NOBODYUSD
NOBODY / United States dollar
crypto

# CRUDE AND SPY PARABOLIC TOGETHER BOTH GOING UP RAPIDLY
# NOBODY FALLING FOR THAT SHIT AGAIAN

# NOBODY CARES ABOUT CRUDE, YIELDS, AND DXY GOING UP
# ONLY THAT THE GO DOWN WHEN BIG DONNIE TWEETS SO BULLS CAN ALL MAKE BILLIONS ON INSIDER TRADING

Wow, i bet NOBODY saw this coming.
We were 🤏🏻 this close to world peace

The stock is 125% YTD
Nobody is allow to cry, NOBODY

"Yesterday's high and low matter" is one of those claims everyone repeats and nobody measures. I kept seeing it argued from screenshots, so I ran it.
Setup: 60 Binance perpetuals, 5-minute bars, 2024-05 to 2026-05, 31,466 coin-days. For each day I take the prior day's high (PDH) and low (PDL) in UTC terms, find the first touch of each during the next day, and measure what price does over the following 1h and 4h, from the level.
The control matters more than the result. Days that reach yesterday's high are up days - comparing their forward returns against zero would just measure that day's drift. So for every touch I also draw a random bar on the same symbol on the same day and measure the same forward window from there. Everything below is touch vs random bar, same coin, same day.
HOW OFTEN PRICE EVEN GETS THERE
\- touches the prior-day high: 44.5% of days
\- touches the prior-day low: 48.2%
\- touches both: 10.5%
\- touches neither: 17.8%
AFTER THE FIRST TOUCH OF THE PRIOR-DAY HIGH (n = 13,987)
\- 1 hour: median -0.12% from the touch, versus +0.05% from a random bar. 44.6% of cases end higher, versus 52.1% random.
\- 4 hours: median -0.23% versus +0.17%. 44.3% end higher, versus 54.5% random.
AFTER THE FIRST TOUCH OF THE PRIOR-DAY LOW (n = 15,177)
\- 1 hour: median +0.09% versus -0.07%. 52.9% end higher, versus 45.0% random.
\- 4 hours: median +0.13% versus -0.24%. 52.3% end higher, versus 43.0% random.
So the levels do something, and it's the opposite of continuation. Relative to a random moment of the same day, price is weaker after tagging yesterday's high and stronger after tagging yesterday's low. Both sides agree, which is what you'd want to see before believing it.
The size is the problem. A tenth of a percent to a third is inside round-trip costs for most retail fee tiers, before slippage. As a standalone entry trigger this is not tradable, and I'd be suspicious of anyone selling it as one.
WHAT ISN'T SMALL
Average absolute move in the hour after a touch: 1.28%, versus 0.85% from a random bar on the same day. About 50% more range.
That's the part I'd actually use. Prior-day levels aren't a direction signal, they're a "the day decides something here" signal - useful for stop placement, for sizing, and for knowing when your low-volatility assumptions stop holding.
LIMITS, SO NOBODY OVER-READS THIS
Crypto perpetuals only, so treat equity/futures conclusions as unproven. 60 symbols taken alphabetically, not a random sample. First touch per day only, so repeated touches aren't counted. Returns are measured from the level, not from a realistic fill, so a live version would be worse, not better. And no costs are applied to the numbers above - they're raw measurements, which is exactly why the size matters.
Curious whether anyone here has run the same thing on equities or index futures with point-in-time data. My guess is the volatility effect survives and the direction effect doesn't, but that's a guess.

Huh? the stock is up 15% YTD and 85% in the last 12 months

Nobody is allow to cry here, NOBODY

NOBODY PLAYS WIF TOYS NO MOAR

It's like I did when I actually mined them in the beginning and never wrote the seed down... Because NOBODY back then understood what that meant. At one I had a couple HUNDRED btc. PC went to shit, threw it out never thinking that that "Internet money" would actually be worth something!!

Real headline: Citadel conspires to destroy competition and uses opportunity to buy their investments.
It's unbelievable that NOBODY is talking about the sleaze on Wall Street that can manipulate markets. They saw a young guy making too much, put out BS and caused panic, then acted like saviors. Now the other big banks are putting out their warnings to anyone else trying to make money in THEIR markets. It's all BS warnings about being overleveraged, etc. They know exactly what they're doing. There was no reason for the dip in Situational Awareness investments. Then magically Citadel has its best performance in years with the investments they scooped up. And all you geniuses can come up with is a play on Leopold's name.

I WANT TO SEE NOBODY REEDMING THIS WEEK! DO NOT REDEEM

The stock is up 142% YTD

Nobody is allow to cry here, NOBODY

UBER CALLSS FREE MONEY NOBODY IS PAYING ATTENTION