AST Reddit Mentions | ChartExchange

I think the high-beta markets' behavior is about to change. So, I did an analysis YTD today (no use of AI whatsoever).
Taking the WSB's top-40 voted picks from [https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1pvodhc/top\_40\_dark\_horse\_bets\_for\_2026/](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1pvodhc/top_40_dark_horse_bets_for_2026/), if you had invested $10,000 in each of these, see how much each bet would be worth today at close of 7/29/2026.
|Summary:||
|:-|:-|
|SPY (baseline)|6.97%|
|**Top-10**|**9.01%**|
|Top-20|13.05%|
|Top-30|3.90%|
|Top-40|7.66%|
For each ticker assuming $10,000 was invested at close 31 Dec'25, the value today is:
|Rank|**Ticker**|**Price on 12/31/2025**|**Today**|**Growth**|**Value**|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|
||SPY|$ 681.92|$ 729.46|\+6.97%|$ 10,697|
|||||||
|1|RDDT|$ 229.87|$ 177.99|\-22.57%|$ 7,743|
|2|AST S|$ 72.63|$ 53.03|\-26.99%|$ 7,301|
|3|NBIS|$ 83.71|$ 148.22|\+77.06%|$ 17,706|
|4|ONDS|$ 9.76|$ 6.83|\-30.02%|$ 6,998|
|5|AMZN|$ 230.82|$ 226.65|\-1.81%|$ 9,819|
|6|POET|$ 6.33|$ 6.37|\+0.63%|$ 10,063|
|7|OXY|$ 41.12|$ 56.03|\+36.26%|$ 13,626|
|8|RKLB|$ 69.76|$ 58.60|\-16.00%|$ 8,400|
|9|META|$ 660.09|$ 585.61|\-11.28%|$ 8,872|
|10|MRNA|$ 29.49|$ 54.49|\+84.77%|$ 18,477|
|**1-10**||||**+9.01%**||
|11|DUOL|$ 175.50|$ 140.17|\-20.13%|$ 7,987|
|12|SOFI|$ 26.18|$ 15.23|\-41.83%|$ 5,817|
|13|PL|$ 19.72|$ 19.47|\-1.27%|$ 9,873|
|14|PYPL|$ 58.38|$ 58.35|\-0.05%|$ 9,995|
|15|KRKNF|$ 4.67|$ 4.02|\-13.92%|$ 8,608|
|16|UNH|$ 330.11|$ 420.57|\+27.40%|$ 12,740|
|17|RDW|$ 7.60|$ 7.78|\+2.37%|$ 10,237|
|18|MU|$ 285.41|$ 739.00|\+158.93%|$ 25,893|
|19|NVO|$ 50.88|$ 51.58|\+1.38%|$ 10,138|
|20|CMPS|$ 6.90|$ 10.90|\+57.97%|$ 15,797|
|**1-20**||||**+13.05%**||
|21|BULL|$ 7.77|$ 7.01|\-9.78%|$ 9,022|
|22|NVDA|$ 186.50|$ 190.01|\+1.88%|$ 10,188|
|23|LUNR|$ 16.23|$ 11.39|\-29.82%|$ 7,018|
|24|QS|$ 10.42|$ 4.96|\-52.40%|$ 4,760|
|25|PATH|$ 16.39|$ 12.59|\-23.18%|$ 7,682|
|26|CEG|$ 353.27|$ 257.95|\-26.98%|$ 7,302|
|27|APP|$ 673.82|$ 399.46|\-40.72%|$ 5,928|
|28|OPEN|$ 5.83|$ 3.67|\-37.05%|$ 6,295|
|29|RIVN|$ 19.71|$ 16.33|\-17.15%|$ 8,285|
|30|VG|$ 6.82|$ 13.05|\+91.35%|$ 19,135|
|**1-30**||||**+3.90%**||
|31|RCAT|$ 7.93|$ 6.77|\-14.63%|$ 8,537|
|32|UMAC|$ 12.74|$ 17.26|\+35.48%|$ 13,548|
|33|ABAT|$ 3.34|$ 2.05|\-38.62%|$ 6,138|
|34|INTC|$ 36.90|$ 81.88|\+121.90%|$ 22,190|
|35|AAPL|$ 271.86|$ 338.19|\+24.40%|$ 12,440|
|36|WEN|$ 8.33|$ 7.65|\-8.16%|$ 9,184|
|37|IREN|$ 37.77|$ 29.31|\-22.40%|$ 7,760|
|38|AMD|$ 214.16|$ 429.56|\+100.58%|$ 20,058|
|39|NFLX|$ 93.76|$ 73.63|\-21.47%|$ 7,853|
|40|M|$ 22.05|$ 24.76|\+12.29%|$ 11,229|
|**1-40**||||**+7.66%**||
I am actually surprised the overall performance is quite decent at each tranche count (compared to baseline). I realize the risk-adjusted returns are much worse, but here I just did a simple growth calculation

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