ARBEUR
ARbit / Euro
crypto Composite

I sold all shib a few weeks ago. Best decision I’ve made. Bought back XRP, UNI, ADA and ARB. Made me a lot of profit already while shib only costs me money to hold.
Been a holder for 4 years and been ‘buying dips’ bottomless pitt

Did run your bag through our portfolio risk analysis at [Sentralis.io](https://sentralis.io) assuming an equal dollar amount in every coin, since you gave no sizes. (You can use the free account if you want to use different weights)- Canton has under a month of price data, so the figures cover the other 21 coin.
Simulated one year forward from current volatility and correlations, with no price trend assumed, the worst 5% of outcomes lose 61% or more. Just under half of the simulated paths pass through a 50% drawdown at some point in the year, and 94% pass through a 30% drawdown. One in five paths ends the year at double the starting value, and four out of five of those still went through a 30% drawdown on the way. All simulation figures are model estimates under those assumptions, not predictions.
The basket runs at 66% annual volatility against 43.5% for BTC. Correlations between the 21 coins over the past year average 0.62, with the large names at 0.8 to 0.9 with each other, so the spread across 21 names removes far less risk than the count suggests. Your plan to keep only BTC and ETH cuts the volatility to 50% and the share of paths through a 50% drawdown to three in ten.
As a check on which names carry the most downside, the coins that fell hardest in the bear market from October 2025 to July 2026 were ARB, SUI, AVAX and PYTH at 77% or more, while HYPE and Morpho ended that window higher.