ET
Energy Transfer LP Common Units representing limited partner interests
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**📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)** **10:00 AM** | ISM Services PMI | Forecast: 55.1 | Previous: 55.4 ⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. 📌 #ISM #ServicesPMI

**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 4W - 6L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $780.00 (above) | $769.64 | +1.3% | Tue 9:15 PM ET |

| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **GOOG** ▲ | $358.17 (above) | $341.05 | $340.11 | +5.0% | Sun, Oct 11, 6:59 PM ET | | **Record** | 0W - 3L | 0% | - | - | - |

**Let me know if there is anything I can change or improve!** Monday, Oct 5 is a macro-driven session with almost no earnings. The main events are the 9:45 ET S&P Global services PMI and the 10:00 ET ISM services PMI. ISM is expected at about 55.0–55.1 versus 55.4 prior \[5\]\[6\]. The backdrop is a five-week global bond rout and crude near $100 \[10\]. The Fed hiked in September, the first hike in three years \[1\]. September payrolls then came in at +29K against 84–90K expected, with unemployment at 4.2% \[2\]\[3\]. **Catalysts** * **Data:** ISM services is the only market-moving print. Logan speaks Tuesday at 6pm, FOMC minutes are Wednesday at 2pm, and the Oct 28 FOMC meeting and Nov 3 midterms follow \[5\]\[10\]. * **Energy:** The US is pressing Europe to release diesel reserves and has threatened a diesel export ban \[17\]\[18\]. Trump said Europe agreed to a "massive" release \[20\]. The Iran war and a Russian diesel export ban are keeping supply tight \[19\]. * **Earnings:** McCormick filed its 10-Q and 8-K on Oct 1, so it has already reported, even though some calendars still list it for Monday \[Source: EDGAR\]. Aehr (AEHR) is listed for Monday after the close, but the date is unconfirmed: one calendar estimates it from past schedules and our calendar tool says Nov 2 \[9\]\[13\]. Constellation Brands (STZ) reports Tuesday, PepsiCo Thursday, and Delta Friday \[10\]. **Names affected** TLT (long bonds), XLE (oil), IWM (rate-sensitive), SMH (semis at records after Micron and Nvidia) and AEHR (AI test equipment). Also SPY/QQQ via ISM and yields. Homebuilders (XHB) and regional banks (KRE) are rate-sensitive too, but I didn't run levels on them. **Levels (6-month daily closes)** |Last|Support|Resistance|Position| |:-|:-|:-|:-| |TLT|77.48|77.47 (6-mo low)|81.38 (+5.0%), 83.67|On support; SMA20 80.00 and SMA50 81.15 above| |XLE|62.82|61.74 (−1.7%), 60.49|63.37 (+0.9%), 65.54|Inside a tight band| |IWM|281.52|275.97 (−2.0%), 271.19|284.91 (+1.2%), 292.48|Below SMA20 284.78 and SMA50 292.02| |SMH|630.60|606.17 (−3.9%), 590.49|637.90 (+1.2%), 655.89|Near resistance, above SMA20 584.15| |AEHR|107.21|106.34 (−0.8%), 104.39|109.90 (+2.5%), 116.23|Between two levels, above SMA20 94.94| **Betting markets** * **Fed:** Kalshi gives 24% that the upper bound ends above 4.00% after Oct 28, and 2% above 4.25% \[4\]. Polymarket gives 0.5% for a cut by the October meeting \[4\]. Markets are not pricing an October move. * **10-year yield:** The 10-year is at 5.28% \[12\]. Polymarket gives 63.5% for 5.4% and 42.4% for 5.5% before 2027 \[16\]. The rout is not priced as finished. * **Oil:** Polymarket gives 6.5% for WTI hitting $115 in October and 2.8% for $120 \[14\]. Its "WTI hits $90" market is at 94.2%, which implies a dip toward $90 is expected. I can't tell whether that market is a low or a high touch, so treat it as a downside-volatility signal \[14\]. * **Equities:** SPY closed Friday at $769.64 \[11\]. Polymarket gives 96.5% for a close above $760 on Oct 5, 90% above $765, and 14.5% above $775 \[15\]. Markets expect a flat-to-firm open. **Flags (Monday to this week)** * **TLT, the most binary:** It closed at its 6-month low on Friday with no chart support below. A soft ISM, consistent with the weak jobs data, could bounce it toward 80.00 (SMA20). A hot print breaks the low into open air. * **XLE:** It sits 0.9% under 63.37 and 1.7% over 61.74, so diesel headlines decide the direction. The 6-month high is 65.54. The risk is two-sided: oil near $100 supports it, and the EU reserve release is a downside catalyst. * **IWM:** It is under both moving averages. A soft ISM with falling yields is the setup for a push into 284.91–292.48. A bond selloff sends it to 275.97. * **SMH:** It sits 1.2% under 637.90 after a 59% six-month run. A break of 637.90 aims at 655.89 and then the 668.91 high. A failure there falls back to 606.17. * **AEHR:** Its FY27 revenue guidance is $130–150M, and the quarter's consensus is about $0.11 EPS on about $27M revenue \[7\]. Insiders have been net sellers \[8\]. Given the date uncertainty, treat it as a possible Monday after-close mover rather than a confirmed one. **Net view:** I lean toward upside this week in TLT, IWM and SMH if ISM prints at or below 55 and yields stabilize. I keep that lean modest because the strongest bear point is rates: the 10-year is at 5.28% and Polymarket gives 42.4% to a move to 5.5%. A hot services print or an oil spike would break TLT's low and IWM's 275.97 support first. **Sources** * \[1\] U.S. September 2026 jobs report: payrolls miss forecasts badly — Web Search * \[2\] Jobs report September 2026: — Web Search * \[3\] September jobs report: US economy added jobs at a slower pace amid uncertainty | Fox Business — Web Search * \[4\] Prediction markets: fed rate October — Source * \[5\] What to Look Out for in Economic Data This Week (October 5-9) | Kiplinger — Web Search * \[6\] Week ahead: ISM services, Fed minutes and Canadian jobs lead the economic calendar. Be aware. — Web Search * \[7\] Aehr Test Systems (AEHR) Earnings Preview: AI Growth | FMP — Web Search * \[8\] AEHR TEST SYSTEMS Q1 2027 Earnings Preview: Recent $AEHR Insider Trading, Hedge Fund Activity, and More | Quiver Quantitative — Web Search * \[9\] Aehr Test Systems (AEHR) Earnings Date and Reports 2026 — Web Search * \[10\] Stock market next week: Outlook for Oct. 5-9, 2026 — Web Search * \[11\] SPY Quote — Live Quote · SPY * \[12\] ^(TNX) Quote — Live Quote · ^(TNX) * \[13\] AEHR Earnings Calendar — Earnings Calendar · AEHR * \[14\] Prediction markets: crude oil price — Source * \[15\] Prediction markets: S&P 500 close October 2026 — Source * \[16\] Prediction markets: 10-year Treasury yield — Source * \[17\] G7 leaders hold talks on fuel crisis after US pressures EU — Web Search * \[18\] U.S. Threatens Diesel Export Ban Unless Europe Releases Stockpiles | OilPrice.com — Web Search * \[19\] US pressures Europe to release diesel reserves ‘immediately’ to tame prices | CNN — Web Search * \[20\] Diesel stocks: EU debating release amid to U.S. pressure — Web Search

Energy transfer is a winner. When you know the politicians are buying the stocks pay attention. Who owns these and more • Senator Bill Hagerty (R-TN): Disclosed ownership of up to $500,000 in methane gas pipeline giant Energy Transfer LP (NYSE: ET) alongside other fossil fuel investments. • Senator Gary Peters (D-MI): Has held utility and energy investments including electric providers like NextEra Energy and DTE Energy. • Senator John Boozman (R-AR): Disclosed purchases in April 2026 of electricity/energy infrastructure exposure via Constellation Energy Corp (NASDAQ: CEG) and Devon Energy.

**BanBet Created** ▲ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **PLTR** | $200.00 (above) | $188.78 | +5.9% | Sun, Oct 18, 5:19 PM ET |

Huge fan of SCHD. I just toss money into it each month and then buy more AAPL, GOOG, AMZN, and ET.

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How's your Sunday going so far? Ultimately, there are different avenues you can use to discuss your financial situation/account, regardless of how much money you have with us. We have another group called the Investment Solutions team that you can speak to about this. These associates are available Monday through Friday, 7:00 a.m. to midnight ET and Saturday/Sunday, 8:00 a.m. - 10:00 p.m. ET. The contact us link below will provide you with the appropriate number to call. [Contact Us](https://www.fidelity.com/customer-service/contact-us) Additionally, I wanted to leave you with a great link surrounding investing in an IRA. Check that out below! [Explore ways to invest your IRA](https://www.fidelity.com/retirement/ira-investment-options) If you have any other questions for us, give us a shout!

Good morning. Getting right to it, the toggle to place a trade for extended hours trading appears only during those hours on the trade ticket. Just so you’re aware, the pre-market session is from 7:00 a.m. to 9:28 a.m. ET, while the after-hours session takes place from 4:00 p.m. to 8:00 p.m. ET. The indicators in your screenshots are “time in force” (TIF). This refers only to how long you’d like your order to attempt to be filled before it executes or expires. This won’t automatically route your order to extended hours markets. I understand that you’re on PT, and trading in the pre-market hours can be difficult. One other choice you have is within Fidelity Trader+ (FT+) and using a “Day+” TIF indicator. These orders do include the pre-market session as well as the after-market, and you can place it any time after 7:00 a.m. ET. It will automatically expire if it’s not filled at the end of the after-hours session. Lastly, if you’d like to learn more about Extended Hours trading, I’ve put a fantastic resource below for you. [Extended-hours trading](https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/active-investor/extended-hours-trading) I hope you have a spiffy rest of your Sunday!

**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 41W - 6L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **RKLB** | $77.65 (above) | $73.95 | +5.0% | Sun, Oct 11, 9:36 AM ET |

**BanBet Created** ▼ | **Record:** 2W - 4L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **AMZN** | $226.03 (below) | $251.15 | -10.0% | Fri 7:42 AM ET |

**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 0W - 2L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $781.00 (above) | $769.64 | +1.5% | Wed 6:56 AM ET |

Thanks, both are useful suggestions. A fixed 10:00 ET entry test would help us measure how sensitive the result is to the opening-price assumption. I would interpret that as execution sensitivity rather than a binary test of whether the edge exists: even a genuine edge can be difficult to capture at a particular time. Our historical source is daily-only, so we cannot honestly manufacture a 10:00 fill from it. We'd need timestamped coverage of the actual names, including delisted and thinly traded stocks, and a stated treatment of missing prints. Dropping names without intraday coverage could remove exactly the difficult cases. We can also record opening and 10:00 quotes during forward execution checks. Since the original post, we have completed the liquidity-bucket cost exercise. Using higher assumed costs for less-liquid stocks reduced CAGR from 12.73% to 9.89% in the earlier block and from 23.93% to 20.65% in the later block. Those are cost assumptions, not measured historical spreads. Combining the middle cost schedule with activity and participation restrictions gave 9.82% and 19.14%; a severe combined stress fell slightly below SPY in both blocks. Costs clearly matter. Corwin–Schultz looks worth checking as an additional spread proxy. We'd use only completed prior-day data and handle zero-volume, stale-price and invalid-estimate cases explicitly. It would inform a sensitivity test, not establish executable quotes or available size. Do you know a reasonably priced intraday source that actually covers this sort of historical US small-cap/OTC universe?

I've been picking up shares of O for a month. 6% yield now, and issued monthly, gimme that all day. Same with ET - they haven't lost as much in a month as O, but their yield is over 6.6% now and they just print money all day. As for the posted list? I'm not a fan of retail consumer stuff, which a lot of this is, no interest in any of them.

Thanks for following up with us. While our Active Trader teams are available Mon. - Fri., 8:00 a.m. - 5:00 p.m. ET during most normal market trading days, we Mods here on the sub are happy to look into any questions you may have regarding Fidelity Trader+ or about any trades you've placed in the meantime. If you have any questions or feedback to share, please feel free to reach out.

If you have another explanation for why Bitcoin's price will suddenly start moving Monday 9:30am ET I'd love to hear it.

Yes, you can (or could have at least). You’re right that the *default* is that brokers won’t have auto-exercised $25C’s because market closed at $24.70. But remember that you’re technically allowed to exercise options no matter what the underlying price is. And most brokers give you 15-90 minutes after market close on the expiry date to opt in to exercising anyway. You just have to call in to tell them to do so. So for yesterday, after you saw the price spike at 4:57pm ET, you could have called your broker and told them to exercise your $25C’s.

| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **GOOGL** ▲ | $365.00 (above) | $340.74 | $343.11 | +7.1% | Tue, Oct 13, 6:55 PM ET | | **Record** | 0W - 2L | 0% | - | - | - |

I think a few interesting ones are: 1/14/27: Bank Robbery, Joker with the cat mask 12/16/26: Green reverse uno card 10/9/26: ET returning home 10/9/26: Forest Gump, and so you ran 10/9/26: It's miraculous .. these are originals? 10/9/26: What's in the box? 10/9/26: Butch Cassidy robbing the bank 10/5/26: Meme stocks return

Thanks for sharing with the sub this weekend. Our systems attempt to route calls based on your stated need. For assistance with your 401(k), I recommend saying “401(k)” when calling to be directed to the 401(k) team. Please keep in mind that the team is generally available Monday through Friday, 8:30 a.m. to midnight ET. If you still have questions, please let the Mods know, and we will be happy to help or point you in the right direction.

Adding to what you said: You can call your broker to mark/unmark your options as “do not exercise” at any time before they expire. The surprise here is that you can also change it for while longer *after* market close. This can be strategically useful, case in point yesterday. GME closed at $24.70 (4pm ET) but hit $25.22 by 5:07pm. So say you had $24.5C’s that you marked as DNE (e.g. because you didn’t want to carry the risk over the weekend for tiny gains). But after seeing the action at 4:57pm-5:07pm you could have called them to exercise instead. Beware that the cutoff for your specific broker might be earlier than 5:30pm ET.

Welcome to the sub! We appreciate you reaching out to us about this. To answer your question, a new custodian can be designated for a Roth IRA for kids' accounts. You can start this process by contacting our Life Events team, who are available Monday through Friday, 8:00 a.m. to 6:30 p.m. ET. [Contact Us](https://www.fidelity.com/customer-service/contact-us) Please don't hesitate to let us know if you have any other questions.

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In an effort to isolate and focus on variables that play into the upcoming press release, I asked Gemini – What is noteworthy about this particular event announcement? Aspects that are out of place or unique?  My biggest question after assessing all this info is – ***Are we to expect material news prior to Oct 7th?!?!?*** Evaluating this press release in the context of typical corporate investor relations norms reveals several noteworthy, unusual, and unique elements: # 1. Separation of Questions from the Q3 Earnings Call (The "Two-Step" Format) * **What is unusual:** Companies rarely hold a live "business update and question session" a month before Q3 earnings, where questions asked during *this* call are deferred to be answered later on the actual Q3 earnings call. (Hmmm, sounds like this meeting mmight address SEC requirements). * **The Structural Read:** Gathering questions in early October but holding responses for the official earnings call suggests management wants a controlled way to poll shareholder sentiment and catalog specific concerns regarding revenue, burn rate, or commercial timeline execution before finalizing their formal earnings presentation script. (could this be due to the new 8% shareholder?). # 2. Live Market-Hours Scheduling * **What is unusual:** Public companies almost always hold business updates, fireside chats, or earnings calls **before market open or after market close** to prevent intraday stock volatility. Scheduling a live leadership conference at **1:00 PM ET during active market hours** is relatively uncommon unless accompanied by a major, previously disclosed material event. (Will we get material news prior to Oct 7th?!?!?) # 3. C-Suite Introduction / Alignment Reset * **What is unique:** The session brings together CEO Glen DeVos alongside newly appointed executives CFO Christine Chambers (appointed August 2026) and CCO James Byun (appointed July 2026). * **The Strategic Context:** Coming off a summer filled with corporate restructuring—including the reverse stock split, launching MicroVision Semiconductor, and pivoting Scantinel's IP into AI data center photonics—this setup functions as a formal "meet the new team" platform to articulate a consolidated commercial story directly from the new executive team. # 4. Setting Pre-Earnings Expectations * **Why it matters:** Putting revenue, operating expense expectations, and business outlook directly on the agenda for a pre-earnings call indicates leadership is trying to manage market expectations early. By establishing a narrative around commercial progress across their newer pillars (defense, semiconductors, and data centers), management can frame the upcoming Q3 numbers within a broader strategic horizon.