SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
stock NASDAQ ETF

SMH and DRAM

I prefer ETFs so SMH. But I think FSELX is the better fund.

I have FSELX in my 401k for my job and it's been fantastic in the 6 months I'd had it. Also have SMH and PSI in my IRA because they both have some different things

SMH

You can’t go wrong with either. But…
Let me mention PSI.
Something happened just over a year ago when PSI started outperforming both SMH and FSELX.
If all you care about is a semi-annual distribution, you’ve already chosen FSELX.
If all you care about is historical performance, you’ve already chosen SMH.
But if you’re wondering why any semiconductor ETF is outperforming both for the past year, look at PSI.
I like it because I don’t want to have too much exposure to NVDA.
SMH is 14% NVDA
FSELX is 22% NVDA
I want less of my money at risk on one company or why be in an etf at all?
PSI has 4% NVDA and its highest exposure to any single ticker is AMAT at 6%. That not only allows me less risk, but any other broad ETF (eg VOO, QQQ, etc.) already has plenty of NVDA in it.
The PSI expense ratio is less than FSELX.
CAGR% (1Y)
PSI 218%
FSELX 157%
SMH 153%
The Sortino ratio is also better:
Sortino
PSI 4.77
FSELX 4.37
SMH 4.50
And the beta of PSI is better than FSELX, worse than SMH
Beta
PSI 1.8
FSELX 1.83
SMH 1.73
My motto is if you are making a choice, know why you’re not choosing a similar, better performing (recently) ETF.
You can’t go wrong with any one of the three and my considerations (lower single ticker exposure, better recent performance, etc.) are not everybody else’s criteria.
https://preview.redd.it/bd3ogq3gaq8h1.jpeg?width=1206&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a3d78b0659ed07b21725ff917632e0a9626df55a

SMH

> Physiologically though, that would be nice to see enter my account to DRIP
You also see your position drop substantially when it happens. It's like $500 less FSELX, for $500 more cash.
In any even these two are going to be really close. The bigger question to me is why you're holding onto 20% SCHD in an IRA that presumably you aren't going to be touching for a long time. And that you have no international holdings.
These are the kind of decisions that are going to make vastly more difference than SMH versus FSELX.

for like an all-weather portfolio in this late debt cycle, i would do something like 70% VOO (or QQQ or even VT if you want the global market which is not a bad idea since it has a \~90% correlation with sp500 anyway) and 30% gold. you dont want medium to long term bonds if you believe yields will rise, which i believe to be the case. as a result, gold > short term bonds but if we are talking about 5-10 years.
you should work from this baseline and customize your actual portfolio according to your convictions. i havent done the exact research but i have a sneaking suspicion that your GRID and SMH will face rising input costs because if REMX does really well, then GRID and SMH will have to suffer in margins because they consume the rare earth elements and other materials. water is important but that does not mean producing water is going to be a profitable business - those are two different things. when you invest, you invest in good businesses not because things are important. we actually want important things like water to be essentially free for society.
but all in all, your GRID, PHO, and REMX essentially captures a significant slice of materials/resources. it might make sense to use an ETF, like GNUR or others, to capture this slice of the pie. if it were me, i would also allocate some capital in the precious metals mining space - perhaps using some of the 30% allocated to gold for this.
hope this helps.

SMH

SMH or FSELX🤔

Global equity ETFs (like VEQT) almost never gain 60% in 6 months. Typical 6‑month range: –20% to +20%.
Semiconductor ETFs (SMH, CHPS) can spike, but even they rarely hit +60% in 6 months.
A blended portfolio like yours has never historically produced a +60% half‑year return except during extreme bubbles.
Using historical volatility of similar portfolios:
* Expected 6‑month return: +5% to +10%
* 1‑standard‑deviation move: ±15–20%
* A +60% move is 3–4 standard deviations above normal
That corresponds to a probability of 0.1%–1%.

I’ve narrowed it down to SMH or FSELX.
CONVINCE ME.
have a ROTH IRA, btw.

Hello! I’m a relatively new investor, and want to get some feedback on what I’m planning on investing in. I’m looking to build a portfolio where I can let my money sit for the next 5-10 years and not worry too much. All of these are areas I imagine will grow in the next few years.
I am about to put some cash into:
60% VOO, just because it’s the SP500, it’s pretty hard to beat
8% QTUM, because I believe quantum is going to become a big deal and become more applicable in the years to come.
8% GRID, to get exposure to power grid and energy storage infrastructure.
8% PHO, because water is obviously an essential resource, and only going to get more scarce.
8% REMX, rare earth materials are gonna be necessary for semis, data centers, etc in the next years.
8% SMH, just to get some semiconductor exposure, nothing too much because I can’t imagine the current growth can continue.
I also have some money in NBIS and DRAM, but am looking for a shorter-term play on those.

Infinite riches are out there. Long DRAM and SMH, but soon gold, bonds and crypto will make a violent comeback. With that fintech will also rally. Reddit may too. It's really too easy just maybe keep some cash just in case of a stock market flushout outside of semis.

SOXQ instead of SMH. Same but better.
Add some DRAM.

Im mixing VWCE with SMH

You are definitely overlapping, and it is mostly the same growth bet stacked a few different ways. VOO already gives you a lot of big tech, then VGT, SMH and SPMO all push harder in a similar direction. If you want something you can actually leave alone, I would simplify and keep just one aggressive tilt instead of three.

Buying more SMH ETF, every two weeks without miss.

I’d definitely invest at least some into a solid S&P 500 fund as a core holding (VOO is a good low-cost choice.)
If you want to invest a bit into AI/Semiconductors (not a bad bet for the next few years), SMH is solid. Since it is sector-specific, I wouldn’t be investing more than 3-5% of the total portfolio into it though.
Also, whatever you do, open a Roth IRA and contribute as much as you can up to the max limit of $7,500 per year. Any investments in this account grow and you can withdraw gains tax-free once you turn 59.5 years old.

Your portfolio isn't lacking conviction—it's lacking diversification between your convictions. VGT, SPMO, and SMH all lean heavily into the same growth and AI winners, so the overlap may be less of a problem than the concentration risk if leadership changes over the next decade.