immediate entry quality is diminished by weakening short-term momentum. Final Grade: B|
|**CLS**|1.0348|9|77.8%|14.43%|**D**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.0348 is critically weak, barely above the positive signal threshold, and its sharply negative trajectory indicates significant deterioration since its peak 86 days ago. While the system boasts excellent historical backtest performance (77.8% win rate, 14.43% avg return) for *stronger* signals, this entry's low score and overbought RSI are concerning. Despite a strong macro trend, this is a low-conviction entry due to the poor state and negative momentum of the master metric. This signal does not represent the high-quality entries that generated the strong historical returns. Final Grade: D|
|**EPR**|1.0211|9|88.9%|8.33%|**A**|The current Master Score of 1.0211, combined with a positive trajectory and supportive macro trend, indicates a favorable setup. Although below its recent 50-day peak, this score falls within a signal category demonstrating an exceptional 88.9% historical win rate and 8.33% average return. These robust backtest results strongly suggest a high-quality entry despite the current signal strength not being at its absolute maximum. Final Grade: A|
|**\^TNX**|1.0163|9|66.7%|2.91%|**C**|The macro trend is positive and historical backtest performance for signals peaking above 1.0 is decent. However, the Master Score, while above 1.0, exhibits a strong negative trajectory. This indicates a weakening entry signal and a considerable deviation from its recent local maximum. Final Grade: C|
|**SMH**|1.007|8|100.0%|9.00%|**D**|While historical backtest performance for signals above 1.0 is exceptionally strong (100% win rate, 9.00% avg return) and the macro trend is bullish, the current entry faces significant headwinds. The Risk-Adjusted Score is barely above the signal threshold at 1.0070 with a negative 50-day trajectory slope (-0.2809), indicating weakening momentum far from its recent local maximum. Additionally, the 21-Day RSI of 76.83 suggests SMH is overbought, posing a high risk for a new long entry despite the compelling historical win rate. Final Grade: D|
|**AVGO**|0.9861|9|88.9%|16.91%|**D**|The positive macro trend for AVGO is offset by an overbought 21-Day RSI. The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 0.9861, with a negative trajectory, falls below the "Local Max > 1.0" criteria that generated the excellent historical backtest results. This setup, showing declining momentum from a recent peak, does not align with the system's high-probability entry signals. This suggests the optimal entry window likely occurred 28 days ago. Final Grade: D|
|**UPS**|0.9769|8|75.0%|1.54%|**D**|The macro trend is positive and the RSI is neutral, but the Risk-Adjusted Score indicates a poor entry. The current score (0.9769) is below the threshold for strong historical signals, and its significant negative trajectory suggests declining momentum since its peak 49 days ago. While historical signals above 1.0 show good performance, the current setup implies the optimal entry opportunity has passed. Final Grade: D|
|**PRU**|0.9567|10|70.0%|4.94%|**F**|The current entry setup for PRU is weak, as the Master Score (0.9567) is below the historically effective threshold of 1.0 and shows a negative trajectory. While historical backtest data indicates strong performance for signals where Local Max > 1.0 (70% win rate, 4.94% avg return), the optimal entry opportunity, based on the recent local maximum, appears to have passed 4 days ago. The current metrics suggest a declining signal and do not align with conditions for high-probability success. Final Grade: F|
|**IIPR**|0.9539|8|87.5%|8.10%|**D**|The current entry quality is poor as the Risk-Adjusted Score (0.9539) is below the 1.0 threshold for historically successful signals, and its negative trajectory (-0.1754 slope) indicates weakening momentum from its recent peak. Despite a positive macro trend, this entry does not align with the exceptional 87.5% win rate and 8.10% average return seen in backtests, which were achieved only when the score was above 1.0. Final Grade: D|
|**QQQ**|0.9381|10|100.0%|6.78%|**F**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 0.9381 is below the 1.0 threshold for historically successful signals, meaning the excellent backtest performance (100% win rate) does not apply. The score's negative trajectory slope and its distance from a recent local maximum indicate deteriorating conditions. While the macro trend remains bullish, the high 21-Day RSI suggests potential short-term overextension. This setup represents a poor entry based on the critical Master Metric signal criteria. Final Grade: F|
|**MAIN**|0.914|6|83.3%|5.30%|**D**|Despite excellent historical performance for signals above 1.0, the current Risk-Adjusted Score of 0.9140 is below this robust threshold and exhibits a negative trajectory. Coupled with an unfavorable macro trend (0.9445), this setup does not meet the criteria for a high-quality entry. Final Grade: D|
|**CRDO**|0.8637|6|100.0%|20.75%|**C**|While historical backtest data for high-score signals is exceptionally strong (100% win rate, 20.75% avg return), the current entry quality is diminished. The Master Score, though high at 0.8637, exhibits a negative 50-day trajectory and peaked 81 days ago, indicating the optimal entry has passed. Furthermore, a high 21-Day RSI (65.00) and a slightly bearish/neutral macro trend (0.9967) suggest limited immediate upside for a fresh position. This setup indicates a deteriorating signal and a potentially late entry. Final Grade: C|
sentiment 1.00
12 hr ago • u/TBTI • r/stockstobuytoday • drop_a_stock_and_ill_run_it_through_an_analysis • C
LITE
sentiment 0.00
14 hr ago • u/Ok-Parfait-9856 • r/wallstreetbets • poet_loss_cfo_should_be_in_jail • C
A lot of other more established competitors saw a dip today, not 50% but not nothing. It’s hard to believe poet would affect them, considering poet doesn’t really matter (no big deals). Recently photonics has felt like the next “big thing”, as in the next sector that’ll be hot for a few months, but there might be news we don’t know. LITE AAOI MRVL and others are making big moves recently but I think photonics might be done for now
sentiment 0.54
18 hr ago • u/DrTreeMan • r/ValueInvesting • the_market_is_idiotic_right_now • C
AAPN, TWLO, ARM, VTRX, LITE, ALAB, SHOP, AMD, TER, PANW
sentiment 0.00
18 hr ago • u/Crackbreaker • r/wallstreetbets • poet_30_premarket_after_marvell_cancels_celestial • C
Lumentum Holdings (LITE),
Coherent Corp (COHR)
sentiment 0.00
18 hr ago • u/kjshard • r/wallstreetbets • daily_discussion_thread_for_april_27_2026 • C
Are COHR and LITE the benefactors to POET’s demise?
sentiment 0.00
19 hr ago • u/Captain_Lameson • r/wallstreetbets • daily_discussion_thread_for_april_27_2026 • C
Photo ics across the board are dipping POET, LITE, COHR
sentiment 0.00
21 hr ago • u/CemreT • r/investing • hysa_account_closing_where_should_i_invest_usd • C
MSFT and LITE
sentiment 0.00
1 day ago • u/aviroshkovan • r/algotrading • new_model_and_top_opportunity_currently • C
The grading is doing more than most posts in this category. Downgrading SNDK at n=2, downgrading CRDO despite a 100% historical WR, downgrading AVGO on RSI + trajectory — that's a real second filter, not just sort-by-past-WR.
Three things I'd push on before sizing into any of them.
Sample size. n=6 with a 66.7% WR has a confidence interval that runs roughly 30-90%. One bad signal and BW lands in the same statistical bucket as the C-graded SNDK. The letter grade alone hides that. A Wilson interval next to the WR would be more useful than the A.
Out of sample. If the 3Y backtest is the same window the model was tuned on, the WRs are fitted, not predictive. Walk-forward (fit '23, test '24, roll forward) is what makes me actually trust a number.
Regime. Every A on the list is a 2024-25 momentum runner — BW, AAOI, LITE, LWLG. That's a regime, not a strategy. Curious how the same scoring rules graded these tickers through the 2022 tech drawdown.
Not a dunk, the layering is real. Just the next three filters I'd add.
sentiment 0.21
1 day ago • u/Pretend-Will1232 • r/wallstreetbets • what_are_your_moves_tomorrow_april_27_2026 • C
FWIW I posted a solid DD (on $LITE) a couple of quarters ago. It was $200 or so when I posted, nearly $900 now. My DD got the usual shit replies of course
sentiment -0.46
1 day ago • u/legible_print • r/wallstreetbets • what_are_your_moves_tomorrow_april_27_2026 • C
LITE still looks good
sentiment 0.44
1 day ago • u/Ok-Cat-4261 • r/wallstreetbets • weekly_earnings_thread_427_51 • C
LITE also
sentiment 0.00
2 days ago • u/medphysik • r/algotrading • new_model_and_top_opportunity_currently • Data • B
https://preview.redd.it/wxpdmkw3ukxg1.png?width=4169&format=png&auto=webp&s=da7a18d2871f45db13eb467dd6d447f2b5230c09
# Quantitative Backtest & AI Opportunity Rankings
**Date/Time generated:** 2026-04-26\_13-31-00
|Ticker|Risk-Adj Score|Signals (3Y)|20D Win Rate|20D Avg Ret|AI Grade|AI Rationale|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|**BW**|4.2296|6|66.7%|32.18%|**A**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 4.2296 is high with positive momentum (slope 1.1691), approaching a recent local maximum. Historical backtest data is very strong, indicating a 66.7% 20-day win rate and an impressive 32.18% average return. Coupled with a robust macro uptrend, this presents a high-quality entry setup. Final Grade: A|
|**FSLY**|3.1373|7|28.6%|\-3.98%|**F**|The bullish macro trend (1.8397) is a positive, and the Master Score shows a positive trajectory, though its current value is significantly below its recent peak. However, the historical backtest data for similar signals on FSLY is extremely concerning, with a dismal 20-day win rate of 28.6% and an average return of -3.98%. This poor historical performance and low probability of success strongly indicate that the current entry is of low quality. Final Grade: F|
|**LWLG**|2.6864|6|83.3%|10.83%|**A**|The current entry for LWLG exhibits high quality, supported by a strong Risk-Adjusted Score trajectory (slope 1.5704) and exceptional backtest performance (83.3% win rate, 10.83% avg return). A very bullish macro trend (1.8329) and healthy momentum (RSI 63.34) further support this, with the current score still below its 50-day local maximum. This confluence of factors presents a highly favorable entry opportunity. Final Grade: A|
|**AAOI**|2.5768|10|80.0%|42.40%|**A**|The current setup shows a strong bullish macro trend and positive Master Score trajectory, though below its recent peak. Despite the 21-day RSI nearing overbought, the exceptional backtest data, with an 80% win rate and 42.40% average return, indicates a very high-quality entry. Final Grade: A|
|**LITE**|2.4852|7|85.7%|30.80%|**A**|The current LITE entry presents a compelling opportunity, supported by a strong bullish macro trend and healthy RSI. While the Risk-Adjusted Score is below its recent peak, its positive trajectory, coupled with exceptional backtest performance (85.7% win rate, 30.80% average return for signals where Local Max > 1.0), indicates high potential. The current score of 2.4852 falls well within this historically successful signal zone. Final Grade: A|
|**SNDK**|2.2749|2|100.0%|39.51%|**C**|The macro trend is robust, and historical backtest data shows exceptional 100% win rates with high average returns, though based on a limited sample. However, the Master Score's significant decline from its recent peak and negative trajectory indicate the current entry quality is deteriorating. This, combined with a high RSI, suggests the optimal entry for this specific signal has passed. Final Grade: C|
|**CNTX**|2.1718|7|42.9%|1.11%|**D**|The macro trend is strongly bullish, and the Risk-Adjusted Score shows a positive trajectory. However, the current score is well below its recent 50-day local maximum. More importantly, the backtest data presents a concerning 42.9% win rate and only 1.11% average return over 20 days. This indicates a low-quality entry signal, despite favorable macro conditions. Final Grade: D|
|**CIEN**|2.0407|10|80.0%|14.80%|**A**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 2.0407 is strong with a positive trajectory, complemented by a robust bullish macro trend. Historical backtest data for similar signals is exceptional, showing an 80.0% 20-day win rate and a 14.80% average return. This combination of favorable current metrics and outstanding historical performance indicates a high-quality entry setup. Final Grade: A|
|**AEHR**|1.8411|5|60.0%|1.13%|**F**|Despite a strong macro trend (1.8184) and a positive Risk-Adjusted Score trajectory (1.1211), the 21-Day RSI of 79.18 indicates AEHR is extremely overbought, and the current score is well below its recent local maximum. Furthermore, backtest data from a limited 5 signals shows a concerningly low 20-day average return of 1.13%, suggesting poor risk-reward from similar setups. These significant negatives, especially the overbought condition and poor historical returns, indicate a low-quality current entry. Final Grade: F|
|**APEI**|1.8362|12|91.7%|19.90%|**A**|The Master Score of 1.8362, nearing its recent local maximum with a positive trajectory, signals a strong entry. This is further supported by a robust bullish macro trend and neutral RSI. The backtest data for signals above 1.0 shows an exceptional 91.7% win rate and 19.90% average return. Given these compelling metrics, the entry quality is excellent. Final Grade: A|
|**COHR**|1.7122|7|57.1%|10.39%|**C**|The setup shows a bullish macro trend and a positive risk-adjusted score, supported by a strong historical 20-day average return of 10.39%. However, the Master Score is currently declining from its recent peak with a negative trajectory slope, indicating a weakening signal for a current entry. The elevated RSI also suggests potential for a pullback. Final Grade: C|
|**ICHR**|1.6983|8|100.0%|11.91%|**A**|The historical backtest performance for signals meeting similar criteria is exceptionally strong, boasting a 100% win rate and 11.91% average return. The Master Score's current value, combined with its robust positive trajectory and a very bullish macro trend, presents a highly favorable setup. While the 21-day RSI indicates the stock is overbought and the current score is below its recent local maximum, the underlying strength and historical success are compelling. This represents a high-quality entry with significant upside potential despite potential short-term volatility. Final Grade: A|
|**PBR**|1.6238|10|70.0%|4.41%|**A**|The current PBR entry presents a strong setup with a high Risk-Adjusted Score (1.6238) and positive 50-day trajectory, indicating favorable conditions. Supported by a robust macro trend and healthy RSI, the historical backtest data validates the opportunity with an impressive 70% win rate and 4.41% average return over 20 days. This indicates a high-probability trade, despite being slightly below its recent local maximum. Final Grade: A|
|**WDC**|1.6197|7|100.0%|19.05%|**B**|The historical backtest data is exceptionally strong, showing a 100% win rate and high average returns when the Master Score exceeds 1.0, which the current score of 1.6197 does. While the macro trend is positive, the current Risk-Adjusted Score is declining from its recent peak with a negative trajectory, and the RSI indicates overbought conditions. This suggests the entry, while meeting profitable historical criteria, is not at its optimal timing or strength. Final Grade: B|
|**DOCN**|1.6023|12|83.3%|17.37%|**A**|The current setup for DOCN is strong, with a Master Score of 1.6023 exceeding the signal threshold and a positive trajectory slope. Macro trend and RSI are bullish, supporting potential upside. Coupled with exceptional backtest data showing an 83.3% win rate and 17.37% average return, this presents a high-quality entry opportunity. Final Grade: A|
|**PARR**|1.5802|7|57.1%|10.16%|**A**|PARR exhibits a strong entry setup with a robust bullish macro trend (1.36) and healthy RSI (58.41). The Master Score of 1.58, accompanied by a positive trajectory slope, indicates strong current momentum, and historical backtest data shows an excellent 10.16% average return with a 57.1% win rate. While below its recent local maximum, all indicators suggest a high-quality entry point. Final Grade: A|
|**AP**|1.5045|9|66.7%|6.59%|**A**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.5045 is excellent, supported by strong backtest data showing a 66.7% win rate and 6.59% average return for similar signals. A highly bullish macro trend (1.7251) and positive score trajectory (0.1542) further strengthen this current entry. While the 21-Day RSI (63.29) shows strong momentum, the score is not at its recent 50-day local maximum, suggesting favorable timing. This presents a high-quality entry opportunity. Final Grade: A|
|**CF**|1.5022|9|55.6%|2.30%|**C**|The macro trend is favorable, and the current Master Score is positive, but it has significantly declined from its recent peak just 7 days ago. Backtest data indicates a moderately positive win rate and average return, suggesting decent but not exceptional historical performance. This setup presents a positive outlook tempered by suboptimal timing relative to the recent signal strength. Final Grade: C|
|**STX**|1.4745|9|88.9%|16.83%|**C**|STX presents a strong bullish macro trend, and its historical signals (where Master Score > 1.0) demonstrate exceptional profitability with an 88.9% win rate and 16.83% average return. While the current Master Score of 1.4745 meets this historical threshold, the 21-Day RSI is overbought at 70.81. Critically, the Master Score's significant negative trajectory (-0.5468) and its peak 51 days ago indicate the optimal entry point for this signal has likely passed, suggesting waning momentum. Therefore, this represents a suboptimal entry despite the strong underlying historical performance. Final Grade: C|
|**FTAI**|1.4743|10|90.0%|17.90%|**B**|The macro trend is strongly bullish, and the current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.4743 falls within a historically exceptional performance range (90% win rate, 17.90% avg return). However, the Master Score's negative trajectory and significant drop from its local maximum indicate diminishing signal strength. While statistically promising based on historical backtest data, the entry's optimality is reduced due to waning momentum. Final Grade: B|
|**NOK**|1.4621|9|66.7%|7.16%|**A**|The macro trend is strongly bullish, and the robust Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.4621 shows positive momentum despite the high RSI and being slightly below its recent peak. Historical backtest data for similar signals indicates a solid 66.7% win rate and 7.16% average return over 20 days. This suggests a favorable entry with strong historical performance. Final Grade: A|
|**LASR**|1.444|10|70.0%|11.15%|**B**|The current entry for LASR presents a strong bullish macro trend and healthy RSI momentum. The positive and rising Master Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.4440 aligns well with historical signals, which boast an excellent 70% win rate and 11.15% average return. Despite the current score being below its recent local maximum, the overall setup indicates a favorable entry due to robust backtest performance and strong underlying market conditions. Final Grade: B|
|**VRT**|1.4237|8|62.5%|9.56%|**A**|The current Master Score of 1.4237, along with a positive trajectory and strong macro trend, indicates an excellent entry. Historical data for similar signals shows a robust 62.5% win rate and an impressive 9.56% average return. While the 21-Day RSI is elevated and the score is below its recent peak, the overall setup presents a highly favorable opportunity. Final Grade: A|
|**VLO**|1.414|10|70.0%|9.91%|**A**|The current VLO entry shows strong potential, with a bullish macro trend and a positive Risk-Adjusted Score (1.4140) trending upwards. Historical backtest data is highly favorable, demonstrating a 70% win rate and 9.91% average return for similar signals. While the score is below a recent local maximum, the overall robust metrics suggest a high-quality entry. Final Grade: A|
|**AU**|1.3974|11|90.9%|19.35%|**A**|The current AU entry setup appears highly promising, backed by exceptional backtest data showing a 90.9% win rate and 19.35% average return for signals exceeding a 1.0 local maximum. The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.3974, along with a strong macro trend (1.2595) and neutral 21-Day RSI (48.32), aligns favorably with these historically profitable conditions. Although the score is below its recent 50-day peak, its positive 50-day trajectory slope (0.0232) suggests an improving trend. This robust confluence of factors indicates a high-quality entry. Final Grade: A|
|**ABEV**|1.3906|9|55.6%|4.04%|**B**|The current Master Score of 1.3906 with a positive 50-Day Trajectory Slope of 0.3524 signals a promising entry, further supported by a bullish macro trend (1.1567). While the historical 20-Day Win Rate of 55.6% is modest, the 4.04% average return is notable. Despite the score being below its recent local maximum, its positive trajectory indicates improving conditions for this trade. Final Grade: B|
|**CSTM**|1.3717|9|88.9%|15.20%|**B**|CSTM presents a strong macro trend (1.3863) and a Risk-Adjusted Score (1.3717) that historically generates excellent performance (88.9% win rate, 15.20% average return). However, the score's negative 50-day trajectory (-0.1053) and considerable decline from its recent peak suggest deteriorating quality. The elevated 21-day RSI (65.31) also indicates potentially extended momentum. While still meeting the profitable historical signal threshold, this entry is likely past its optimal window. Final Grade: B|
|**VALE**|1.3676|8|87.5%|7.71%|**B**|VALE exhibits a strong macro trend and healthy RSI, with a positive Risk-Adjusted Score. Backtest data is exceptionally strong, showing an 87.5% win rate and 7.71% average return from similar signals. While the Master Score's negative trajectory suggests the signal quality is past its peak, the current positive score and robust historical performance still make this a strong candidate. Final Grade: B|
|**BE**|1.3353|8|62.5%|27.85%|**C**|The current Master Score of 1.3353 indicates a valid signal, supported by strong historical 20-day average returns of 27.85% and a 62.5% win rate. However, the Master Score's significantly negative 50-day trajectory (-0.6988) and its substantial decline from the recent local maximum (3.2217) point to diminishing signal strength for this specific entry. While the macro trend is strongly bullish (1.5569), the 21-day RSI at 67.11 is elevated, nearing overbought conditions. Considering the declining Master Metric momentum for this specific timing, despite positive historical outcomes, the quality of this current entry is moderate. Final Grade: C|
|**HUT**|1.3254|6|83.3%|9.91%|**B**|The macro trend is bullish, and historical backtest data for signals above 1.0 shows excellent performance with an 83.3% win rate and 9.91% average return. While the current Master Score of 1.3254 is positive, its negative trajectory and significant distance from the recent local maximum indicate weakening momentum. This suggests a decent, but potentially deteriorating, entry point despite strong historical success at this score level. Final Grade: B|
|**OCC**|1.3072|11|54.5%|13.71%|**B**|The strong bullish macro trend and current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.3072 with a positive trajectory support a good entry, although it's below its recent peak. While the 54.5% historical win rate is modest, the excellent 13.71% average return from past signals is highly attractive. This setup presents a solid opportunity for potential gains despite some volatility around its recent local maximum. Final Grade: B|
|**MU**|1.2956|9|77.8%|15.71%|**C**|The current setup shows a strong macro trend and historically excellent performance for signals exceeding a Master Score of 1.0. However, the Master Metric's rapidly declining trajectory and significant drop from its recent peak introduce considerable caution regarding the quality of this specific entry. This suggests a weakening signal despite meeting the general threshold for historical profitability. While the backtest indicates potential, the deteriorating signal quality makes this a less optimal entry. Final Grade: C|
|**CVX**|1.2892|8|62.5%|3.20%|**A-**|The strong bullish macro trend and a Master Score of 1.2892, exhibiting a positive trajectory, present a favorable entry setup. While the current score is below its recent local maximum, the improving momentum suggests potential for further appreciation. Backtest data reinforces this, showing a solid 62.5% win rate and 3.20% average return for similar signals. This combination indicates a strong, well-supported opportunity. Final Grade: A-|
|**MPC**|1.2694|11|81.8%|8.37%|**A**|The current entry for MPC presents a strong setup, supported by a bullish macro trend and a Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.2694, which shows positive trajectory. The neutral RSI and the fact the score is not at its recent peak provide an opportune entry within the score's upward momentum. Crucially, backtest data for signals above 1.0 demonstrates an exceptional 81.8% win rate and 8.37% average return, indicating a high-quality entry. Final Grade: A|
|**FN**|1.2569|8|87.5%|15.41%|**C**|The stock exhibits a strong macro trend and historical backtest data for strong signals shows exceptional win rates (87.5%) and average returns (15.41%). However, the Master Score's current negative trajectory (-0.1844 slope) and significant distance from its recent peak indicate a deteriorating signal strength. This, combined with a relatively high RSI (65.27), suggests the current entry quality is suboptimal despite the favorable historical performance of robust signals. Final Grade: C|
|**ASX**|1.1852|8|100.0%|7.72%|**C**|The macro trend is strongly bullish, and historical backtest data for signals peaking above 1.0 shows an exceptional 100% win rate. However, the current 21-Day RSI of 80.31 signifies extreme overbought conditions, presenting a significant risk for a new entry. While the Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.1852 is positive, it is substantially below the recent 50-day local maximum, indicating the optimal entry window based on signal strength has likely passed. Final Grade: C|
|**DELL**|1.1778|8|75.0%|15.28%|**B**|The bullish macro trend and exceptional historical backtest performance (75% win rate, 15.28% avg return) for signals above 1.0 make this a compelling setup. The Master Score's positive trajectory further supports the entry, though the 21-Day RSI of 70.46 indicates the stock is currently overbought. This suggests a strong underlying signal, but a potentially less-than-optimal *immediate* entry due to short-term overextension. Final Grade: B|
|**VZ**|1.1672|10|60.0%|1.91%|**B**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.1672, with a positive 50-Day Trajectory Slope of 0.3240, indicates improving conditions for VZ, supported by a bullish macro trend of 1.1087. While the score is below its recent local maximum, the positive slope suggests increasing momentum. Historical backtest data shows a decent 60.0% win rate and 1.91% average return for similar setups where the score exceeded 1.0. Final Grade: B|
|**DIOD**|1.1366|8|87.5%|9.41%|**B**|The current Master Score (1.1366) with its positive trajectory, combined with a strong macro trend and exceptional backtest performance (87.5% win rate, 9.41% avg return), suggests a robust signal. However, the extremely high 21-Day RSI (79.09) indicates the stock is very overbought, posing a significant risk for an immediate entry despite the strong underlying metrics. Prudence is advised. Final Grade: B|
|**VICR**|1.1332|8|75.0%|19.65%|**D**|While historical backtest performance for strong signals is excellent, the current entry presents significant concerns. The Master Score's sharply negative 50-day trajectory (-1.2686) and overbought 21-Day RSI (72.87) indicate the signal is weakening rapidly and the stock may be overextended. Despite a strong macro trend, the current setup suggests the optimal entry point has passed and risk is elevated. Final Grade: D|
|**GEV**|1.1105|5|80.0%|10.38%|**B**|The current setup presents a positive Master Risk-Adjusted Score (1.1105) with an upward trajectory, supported by an exceptionally strong historical win rate (80%) and average return (10.38%) for similar signals. While the macro trend is bullish, the 21-Day RSI of 75.61 indicates the stock is significantly overbought, posing a substantial short-term pullback risk for a current entry. Despite this tactical timing concern, the underlying quality, as indicated by the Master Score's positive movement and robust backtest data for signals above 1.0, remains strong. Final Grade: B|
|**MPLX**|1.1073|11|90.9%|6.11%|**A**|The current entry for MPLX looks promising, supported by a strong macro trend and a Master Risk-Adjusted Score comfortably above the historical signal threshold. The positive trajectory slope of the Master Score and neutral RSI add to this favorable outlook. Backtest data for similar signals is exceptional, boasting a 90.9% win rate and 6.11% average return. Final Grade: A|
|**LPTH**|1.0813|9|55.6%|14.79%|**D**|The macro trend is strongly bullish, and historical signals show a good average return. However, the Master Score is sharply declining from a recent peak, and the 21-Day RSI is high, indicating poor timing for a current entry. Combined with a modest historical win rate, the current setup suggests a high-risk entry chasing a fading signal. Final Grade: D|
|**AVUV**|1.0663|11|100.0%|6.60%|**B**|The macro trend is positive, and historical backtest data for signals (where Local Max > 1.0) is exceptionally strong with a 100% 20-day win rate and 6.60% average return. However, the current high RSI and the declining 50-day trajectory of the Risk-Adjusted Score, significantly below its recent peak, suggest weakening momentum for this specific entry. While the historical reliability is compelling, the deteriorating score strength indicates this may not be an optimal entry point. Final Grade: B|
|**CLS**|1.0512|9|77.8%|14.43%|**C**|The setup benefits from a strong macro trend and excellent historical backtest data, showing a 77.8% win rate and 14.43% average return. However, the 21-Day RSI is nearing overbought, and critically, the Master Score exhibits a strong negative trajectory (-0.3635 slope) from a significantly higher past local maximum. This indicates the quality of this specific entry is deteriorating despite its initial positive score. Given the conflicting signals, a cautious approach is warranted due to the weakening signal momentum. Final Grade: C|
|**MO**|1.0393|10|80.0%|4.18%|**A**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.0393, supported by a positive 50-Day Trajectory Slope, indicates a promising entry point. This setup is strongly reinforced by impressive historical backtest data, showing an 80.0% win rate and 4.18% average return over 20 days for similar signals. A bullish macro trend and neutral RSI further strengthen the current entry's quality. Final Grade: A|
|**\^TNX**|1.0304|9|66.7%|2.91%|**C**|The macro trend is positive and the current Risk-Adjusted Score (1.0304) aligns with signals that historically show a 66.7% win rate and 2.91% average return. However, the Master Score has a negative 50-day trajectory and is notably below its recent local maximum, suggesting declining momentum. Therefore, while historical performance is solid, the current entry quality is diminished due to the deteriorating signal trajectory. Final Grade: C|
|**EPR**|1.0071|10|90.0%|7.70%|**A**|The current Master Score of 1.0071, while just above the signal threshold and below its recent peak, shows a positive trajectory. This entry is strongly supported by exceptional backtest data, boasting a 90% win rate and 7.70% average return for similar signals. Combined with a favorable macro trend, the setup indicates a high probability of success. Final Grade: A|
|**PRU**|1.0065|10|70.0%|4.94%|**C**|The Master Score of 1.0065 exceeds the actionable threshold, supported by strong historical backtest performance (70% win rate, 4.94% average return). However, the negative trajectory slope and recent local maximum indicate the signal is deteriorating, and the macro trend is bearish (0.9589). While active, the timing for this current entry is suboptimal due to these factors. Final Grade: C|
|**UPS**|0.9886|8|75.0%|1.54%|**D**|The current setup is weak as the Master Score (0.9886) is below the historical signal threshold and shows a strong negative trajectory. Although the macro trend is bullish, the score has significantly declined from its peak 46 days ago. While backtest performance for strong signals is good, the deteriorating current score indicates this is not an optimal entry. Final Grade: D|
|**TTMI**|0.9847|9|100.0%|18.82%|**C**|The macro trend is strongly bullish, but the current Risk-Adjusted Score of 0.9847 falls just below the 1.0 threshold that defines the exceptional backtested signals. Furthermore, the score's negative trajectory and overbought RSI (71.90) indicate a weakening setup for a new entry. While historical qualifying signals boast a 100% win rate and 18.82% average return, this specific setup does not meet those high-quality criteria for an optimal entry. Final Grade: C|
|**TTMI**|0.9847|9|100.0%|18.82%|**D**|The current Master Score of 0.9847 falls below the 1.0 threshold for the historically excellent backtested signals, despite a strong macro trend. The negative trajectory of the score and overbought RSI further indicate this is not an optimal entry. Consequently, this specific setup does not qualify for the impressive 100% win rate seen in historical entries. Final Grade: D|
|**SMH**|0.9492|8|100.0%|9.00%|**F**|Despite a strong macro trend, the current entry quality for SMH is poor given its Master Score (0.9492) is below the threshold for historically successful signals. The score's negative trajectory and an extremely overbought 21-day RSI of 76.92 indicate significant downside risk for a current long position. While historical signals with a Master Score local maximum above 1.0 yielded a 100% win rate, this current setup does not meet those proven conditions. Final Grade: F|
|**IIPR**|0.9184|9|77.8%|7.63%|**D**|While historical signals meeting the Risk-Adjusted Score threshold of 1.0 show excellent performance with a 77.8% win rate and 7.63% average return, the current score of 0.9184 is below this threshold. The negative trajectory slope and distance from the recent local maximum further indicate deteriorating conditions for this specific entry. Despite a bullish macro trend, the primary entry metric suggests a low-quality setup currently. Final Grade: D|
|**QQQ**|0.9151|10|90.0%|5.53%|**D**|The current entry setup for QQQ is weak; its Risk-Adjusted Score of 0.9151 falls below the 1.0 threshold historically associated with a 90% win rate and 5.53% average return. This score is also declining significantly with a negative 50-day trajectory, indicating deteriorating quality since its local maximum 28 days ago. Despite a bullish macro trend and high RSI, the Master Metric suggests this is not an optimal entry point based on historical success criteria. Final Grade: D|
|**AVGO**|0.9136|9|88.9%|16.91%|**D**|While AVGO exhibits a strong bullish macro trend and excellent historical performance (88.9% win rate, 16.91% average return) for signals where the Master Score's local maximum exceeded 1.0, the current entry is suboptimal. The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 0.9136 is below the optimal threshold for entry, shows a negative trajectory, and coincides with an overbought 21-Day RSI of 72.24. This setup does not meet the criteria for the highly successful backtested signals. Final Grade: D|
|**MAIN**|0.9111|7|85.7%|5.22%|**F**|While historical signals above 1.0 for the Risk-Adjusted Score show excellent performance (85.7% win rate, 5.22% avg return), the current score of 0.9111 is below this threshold. Furthermore, the score's 50-day trajectory is negative, and the macro trend is bearish. This indicates the current setup does not align with previously successful entry conditions. Final Grade: F|
|**CRDO**|0.629|6|100.0%|20.75%|**F**|The current entry setup for CRDO is poor, marked by a low (0.6290) and declining (-0.2478) Risk-Adjusted Score, well below its recent maximum. This is further exacerbated by a bearish macro trend (0.9860) and an overbought RSI (71.90). While historical backtest data shows excellent performance (100% win rate, 20.75% avg return) for signals above 1.0, the current score does not meet this quality threshold. Therefore, the present conditions are highly unfavorable for an entry. Final Grade: F|
|**POET**|0.3514|9|66.7%|10.69%|**D**|The current entry quality for POET is poor. The Risk-Adjusted Score is very low at 0.3514, exhibiting a steep negative trajectory and falling significantly below the historical signal threshold where high win rates were observed. An overbought 21-Day RSI of 77.27 adds to the risk, overshadowing the otherwise strong macro trend. This setup presents an unfavorable entry despite historical success under different metric conditions. Final Grade: D|
sentiment 1.00
2 days ago • u/37366034 • r/wallstreetbets • changed_my_life • C
If you need some ideas here is my “everything”
I’m buying options 6 months out for max leverage, but feel free to buy stocks.
Here is mine:
Photonics
$AAOI -- $112
$LITE -- $615
$COHR--$249
SAEHR -- $66
Nuclear
$OKLO -- $69
SUUUU -- $20
$GEV -- $867
$LEU -- $183
CPU Bottleneck
$AMD - $253
$INTC - $60
$ARM -- $185
$AMKR-- $55
Al Utility
$IREN -- $43
$NBIS -- $113
$CIFR -- $17
$CRWV -- $96
Al Power
$VST -- $140
$BE - $118
$NVTS --$257
$VRT - $192
Al Hardware
SNVDA -- $71
$TSM -- $314
SASML -- $1,205
$MU - $341
Al Applications
$PLTR -- $138
$SNOW -- $134
$CRWD - $433
$ZETA --$17
Al Inference
SAVGO -- $336
SALAB -- $186
$CRDO -- $148
$MRVL -- $126
Agentic Al
$NET -- $205
SDOCN -- $71
$FSLY --$17
$PATH -- $10
sentiment 0.74
2 days ago • u/37366034 • r/wallstreetbets • ai_infrastructure_build_out_yolos • C
Own everything. LITE literally can’t produce more, they are sold out for 1.5 years. Who is the 2nd tier supplier in the category? They will be sold out soon, and probably 3 and 4…
sentiment 0.00


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