ET
Energy Transfer LP Common Units representing limited partner interests
stockNYSE

This NBIS trade wasn’t a lucky bet It was about waiting for everything to line up There were no earnings today no CPI report and no Fed rate decision The next real risk event is tomorrow at 2:00 PM ET when the FOMC Minutes come out and September CPI isn’t due until October 14 AI is still the main theme and Nebius recently acquired Inferize to strengthen its AI inference business NBIS bounced hard from yesterday’s $232.57 close and pushed back through the key $242 to $250 area Once price broke out with strong momentum and volume the short dated calls moved fast I closed 86 $250 Calls at $9.02 for a $43,516 profit News gives me the direction technicals give me the entry volume confirms the move and options amplify the result

Thank you for sharing this with us today. While you're aware that the system pairs options to have the least impact on margin requirements, I understand how having the original pairing would be helpful. I've sent this to my development teams on your behalf. I've also linked the Margin FAQ below for more info: [Trading FAQs: Margin](https://www.fidelity.com/trading/faqs-margin) You may be able to mimic the original pairing through the Margin calculator for hypothetical testing. If you're on Fidelity.com: 1. Hover over "Accounts & Trade" and select "Portfolio" 2. Click on the account from the left-hand side, then "Balances" 3. Scroll down until you see the "Margin" card, then tap on "Calculator" You can also reach out to our Active Trader Services team for more assistance on Options pairing. They're available at the phone number below, Monday through Friday, from 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. ET. Please say "butterfly spread" when prompted so you are routed appropriately. [Contact Us](https://www.fidelity.com/customer-service/contact-us) Please let us know if you have any further questions. *Options trading entails significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Certain complex options strategies carry additional risk. Before trading options, please read the [Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options](https://www.theocc.com/Company-Information/Documents-and-Archives/Options-Disclosure-Document). Supporting documentation for any claims, if applicable, will be furnished upon request.*

**BanBet Created** ▼ | **Record:** 2W - 4L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $770.00 (below) | $780.24 | -1.3% | Tue, Oct 13, 12:30 PM ET |

**Yes, there is a major U.S. Treasury auction scheduled for 1:00 PM Eastern Time today.** Today, **Tuesday, October 6, 2026**, the [U.S. Department of the Treasury](https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/4_week_bills) is holding the following auctions at 1:00 PM ET: * **3-Year Note Auction:** The Treasury will be auctioning **$58 billion** in 3-year notes. * **4-Week & 8-Week Bill Auctions:** The competitive bidding for regular short-term 4-week and 8-week Treasury bills typically closes at **1:00 PM ET** on Tuesdays as part of the weekly schedule. The results for these auctions are generally processed quickly and published on the [TreasuryDirect](https://www.treasurydirect.gov/) website within a few minutes after the 1:00 PM cutoff.

All of these are winners, especially ET. Oracle is the only one I don't know about though. Holding significant cash into October I think might not be ideal.

Energy Transfer (ET) -- Lots of big buys from politicians, insane moat that rivals any tech conglomerate, good valuation metrics, and a nice dividend to boot. Look it up if you're not familiar.

**BanBet Created** ▼ | **Record:** 2W - 1L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NVDA** | $234.77 (below) | $242.21 | -3.1% | Tue, Oct 13, 10:16 AM ET |

Good morning, SqueezeFinders! Yesterday’s price action on the $QQQ tech index was indicative of ongoing bullish euphoria despite all the ongoing issues in the world ranging from the emergence of the pneumococcal plague, ongoing developments in the Middle-East, the war in Russia/Ukraine, and also ongoing panic in the bond market. The $QQQ tech index made yet another new all-time high yesterday of 756.92 and closed at 756.20 (+0.88%). The main support level to watch is \~736, and otherwise we remain in an extremely bullish position for the market. The main directional sentiment determinants today are the aforementioned factors. This market is very dynamic and has been unpredictable as far as risk-tolerance goes, as one day we're running, and the next we're crashing. Stay tuned for what's squeezy. Regardless of broader market sentiment, you can always locate relative strength by checking SqueezeRadar to track irregularities in our data, and find winners you may not have spotted before without our scanners. Also, make sure to check out our newest tool (developed by me), "Dracula's Library"! This tool allows you to quickly gather information on recent catalysts, and analyst/Institutional price targets all in one small graphical interface on our platform, all powered by AI. 🥇 Gold: \~$4,160/oz (+0.1%) 🥈 Silver: \~$61/oz (-0.3%) 🪙 Bitcoin: \~$85.7k/coin (-1.1%) 🛢️ Oil: \~$89.50/barrel (0.0%) Today's economic data releases are: 🇺🇸 ADP Employment Change Weekly @ 8:15AM ET 🇺🇸 Trade Balance (Aug) @ 8:30AM ET 🇺🇸 Exports (Aug) @ 8:30AM ET 🇺🇸 Imports (Aug) @ 8:30AM ET 🇺🇸 FOMC Member Bowman Speaks @ 10:45AM ET 🇺🇸 Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) @ 11:30AM ET 🇺🇸 EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook @ 12:00PM ET 🇺🇸 3-Year Note Auction @ 1:00PM ET 🇺🇸 API Weekly Crude Oil Stock @ 4:30PM ET 🇺🇸 FOMC Member Williams Speaks @ 9:05PM ET 📙Breakdown point: BELOW this price, the move will lose momentum significantly in the short-term, as shorts will gain confidence encouraging them to short more. Reducing probability of a squeeze without a catalyst. 📙Breakout point: ABOVE this price, the move will gain momentum significantly in the short-term, as shorts losses will increase pressuring them to cover. Increasing the probability of a squeeze occurring, especially if with a catalyst. 4. $OSPN Squeezability Score: 42% Juice Target: 28.3 Confidence: 🍊 🍊 🍊 Price: 18.42 (+1.66%) Breakdown point: 15.8 Breakout point: 19.3 Mentions (30D): 4 Event/Condition: OneSpan is acquiring Build38 to deepen mobile application security as part of a broader cyber-security consolidation wave, with the deal cited alongside other sector M&A as a growth lever for authentication and app protection + Bank of America opened a new position while institutions already hold the large majority of the float and the shares trade near a 52-week high after Q2 subscription growth and a raised full-year outlook of $248–$252 million in revenue and $67–$71 million in adjusted EBITDA + DigipassONE and the FIDO2 and digital-agreements mix remain the core proof points analysts are using to underwrite margin and ARR upside + Recent price target 🎯 of $18 from Needham + Recent price target 🎯 of $18 from consensus analysts + Recent price target 🎯 of $17 from Rosenblatt 5. $ERO Squeezability Score: 37% Juice Target: 50.5 Confidence: 🍊 🍊 🍊 Price: 38.44 (+1.4%) Breakdown point: 35.0 Breakout point: 40.9 Mentions (30D): 4 Event/Condition: CIBC raised its target to C$56 from C$52 and kept a Neutral rating after touring the three operating assets, while Wall Street Zen upgraded the shares to Buy as the stock held near a 52-week high + the company set November 2 for third-quarter operating and financial results after a prior quarter that beat on both earnings and revenue, with copper production and the Tucumã ramp still the main operating drivers + Bank of America remains at Buy after its earlier upgrade, and the Street’s average target sits modestly above the recent close on Brazil copper and gold exposure + Recent price target 🎯 of $44 from consensus high + Recent price target 🎯 of $40.73 from consensus analysts + Recent price target 🎯 of $34 from Bank of America Gain access to all our cutting-edge research tools, live watchlists, alerts, and more: [https://www.squeeze-finder.com/subscribe](https://www.squeeze-finder.com/subscribe) HINT: Use code RDDT to get your first month for just $10! NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, THESE POSTS ARE FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

Yes, 25C were ITM as of this last Friday (options can be exercised until 5:30 PM ET per FINRA)

**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 0W - 4L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NVDA** | $245.69 (above) | $241.58 | +1.7% | Wed 8:36 AM ET |

**BanBet Created** ▼ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $750.00 (below) | $776.13 | -3.4% | Tue, Oct 20, 6:33 AM ET |

Here on r/ALL. Gone till Wednesday at 0801 ET.

**📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)** **8:15 AM** | ADP Weekly Employment Change (weeks ending Sep 12 & Sep 19) **10:45 AM** | Fed Speaker: FOMC Member Bowman Speaks **1:15 PM** | Fed Speaker: FOMC Member Schmid Speaks ⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #ADP #Employment #Fed

**BanBet Created** ▼ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $759.33 (below) | $774.83 | -2.0% | Thu 11:33 PM ET |

**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 2W - 9L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPCX** | $188.00 (above) | $171.34 | +9.7% | Tue 8:37 PM ET |

Tuesday (Oct 6) is light on scheduled data. The one hard catalyst is Constellation Brands (STZ) earnings after the close, set against a macro backdrop of 10-year yields near 5.3% and crude near $100. **Tomorrow's calendar** * **STZ Q2 FY27, after the close.** EPS consensus is $3.55–$3.62 and revenue $2.54–$2.57B. The call is Wednesday at 8:00 AM ET \[5\]\[6\]\[8\]. * **8:15 AM ET: ADP weekly employment** \[4\]. * **8:30 AM ET: August trade balance.** The forecast is –$102.5B against –$88.58B prior \[2\]. * **Eurozone August retail sales.** Spain's snap elections and French bond worries are also on the radar \[1\]\[3\]. * **Wednesday, 2:00 PM ET: FOMC minutes.** Tuesday trades into them \[4\]. **Macro backdrop** * The 10-year yield is 5.31% \[15\]. * A five-week global bond rout and crude near $100 have weighed on rate-sensitive sectors. Tech is the exception, with the Nasdaq at a record on Nvidia and Micron \[4\]. * Kalshi prices a 79% chance the Fed holds in October and 21% for a 25bp hike \[9\]. **Names and ETFs affected** * **STZ (direct):** read-through to beer peers TAP and BUD. * **XLE:** oil and Iran headlines. * **TLT and \^TNX:** yield and Fed-minutes risk. * **SPY and QQQ:** index-level reaction to yields. * **NVDA:** at an all-time high \[3\]. **Levels for the five most exposed** (6-month daily closes, swing-pivot clusters plus the 50-day moving average) |Ticker|Last|Nearest resistance|Nearest support|50DMA|Near a level?| |:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-| |STZ|$113.31 \[11\]|$120.98 (+6.8%)|$112.77 (–0.5%)|$126.63|Yes, at the 6-month low support| |SPY|$774.83 \[12\]|$775.95 52-week high (+0.14%) \[17\]|$761.91 (–1.7%)|$762.98|Yes, at the high| |QQQ|$756.20 \[23\]|None, at the 52-week high \[19\]|$722.20 (–4.5%)|$717.68|At the high, support far below| |XLE|$63.45 \[13\]|$65.54 (+3.3%)|$61.74 (–2.7%)|$61.91|Mid-range| |TLT|$77.11 \[14\]|$83.10 (+7.8%)|None, at the 6-month low \[18\]|$81.04|At the low, no support below| **Betting markets** * **Fed:** 79% hold, 21% a 25bp hike, 1% a cut for October \[9\]. * **10-year yield:** Polymarket gives a 50.2% chance of hitting 5.5% before 2027 and 72% for 5.4% \[21\]. * **WTI:** 72.5% chance of touching $85 in October and 40% for $80 \[10\]. These are "hit low" contracts, so they price the downside, not the upside. * **SPY:** Polymarket gives a 47% chance it closes above $775 on Oct 6 and 96% above $765 \[22\]. That is roughly a coin flip on a new high. * **STZ call mentions:** "Tariff" is only 37% on Polymarket \[20\]. Volume is thin in these markets ($30–$41.8K), so treat them as weak signals. **Most likely to jump (horizon: 1–3 days)** * **STZ, two-way, the biggest mover.** * Bull: the stock is 13.5% off its Aug 31 close and trades about 9.8x forward EPS \[7\]. Support at $112.77 is the 6-month low. * Bear: management flagged gross-margin pressure for the second half at the Sept 8 Barclays conference \[7\], and the stock is –25.95% over 6 months \[16\]. A guide-down breaks $112.77 with no support below, and a beat has to clear $120.98, 6.8% higher. * Net: I lean toward a relief bounce, since the bar is low and the stock is at support. The data does not support more than that, and the rising yields are the main risk. * **TLT, downside break risk.** It is at a 6-month low with no support below, and the 10-year yield has risen 0.03 points to 5.31% \[15\]. Hot FOMC-minutes language or an oil spike extends the slide. A bounce toward the 20-day average (about $79.77) is possible if the Fed pushes back on a hike. Nothing scheduled Tuesday forces that. * **SPY and QQQ, small-move days.** Both sit at or within 0.2% of their highs with no resistance overhead. A hot yield or oil move could pull SPY back to $762 (–1.7%). For QQQ, the first real support is $722 (–4.5%). * **XLE, no edge.** It sits mid-range between $61.74 and $65.54, so oil headlines decide direction. **Sources** * \[1\] Economic Calendar: October 5–9, 2026 — Web Search * \[2\] United States Economic Calendar for October 5, 2026 — Web Search * \[3\] Market Open: Stocks Mixed, Yields, Europe and China in Focus • 10/5/26 — Web Search * \[4\] Stock market next week: Outlook for Oct. 5-9, 2026 — Web Search * \[5\] STZ Earnings Calendar — Earnings Calendar · STZ * \[6\] Constellation Brands Q2 2027 Earnings Preview | FMP — Web Search * \[7\] Constellation Brands Stock Forecast: Beer Demand Faces a Key Q2 Earnings Test — Web Search * \[8\] Constellation Brands to Report Second Quarter Fiscal 2027 Financial Results on October 6, 2026, After Market Close and Host Conference Call on October 7, 2026, at 8:00 AM ET :: Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) — Web Search * \[9\] Prediction markets: Fed rate October meeting — Source * \[10\] Prediction markets: crude oil price October — Source * \[11\] STZ Quote — Live Quote · STZ * \[12\] SPY Quote — Live Quote · SPY * \[13\] XLE Quote — Live Quote · XLE * \[14\] TLT Quote — Live Quote · TLT * \[15\] ^(TNX) Quote — Live Quote · ^(TNX) * \[16\] STZ Historical Data (6mo) — Historical Market Data · STZ * \[17\] SPY Historical Data (6mo) — Historical Market Data · SPY * \[18\] TLT Historical Data (6mo) — Historical Market Data · TLT * \[19\] QQQ Historical Data (6mo) — Historical Market Data · QQQ * \[20\] Prediction markets: Constellation Brands earnings — Source * \[21\] Prediction markets: 10-year Treasury yield — Source * \[22\] Prediction markets: S&P 500 close October 2026 — Source * \[23\] QQQ Quote — Live Quote · QQQ

**BanBet Created** ▲ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NAT** | $9.00 (above) | $8.39 | +7.3% | Sat 6:44 PM ET |

Thanks for joining us! Current Investments are those from previous contributions that are already invested, while Future Investments are where your future plan contributions will be invested. Changing each of these takes its own request. Since it sounds like you were successful in changing your Future Investments, I'll outline the steps to change Current Investments while logged in to NetBenefits.com: 1. Click the three-dot menu for the desired plan and choose "Change Investments" 2. Under the "Current Investments" section, choose whether you want to exchange one or multiple investments 3. Follow the prompts to change your investments If you want help changing your investments, you can reach out to our Workplace Investing team. Representatives are available, Monday through Friday, from 8:30 a.m. to 8:30 p.m. ET. Please say "401(k)" when prompted by the automated system to be connected to the right group. [Contact Fidelity](https://www.fidelity.com/customer-service/contact-us) Our Mods are here if there are any other features or tools you'd like help with.

I’ve been testing a basic long-only ORB on 30 US stocks, from January 2024 to June 18, 2026. Rules: * Stock opens above the previous day’s close. * Opening range is the high of the first five 1-minute bars. * First completed candle closing above that high, after 09:35 and through 11:00 ET, triggers the signal. * Enter at the next minute’s open. * Exit at the end of the day. * One trade per stock per day. No stop or target. This is a deliberately simple version, not a test of every discretionary ORB approach. Across 5,830 signals, the initial result was roughly: * 50.8% win rate. * \+0.046% average return before costs. * 18 of 30 stocks positive. Small positive result. But stocks triggering on the same morning aren’t independent bets. Accounting for that weakened the statistical evidence quite a bit. Then I asked: what if these stocks were going to move upward anyway? For each breakout, I compared it with other stocks in the universe that had also gapped up that day but hadn’t broken their opening range **at that moment**. They could break out later. Across 5,809 comparisons: * ORB stocks: +0.0454% average return. * Comparison stocks: +0.0244%. * Difference: +0.0210%. The difference was positive, but the evidence was weak once trades were grouped by day. Separately, the next-minute-entry ORB result was roughly wiped out by an assumed 0.025% cost each way. There’s also a limitation I haven’t solved: the fixed stock list was chosen using current names/liquidity, rather than a historical universe. So I’m not claiming “ORB doesn’t work.” I’m trying to separate the breakout signal from the stock selection and the conditions that morning. For people who trade ORB: **what is the biggest thing this test is missing?** Is the comparison group fair? Would you want it matched more closely on sector, gap size or relative volume? Or is there something about the entry and execution that makes this mechanical version a poor representation of what you actually trade? I’d be interested in a specific check I could run, rather than changing filters until the backtest improves.

**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 14W - 5L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **TSLA** | $383.58 (above) | $379.79 | +1.0% | Tue 4:02 PM ET |

| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **CRDO** ▲ | $270.00 (above) | $220.28 | $210.34 | +22.6% | Fri 2:50 PM ET | | **Record** | 7W - 3L | 70% | - | - | - |

| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **AMZN** ▼ | $226.03 (below) | $251.15 | $253.45 | -10.0% | Fri 7:42 AM ET | | **Record** | 2W - 4L | 33% | - | - | - |

**BanBet Created** ▲ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **GOOG** | $360.00 (above) | $343.39 | +4.8% | Thu 1:24 PM ET |

Silver (Ag) KITCO Spot Price at 11:47 a.m. ET: $61.25 Proof: [https://coindex.app/photo/U9b43BE](https://coindex.app/photo/U9b43BE) Hi community, thanks for stopping by and I hope there’s something that interests you. Feel free to dm me for more information, photos, and other related questions.  All good faith offers will be considered **INVENTORY** 2025 KOMSCO 2.5 oz .999 Silver Halberd of St Raphael $260 [https://coindex.app/photo/SLC4FPK](https://coindex.app/photo/SLC4FPK) 10 gram Geiger in Assay $42 each. 5 available [https://coindex.app/photo/kWOunxC](https://coindex.app/photo/kWOunxC) 1/2 oz Noah’s Ark 200 Dram in Capsule Quantity:2 Each: $37 [https://coindex.app/photo/18riKFK](https://coindex.app/photo/18riKFK) 2016 1/2 oz Silver Australian Tiger Shark in Mint Direct assay $39 [https://coindex.app/photo/oFLZJnX](https://coindex.app/photo/oFLZJnX) Glass Panther Pour: TMNT turtle heads 48.1 grams/50.7 grams Buy each for $170 or both for $330 (that's nearly 100 grams of Glass Panther poured silver at $3.34 per gram). [https://coindex.app/photo/dwdCBQa](https://coindex.app/photo/dwdCBQa) Slabbed US quarters. Buy em all for $75 or $20 each. * 1999 Pennsylvania Silver NGC PF-69 ultra cameo * 1999 New Jersey Silver NGC PF-69 ultra cameo * 2005 Oregon Silver PCGS PR69 * 2013 Perry's Memorial Silver PCGS PR70 [https://coindex.app/photo/4uCZgLz](https://coindex.app/photo/4uCZgLz) 1 oz 2011 Australian Koala NGC MS-69 | One of the first 20,000 struck $105 [https://coindex.app/photo/Ma0gXT4](https://coindex.app/photo/Ma0gXT4) 1/2 oz 2024 Australia Year of the Dragon (Lunar Series 3, colorized) PCGS MS-70. $65 [https://coindex.app/photo/j6j0rNg](https://coindex.app/photo/j6j0rNg) 1/2 oz 2021 Australia Year of the Ox (Lunar Series 3) NGC MS-70. $61 [https://coindex.app/photo/PVbHGzJ](https://coindex.app/photo/PVbHGzJ) **Information** PAYMENT: Zelle / Venmo F&F - no notes, random emojis only SHIPPING: Ground Advantage: $6. Priority: $10 MISC: Comment chat or otherwise follow the subreddit’s required commenting procedure before sending a PM/chat. All timestamps and transaction details are provided in good faith. Buyers should conduct due diligence and verify that the item meets their expectations before purchasing. After the USPS has possession of the item, my liability ends unless you choose to ship registered mail (expensive and slow, but secure). If you don’t want to use registered mail, you take all risks associated. I will help where I am able except assuming payment, that will be negotiated between parties and if an agreement cannot be reached, we will reach out to the mods for arbitration.

**BanBet Created** ▼ | **Record:** 0W - 1L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $765.26 (below) | $772.99 | -1.0% | Tue 12:05 PM ET |