ET
Energy Transfer LP Common Units representing limited partner interests
stock NYSE

[Original Post](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbetsOGs/s/6ckzkc8g02)
# TL;DR: Everything from my last post confirmed. Broken scale printed 57K — below ADP's 98K. Market spiked then bled $22 in three hours. Someone moved SQQQ 5.75% before the embargo lifted. And the NYT dropped today that Trump bought $30M in tech stocks the same day he announced the AI Action Plan. Hid it for a year. $200 fine.
# The Numbers:
[BLS June report.](https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf) 57,000 jobs. Consensus 115K. ADP said 98K Tuesday. BLS came in below BOTH.
April revised down 31K. May revised down 43K. That's 74,000 jobs they told you existed last month that don't exist anymore. Report high, revise later. Again.
Unemployment ticked down to 4.2%. Sounds great until you read the household survey. 720,000 people LEFT the labor force. Employment fell 507,000. The rate went down because people stopped being counted.
Leisure and hospitality lost 61,000 jobs. Same sector that magically added 70,000 in May while Spirit was firing 17,000 people.
12-month average: 36,000/month. That's the number nobody reports. That's the real pace.
Nasdaq ripped \~1% at open. Then bled from $732 to $709 over three hours. The front-runners bought before 8:30. Then they sold into the rally they created. Textbook distribution.
# Someone Knew
SQQQ was up 5% pre-market. Starting around 8:00 AM ET — thirty minutes before the embargo lifted — it reversed. 3% swing completed before the number was public.
# The President Is Trading His Own Announcements
[NYT yesterday via Kenneth Vogel.](https://x.com/i/status/2072424501560656359) Trump bought up to $5M each in AVGO, META, AMZN, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA on July 23, 2025. Same day as the AI Action Plan. Never disclosed as required. Year late. $200 fine.
927-page annual disclosure dropped yesterday. 3,642 trades. [NVDA bought Jan 6](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/15/trump-stock-trade-tech-oge.html), export controls relaxed the next week. [PLTR bought through March](https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-stock-trades-2026/), pumped on Truth Social by name.
Abbott stock purchased, then [DOJ dropped the criminal probe](https://substack.perfectunion.us/p/abbott-laboratories-was-investigated) into contaminated baby formula that killed two infants. $515M in crypto income. $635M in "Celebration Coins."
"No conflicts of interest."
# They're Sandbagging for a Cut
Since my last post, Warsh said "inflation risks have come down." CPI is 4.2%. PCE 4.1%.
He's not reading it wrong. He's building the runway.
57K with 4.2% unemployment is the perfect number — soft enough to justify a September cut, not catastrophic enough to panic anyone. BLS benchmark revision drops August 28. If they sandbag that too, the runway is clear.
Meanwhile: $129.3B in IPOs in H1 — record. Goldman dumping tech at most aggressive pace in a decade. 80% of Nasdaq longs underwater. Burry sitting on a [$1.1B short](https://www.tradingkey.com/analysis/stocks/us-stocks/261877483-michael-burry-ai-bubble-short-nvidia-palantir-options-valuation-dotcom-comparison-scion-asset-tradingkey). Citi Bear Market Checklist at 11.5/18 — highest since 2008. And Micron puts $250M into Trump Accounts instead of R&D after losing 11.5%. That's tribute.
# Operation Hunt for Red October
**Act 1 (now).** We small crash. 57K starts it. Semis unwind. Earnings disappoint. Window dressing over. Gets called "healthy."
**Act 2 (Aug-Sep)**. Falsified data saves it. Benchmark revision deletes some phantom jobs, not enough to spook. Another Hormuz deal. "Resilient" everywhere.
**Act 3 (Sep)**. Warsh cuts. Markets rip. Everyone who said recession looks stupid for six weeks.
**Act 4 (Oct)**. Everything papered over breaks at once. Private credit marks revised (Apollo exec: all marks wrong 60-80%). BOJ carry trade unwinds. Food prices spike. Consumer already dying. The cut confirmed the Fed is political.
October 19, 1987 — Black Monday.
October 19, 2026 — Red Monday
# The Play
[57K jobs and 720K left labor force](https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf) = unemployment rate is fiction
SQQQ moved 30 min before embargo = the game is rigged
[$129.3B in record IPOs](https://www.nasdaq.com/newsroom/nasdaq-listings-delivers-record-breaking-first-half) = insiders leaving, you're holding the door
President buys stocks same day as policy, $200 fine = the system working as designed
SPR at 325.7M barrels = no buffer left
[Housing freeze in year four](https://www.wsj.com/real-estate/real-estate-agents-are-quitting-the-slow-housing-market-d95fc524), agents leaving at 2008 pace = structural damage 25bps can't touch
**You are the exit liquidity.** The green screen is the exit door. The institutions are walking through it while you hold it open for them.The economy be damned.
Positions: 18 shares SQQQ (\~$36 basis), half share VXX, physical gold.
# This is not financial advice.

I have a QQQ option buy order at market that stuck for 30 minutes. Can't cance. lWebull message states order is being submitted. Customer service is closed at 1:10 PM ET 7/2 ???? What the hell do I do now?

Thanks for bringing us your question.
This year, July 2nd and 3rd are both considered standard business days, since Independence Day officially falls on a weekend. While all major U.S. stock markets will be closed on Friday, July 3rd, 2026, in observance of the holiday, banks remain open and will process transactions normally.
There is a holding period of up to 7 business days for check deposits and Electronic Funds Transfer (EFT) requests submitted through Fidelity platforms. Additionally, deposit posting depends on when the deposit was initiated (before or after 4 pm ET the previous business day), but typically occurs the next business day. As you may know, holidays and weekends are not included in this timing. To avoid hold periods, we encourage you to use your bank’s website or mobile app to send (push) money to Fidelity.
You can review the collection date for a recent deposit once it posts to your account by following these steps on Fidelity.com once logged in:
1. Click the "Accounts & Trade" tab and select "Portfolio"
2. From the Portfolio screen, select the appropriate account
3. Once the account is in view, select the "Balances" tab and review your balance details under "Available to withdraw"
Please note that funds received via bank wire or direct deposit (pushed from another institution to Fidelity) are considered fully collected upon receipt and are available for immediate use. We encourage you to consider these methods for time-sensitive transactions.
[You can review all the ways to transfer money to Fidelity here.](https://www.fidelity.com/customer-service/deposit-money )
Should you have concerns regarding the processing of an automatic payment to an external company, we suggest contacting them directly to confirm their process and whether you need to make alternative arrangements.
Our Mods are around if you have more questions or need further help with your recent deposit.

Thanks for sharing this with us.
We suggest reaching out to our Technical Support team to further troubleshoot the latency issues you're experiencing. Associates are available Monday through Friday from 8:30 a.m. to 9:00 p.m. ET.
[Contact Us ](https://www.fidelity.com/customer-service/contact-us)

I’d learn investing first by building some long term stock positions.
At your age and (likely) capital, only way to go is options. Once you’ve gotten at least one position over 100 shares, start selling covered calls on them.
Best ones to start on are probably Ford, Pfizer, and ET. You won’t make 200% a day like they (rarely) do over at r/wallstreetbets, but it’s the best way to learn trading with minimal risk.
Sure you might only sell a covered call for $5 and buy it back for $2 in a couple days. But it’s repeatable and instructive. Worst case scenario, stock goes down, you keep earning a modest premium every week/month plus a 5-7% dividend. Much better than permanently losing money.

For anyone wondering
On Thursday, July 2, 2026, the bond market will close early at 2 PM ET. On Friday, July 3, stock, options, and bond markets and client service will be closed. Futures markets will have abbreviated hours. July 3 will not be considered a settlement day

Hi. Happy to provide some info on this.
Fidelity posts interest payments as soon as they're received from the issuer, and any delays are typically resolved within 3-5 business days. That said, if you have not received your interest payment after 5 business days, you can reach out to our Fixed Income team for further assistance.
Associates are available Monday through Friday from 8:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m. ET, except holidays. To be connected with the correct team, when prompted, say "Fixed Income."
[Contact Us](https://www.fidelity.com/customer-service/contact-us)
Please don't hesitate to let us know if there's anything else we can help you with. That's what we're here for!

!remindme 9 hours "ET TU, KOREA?"

We appreciate you stopping by the sub and are sorry to learn about your experience.
While we are not currently receiving widespread reports of users receiving this message, we can offer some initial troubleshooting steps. If you haven't already, please try clearing your internet browser history and cookies or using a different browser/device.
If you continue to receive this error, please get in touch with our Technical Support team so they can troubleshoot with you. Associates are available Monday through Friday from 8:30 a.m. to 9:00 p.m. ET. Please say "technical support" when prompted by the automated system to be connected to the right group.
Thanks again for stopping by the sub, and for choosing Fidelity.

Hey there, thanks for posting and welcome to the sub!
Today, Thursday, July 2nd, markets will remain open for their normal hours. However, the bond market will be closing at 2:00 p.m. ET.
Tomorrow, July 3rd, markets will be closed.
[Here is a page that covers market hours for reference](https://www.fidelity.com/learning-center/smart-money/stock-market-hours)
Do you have any fun plans for Independence Day this weekend?

President Donald Trump will be on CNBC today at 5 PM ET

SOFI, ET, PFE

I’d suggest growth in the broader market while you’re young then convert it over later on to strong payers like ET or EPD. Over the next 20 years you’ll likely see more growth from something like VOO and just pay the 15-20% capital gains when you sell… If you buy those two now and decide to sell in 20 years rather than just living off the dividends the gains are treated as ordinary income.

Can’t wait to see what off the rails stuff 🥭gives us at 5PM ET on cnbc.

I've been running a fully automated opening range breakout (ORB) strategy on US equities/ETFs (SPY, QQQ, AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMD, META, TSLA) via Alpaca. Currently paper trading, backtested on 5 years of 1-min data.
\*\*The setup (short version):\*\*
\* 20-min opening range, breakout entry confirmed by close + VWAP filter
\* Entries only 9:50-10:30 ET
\* Stop on the other side of the range, take-profit at 2.5R, breakeven at +0.5R
\* Everything flattened at 15:45 ET, nothing held overnight
\* Daily loss guard + SPY/QQQ regime gate
\*\*5-year results ($2k account, \~4,400 trades):\*\*
\* +$4,039 total, profit factor 1.275
\* Max drawdown -$563, worst losing streak 7 days
\* \*\*Take-profit hit rate: 3.2%\*\*
The strategy makes money, but almost never through the TP. The actual profit engine is the EOD flatten: riding intraday momentum and cashing out at close. The 2.5R target is basically decorative.
\*\*What I've already tested (all with pre-registered kill criteria, exact path-dependent re-sims):\*\*
\* Volume profile filters (value area, POC path-blocking)
\* CVD / order flow proxies, absorption filters
\* Partial profits at +0.5R and +1R, trailing stops
\* Tighter targets (1.5R, 2.0R): more hits, worse overall
\* Regime filters (CHOP/ER/ADX), OR-range caps, ATR filters
Every single one either cut the profitable tail harder than it fixed the problem, or failed out-of-sample. Letting trades run overnight was also worse.
\*\*My questions:\*\*
1. Anyone else running ORB and seeing the same thing, profits from time-based exits instead of targets?
2. How do you set TP targets that actually get hit \*and\* stay profitable? Fixed R:R feels structurally wrong for intraday breakouts.
3. Is a \~3% TP hit rate just what ORB looks like, and should I delete the target entirely?
Happy to share more details on the testing methodology if anyone's interested.

Trading hours July 2 are normal. Trading ends at 4pm ET, after hours trading ends at 8pm ET.
1pm ET early close only happens on certain days. This year, the early closes are Nov 27 (day after Thanksgiving) and Dec 24 (Christmas Eve). When the market closes early at 1pm ET, after hours will close 4 hours later at 5pm ET.
[https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stock-market-holiday-schedule](https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stock-market-holiday-schedule)

You should watch ET money youtube video of timing the market.

PSA: The U.S. stock market maintains its regular hours on Thursday, July 2, operating from 9:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. bond markets will close early at 2:00 p.m. ET, and both stock and bond markets will be closed on Friday, July 3, in observance of Independence Day.
I was seeing some stuff about stocks closing early today, but they do not.

No you don't, I wake up late and it's normally good bc everyone else has settled down by 11AM ET

The unemployment numbers is released tomorrow at 830am ET.
Also Canada is back from holidays and will be buying lots of blackberries!
BB to $14 eod.
Not financial advice