AXSM
Axsome Therapeutics, Inc
stock NASDAQ

Would be great to compare notes, are you able to share yours?
|Rank|Ticker|Score|Val(2x)|Pos|Own|Mgmt|Cat|Grow|Sect|Price|RSI|ToFV%|FairVal|Buy<|Sell>|FwdPE|Beta|RevG%|EarnG%|OpM%|Sent|SecSc|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|1|BN|5|2|1|0|1|1|0|0|38.19|25.5|41.4|54|45.9|62.1|6.5|1.82|8.5|40.3|25.7|44|28|
|2|NVDA|5|2|0|1|1|1|1|\-1|220.27|49.8|26.4|278.5|236.73|327.65|14.2|2.22|105.9|127.8|66.2|35|21|
|3|AVGO|5|2|0|1|1|1|1|\-1|365.22|41.4|23.8|452.07|384.26|531.85|18.9|1.46|85.5|215.3|54.3|40|21|
|4|MU|4|2|\-1|1|1|1|1|\-1|979.64|53.3|31.3|1286.14|1093.22|1513.11|6.3|2.22|345.7|1368.5|80.4|33|21|
|5|SEI|4|2|\-1|0|1|1|0|1|67.98|59.2|20|81.59|69.35|95.99|28.7|1.26|46.9|\-13.5|26.5|77|63|
|6|AMZN|3|0|1|1|1|0|1|\-1|255.55|43.6|9.2|278.94|237.1|328.17|24.6|1.44|19.6|242.3|13.7|26|7|
|7|GOOGL|3|0|0|1|1|0|1|0|339.36|41.3|7.2|363.86|309.28|428.07|22.9|1.23|24.2|294|34|43|33|
|8|MA|3|0|0|1|1|0|1|0|566.2|44.1|0.4|568.25|483.01|668.53|24.6|0.73|14.1|22.1|61.1|50|28|
|9|KTOS|2|2|0|1|\-1|0|1|\-1|45.92|35|54.3|70.86|60.23|104.2|41.6|1.11|30.5|7.4|\-0.2|36|17|
|10|UBER|2|2|0|0|0|0|1|\-1|71.37|43.4|20.4|85.94|73.05|101.11|16.2|1.16|12.2|85.5|13.3|78|21|
|11|CRDO|2|0|1|0|1|0|1|\-1|163.68|32|16.9|191.35|162.64|281.39|16.9|3.23|114.7|97.1|25.2|51|21|
|12|GEV|2|0|0|0|1|1|1|\-1|958.73|42.4|9.6|1050.97|893.32|1236.43|36.5|0.97|21.9|32.8|7.5|43|17|
|13|MSFT|2|\-1|1|1|1|0|1|\-1|494.81|55|\-1.6|486.98|413.93|572.92|21|1.11|17.7|31.7|45.1|16|21|
|14|OKLO|1|2|0|0|\-1|0|0|0|37.63|44.8|42.2|53.51|45.48|78.69|\-37.4|1.2|n/a|n/a|n/m|45|36|
|15|CLS|1|0|0|0|0|1|1|\-1|347.39|52.5|16.8|405.64|344.79|477.22|17.5|1.46|62.4|74.2|9.8|40|21|
|16|AXSM|1|0|0|1|\-1|0|1|0|225.56|48.8|7.6|242.61|206.22|285.42|41.9|0.71|45.5|n/a|\-23.4|56|28|
|17|ORCL|1|0|\-1|0|1|1|1|\-1|153.73|53.5|6.8|164.16|139.53|241.41|13.9|1.73|20.6|21.9|36.2|91|21|
|18|PLTR|1|\-1|1|0|1|0|1|\-1|166.84|48.1|\-0.3|166.37|141.41|195.73|71.8|1.62|92.8|215.4|47.1|24|21|
|19|HOOD|1|\-1|0|0|1|0|1|0|114.45|56.6|\-4.3|109.56|93.12|128.89|33.7|2.34|32.3|47.6|43.9|49|28|
|20|RDDT|1|\-1|0|0|1|0|1|0|155.5|48.9|\-6.8|144.91|123.17|213.1|16|2.02|61.1|177.8|28.8|39|33|
|21|SNOW|0|0|0|1|\-1|0|1|\-1|328.32|54.1|8.3|355.55|302.21|418.29|109.4|1.33|35.1|n/a|\-17|39|21|
|22|META|0|\-1|0|1|1|0|\-1|0|651.73|66.4|\-1.2|643.71|547.16|757.31|18.7|1.24|28|\-13.4|34.8|42|33|
|23|CIEN|0|\-1|0|0|1|0|1|\-1|350.96|38.7|\-2.3|342.81|291.39|504.13|28.8|1.31|37|422.9|18.1|43|21|
|24|TWLO|0|\-1|1|0|0|0|1|\-1|230.8|53.2|\-5.7|217.69|185.03|256.1|34|1.41|22|4671.5|7.8|29|21|
|25|SITM|\-1|0|0|\-1|0|0|1|\-1|627.01|49.8|17|733.36|623.36|862.78|42|2.86|126.5|n/a|10.6|49|21|
|26|SN|\-1|0|0|0|1|0|\-1|\-1|159.61|35.7|11.6|178.13|151.41|209.56|20.8|1.2|22.2|\-6.3|10.2|39|7|
|27|AVAV|\-1|0|\-1|0|\-1|1|1|\-1|140.8|43.5|9.4|154.02|130.92|226.5|33|1.41|133.3|n/a|2.8|85|17|
|28|TER|\-1|\-1|\-1|0|1|0|1|\-1|380.78|50.4|\-0.3|379.5|322.57|446.47|31.8|1.78|103.9|385.8|33.2|47|21|
|29|HPE|\-1|\-1|\-1|0|0|1|1|\-1|61.3|54|\-6.5|57.32|48.72|67.43|13.3|1.44|33.7|410.2|12.6|44|21|
|30|TTWO|\-1|\-1|0|1|\-1|1|\-1|0|218.95|37.4|\-8.7|200|170|286.44|21.1|0.97|2|n/a|0.5|41|33|
|31|AAPL|\-1|\-2|0|0|1|0|1|\-1|332.55|59|\-17.1|275.74|234.38|324.4|34.6|1.08|16.4|28.7|32.6|64|21|
|32|GME|\-2|0|\-1|0|0|0|0|\-1|21.09|64.1|16.9|24.65|20.95|28.35|11.4|1.71|\-18.7|64.5|20|87|7|
|33|DELL|\-3|\-2|\-1|0|0|0|1|\-1|564.75|57.7|\-14.1|484.91|412.17|570.48|19.7|1.41|57.7|272.9|12|36|21|
|34|ZS|\-4|\-2|0|0|\-1|0|0|\-1|165.18|45|\-14.7|140.96|119.81|207.29|29.2|0.95|24.9|n/a|\-1|46|21|
**SYSTEM:**
|Veto|What it checks|Pass rule||
|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|V1 Mandate Fit|Revenue OR earnings growth YoY|Must clear 15% or removed outright||
|V2 Beta / Leverage|Volatility + solvency|Beta under 3.5, and not (D/E over 400% while unprofitable)||
|V3 Liquidity Floor|Market cap and tradability|Market cap over $5B||
|V4 Accounting Integrity|Altman Z / Piotroski F / Beneish M|Not live yet, data source (Stocklake Pro forensic\_scores) is paywalled||
|||||
|PART B -- SCORE GATES (7 gates, -1/0/+1 each, Valuation counts 2x, range -8 to +8)||||
|Gate|Weight|Score +|Score -|
|1 Valuation|2x|Price at or below buy zone (FV x 0.85)|More than 15% above fair value = -2, between FV and FV x1.15 = -1|
|2 Positioning|1x|RSI under 35 or capitulation sentiment|RSI over 68, extended off 52wk low, or crowded sentiment|
|3 Ownership / Flow|1x|Strong buy rating with 20+ analysts|Hold rating, or thin coverage (1-9 analysts)|
|4 Management Quality|1x|Op margin 25%+ or ROE 20%+|Op margin under 5% or negative ROE|
|5 Catalyst|1x|Dated identifiable event within \~90 days|No penalty for absence (0)|
|6 Growth Durability|1x|Revenue 30%+ or earnings 20%+ growth|Revenue under 10% or negative earnings growth|
|7 Sector / Macro Fit|1x|Sector cycle score 50+|Sector score 25 or below|
|||||
|PART C -- FAIR VALUE FORMULA (mechanical, no per-name discretion)||||
|Step|Rule|||
|1|Fair value = street analyst target x 0.85 (haircut for documented analyst optimism bias)|||
|2|If price is under 60% of the 52-week high, apply a further x0.80 haircut, since targets lag names that already got repriced hard|||
|3|Buy-below = fair value x 0.85 (15% margin of safety)|||
|4|Sell-above = the higher of fair value x1.15 or the street target|||
|||||
|PART D -- LOGGED OVERRIDES (every discretionary deviation is written down)||||
|Ticker|Type|Value|Reason|
|BN|Fair value|$54.00|3-method blend: 18x 2027E D/E multiple \~$3.05; management plan value \~$68 haircut 0.78x; street $54.40-57.40|
|GME|Fair value|$24.65|Sum-of-parts, net-liquid assets \~76% of market cap, no analyst target published|
|TTWO|Fair value|$200.00|Scenario-weighted GTA6 bookings, street $286 assumes zero release slip|

Would be great to compare notes, are you able to share yours?
|Rank|Ticker|Score|Val(2x)|Pos|Own|Mgmt|Cat|Grow|Sect|Price|RSI|ToFV%|FairVal|Buy<|Sell>|FwdPE|Beta|RevG%|EarnG%|OpM%|Sent|SecSc|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|1|BN|5|2|1|0|1|1|0|0|38.19|25.5|41.4|54|45.9|62.1|6.5|1.82|8.5|40.3|25.7|44|28|
|2|NVDA|5|2|0|1|1|1|1|\-1|220.27|49.8|26.4|278.5|236.73|327.65|14.2|2.22|105.9|127.8|66.2|35|21|
|3|AVGO|5|2|0|1|1|1|1|\-1|365.22|41.4|23.8|452.07|384.26|531.85|18.9|1.46|85.5|215.3|54.3|40|21|
|4|MU|4|2|\-1|1|1|1|1|\-1|979.64|53.3|31.3|1286.14|1093.22|1513.11|6.3|2.22|345.7|1368.5|80.4|33|21|
|5|SEI|4|2|\-1|0|1|1|0|1|67.98|59.2|20|81.59|69.35|95.99|28.7|1.26|46.9|\-13.5|26.5|77|63|
|6|AMZN|3|0|1|1|1|0|1|\-1|255.55|43.6|9.2|278.94|237.1|328.17|24.6|1.44|19.6|242.3|13.7|26|7|
|7|GOOGL|3|0|0|1|1|0|1|0|339.36|41.3|7.2|363.86|309.28|428.07|22.9|1.23|24.2|294|34|43|33|
|8|MA|3|0|0|1|1|0|1|0|566.2|44.1|0.4|568.25|483.01|668.53|24.6|0.73|14.1|22.1|61.1|50|28|
|9|KTOS|2|2|0|1|\-1|0|1|\-1|45.92|35|54.3|70.86|60.23|104.2|41.6|1.11|30.5|7.4|\-0.2|36|17|
|10|UBER|2|2|0|0|0|0|1|\-1|71.37|43.4|20.4|85.94|73.05|101.11|16.2|1.16|12.2|85.5|13.3|78|21|
|11|CRDO|2|0|1|0|1|0|1|\-1|163.68|32|16.9|191.35|162.64|281.39|16.9|3.23|114.7|97.1|25.2|51|21|
|12|GEV|2|0|0|0|1|1|1|\-1|958.73|42.4|9.6|1050.97|893.32|1236.43|36.5|0.97|21.9|32.8|7.5|43|17|
|13|MSFT|2|\-1|1|1|1|0|1|\-1|494.81|55|\-1.6|486.98|413.93|572.92|21|1.11|17.7|31.7|45.1|16|21|
|14|OKLO|1|2|0|0|\-1|0|0|0|37.63|44.8|42.2|53.51|45.48|78.69|\-37.4|1.2|n/a|n/a|n/m|45|36|
|15|CLS|1|0|0|0|0|1|1|\-1|347.39|52.5|16.8|405.64|344.79|477.22|17.5|1.46|62.4|74.2|9.8|40|21|
|16|AXSM|1|0|0|1|\-1|0|1|0|225.56|48.8|7.6|242.61|206.22|285.42|41.9|0.71|45.5|n/a|\-23.4|56|28|
|17|ORCL|1|0|\-1|0|1|1|1|\-1|153.73|53.5|6.8|164.16|139.53|241.41|13.9|1.73|20.6|21.9|36.2|91|21|
|18|PLTR|1|\-1|1|0|1|0|1|\-1|166.84|48.1|\-0.3|166.37|141.41|195.73|71.8|1.62|92.8|215.4|47.1|24|21|
|19|HOOD|1|\-1|0|0|1|0|1|0|114.45|56.6|\-4.3|109.56|93.12|128.89|33.7|2.34|32.3|47.6|43.9|49|28|
|20|RDDT|1|\-1|0|0|1|0|1|0|155.5|48.9|\-6.8|144.91|123.17|213.1|16|2.02|61.1|177.8|28.8|39|33|
|21|SNOW|0|0|0|1|\-1|0|1|\-1|328.32|54.1|8.3|355.55|302.21|418.29|109.4|1.33|35.1|n/a|\-17|39|21|
|22|META|0|\-1|0|1|1|0|\-1|0|651.73|66.4|\-1.2|643.71|547.16|757.31|18.7|1.24|28|\-13.4|34.8|42|33|
|23|CIEN|0|\-1|0|0|1|0|1|\-1|350.96|38.7|\-2.3|342.81|291.39|504.13|28.8|1.31|37|422.9|18.1|43|21|
|24|TWLO|0|\-1|1|0|0|0|1|\-1|230.8|53.2|\-5.7|217.69|185.03|256.1|34|1.41|22|4671.5|7.8|29|21|
|25|SITM|\-1|0|0|\-1|0|0|1|\-1|627.01|49.8|17|733.36|623.36|862.78|42|2.86|126.5|n/a|10.6|49|21|
|26|SN|\-1|0|0|0|1|0|\-1|\-1|159.61|35.7|11.6|178.13|151.41|209.56|20.8|1.2|22.2|\-6.3|10.2|39|7|
|27|AVAV|\-1|0|\-1|0|\-1|1|1|\-1|140.8|43.5|9.4|154.02|130.92|226.5|33|1.41|133.3|n/a|2.8|85|17|
|28|TER|\-1|\-1|\-1|0|1|0|1|\-1|380.78|50.4|\-0.3|379.5|322.57|446.47|31.8|1.78|103.9|385.8|33.2|47|21|
|29|HPE|\-1|\-1|\-1|0|0|1|1|\-1|61.3|54|\-6.5|57.32|48.72|67.43|13.3|1.44|33.7|410.2|12.6|44|21|
|30|TTWO|\-1|\-1|0|1|\-1|1|\-1|0|218.95|37.4|\-8.7|200|170|286.44|21.1|0.97|2|n/a|0.5|41|33|
|31|AAPL|\-1|\-2|0|0|1|0|1|\-1|332.55|59|\-17.1|275.74|234.38|324.4|34.6|1.08|16.4|28.7|32.6|64|21|
|32|GME|\-2|0|\-1|0|0|0|0|\-1|21.09|64.1|16.9|24.65|20.95|28.35|11.4|1.71|\-18.7|64.5|20|87|7|
|33|DELL|\-3|\-2|\-1|0|0|0|1|\-1|564.75|57.7|\-14.1|484.91|412.17|570.48|19.7|1.41|57.7|272.9|12|36|21|
|34|ZS|\-4|\-2|0|0|\-1|0|0|\-1|165.18|45|\-14.7|140.96|119.81|207.29|29.2|0.95|24.9|n/a|\-1|46|21|
**SYSTEM:**
|Veto|What it checks|Pass rule||
|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|V1 Mandate Fit|Revenue OR earnings growth YoY|Must clear 15% or removed outright||
|V2 Beta / Leverage|Volatility + solvency|Beta under 3.5, and not (D/E over 400% while unprofitable)||
|V3 Liquidity Floor|Market cap and tradability|Market cap over $5B||
|V4 Accounting Integrity|Altman Z / Piotroski F / Beneish M|Not live yet, data source (Stocklake Pro forensic\_scores) is paywalled||
|||||
|PART B -- SCORE GATES (7 gates, -1/0/+1 each, Valuation counts 2x, range -8 to +8)||||
|Gate|Weight|Score +|Score -|
|1 Valuation|2x|Price at or below buy zone (FV x 0.85)|More than 15% above fair value = -2, between FV and FV x1.15 = -1|
|2 Positioning|1x|RSI under 35 or capitulation sentiment|RSI over 68, extended off 52wk low, or crowded sentiment|
|3 Ownership / Flow|1x|Strong buy rating with 20+ analysts|Hold rating, or thin coverage (1-9 analysts)|
|4 Management Quality|1x|Op margin 25%+ or ROE 20%+|Op margin under 5% or negative ROE|
|5 Catalyst|1x|Dated identifiable event within \~90 days|No penalty for absence (0)|
|6 Growth Durability|1x|Revenue 30%+ or earnings 20%+ growth|Revenue under 10% or negative earnings growth|
|7 Sector / Macro Fit|1x|Sector cycle score 50+|Sector score 25 or below|
|||||
|PART C -- FAIR VALUE FORMULA (mechanical, no per-name discretion)||||
|Step|Rule|||
|1|Fair value = street analyst target x 0.85 (haircut for documented analyst optimism bias)|||
|2|If price is under 60% of the 52-week high, apply a further x0.80 haircut, since targets lag names that already got repriced hard|||
|3|Buy-below = fair value x 0.85 (15% margin of safety)|||
|4|Sell-above = the higher of fair value x1.15 or the street target|||
|||||
|PART D -- LOGGED OVERRIDES (every discretionary deviation is written down)||||
|Ticker|Type|Value|Reason|
|BN|Fair value|$54.00|3-method blend: 18x 2027E D/E multiple \~$3.05; management plan value \~$68 haircut 0.78x; street $54.40-57.40|
|GME|Fair value|$24.65|Sum-of-parts, net-liquid assets \~76% of market cap, no analyst target published|
|TTWO|Fair value|$200.00|Scenario-weighted GTA6 bookings, street $286 assumes zero release slip|