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AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
stock NASDAQ

At Close
Apr 27, 2026 3:59:56 PM EDT
145.78USD-10.107%(-16.39)9,261,775
0.00Bid   0.00Ask   0.00Spread
Pre-market
Apr 27, 2026 9:28:30 AM EDT
153.00USD-5.655%(-9.17)358,078
After-hours
Apr 27, 2026 4:58:30 PM EDT
146.50USD+0.494%(+0.72)20,027
OverviewOption ChainMax PainOptionsHistoricalExchange VolumeDark Pool LevelsDark Pool PrintsExchangesShort VolumeShort Interest - DailyShort InterestBorrow Fee (CTB)Failure to Deliver (FTD)ShortsTrendsNewsTrends
AAOI Reddit Mentions
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We have sentiment values and mention counts going back to 2017. The complete data set is available via the API.
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AAOI Specific Mentions
As of Apr 28, 2026 4:22:35 AM EDT (1 min. ago)
Includes all comments and posts. Mentions per user per ticker capped at one per hour.
8 hr ago • u/acrossseasons • r/stocks • why_is_the_stock_market_diverging_from_every • C
Bruh what?? have you even looked at forward guidance? What stocks are you buying? Forward guidance is INSANE right now. You redditors keep thinking data centers getting cancelled and stalled is bad, but it’s so fucking bullish. They’re getting cancelled because the companies originally contracted to build them can’t get their hands on the hardware and energy needed to build them. It’s all being bought out by big players. I’m 50% invested in AI bottlenecks and the demand is INSANE. I invested in LITE at 380 because of the photonics bottleneck and NVDA completely bought them out. I also bought SIVE and now it’s skyrocketing because it can’t meet photonics demands quick enough either. This bottleneck isn’t going anywhere either. All these bottleneck companies have contracts going into 2028+. I’m holding all these stocks (COHR, TSEM, AAOI, SIVE, LITE, SNDK, MU, and more) till mid 2027 then dumping. I’m up 100% - 200%+ on all of these and they’re not going anywhere for at least another 2 years.
sentiment -0.88
10 hr ago • u/medphysik • r/algotrading • trades_427_added_occ_would_avoid_poet_on_the_news • Data • B
https://preview.redd.it/z7twjpva9txg1.png?width=4183&format=png&auto=webp&s=bde4e94cddb6564c842410e66981f08facdf556e
# Quantitative Backtest & AI Opportunity Rankings
**Date/Time generated:** 2026-04-27\_16-06-04
|Ticker|Risk-Adj Score|Signals (3Y)|20D Win Rate|20D Avg Ret|AI Grade|AI Rationale|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|**AAOI**|3.5577|10|80.0%|42.40%|**A**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 3.5577, supported by an exceptionally strong backtest (80% win rate, 42.40% average return) for similar signals, indicates a high-quality entry opportunity. The robust macro trend (50 EMA / 200 SMA ratio of 2.2557) and healthy 21-Day RSI (58.35) further bolster a bullish outlook. With a positive 50-day trajectory slope for the score, the setup appears compelling despite being below its recent local maximum. Final Grade: A|
|**BW**|3.358|7|57.1%|32.18%|**B**|The current Master Score of 3.3580, supported by a very bullish macro trend (2.0734) and positive trajectory, signals a strong entry. While the score is below a recent local maximum, the positive trajectory slope suggests continued momentum. Historical backtest data reveals an exceptional 32.18% average return for winning trades, though the 57.1% win rate and small sample size (7 signals) warrant caution. Overall, this presents a good entry with significant upside potential despite minor timing considerations. Final Grade: B|
|**LWLG**|2.9003|6|83.3%|10.83%|**B**|The LWLG setup presents a strong entry, supported by a robust macro trend (1.8449) and excellent historical backtest performance (83.3% win rate, 10.83% avg return). While the 21-Day RSI at 62.35 is slightly elevated for a new entry and the Master Score (2.9003) is below its 131-day local maximum, its positive trajectory (1.5967) is favorable. The strong fundamentals and proven historical efficacy suggest a high-quality entry, despite some existing momentum. Final Grade: B|
|**LITE**|2.672|7|85.7%|30.80%|**A**|The LITE entry presents a strong setup, with a robust macro uptrend (2.02) and a positive trajectory in the Risk-Adjusted Score (slope 1.05). Historical backtest data is exceptionally strong, boasting an 85.7% 20-day win rate and a remarkable 30.80% average return. This combination of positive current momentum and outstanding historical performance indicates a high-quality entry. Final Grade: A|
|**AEHR**|2.4925|5|60.0%|1.13%|**C**|The current setup exhibits strong underlying bullish momentum as indicated by the high Macro Trend and Master Score (2.4925) with a positive trajectory. However, the 21-Day RSI is overbought at 70.91, suggesting the current entry might be ill-timed. Furthermore, historical backtest data shows a low 20-Day average return of only 1.13%, despite a 60% win rate, which does not strongly support a profitable immediate entry. Consequently, while the asset shows strength, current timing and expected returns are suboptimal. Final Grade: C|
|**FSLY**|2.4206|7|28.6%|\-3.98%|**F**|The current entry for FSLY is highly questionable given the extremely poor historical backtest performance, with a 20-day win rate of only 28.6% and an average return of -3.98%. Although the macro trend is bullish and the Risk-Adjusted Score trajectory is positive, the current score (2.4206) is significantly below its recent 50-day local maximum (6.3941), suggesting suboptimal entry timing. Combined, the historical unprofitability and current timing indicate very high risk for this entry. Final Grade: F|
|**POET**|2.2856|8|75.0%|10.69%|**A**|The current entry for POET presents a very strong setup, with a high Master Score of 2.2856 showing a positive trajectory and exceeding its recent local maximum. This is further supported by robust backtest data, boasting a 75.0% win rate and a 10.69% average return over 20 days. Combined with a strong bullish macro trend (50 EMA / 200 SMA: 1.1668), this indicates a high-quality opportunity. Final Grade: A|
|**CIEN**|2.253|10|80.0%|14.80%|**A**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 2.2530 is strong and trending upward, supported by an excellent macro uptrend and highly compelling backtest data showing an 80% win rate and 14.80% average return. While the 21-day RSI is elevated and the score is below its recent local maximum, the positive trajectory and historical performance are very favorable. This setup indicates a high-quality entry. Final Grade: A|
|**OCC**|2.0214|10|60.0%|13.71%|**A**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 2.0214, alongside a positive trajectory slope and excellent historical 20-day win rate (60.0%) and average return (13.71%), signals a high-quality entry. The bullish macro trend (50 EMA / 200 SMA: 1.2647) and neutral RSI further strengthen this setup, well below its prior local maximum from 125 days ago. This combination presents a very favorable risk/reward profile. Final Grade: A|
|**SNDK**|1.9702|2|100.0%|39.51%|**C**|The strong macro trend and compelling historical win rate/return data (from limited signals) are highly positive. However, the high 21-day RSI and the Master Score's significantly negative trajectory, with its peak 51 days ago, signal declining entry momentum. Despite a positive current score, these factors suggest the present moment is not an optimal entry point. Final Grade: C|
|**COHR**|1.9685|7|57.1%|10.39%|**A-**|The strong macro trend and positive trajectory of the Risk-Adjusted Score indicate a favorable setup for COHR. With an excellent historical 20-day average return of 10.39%, the backtest data points to high potential despite a moderate 57.1% win rate. The current Master Score, although below its recent maximum, is improving, making this a promising entry. Final Grade: A-|
|**CNTX**|1.8916|7|42.9%|1.11%|**D**|While the macro trend is strongly bullish and the current Risk-Adjusted Score is above the signal threshold, its 50-day trajectory is negative, significantly declining from its recent local maximum. The historical backtest data reveals a low 20-day win rate of 42.9% and a meager 1.11% average return across only 7 signals. This indicates that the entry signal's quality is deteriorating, and its past performance suggests low reliability for positive returns. Given the weakening signal and poor historical efficacy, this represents a low-quality entry. Final Grade: D|
|**ICHR**|1.834|8|100.0%|11.91%|**A**|ICHR presents a high-quality entry given its strong bullish macro trend, positive Master Score trajectory, and outstanding backtest performance with a 100% win rate and 11.91% average return. While the 21-day RSI is overbought and the current Master Score is below its recent 50-day peak, the robust historical success and overall signal strength are highly compelling. Final Grade: A|
|**LASR**|1.8314|10|70.0%|11.15%|**A**|The LASR setup shows a positive macro trend and a Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.8314 with a favorable positive trajectory. While below its recent 50-day local maximum, the increasing score indicates potential for upward movement. Historical backtest data strongly supports this entry with an impressive 70.0% 20-day win rate and an 11.15% average return. This suggests a high-quality entry given the current metrics and historical performance. Final Grade: A|
|**WDC**|1.7393|7|100.0%|19.05%|**B+**|The WDC setup benefits from a strong macro trend and exceptional backtested performance, showing a 100% win rate and 19.05% average return for signals above 1.0. The current Master Score of 1.7393 meets this threshold, suggesting high potential based on historical data. However, an overbought 21-Day RSI and the Master Score's negative trajectory (-0.3622 slope) indicate diminishing relative strength and that the optimal entry might be past. While historically reliable, the timing aspects are a concern. Final Grade: B+|
|**APEI**|1.6881|12|91.7%|19.90%|**A**|The current Master Score of 1.6881 is very strong and supported by exceptional backtest data, showing a 91.7% win rate and 19.90% average return. While slightly below its recent local maximum, the score's positive trajectory slope is encouraging. Combined with a bullish macro trend (1.3427) and healthy RSI (56.08), this indicates a high-quality setup. This represents a highly promising entry point. Final Grade: A|
|**LPTH**|1.6572|9|66.7%|18.41%|**A**|The current Master Score of 1.6572 indicates strong signal strength with a positive trajectory, complemented by a very bullish macro trend. Historical backtest performance is excellent, demonstrating a 66.7% win rate and an impressive 18.41% average return. While the current score is below its recent local maximum, the overall metrics and compelling historical success strongly suggest a high-quality entry. Final Grade: A|
|**PBR**|1.6024|10|70.0%|4.41%|**A**|The macro trend for PBR is strongly bullish, and the 21-Day RSI is healthy. The Current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.6024 is excellent with a positive trajectory, though slightly below its recent peak. Supported by a robust 70% win rate and 4.41% average return from historical signals, this indicates a very favorable entry. Final Grade: A|
|**PARR**|1.5858|7|57.1%|10.16%|**B+**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.5858, driven by a positive trajectory and strong bullish macro trend, presents a solid entry. While the score is below its recent local maximum, historical signals show an impressive 10.16% average return over 20 days. Despite a modest 57.1% win rate and small backtest sample, the overall momentum and potential returns are favorable. Final Grade: B+|
|**AP**|1.5098|9|66.7%|6.59%|**B**|The Master Score of 1.51 is positive, backed by excellent historical performance with a 66.7% win rate and 6.59% average return. However, the significantly negative 50-day trajectory slope (-0.39) and the score's decline from a 5.69 peak 41 days ago indicate the optimal entry window may have passed. While macro trend is strong and RSI bullish, the decaying signal momentum makes this a moderate entry. Final Grade: B|
|**DOCN**|1.5059|12|83.3%|17.37%|**A**|The macro trend and momentum are bullish, with the Master Score showing a positive trajectory from a strong current value of 1.5059. While this score is below its recent local maximum, it indicates robust conditions. Crucially, the backtest data reveals an exceptional 83.3% win rate and 17.37% average return for similar signals, signifying high reliability. This setup represents a high-quality entry despite not being at the absolute peak of the scoring cycle. Final Grade: A|
|**STX**|1.4918|9|88.9%|16.83%|**C**|This setup offers exceptional historical performance with an 88.9% win rate and 16.83% average return when the Master Score exceeds 1.0. While the current Master Score of 1.4918 indicates a valid signal and the macro trend is strong, the 71.75 RSI points to overbought conditions. Furthermore, the Master Score's negative 50-day trajectory (-0.2711) suggests diminishing momentum for a current entry. Final Grade: C|
|**FN**|1.4871|8|87.5%|15.41%|**A**|The macro trend (50 EMA / 200 SMA: 1.3187) is strongly bullish, and the 21-Day RSI (59.87) is healthy. The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.4871 is robust, showing a positive trajectory (0.0395 slope) and falling within the parameters of historical signals that boast an impressive 87.5% win rate and 15.41% average return. This strong alignment of current metrics with highly successful backtest data suggests a very high-quality entry point for FN. Final Grade: A|
|**VRT**|1.484|8|62.5%|9.56%|**B-**|The setup presents a strong macro trend and positive Master Score trajectory, supported by promising backtest data (62.5% win rate, 9.56% avg return). However, the elevated RSI and the current Master Score significantly below its recent 50-day local maximum indicate the optimal entry point may have passed. While still a positive signal, its diminished strength from the peak suggests a moderately attractive entry. Final Grade: B-|
|**FTAI**|1.4762|9|88.9%|18.70%|**B**|The Master Score of 1.4762 is positive and aligns with exceptional historical backtest performance, boasting an 88.9% win rate and 18.70% average return. However, the negative trajectory slope (-0.3558) and significant distance from the recent local maximum (2.8901) indicate the signal is past its peak strength. While the macro trend remains strongly bullish (1.2547), this entry presents a good but not optimal opportunity due to the decaying signal momentum. Final Grade: B|
|**HUT**|1.4457|6|83.3%|9.91%|**B**|The current setup presents a moderately strong entry, with a bullish macro trend and a Master Score exceeding the historical signal threshold for excellent returns and win rates. However, the Master Score's negative trajectory and high RSI suggest declining momentum and potentially less optimal timing compared to its past peak. While historical performance for qualifying signals is very strong, the current score is falling from its recent local maximum, warranting a cautious approach despite the upside potential. Final Grade: B|
|**CSTM**|1.4357|8|87.5%|15.81%|**B**|The current Master Score of 1.4357 indicates a high-quality entry, strongly supported by excellent historical backtest performance (87.5% win rate, 15.81% average return) for similar signals. However, the negative 50-day trajectory slope and current score significantly below its recent local maximum suggest the signal has been declining. While fundamentally robust and riding a strong macro trend, this setup appears past its optimal entry point, warranting caution. Final Grade: B|
|**AU**|1.4132|11|90.9%|19.35%|**B**|Despite a negative trajectory in the Risk-Adjusted Score, its current value of 1.4132 still falls within the historically successful backtest criteria (Local Max > 1.0). This historical performance boasts an impressive 90.9% win rate and 19.35% average return, underscoring the signal's robust potential. Combined with a strong macro trend (1.2540), the current setup presents a favorable, though potentially sub-optimal timing, entry. Final Grade: B|
|**CF**|1.4061|9|55.6%|2.30%|**B**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.4061 is strong and shows positive momentum with a 0.3400 trajectory slope, indicating an improving setup. While not at its recent 50-day local maximum, the bullish macro trend (1.2521) and healthy RSI (53.43) are supportive. Backtest data for similar signals indicates a moderate but positive edge, with a 55.6% 20-day win rate and 2.30% average return. This suggests a good quality entry with favorable conditions. Final Grade: B|
|**ASX**|1.4024|8|100.0%|7.72%|**A**|The current Master Score of 1.4024, coupled with an excellent 100% historical 20-day win rate and 7.72% average return for similar signals, indicates a high-quality entry. The strong macro trend and positive score trajectory are highly bullish. While the 21-Day RSI is overbought, the exceptional backtest performance suggests this remains a very strong signal. Final Grade: A|
|**NOK**|1.3967|9|66.7%|7.16%|**A**|The Master Score of 1.3967, supported by a strong macro trend and positive trajectory, signals a high-quality entry opportunity. While the 21-day RSI is elevated and the score is below its recent local maximum, these are minor concerns given the robust backtest performance. Historical signals with a Local Max > 1.0 boast an excellent 66.7% win rate and 7.16% average return over 20 days. This indicates a compelling entry based on historical efficacy. Final Grade: A|
|**VALE**|1.3896|8|87.5%|7.71%|**B**|The historical backtest data shows excellent win rate and average returns, with a strong macro trend supporting an entry. However, the Master Score's negative trajectory and significant distance from its recent local maximum indicate deteriorating signal quality, suggesting this is not an optimal entry point. Final Grade: B|
|**BE**|1.3812|8|62.5%|27.85%|**B**|The current entry benefits from a strong macro trend and excellent historical backtest performance, showing a 62.5% win rate and 27.85% average return for similar signals. However, the high 21-day RSI and the Master Score's negative 50-day trajectory indicate weakening momentum from its significantly higher peak 51 days ago. While the current score still meets historical signal criteria, the decaying strength introduces notable caution for this entry. Final Grade: B|
|**VLO**|1.3719|10|70.0%|9.91%|**A**|The current VLO entry presents a strong setup, with a Master Score of 1.3719 well above the signal threshold and a positive trajectory, backed by a robust bullish macro trend and neutral RSI. Although below its recent local maximum, the historical backtest data strongly supports this entry with an excellent 70.0% win rate and 9.91% average return. This indicates a high-quality trading opportunity. Final Grade: A|
|**ABEV**|1.3416|10|50.0%|3.60%|**B**|The current Master Score of 1.3416 exhibits positive momentum with a 0.3891 trajectory, aligning with a clear macro uptrend. Backtest data reveals a 50.0% win rate and 3.60% average return for similar signals, indicating a moderately favorable setup. While the score is below its 54-day local maximum, its positive slope suggests improving conditions for entry. Final Grade: B|
|**VICR**|1.3325|8|75.0%|19.65%|**C**|The backtest data for signals above 1.0 shows excellent historical win rate and average returns, backed by a strong macro trend. However, the current entry is concerning due to a very overbought 21-Day RSI and a rapidly declining Master Score trajectory, significantly below its recent peak. These factors indicate diminishing signal strength for a current entry, despite the score being above the historical threshold. Final Grade: C|
|**DIOD**|1.3228|8|87.5%|9.41%|**A**|The current Master Metric of 1.3228 is strong, exhibiting a positive trajectory, and aligns with a robust bullish macro trend (1.3251). Historical backtest data for similar signals is exceptional, showing an 87.5% win rate and 9.41% average return. While the 21-Day RSI is overbought at 73.83, the overwhelming quantitative evidence points to a high-quality entry setup. Final Grade: A|
|**CVX**|1.2774|8|62.5%|3.20%|**A**|The current Master Score of 1.2774, coupled with a positive trajectory and robust historical backtest showing a 62.5% win rate and 3.20% average returns, suggests a strong entry. The bullish macro trend of 1.1516 provides further support for this setup. While the 21-day RSI is neutral at 44.80, the overall quantitative signals are highly favorable. Final Grade: A|
|**GEV**|1.2593|5|80.0%|10.38%|**A-**|The current Master Score of 1.2593, combined with a positive trajectory and exceptionally strong backtest data (80% win rate, 10.38% average return for similar signals), indicates a highly favorable setup. A robust bullish macro trend further supports this, though the elevated 21-Day RSI of 70.87 suggests the stock is currently overbought. Despite the RSI and not being at its recent local maximum, the overwhelming quantitative evidence points to a strong entry opportunity based on historical performance. Final Grade: A-|
|**DELL**|1.2425|8|75.0%|15.28%|**B**|The current Master Score of 1.2425, combined with a positive trajectory and exceptionally strong backtest data (75% win rate, 15.28% average return for similar signals), indicates a high-quality entry. The macro trend is also strongly bullish. While the 21-day RSI at 70.39 suggests overbought conditions and potential for a short-term pullback, the overall signal from the Master Metric and historical performance remains very compelling. Final Grade: B|
|**MPC**|1.219|11|81.8%|8.37%|**A**|The Master Score of 1.2190 is strong, indicating a quality entry, further supported by a positive trajectory slope of 0.2309. Backtest data is exceptional, showing an 81.8% win rate and 8.37% average return over 11 signals. Coupled with a very bullish macro trend (1.1550) and neutral RSI, this presents a highly favorable entry opportunity. Final Grade: A|
|**MU**|1.1911|8|75.0%|15.74%|**B**|The macro trend is strong, and historical backtest data shows excellent performance with a 75% win rate and 15.74% average return when the signal's local max was above 1.0. However, the high 21-Day RSI suggests potential overextension, and the Master Score's significantly negative trajectory indicates waning momentum since its recent peak 28 days ago. While the current score of 1.1911 still meets the historical threshold, the decaying signal quality makes this entry less optimal. Final Grade: B|
|**TTMI**|1.1873|9|100.0%|18.82%|**B-**|The historical backtest data for comparable signals is exceptionally strong, boasting a 100% win rate and 18.82% average return, suggesting high potential. However, the current Master Score of 1.1873 exhibits a significant negative trajectory from its recent peak, indicating weakening entry quality momentum. This decline, alongside a high RSI, suggests increased risk for a current entry despite the favorable macro trend. Final Grade: B-|
|**TTMI**|1.1873|9|100.0%|18.82%|**D**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.1873, while positive, is significantly overshadowed by its sharp negative 50-day trajectory (-0.9330) and considerable decline from the 2.8100 local maximum 51 days ago. Although historical backtest data for strong signals shows an outstanding 100% win rate and 18.82% average return, the current entry quality is undermined by the rapidly fading signal strength and high 21-Day RSI (68.23). Despite a positive macro trend, entering now appears to be chasing a deteriorating signal, missing the optimal entry window. Final Grade: D|
|**MPLX**|1.137|11|90.9%|6.11%|**A**|The macro trend is bullish, and the Master Score of 1.1370 is strong with a positive trajectory, exceeding the historical signal threshold. Although below its recent local maximum, the exceptionally strong backtest data, showing a 90.9% win rate and 6.11% average return for similar signals, provides robust validation. This setup presents a high-quality entry opportunity. Final Grade: A|
|**VZ**|1.1141|11|63.6%|2.02%|**A**|The VZ entry benefits from a strong bullish macro trend (1.1079) and a Master Score (1.1141) above the profitable historical signal threshold, with a positive trajectory (0.2483). While the current score is below its recent local maximum, its rising slope indicates improving conditions. Backtest data for similar signals is favorable, showing a 63.6% win rate and 2.02% average return over 20 days, supporting a high-quality entry. Final Grade: A|
|**MO**|1.0817|10|80.0%|4.18%|**A**|The current setup for MO presents a promising entry. The Master Score is above 1.0 with a positive trajectory, indicating improving conditions, supported by a strong macro uptrend. Historical backtest data for signals above 1.0 shows an impressive 80.0% 20-day win rate and a 4.18% average return, suggesting a high-probability trade. Final Grade: A|
|**AVUV**|1.065|10|100.0%|6.87%|**B**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.0650, combined with a strong macro trend, aligns with a historically robust signal demonstrating a 100% 20-day win rate and 6.87% average return. While the historical performance for signals above 1.0 is exceptional, the current 21-day RSI of 68.13 is high, and the Master Score's trajectory slope is negative (-0.0886). This declining momentum from a 50-day local maximum suggests the optimal entry timing has likely passed. Despite strong signal validation, the immediate entry quality is diminished by weakening short-term momentum. Final Grade: B|
|**CLS**|1.0348|9|77.8%|14.43%|**D**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.0348 is critically weak, barely above the positive signal threshold, and its sharply negative trajectory indicates significant deterioration since its peak 86 days ago. While the system boasts excellent historical backtest performance (77.8% win rate, 14.43% avg return) for *stronger* signals, this entry's low score and overbought RSI are concerning. Despite a strong macro trend, this is a low-conviction entry due to the poor state and negative momentum of the master metric. This signal does not represent the high-quality entries that generated the strong historical returns. Final Grade: D|
|**EPR**|1.0211|9|88.9%|8.33%|**A**|The current Master Score of 1.0211, combined with a positive trajectory and supportive macro trend, indicates a favorable setup. Although below its recent 50-day peak, this score falls within a signal category demonstrating an exceptional 88.9% historical win rate and 8.33% average return. These robust backtest results strongly suggest a high-quality entry despite the current signal strength not being at its absolute maximum. Final Grade: A|
|**\^TNX**|1.0163|9|66.7%|2.91%|**C**|The macro trend is positive and historical backtest performance for signals peaking above 1.0 is decent. However, the Master Score, while above 1.0, exhibits a strong negative trajectory. This indicates a weakening entry signal and a considerable deviation from its recent local maximum. Final Grade: C|
|**SMH**|1.007|8|100.0%|9.00%|**D**|While historical backtest performance for signals above 1.0 is exceptionally strong (100% win rate, 9.00% avg return) and the macro trend is bullish, the current entry faces significant headwinds. The Risk-Adjusted Score is barely above the signal threshold at 1.0070 with a negative 50-day trajectory slope (-0.2809), indicating weakening momentum far from its recent local maximum. Additionally, the 21-Day RSI of 76.83 suggests SMH is overbought, posing a high risk for a new long entry despite the compelling historical win rate. Final Grade: D|
|**AVGO**|0.9861|9|88.9%|16.91%|**D**|The positive macro trend for AVGO is offset by an overbought 21-Day RSI. The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 0.9861, with a negative trajectory, falls below the "Local Max > 1.0" criteria that generated the excellent historical backtest results. This setup, showing declining momentum from a recent peak, does not align with the system's high-probability entry signals. This suggests the optimal entry window likely occurred 28 days ago. Final Grade: D|
|**UPS**|0.9769|8|75.0%|1.54%|**D**|The macro trend is positive and the RSI is neutral, but the Risk-Adjusted Score indicates a poor entry. The current score (0.9769) is below the threshold for strong historical signals, and its significant negative trajectory suggests declining momentum since its peak 49 days ago. While historical signals above 1.0 show good performance, the current setup implies the optimal entry opportunity has passed. Final Grade: D|
|**PRU**|0.9567|10|70.0%|4.94%|**F**|The current entry setup for PRU is weak, as the Master Score (0.9567) is below the historically effective threshold of 1.0 and shows a negative trajectory. While historical backtest data indicates strong performance for signals where Local Max > 1.0 (70% win rate, 4.94% avg return), the optimal entry opportunity, based on the recent local maximum, appears to have passed 4 days ago. The current metrics suggest a declining signal and do not align with conditions for high-probability success. Final Grade: F|
|**IIPR**|0.9539|8|87.5%|8.10%|**D**|The current entry quality is poor as the Risk-Adjusted Score (0.9539) is below the 1.0 threshold for historically successful signals, and its negative trajectory (-0.1754 slope) indicates weakening momentum from its recent peak. Despite a positive macro trend, this entry does not align with the exceptional 87.5% win rate and 8.10% average return seen in backtests, which were achieved only when the score was above 1.0. Final Grade: D|
|**QQQ**|0.9381|10|100.0%|6.78%|**F**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 0.9381 is below the 1.0 threshold for historically successful signals, meaning the excellent backtest performance (100% win rate) does not apply. The score's negative trajectory slope and its distance from a recent local maximum indicate deteriorating conditions. While the macro trend remains bullish, the high 21-Day RSI suggests potential short-term overextension. This setup represents a poor entry based on the critical Master Metric signal criteria. Final Grade: F|
|**MAIN**|0.914|6|83.3%|5.30%|**D**|Despite excellent historical performance for signals above 1.0, the current Risk-Adjusted Score of 0.9140 is below this robust threshold and exhibits a negative trajectory. Coupled with an unfavorable macro trend (0.9445), this setup does not meet the criteria for a high-quality entry. Final Grade: D|
|**CRDO**|0.8637|6|100.0%|20.75%|**C**|While historical backtest data for high-score signals is exceptionally strong (100% win rate, 20.75% avg return), the current entry quality is diminished. The Master Score, though high at 0.8637, exhibits a negative 50-day trajectory and peaked 81 days ago, indicating the optimal entry has passed. Furthermore, a high 21-Day RSI (65.00) and a slightly bearish/neutral macro trend (0.9967) suggest limited immediate upside for a fresh position. This setup indicates a deteriorating signal and a potentially late entry. Final Grade: C|
sentiment 1.00
14 hr ago • u/Ok-Parfait-9856 • r/wallstreetbets • poet_loss_cfo_should_be_in_jail • C
A lot of other more established competitors saw a dip today, not 50% but not nothing. It’s hard to believe poet would affect them, considering poet doesn’t really matter (no big deals). Recently photonics has felt like the next “big thing”, as in the next sector that’ll be hot for a few months, but there might be news we don’t know. LITE AAOI MRVL and others are making big moves recently but I think photonics might be done for now
sentiment 0.54
17 hr ago • u/Elon666Mu • r/stocks • aaoi_applied_optoelectronics_undervalued_play • C
I've wondered the same thing. AAOI was a hot topic 9 years ago. not much talk 5 yrs ago. carzy run up in the last year. is it still a buy at $150 now? what's your take?
sentiment 0.28
17 hr ago • u/pineapplekiwipen • r/wallstreetbets • daily_discussion_thread_for_april_27_2026 • C
AAOI pump -> dump -> pump -> dump -> pump until the heat death of the universe
sentiment -0.84
18 hr ago • u/Mnshine_1 • r/wallstreetbets • poet_30_premarket_after_marvell_cancels_celestial • C
Besides mentioned below
Smallcaps (OPTX and OCC) and midcap (AAOI)
sentiment 0.00
19 hr ago • u/CGPictures • r/wallstreetbets • poet_30_premarket_after_marvell_cancels_celestial • C
Just getting started? It pumped like 300% the past month on basically nothing other than getting lumped in with other runners like AAOI.
sentiment 0.61
22 hr ago • u/SkruszonyBankster • r/investing • whats_the_next_big_idea_in_ai_downstream • B
So, I've identified a few phases/subsectors of the current AI hype cycle since the release of ChatGPT in November 2022:
1. The Compute Arms Race (Nov 2022 - early 2024)
NVDA ca 22x; SMCI 15x, TSM 5x
1.5 The Memory Wall (mid-2023 - now)
SNDK 25x, MU 10x, WDC 10x, SK Hynix 16x
2. The Physical Bottlneck (late 2023 -mid 2025)
VRT 26x, VST 7x, CEG 4x
2.5 The Optical Interconnect Phase (Nov 2022 - now)
LITE 20x, COHR 11x, AAOI 87x
3 The Inference & Agentic Buildout (Nov 2022 - now)
PLTR 30x, ANET 5x, NBIS 8x
The stock selection is not exhaustive.
Do you have any ideas of under-the-radar, around-the-corner beneficiaries of the current AI cycle that would be good candidates for Nx performance?
sentiment 0.72
1 day ago • u/aviroshkovan • r/algotrading • new_model_and_top_opportunity_currently • C
The grading is doing more than most posts in this category. Downgrading SNDK at n=2, downgrading CRDO despite a 100% historical WR, downgrading AVGO on RSI + trajectory — that's a real second filter, not just sort-by-past-WR.
Three things I'd push on before sizing into any of them.
Sample size. n=6 with a 66.7% WR has a confidence interval that runs roughly 30-90%. One bad signal and BW lands in the same statistical bucket as the C-graded SNDK. The letter grade alone hides that. A Wilson interval next to the WR would be more useful than the A.
Out of sample. If the 3Y backtest is the same window the model was tuned on, the WRs are fitted, not predictive. Walk-forward (fit '23, test '24, roll forward) is what makes me actually trust a number.
Regime. Every A on the list is a 2024-25 momentum runner — BW, AAOI, LITE, LWLG. That's a regime, not a strategy. Curious how the same scoring rules graded these tickers through the 2022 tech drawdown.
Not a dunk, the layering is real. Just the next three filters I'd add.
sentiment 0.21
1 day ago • u/brownstock • r/ValueInvesting • bloom_energy_is_up_1200_solving_the_data_center • C
CRDO and AAOI
sentiment 0.00
8 hr ago • u/acrossseasons • r/stocks • why_is_the_stock_market_diverging_from_every • C
Bruh what?? have you even looked at forward guidance? What stocks are you buying? Forward guidance is INSANE right now. You redditors keep thinking data centers getting cancelled and stalled is bad, but it’s so fucking bullish. They’re getting cancelled because the companies originally contracted to build them can’t get their hands on the hardware and energy needed to build them. It’s all being bought out by big players. I’m 50% invested in AI bottlenecks and the demand is INSANE. I invested in LITE at 380 because of the photonics bottleneck and NVDA completely bought them out. I also bought SIVE and now it’s skyrocketing because it can’t meet photonics demands quick enough either. This bottleneck isn’t going anywhere either. All these bottleneck companies have contracts going into 2028+. I’m holding all these stocks (COHR, TSEM, AAOI, SIVE, LITE, SNDK, MU, and more) till mid 2027 then dumping. I’m up 100% - 200%+ on all of these and they’re not going anywhere for at least another 2 years.
sentiment -0.88
10 hr ago • u/medphysik • r/algotrading • trades_427_added_occ_would_avoid_poet_on_the_news • Data • B
https://preview.redd.it/z7twjpva9txg1.png?width=4183&format=png&auto=webp&s=bde4e94cddb6564c842410e66981f08facdf556e
# Quantitative Backtest & AI Opportunity Rankings
**Date/Time generated:** 2026-04-27\_16-06-04
|Ticker|Risk-Adj Score|Signals (3Y)|20D Win Rate|20D Avg Ret|AI Grade|AI Rationale|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|**AAOI**|3.5577|10|80.0%|42.40%|**A**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 3.5577, supported by an exceptionally strong backtest (80% win rate, 42.40% average return) for similar signals, indicates a high-quality entry opportunity. The robust macro trend (50 EMA / 200 SMA ratio of 2.2557) and healthy 21-Day RSI (58.35) further bolster a bullish outlook. With a positive 50-day trajectory slope for the score, the setup appears compelling despite being below its recent local maximum. Final Grade: A|
|**BW**|3.358|7|57.1%|32.18%|**B**|The current Master Score of 3.3580, supported by a very bullish macro trend (2.0734) and positive trajectory, signals a strong entry. While the score is below a recent local maximum, the positive trajectory slope suggests continued momentum. Historical backtest data reveals an exceptional 32.18% average return for winning trades, though the 57.1% win rate and small sample size (7 signals) warrant caution. Overall, this presents a good entry with significant upside potential despite minor timing considerations. Final Grade: B|
|**LWLG**|2.9003|6|83.3%|10.83%|**B**|The LWLG setup presents a strong entry, supported by a robust macro trend (1.8449) and excellent historical backtest performance (83.3% win rate, 10.83% avg return). While the 21-Day RSI at 62.35 is slightly elevated for a new entry and the Master Score (2.9003) is below its 131-day local maximum, its positive trajectory (1.5967) is favorable. The strong fundamentals and proven historical efficacy suggest a high-quality entry, despite some existing momentum. Final Grade: B|
|**LITE**|2.672|7|85.7%|30.80%|**A**|The LITE entry presents a strong setup, with a robust macro uptrend (2.02) and a positive trajectory in the Risk-Adjusted Score (slope 1.05). Historical backtest data is exceptionally strong, boasting an 85.7% 20-day win rate and a remarkable 30.80% average return. This combination of positive current momentum and outstanding historical performance indicates a high-quality entry. Final Grade: A|
|**AEHR**|2.4925|5|60.0%|1.13%|**C**|The current setup exhibits strong underlying bullish momentum as indicated by the high Macro Trend and Master Score (2.4925) with a positive trajectory. However, the 21-Day RSI is overbought at 70.91, suggesting the current entry might be ill-timed. Furthermore, historical backtest data shows a low 20-Day average return of only 1.13%, despite a 60% win rate, which does not strongly support a profitable immediate entry. Consequently, while the asset shows strength, current timing and expected returns are suboptimal. Final Grade: C|
|**FSLY**|2.4206|7|28.6%|\-3.98%|**F**|The current entry for FSLY is highly questionable given the extremely poor historical backtest performance, with a 20-day win rate of only 28.6% and an average return of -3.98%. Although the macro trend is bullish and the Risk-Adjusted Score trajectory is positive, the current score (2.4206) is significantly below its recent 50-day local maximum (6.3941), suggesting suboptimal entry timing. Combined, the historical unprofitability and current timing indicate very high risk for this entry. Final Grade: F|
|**POET**|2.2856|8|75.0%|10.69%|**A**|The current entry for POET presents a very strong setup, with a high Master Score of 2.2856 showing a positive trajectory and exceeding its recent local maximum. This is further supported by robust backtest data, boasting a 75.0% win rate and a 10.69% average return over 20 days. Combined with a strong bullish macro trend (50 EMA / 200 SMA: 1.1668), this indicates a high-quality opportunity. Final Grade: A|
|**CIEN**|2.253|10|80.0%|14.80%|**A**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 2.2530 is strong and trending upward, supported by an excellent macro uptrend and highly compelling backtest data showing an 80% win rate and 14.80% average return. While the 21-day RSI is elevated and the score is below its recent local maximum, the positive trajectory and historical performance are very favorable. This setup indicates a high-quality entry. Final Grade: A|
|**OCC**|2.0214|10|60.0%|13.71%|**A**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 2.0214, alongside a positive trajectory slope and excellent historical 20-day win rate (60.0%) and average return (13.71%), signals a high-quality entry. The bullish macro trend (50 EMA / 200 SMA: 1.2647) and neutral RSI further strengthen this setup, well below its prior local maximum from 125 days ago. This combination presents a very favorable risk/reward profile. Final Grade: A|
|**SNDK**|1.9702|2|100.0%|39.51%|**C**|The strong macro trend and compelling historical win rate/return data (from limited signals) are highly positive. However, the high 21-day RSI and the Master Score's significantly negative trajectory, with its peak 51 days ago, signal declining entry momentum. Despite a positive current score, these factors suggest the present moment is not an optimal entry point. Final Grade: C|
|**COHR**|1.9685|7|57.1%|10.39%|**A-**|The strong macro trend and positive trajectory of the Risk-Adjusted Score indicate a favorable setup for COHR. With an excellent historical 20-day average return of 10.39%, the backtest data points to high potential despite a moderate 57.1% win rate. The current Master Score, although below its recent maximum, is improving, making this a promising entry. Final Grade: A-|
|**CNTX**|1.8916|7|42.9%|1.11%|**D**|While the macro trend is strongly bullish and the current Risk-Adjusted Score is above the signal threshold, its 50-day trajectory is negative, significantly declining from its recent local maximum. The historical backtest data reveals a low 20-day win rate of 42.9% and a meager 1.11% average return across only 7 signals. This indicates that the entry signal's quality is deteriorating, and its past performance suggests low reliability for positive returns. Given the weakening signal and poor historical efficacy, this represents a low-quality entry. Final Grade: D|
|**ICHR**|1.834|8|100.0%|11.91%|**A**|ICHR presents a high-quality entry given its strong bullish macro trend, positive Master Score trajectory, and outstanding backtest performance with a 100% win rate and 11.91% average return. While the 21-day RSI is overbought and the current Master Score is below its recent 50-day peak, the robust historical success and overall signal strength are highly compelling. Final Grade: A|
|**LASR**|1.8314|10|70.0%|11.15%|**A**|The LASR setup shows a positive macro trend and a Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.8314 with a favorable positive trajectory. While below its recent 50-day local maximum, the increasing score indicates potential for upward movement. Historical backtest data strongly supports this entry with an impressive 70.0% 20-day win rate and an 11.15% average return. This suggests a high-quality entry given the current metrics and historical performance. Final Grade: A|
|**WDC**|1.7393|7|100.0%|19.05%|**B+**|The WDC setup benefits from a strong macro trend and exceptional backtested performance, showing a 100% win rate and 19.05% average return for signals above 1.0. The current Master Score of 1.7393 meets this threshold, suggesting high potential based on historical data. However, an overbought 21-Day RSI and the Master Score's negative trajectory (-0.3622 slope) indicate diminishing relative strength and that the optimal entry might be past. While historically reliable, the timing aspects are a concern. Final Grade: B+|
|**APEI**|1.6881|12|91.7%|19.90%|**A**|The current Master Score of 1.6881 is very strong and supported by exceptional backtest data, showing a 91.7% win rate and 19.90% average return. While slightly below its recent local maximum, the score's positive trajectory slope is encouraging. Combined with a bullish macro trend (1.3427) and healthy RSI (56.08), this indicates a high-quality setup. This represents a highly promising entry point. Final Grade: A|
|**LPTH**|1.6572|9|66.7%|18.41%|**A**|The current Master Score of 1.6572 indicates strong signal strength with a positive trajectory, complemented by a very bullish macro trend. Historical backtest performance is excellent, demonstrating a 66.7% win rate and an impressive 18.41% average return. While the current score is below its recent local maximum, the overall metrics and compelling historical success strongly suggest a high-quality entry. Final Grade: A|
|**PBR**|1.6024|10|70.0%|4.41%|**A**|The macro trend for PBR is strongly bullish, and the 21-Day RSI is healthy. The Current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.6024 is excellent with a positive trajectory, though slightly below its recent peak. Supported by a robust 70% win rate and 4.41% average return from historical signals, this indicates a very favorable entry. Final Grade: A|
|**PARR**|1.5858|7|57.1%|10.16%|**B+**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.5858, driven by a positive trajectory and strong bullish macro trend, presents a solid entry. While the score is below its recent local maximum, historical signals show an impressive 10.16% average return over 20 days. Despite a modest 57.1% win rate and small backtest sample, the overall momentum and potential returns are favorable. Final Grade: B+|
|**AP**|1.5098|9|66.7%|6.59%|**B**|The Master Score of 1.51 is positive, backed by excellent historical performance with a 66.7% win rate and 6.59% average return. However, the significantly negative 50-day trajectory slope (-0.39) and the score's decline from a 5.69 peak 41 days ago indicate the optimal entry window may have passed. While macro trend is strong and RSI bullish, the decaying signal momentum makes this a moderate entry. Final Grade: B|
|**DOCN**|1.5059|12|83.3%|17.37%|**A**|The macro trend and momentum are bullish, with the Master Score showing a positive trajectory from a strong current value of 1.5059. While this score is below its recent local maximum, it indicates robust conditions. Crucially, the backtest data reveals an exceptional 83.3% win rate and 17.37% average return for similar signals, signifying high reliability. This setup represents a high-quality entry despite not being at the absolute peak of the scoring cycle. Final Grade: A|
|**STX**|1.4918|9|88.9%|16.83%|**C**|This setup offers exceptional historical performance with an 88.9% win rate and 16.83% average return when the Master Score exceeds 1.0. While the current Master Score of 1.4918 indicates a valid signal and the macro trend is strong, the 71.75 RSI points to overbought conditions. Furthermore, the Master Score's negative 50-day trajectory (-0.2711) suggests diminishing momentum for a current entry. Final Grade: C|
|**FN**|1.4871|8|87.5%|15.41%|**A**|The macro trend (50 EMA / 200 SMA: 1.3187) is strongly bullish, and the 21-Day RSI (59.87) is healthy. The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.4871 is robust, showing a positive trajectory (0.0395 slope) and falling within the parameters of historical signals that boast an impressive 87.5% win rate and 15.41% average return. This strong alignment of current metrics with highly successful backtest data suggests a very high-quality entry point for FN. Final Grade: A|
|**VRT**|1.484|8|62.5%|9.56%|**B-**|The setup presents a strong macro trend and positive Master Score trajectory, supported by promising backtest data (62.5% win rate, 9.56% avg return). However, the elevated RSI and the current Master Score significantly below its recent 50-day local maximum indicate the optimal entry point may have passed. While still a positive signal, its diminished strength from the peak suggests a moderately attractive entry. Final Grade: B-|
|**FTAI**|1.4762|9|88.9%|18.70%|**B**|The Master Score of 1.4762 is positive and aligns with exceptional historical backtest performance, boasting an 88.9% win rate and 18.70% average return. However, the negative trajectory slope (-0.3558) and significant distance from the recent local maximum (2.8901) indicate the signal is past its peak strength. While the macro trend remains strongly bullish (1.2547), this entry presents a good but not optimal opportunity due to the decaying signal momentum. Final Grade: B|
|**HUT**|1.4457|6|83.3%|9.91%|**B**|The current setup presents a moderately strong entry, with a bullish macro trend and a Master Score exceeding the historical signal threshold for excellent returns and win rates. However, the Master Score's negative trajectory and high RSI suggest declining momentum and potentially less optimal timing compared to its past peak. While historical performance for qualifying signals is very strong, the current score is falling from its recent local maximum, warranting a cautious approach despite the upside potential. Final Grade: B|
|**CSTM**|1.4357|8|87.5%|15.81%|**B**|The current Master Score of 1.4357 indicates a high-quality entry, strongly supported by excellent historical backtest performance (87.5% win rate, 15.81% average return) for similar signals. However, the negative 50-day trajectory slope and current score significantly below its recent local maximum suggest the signal has been declining. While fundamentally robust and riding a strong macro trend, this setup appears past its optimal entry point, warranting caution. Final Grade: B|
|**AU**|1.4132|11|90.9%|19.35%|**B**|Despite a negative trajectory in the Risk-Adjusted Score, its current value of 1.4132 still falls within the historically successful backtest criteria (Local Max > 1.0). This historical performance boasts an impressive 90.9% win rate and 19.35% average return, underscoring the signal's robust potential. Combined with a strong macro trend (1.2540), the current setup presents a favorable, though potentially sub-optimal timing, entry. Final Grade: B|
|**CF**|1.4061|9|55.6%|2.30%|**B**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.4061 is strong and shows positive momentum with a 0.3400 trajectory slope, indicating an improving setup. While not at its recent 50-day local maximum, the bullish macro trend (1.2521) and healthy RSI (53.43) are supportive. Backtest data for similar signals indicates a moderate but positive edge, with a 55.6% 20-day win rate and 2.30% average return. This suggests a good quality entry with favorable conditions. Final Grade: B|
|**ASX**|1.4024|8|100.0%|7.72%|**A**|The current Master Score of 1.4024, coupled with an excellent 100% historical 20-day win rate and 7.72% average return for similar signals, indicates a high-quality entry. The strong macro trend and positive score trajectory are highly bullish. While the 21-Day RSI is overbought, the exceptional backtest performance suggests this remains a very strong signal. Final Grade: A|
|**NOK**|1.3967|9|66.7%|7.16%|**A**|The Master Score of 1.3967, supported by a strong macro trend and positive trajectory, signals a high-quality entry opportunity. While the 21-day RSI is elevated and the score is below its recent local maximum, these are minor concerns given the robust backtest performance. Historical signals with a Local Max > 1.0 boast an excellent 66.7% win rate and 7.16% average return over 20 days. This indicates a compelling entry based on historical efficacy. Final Grade: A|
|**VALE**|1.3896|8|87.5%|7.71%|**B**|The historical backtest data shows excellent win rate and average returns, with a strong macro trend supporting an entry. However, the Master Score's negative trajectory and significant distance from its recent local maximum indicate deteriorating signal quality, suggesting this is not an optimal entry point. Final Grade: B|
|**BE**|1.3812|8|62.5%|27.85%|**B**|The current entry benefits from a strong macro trend and excellent historical backtest performance, showing a 62.5% win rate and 27.85% average return for similar signals. However, the high 21-day RSI and the Master Score's negative 50-day trajectory indicate weakening momentum from its significantly higher peak 51 days ago. While the current score still meets historical signal criteria, the decaying strength introduces notable caution for this entry. Final Grade: B|
|**VLO**|1.3719|10|70.0%|9.91%|**A**|The current VLO entry presents a strong setup, with a Master Score of 1.3719 well above the signal threshold and a positive trajectory, backed by a robust bullish macro trend and neutral RSI. Although below its recent local maximum, the historical backtest data strongly supports this entry with an excellent 70.0% win rate and 9.91% average return. This indicates a high-quality trading opportunity. Final Grade: A|
|**ABEV**|1.3416|10|50.0%|3.60%|**B**|The current Master Score of 1.3416 exhibits positive momentum with a 0.3891 trajectory, aligning with a clear macro uptrend. Backtest data reveals a 50.0% win rate and 3.60% average return for similar signals, indicating a moderately favorable setup. While the score is below its 54-day local maximum, its positive slope suggests improving conditions for entry. Final Grade: B|
|**VICR**|1.3325|8|75.0%|19.65%|**C**|The backtest data for signals above 1.0 shows excellent historical win rate and average returns, backed by a strong macro trend. However, the current entry is concerning due to a very overbought 21-Day RSI and a rapidly declining Master Score trajectory, significantly below its recent peak. These factors indicate diminishing signal strength for a current entry, despite the score being above the historical threshold. Final Grade: C|
|**DIOD**|1.3228|8|87.5%|9.41%|**A**|The current Master Metric of 1.3228 is strong, exhibiting a positive trajectory, and aligns with a robust bullish macro trend (1.3251). Historical backtest data for similar signals is exceptional, showing an 87.5% win rate and 9.41% average return. While the 21-Day RSI is overbought at 73.83, the overwhelming quantitative evidence points to a high-quality entry setup. Final Grade: A|
|**CVX**|1.2774|8|62.5%|3.20%|**A**|The current Master Score of 1.2774, coupled with a positive trajectory and robust historical backtest showing a 62.5% win rate and 3.20% average returns, suggests a strong entry. The bullish macro trend of 1.1516 provides further support for this setup. While the 21-day RSI is neutral at 44.80, the overall quantitative signals are highly favorable. Final Grade: A|
|**GEV**|1.2593|5|80.0%|10.38%|**A-**|The current Master Score of 1.2593, combined with a positive trajectory and exceptionally strong backtest data (80% win rate, 10.38% average return for similar signals), indicates a highly favorable setup. A robust bullish macro trend further supports this, though the elevated 21-Day RSI of 70.87 suggests the stock is currently overbought. Despite the RSI and not being at its recent local maximum, the overwhelming quantitative evidence points to a strong entry opportunity based on historical performance. Final Grade: A-|
|**DELL**|1.2425|8|75.0%|15.28%|**B**|The current Master Score of 1.2425, combined with a positive trajectory and exceptionally strong backtest data (75% win rate, 15.28% average return for similar signals), indicates a high-quality entry. The macro trend is also strongly bullish. While the 21-day RSI at 70.39 suggests overbought conditions and potential for a short-term pullback, the overall signal from the Master Metric and historical performance remains very compelling. Final Grade: B|
|**MPC**|1.219|11|81.8%|8.37%|**A**|The Master Score of 1.2190 is strong, indicating a quality entry, further supported by a positive trajectory slope of 0.2309. Backtest data is exceptional, showing an 81.8% win rate and 8.37% average return over 11 signals. Coupled with a very bullish macro trend (1.1550) and neutral RSI, this presents a highly favorable entry opportunity. Final Grade: A|
|**MU**|1.1911|8|75.0%|15.74%|**B**|The macro trend is strong, and historical backtest data shows excellent performance with a 75% win rate and 15.74% average return when the signal's local max was above 1.0. However, the high 21-Day RSI suggests potential overextension, and the Master Score's significantly negative trajectory indicates waning momentum since its recent peak 28 days ago. While the current score of 1.1911 still meets the historical threshold, the decaying signal quality makes this entry less optimal. Final Grade: B|
|**TTMI**|1.1873|9|100.0%|18.82%|**B-**|The historical backtest data for comparable signals is exceptionally strong, boasting a 100% win rate and 18.82% average return, suggesting high potential. However, the current Master Score of 1.1873 exhibits a significant negative trajectory from its recent peak, indicating weakening entry quality momentum. This decline, alongside a high RSI, suggests increased risk for a current entry despite the favorable macro trend. Final Grade: B-|
|**TTMI**|1.1873|9|100.0%|18.82%|**D**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.1873, while positive, is significantly overshadowed by its sharp negative 50-day trajectory (-0.9330) and considerable decline from the 2.8100 local maximum 51 days ago. Although historical backtest data for strong signals shows an outstanding 100% win rate and 18.82% average return, the current entry quality is undermined by the rapidly fading signal strength and high 21-Day RSI (68.23). Despite a positive macro trend, entering now appears to be chasing a deteriorating signal, missing the optimal entry window. Final Grade: D|
|**MPLX**|1.137|11|90.9%|6.11%|**A**|The macro trend is bullish, and the Master Score of 1.1370 is strong with a positive trajectory, exceeding the historical signal threshold. Although below its recent local maximum, the exceptionally strong backtest data, showing a 90.9% win rate and 6.11% average return for similar signals, provides robust validation. This setup presents a high-quality entry opportunity. Final Grade: A|
|**VZ**|1.1141|11|63.6%|2.02%|**A**|The VZ entry benefits from a strong bullish macro trend (1.1079) and a Master Score (1.1141) above the profitable historical signal threshold, with a positive trajectory (0.2483). While the current score is below its recent local maximum, its rising slope indicates improving conditions. Backtest data for similar signals is favorable, showing a 63.6% win rate and 2.02% average return over 20 days, supporting a high-quality entry. Final Grade: A|
|**MO**|1.0817|10|80.0%|4.18%|**A**|The current setup for MO presents a promising entry. The Master Score is above 1.0 with a positive trajectory, indicating improving conditions, supported by a strong macro uptrend. Historical backtest data for signals above 1.0 shows an impressive 80.0% 20-day win rate and a 4.18% average return, suggesting a high-probability trade. Final Grade: A|
|**AVUV**|1.065|10|100.0%|6.87%|**B**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.0650, combined with a strong macro trend, aligns with a historically robust signal demonstrating a 100% 20-day win rate and 6.87% average return. While the historical performance for signals above 1.0 is exceptional, the current 21-day RSI of 68.13 is high, and the Master Score's trajectory slope is negative (-0.0886). This declining momentum from a 50-day local maximum suggests the optimal entry timing has likely passed. Despite strong signal validation, the immediate entry quality is diminished by weakening short-term momentum. Final Grade: B|
|**CLS**|1.0348|9|77.8%|14.43%|**D**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 1.0348 is critically weak, barely above the positive signal threshold, and its sharply negative trajectory indicates significant deterioration since its peak 86 days ago. While the system boasts excellent historical backtest performance (77.8% win rate, 14.43% avg return) for *stronger* signals, this entry's low score and overbought RSI are concerning. Despite a strong macro trend, this is a low-conviction entry due to the poor state and negative momentum of the master metric. This signal does not represent the high-quality entries that generated the strong historical returns. Final Grade: D|
|**EPR**|1.0211|9|88.9%|8.33%|**A**|The current Master Score of 1.0211, combined with a positive trajectory and supportive macro trend, indicates a favorable setup. Although below its recent 50-day peak, this score falls within a signal category demonstrating an exceptional 88.9% historical win rate and 8.33% average return. These robust backtest results strongly suggest a high-quality entry despite the current signal strength not being at its absolute maximum. Final Grade: A|
|**\^TNX**|1.0163|9|66.7%|2.91%|**C**|The macro trend is positive and historical backtest performance for signals peaking above 1.0 is decent. However, the Master Score, while above 1.0, exhibits a strong negative trajectory. This indicates a weakening entry signal and a considerable deviation from its recent local maximum. Final Grade: C|
|**SMH**|1.007|8|100.0%|9.00%|**D**|While historical backtest performance for signals above 1.0 is exceptionally strong (100% win rate, 9.00% avg return) and the macro trend is bullish, the current entry faces significant headwinds. The Risk-Adjusted Score is barely above the signal threshold at 1.0070 with a negative 50-day trajectory slope (-0.2809), indicating weakening momentum far from its recent local maximum. Additionally, the 21-Day RSI of 76.83 suggests SMH is overbought, posing a high risk for a new long entry despite the compelling historical win rate. Final Grade: D|
|**AVGO**|0.9861|9|88.9%|16.91%|**D**|The positive macro trend for AVGO is offset by an overbought 21-Day RSI. The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 0.9861, with a negative trajectory, falls below the "Local Max > 1.0" criteria that generated the excellent historical backtest results. This setup, showing declining momentum from a recent peak, does not align with the system's high-probability entry signals. This suggests the optimal entry window likely occurred 28 days ago. Final Grade: D|
|**UPS**|0.9769|8|75.0%|1.54%|**D**|The macro trend is positive and the RSI is neutral, but the Risk-Adjusted Score indicates a poor entry. The current score (0.9769) is below the threshold for strong historical signals, and its significant negative trajectory suggests declining momentum since its peak 49 days ago. While historical signals above 1.0 show good performance, the current setup implies the optimal entry opportunity has passed. Final Grade: D|
|**PRU**|0.9567|10|70.0%|4.94%|**F**|The current entry setup for PRU is weak, as the Master Score (0.9567) is below the historically effective threshold of 1.0 and shows a negative trajectory. While historical backtest data indicates strong performance for signals where Local Max > 1.0 (70% win rate, 4.94% avg return), the optimal entry opportunity, based on the recent local maximum, appears to have passed 4 days ago. The current metrics suggest a declining signal and do not align with conditions for high-probability success. Final Grade: F|
|**IIPR**|0.9539|8|87.5%|8.10%|**D**|The current entry quality is poor as the Risk-Adjusted Score (0.9539) is below the 1.0 threshold for historically successful signals, and its negative trajectory (-0.1754 slope) indicates weakening momentum from its recent peak. Despite a positive macro trend, this entry does not align with the exceptional 87.5% win rate and 8.10% average return seen in backtests, which were achieved only when the score was above 1.0. Final Grade: D|
|**QQQ**|0.9381|10|100.0%|6.78%|**F**|The current Risk-Adjusted Score of 0.9381 is below the 1.0 threshold for historically successful signals, meaning the excellent backtest performance (100% win rate) does not apply. The score's negative trajectory slope and its distance from a recent local maximum indicate deteriorating conditions. While the macro trend remains bullish, the high 21-Day RSI suggests potential short-term overextension. This setup represents a poor entry based on the critical Master Metric signal criteria. Final Grade: F|
|**MAIN**|0.914|6|83.3%|5.30%|**D**|Despite excellent historical performance for signals above 1.0, the current Risk-Adjusted Score of 0.9140 is below this robust threshold and exhibits a negative trajectory. Coupled with an unfavorable macro trend (0.9445), this setup does not meet the criteria for a high-quality entry. Final Grade: D|
|**CRDO**|0.8637|6|100.0%|20.75%|**C**|While historical backtest data for high-score signals is exceptionally strong (100% win rate, 20.75% avg return), the current entry quality is diminished. The Master Score, though high at 0.8637, exhibits a negative 50-day trajectory and peaked 81 days ago, indicating the optimal entry has passed. Furthermore, a high 21-Day RSI (65.00) and a slightly bearish/neutral macro trend (0.9967) suggest limited immediate upside for a fresh position. This setup indicates a deteriorating signal and a potentially late entry. Final Grade: C|
sentiment 1.00
14 hr ago • u/Ok-Parfait-9856 • r/wallstreetbets • poet_loss_cfo_should_be_in_jail • C
A lot of other more established competitors saw a dip today, not 50% but not nothing. It’s hard to believe poet would affect them, considering poet doesn’t really matter (no big deals). Recently photonics has felt like the next “big thing”, as in the next sector that’ll be hot for a few months, but there might be news we don’t know. LITE AAOI MRVL and others are making big moves recently but I think photonics might be done for now
sentiment 0.54
17 hr ago • u/Elon666Mu • r/stocks • aaoi_applied_optoelectronics_undervalued_play • C
I've wondered the same thing. AAOI was a hot topic 9 years ago. not much talk 5 yrs ago. carzy run up in the last year. is it still a buy at $150 now? what's your take?
sentiment 0.28
17 hr ago • u/pineapplekiwipen • r/wallstreetbets • daily_discussion_thread_for_april_27_2026 • C
AAOI pump -> dump -> pump -> dump -> pump until the heat death of the universe
sentiment -0.84
18 hr ago • u/Mnshine_1 • r/wallstreetbets • poet_30_premarket_after_marvell_cancels_celestial • C
Besides mentioned below
Smallcaps (OPTX and OCC) and midcap (AAOI)
sentiment 0.00
19 hr ago • u/CGPictures • r/wallstreetbets • poet_30_premarket_after_marvell_cancels_celestial • C
Just getting started? It pumped like 300% the past month on basically nothing other than getting lumped in with other runners like AAOI.
sentiment 0.61
22 hr ago • u/SkruszonyBankster • r/investing • whats_the_next_big_idea_in_ai_downstream • B
So, I've identified a few phases/subsectors of the current AI hype cycle since the release of ChatGPT in November 2022:
1. The Compute Arms Race (Nov 2022 - early 2024)
NVDA ca 22x; SMCI 15x, TSM 5x
1.5 The Memory Wall (mid-2023 - now)
SNDK 25x, MU 10x, WDC 10x, SK Hynix 16x
2. The Physical Bottlneck (late 2023 -mid 2025)
VRT 26x, VST 7x, CEG 4x
2.5 The Optical Interconnect Phase (Nov 2022 - now)
LITE 20x, COHR 11x, AAOI 87x
3 The Inference & Agentic Buildout (Nov 2022 - now)
PLTR 30x, ANET 5x, NBIS 8x
The stock selection is not exhaustive.
Do you have any ideas of under-the-radar, around-the-corner beneficiaries of the current AI cycle that would be good candidates for Nx performance?
sentiment 0.72
1 day ago • u/aviroshkovan • r/algotrading • new_model_and_top_opportunity_currently • C
The grading is doing more than most posts in this category. Downgrading SNDK at n=2, downgrading CRDO despite a 100% historical WR, downgrading AVGO on RSI + trajectory — that's a real second filter, not just sort-by-past-WR.
Three things I'd push on before sizing into any of them.
Sample size. n=6 with a 66.7% WR has a confidence interval that runs roughly 30-90%. One bad signal and BW lands in the same statistical bucket as the C-graded SNDK. The letter grade alone hides that. A Wilson interval next to the WR would be more useful than the A.
Out of sample. If the 3Y backtest is the same window the model was tuned on, the WRs are fitted, not predictive. Walk-forward (fit '23, test '24, roll forward) is what makes me actually trust a number.
Regime. Every A on the list is a 2024-25 momentum runner — BW, AAOI, LITE, LWLG. That's a regime, not a strategy. Curious how the same scoring rules graded these tickers through the 2022 tech drawdown.
Not a dunk, the layering is real. Just the next three filters I'd add.
sentiment 0.21
1 day ago • u/brownstock • r/ValueInvesting • bloom_energy_is_up_1200_solving_the_data_center • C
CRDO and AAOI
sentiment 0.00


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