ET
Energy Transfer LP Common Units representing limited partner interests
stock NYSE

8:30am ET

"BREAKING: TACO will appear on CNBC tomorrow morning at 8:30am ET."

I have a folk-theorem that EOD index realized volatility, at least on NDX, has a "floor" regardless of market regime. I think the floor comes from big-algo entropy. I have tested the folk-theorem in the following way, both when market cared about ongoing US-Israel-Iran war and after the market stopped caring, without any change in (small sample) realized results--
At about 3:30pm ET, "guess" where the NDX may be at 3:50pm, and open a limit STO for between $5.00 and $5.50/contract credit on a 0DTE 20-wide NDX inverse butterfly (comparable granularity to a 5-wide SPX inverse fly at \~$1.25-$1.50 credit, may try that in the future in IRA as well), centered on that guess.
a) If the trade doesn't fill by 3:49pm, cancel the order and leave it there -- generally that means either my guess is incorrect (so nothing lost for being wrong) and
b) If it does fill, hold until 4pm expiry regardless (even the point probability of a pin-against carries less than a 3x credit penalty)
In 8 trades thus far: 4 no-fills (neither profit nor loss), 4 max profit, zero losses of any amount. So definitely positive empirical EV and will keep doing unless/until the EV trends towards neutral or below.
The idea is to play the gamma game only when IV appears underpriced, and abstain otherwise. The challenge with "backtesting" is emulating the fill, as close to the money these are difficult to fill at a reasonable "mid" price -- but not filling is ok, as nothing is lost.
Thoughts?

I'm sure tomorrow's thread at 8:30AM ET won't disappoint.

https://preview.redd.it/t2xnen5frfwg1.png?width=1396&format=png&auto=webp&s=fe6f70f51cd1ada7b946f199b0cd88db7c70c3ae
I've been doing some digging and found a catalyst that nobody on Wall Street is watching.
Tomorrow at 2:00 PM ET, the Carbon County Planning Commission in Jim Thorpe, Pennsylvania votes on the Panther Creek project — a 350MW PJM-connected power generation facility. The applicant is KEEL Infrastructure ($KEEL), formerly Bitfarms ($BITF).
I found this through a government YouTube channel with 27 subscribers and 36 views.
**Here's what makes this interesting:**
At the 28-minute mark of the March 17, 2026 planning commission meeting [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iyuouLB45gs](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iyuouLB45gs), the following people appear on Zoom:
* **Carolyn McGee of Nelson Mullins** — one of the largest energy infrastructure law firms in the US. They handle major power generation and transmission matters. They don't show up to small Pennsylvania county meetings for speculative projects.
* **T5 Data Centers** — major data center and power infrastructure developer with projects across North America
* A full consultant team representing the Panther Creek application
At that March meeting a motion was made to table to the next meeting. That meeting is tomorrow. April 21. 2:00 PM ET.
**Why this matters:**
350MW PJM-connected is institutional scale. PJM serves 65 million people across 13 states. This isn't a local utility project — it's the kind of infrastructure being built to serve the AI and data center buildout happening across the Mid-Atlantic corridor.
Nelson Mullins and T5 Data Centers don't attach their names to projects that aren't serious.
**The dislocation:**
The market has no idea this vote is happening tomorrow. There are zero analyst notes, zero press releases, zero financial media coverage of this application.
I posted about this publicly before the vote so there's a timestamp on the research: [https://x.com/scinvests/status/2046370144012718212](https://x.com/scinvests/status/2046370144012718212)
Full research writeup here: [https://substack.com/home/post/p-194788803](https://substack.com/home/post/p-194788803)
Primary source — watch from 28 minutes in: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iyuouLB45gs](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iyuouLB45gs)
Not financial advice. Do your own research. Vote is tomorrow at 2PM — the meeting will be uploaded to the Carbon County PA Government YouTube channel after it concludes.

https://preview.redd.it/wtu0gwsiqfwg1.png?width=1405&format=png&auto=webp&s=75a966a22a40f1725207af4f71a124c72559ca42
**📊 Key U.S. Economic Data — Tuesday, April 21, 2026 (ET)**
**8:30 AM** | U.S. Retail Sales (March) | Forecast: 1.5% | Previous: 0.6%
**8:30 AM** | Retail Sales Minus Autos (March) | Forecast: 1.4% | Previous: 0.5%
**10:00 AM** | Business Inventories (Feb.) | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: -0.1%
**10:00 AM** | Pending Home Sales (March) | Forecast: 0.5% | Previous: 1.8%
⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #EconomicCalendar #USMarkets #FederalReserve #Macro #StockMarket #Trading #RetailSales #BusinessInventories #HousingData #MarketNews

POTUS will join CNBC Squawk Box tomorrow morning at 8:30am ET, before market open:
[https://x.com/SquawkCNBC/status/2046332956612968456](https://x.com/SquawkCNBC/status/2046332956612968456)

TOMORROW: President Donald Trump will speak with CNBC’s Joe Kernen tomorrow at 8:30 a.m. ET on “Squawk Box.”
Ready for the pump of a lifetime

Get ready: 🌮 will be on CNBC tomorrow morning at 8:30AM ET pamping the market. Thank you for your attention to this matter!

Exactly why we quit buying ET and started buying EMO and MLPI which both hold ET among others without the tax issues. Good luck to you!

TOMORROW: @realDonaldTrump joins Squawk Box at 8:30am ET. Tune in!

Enveric Biosciences (ENVB) ran hard on Monday after a double catalyst hit before the open — President Trump signed an executive order directing federal health agencies to accelerate approval of psychedelic-based treatments, and ENVB separately announced a new US patent covering its EVM301 neuroplastogen series.
\*\*The catalyst\*\*
The Trump executive order instructs regulators to shorten review timelines for psychedelic therapies targeting PTSD, depression, addiction and other serious mental illness — a sector tailwind that immediately repriced every small psychedelic-exposed biotech. On top of that, Enveric announced a new US patent extending protection over its EB-003 lead neuroplastogen and the broader EVM301 family of non-hallucinogenic molecules, locking in IP right as the company prepares an IND filing and Phase 1 trial. Stock gapped from $1.82 to over $4 before the open.
\*\*Why ENVB specifically\*\*
With a $3.4M market cap and a 1.85M-share float, ENVB is basically the smallest liquid vehicle for trading the psychedelics theme — any thematic bid lands with full force on a name this small. The company is also clearly positioned in the executive order's target space (non-hallucinogenic neuroplastogens for neuropsychiatric disorders), so it screens well on catalyst scans. The patent news the same morning added a fundamental de-risking hook on top of the macro tape bomb.
\*\*The numbers\*\*
\- Market cap: \~$3.4M
\- Float: 1.85M shares
\- Day volume at signal: 135K (0.24x 30-day avg of 562K — early session reading)
\- Prev close: $1.82
\- Gap: +141% premarket to $4.40
\- Short ratio: 1.79 (short % of float: 3.75%)
\- Beta: 0.33
\- 52-week range: $1.71 – $17.84 (-89.8% from 52-week high)
\- Sector: Healthcare / Biotechnology
Float under 2M shares at a $3.4M market cap is the definition of a lottery-ticket biotech — any volume at all dominates price discovery.
\*\*Signal timing\*\*
Stock Pulse sent me a push notification at 07:33 AM ET at $4.45 in the premarket. It peaked at $5.43 around 09:32 AM — about 2 hours later, right after the open. +22%.
\*\*Bear case\*\*
\- Classic news-pop-and-fade: closed back near $3.50 after the 9:32 peak, giving back the entire post-market-open move
\- $13.9M at-the-market private placement was announced just days earlier (Apr 17) — dilution overhang on any strength
\- Down 89.8% from 52-week high of $17.84 — longer-term holders are deep underwater and likely to sell into any rip
\- Executive order is directional but doesn't change any individual company's clinical timeline — the IND hasn't been filed yet
\- $3.4M market cap and sub-2M float means liquidity evaporates fast; great on the way up, brutal on the way down
https://preview.redd.it/1j5e89urxewg1.png?width=2779&format=png&auto=webp&s=5273d97442744d1ac8e8aa42f1525daa090df6c6

Nice I’m all for it! Unrelated topic, but related to numbers mentioned, the Super Troopers 3 trailer dropped at 4:20 p.m. ET this afternoon…..on 4/20 of course.

Hello there, u/Ready-to-learn. Thank you for dropping by the sub today with your concern.
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We understand how changes like this can be daunting, u/PassengerNo7966, and I'm happy to follow up with you to review.
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Hi, u/AdventurousForce8475. Welcome to the sub, we appreciate you reaching out to us.
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Please let us know if any other questions come up throughout this process. We're always happy to help.

whats different this time is that both sides are acting like the ceasefire is already over. iran is openly rebuilding missile and drone launchers during the ceasefire window, their general went on state media and said the speed is greater than before the war. and the US just seized an iranian cargo ship in the Gulf of Oman which is a pretty clear ceasefire violation.
trump said this morning extension is highly unlikely. iran said no plans for a second round of talks. the ceasefire expires tuesday 8 PM ET and neither side is pretending to negotiate anymore.
the physical oil market is already pricing something the paper market isnt. physical delivery prices are running at 120 plus while brent futures sit at 96. that 25 percent gap is the market pricing actual shipping risk through hormuz that paper doesnt capture.
if youre buying the dip here youre betting both sides are bluffing. which has worked every other week until it doesnt.

Hello there, u/moldyjellybean. Thank you for dropping by the sub today with your concern.
While we haven't had widespread reports of order notifications being delayed, we'd like to share some common troubleshooting steps below:
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Thank you for following up, u/investerra.
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Please let us know if you run into anything else in the future.

Hey, u/Emergency-Exit7292. I understand how a longer waiting time for a withdrawal to be processed can be confusing. It's important to note that Electronic Funds Transfers (EFTs) submitted after 4 p.m. ET or on weekends or holidays are processed the next business day, and the 1-3 business days that u/FidelityBrian mentioned refers to how long it typically takes for the funds to arrive in your bank account once they've left Fidelity.
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