ET
Energy Transfer LP Common Units representing limited partner interests
stock NYSE

Check top gainers at 930am ET, find something with high volume going up, buy an otm 0dte call, sell before it drops. It's a gamble. Or just buy $400 of that same stock and hold until your huevos shrivel and you panic sell for a nice 8% when it starts to go down fast.

AT&T (T), Conagra (CAG), General Mills (GIS), Energy Transfer Partnera (ET)

**📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)**
**9:45 AM** | Flash Manufacturing PMI | Forecast: 53.6 | Previous: 53.9
**9:45 AM** | Flash Services PMI | Forecast: 55.8 | Previous: 56.5
**10:30 AM** | Crude Oil Inventories | Forecast: -0.6M | Previous: -0.6M
**10:05 AM** | Fed Speaker: FOMC Member Barr Speaks
⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #ManufacturingPMI #ServicesPMI #CrudeOil

Tracking those fields daily gives you a decent dataset, but the edge is in whether a rule built from them holds up on days you didn't use to develop it. I'd define the opening volume window exactly, say 9:30–9:35 ET, then test signals on a later 12-month period with commissions and slippage included. Watch the timing too: if a signal uses the day's high or closing volume, the backtest can't enter at that day's open.

1) If you don't know the answer to this question quit trading options until you do know.
2) Depends on if you have a margin account. If you don't then there is no margin for you, and if you don't have the assets to cover assignment, expect the LEAPS to be closed sometime after 3:00 pm ET on expiration day.
3) You need to give access to your brokerage account to someone you trust before you croak. If you're not married, I recommend using someone who's legally bound to do the right thing (CPA, lawyer, etc).

This is a 2.42 billion Market cap powerhouse that nobody has heard of.
[https://www.war.gov/News/Contracts/Contract/Article/4608792/contracts-for-sept-22-2026/](https://www.war.gov/News/Contracts/Contract/Article/4608792/contracts-for-sept-22-2026/)
V2X Systems LLC, Colorado Springs, Colorado, has been awarded an undefinitized contract action with a not-to-exceed ceiling price of $231,757,508 modification (P00012) to previously awarded (FA8630-25-C-B017) for base support services in support of the Iraq F-16 program. The modification brings the total cumulative face value of the contract to $594,189,544 from $362,432,036. Work will be performed at Martyr BG Ali Flaih Air Base, Iraq, and is expected to be completed by July 17, 2027. This contract involves foreign military sales to Iraq. Foreign Military Sales funds in the amount of $115,878,754 are being obligated at the time of award.
# V2X Awarded Position on US Air Force Contract for B-52 Long Range Standoff Cruise Missile Program
MT Newswires8:31 AM ET 9/15/2026
VVX -5.59% 
08:31 AM EDT, 09/15/2026 (MT Newswires) -- V2X (VVX) has been awarded a position on a $46 million US Air Force contract for the Long Range Standoff cruise missile program for the B-52 Stratofortress aircraft, the company said Tuesday.

V2X Wins $19 Million US Marine Corps Contract
MT Newswires8:49 AM ET 9/8/2026
VVX -5.59% 
08:49 AM EDT, 09/08/2026 (MT Newswires) -- V2X (VVX) said Tuesday it won a $19 million contract from the US Marine Corps to deliver Tempest counter-drone vehicles.
The indefinite-delivery-indefinite-quantity agreement also covers maintenance support, software management, spare parts, and training services, the company said.
The Tempest vehicle system detects, tracks, and disables unmanned aerial threats, V2X said.

BTCUSD and CL=F correlation entered a downtrend regime at -0.23 on September 22, 08:00 ET. So there's both negative correlation between them and this correlation entered a downtrend. (2 candles, 8 trading hours) The last 8 times this negative-correlation-downtrend regime occurred between this pair, it lasted a median of 24 candles / 96 trading hours. For this reason, natural hedge and long-short strategies stand out. The pair tends to move in opposite directions in this regime.

My plan: In short, BTC long, CL=F short. I'm forecasting that the decline in the correlation regime between the pair will continue. What could happen here:

a) Best case scenario: The correlation regime between the pair continues to decline/the pair continues to diverge; BTC rises (long profit), CL=F falls (short profit).

b) Correlation decline continues; BTC rises, CL=F moves sideways/rises slightly (due to its hedge role, this slightly trims BTC's profit).

c) Correlation decline continues but leadership changes; BTC falls (long loss), CL=F rises (short loss), worst case scenario.

d) If the correlation regime reverses and transitions into an uptrend;

d1) BTC rises (long profit), CL=F rises (short loss), this would have been a poorly planned hedge.
d2) BTC falls (long loss), CL=F falls (short profit), it would have done its job as a hedge.
I would like to know your expectations regarding the direction of these two pairs. Do you think the correlation between them will continue its downward trend?

*Methodology: Four-hour candle closes are used while the markets for both instruments are open (08:00, 12:00, 16:00, 20:00 ET). The correlation coefficient is a composite score derived not only from the Pearson method but also from Pearson, Spearman, and EWMA calculations.*

Major AI Capex cut announcements at 9am ET tomorrow

GameStop warrants expire at 5:00 p.m. ET on October 30, 2026, with 37 calendar days remaining. Warrants closed at $2.50 and GME at $24.03. The $32 strike is $7.97 out of the money.
GameStop will also issue at least one public press release providing a reminder of the expiration date, between 10 and 30 days prior to the scheduled expiration date.
There is a lot of excitement back in the sub as GME leadership puts their money on the line. As they saying goes: insiders buy for only one reason.

> We currently don't announce when a cut-off time will change.
Ok. So is this correct which was posted in the thread:
"Fidelity said they need 1 hr for processing."
And Fidelity says "If there is more than one note/bond auction scheduled (which there was today)", some may close at 10:00 AM ET while others may close at 11:00 AM ET"
So can you confirm for me which cut off time this one ended up being for the new at auction 2 YR this morning 91282CRP8? 10am or 11am. And if you know what finally determined the 10 or 11 cut off time. TIA.

Depending on where you are located, maybe. 5:35am PT is 8:35am ET.

This bear made 5.5% and liquidated his positions at 11AM ET.

The correlation between two stocks entered a downtrend on September 14 at 16:00 ET at the +0.53 level. The trend is still ongoing (23 candles, 92 trading hours). It has declined from the +0.53 level to the +0.244 level. AAPL rose 2.72%, MSFT fell 2.17%.
In my correlation calculation, I use both a different methodology and a trend calculation. In addition, I also have data specific to the individual stocks. According to this, in the past (in the last 10 instances) when these two stocks entered a downtrend at this correlation level, they lasted a median of 18 candles (it is currently continuing beyond the median candle duration and has bottomed out). They diverged. Hedge strategies came to the fore.
My game plan: The correlation between them is in a downtrend and it bottomed out at the last 4-hour candle close (22 Sep 12:00 ET). To price in this divergence, I will structure an AAPL call option buy, Microsoft short trade plan. My profit/loss amount and its shape vary according to the course of the correlation between them.
a) In the best-case scenario, if the correlation between them continues to decline; AAPL rises, MSFT falls, then profit will be made both from the call option and from the short position.
b) If AAPL's rise continues the call option profits, if MSFT moves sideways; it will have been a slightly loss-making hedge position.
c) If the correlation between AAPL-MSFT shifts into an uptrend; if AAPL and MSFT rise together the call profits, the short loses. Since the weight will be on the call option, my hedge will have shaved off some of the call's profit.
d) If AAPL-MSFT fall together (if the correlation recovers) the MSFT short will tolerate the call's loss to some extent.
e) The worst-case scenario, if the divergence between them continues but AAPL turns to a decline (call loses) MSFT turns to a rise (short loses) but the correlation continues its decline. For this reason the trade will continue for me throughout AAPL's rise and the correlation divergence.
My expectation is that the decline in the correlation regime, the divergence between the two stocks, continues and that the rise occurs on the AAPL side. Especially if AAPL sustains above $340, an AAPL Oct 23 345 call (\~0.48delta, \~$8.65, IV \~24% — low for AAPL) suits me, delta-matched against a short in MSFT. A pullback in MSFT from the 495–505 zone gets priced in on the short leg.
It’s a slightly belated trading plan, but as you can see in the chart, the fluctuations in the correlation slowed me down, and I want to give it a try. Does AAPL sustain above 340, or does the correlation snap back first?
*Methodology: Four-hour candle closes are used while the markets for both instruments are open (08:00, 12:00, 16:00, 20:00 ET). The correlation coefficient is a composite score derived not only from the Pearson method but also from Pearson, Spearman, and EWMA calculations.*

2-year Treasury Auction at 1 pm ET could be interesting for stonks

The correlation regime between Apple and Microsoft entered a weakening trend on 14 Sep 16:00 ET at +0.53, and is **still ongoing** (22 candles · 88 trading hours). Over this period AAPL rose 2.05%, MSFT rose 0.24%. **The two stocks moved together.**
The composite correlation has come down from +0.53 (14 Sep) to **+0.415 now** (last data: 22 Sep 08:00 ET) the weakening regime, flagged, playing out
**READING — AAPL–MSFT at** MEDIUM × Weakening *(this stock own last 10)*: for this pair it has been **a durable decoupling (hedge / spread)** — **10** past runs, median **18 candles · 72 trading hours** (range 4–56), 7 lasted 2+ days. So the play has real, multi-day room before the turn the **ANTITHESIS** warns of.
**GAME PLAN:** Correlation is in a **Weakening regime** — the bond between the two pairs is loosening. This signals a shift into a **decoupling regime**: hedge and pair-trade (spread) strategies come to the fore, while one-way beta bets grow riskier.
**ANTITHESIS:** Risk: decoupling may be temporary; if correlation snaps back from the bottom, pair-trades backfire. Correlation is currently **0.10 points (19%) below** the period average — decoupling continues.
My Plan: The high correlation between the two stocks (0.53) has entered a downtrend. This signals that the co-movement between the two stocks is decoupling. As can also be seen on the chart, they have been diverging again since 21 Sep 08:00 ET. Looking at current conditions, I structured a Microsoft call option purchase and an Apple short position. While pricing Microsoft's potential upside via the call option, I aimed to turn the divergence between them into a hedge. As long as **MSFT keeps outperforming AAPL**, the trade stays alive; if they recouple and move together, the short offsets most of the call and losses stay cushioned.
For the correlation regime to shift from a downtrend to an uptrend:
a) if Apple and Microsoft start rising together (the MSFT call would profit while the AAPL short would lose — making it a failed hedge)
b) they could fall together, pushing the correlation between them into an uptrend (MSFT call loses, while the AAPL short fulfills its hedging role). In the game plan,
c) The divergence continues, but if Apple keeps rising while Microsoft remains flat or falls, the worst-case scenario for the game plan will come to pass.
(Looking at the 4-hour candlesticks and the individual charts for Apple and Microsoft, I think that if MSFT manages to hold above $507–$510, call options in particular will be profitable, and AAPL may pull back from its current level.)
In the good scenario, the correlation regime between them continues to decline — the two stocks decouple — MSFT continues to rise, and AAPL stays flat / declines.
On a reclaim of 508 I'd buy the **MSFT Oct 23 510 call** (\~0.42Δ, \~$10.5, IV \~26.5% — low for MSFT, no earnings in the expiry, theta \~$0.25/day) and delta-match it with a short in AAPL, so it's the MSFT–AAPL spread I'm long, not either stock's direction.
*Methodology: Four-hour candle closes are used while the markets for both instruments are open (08:00, 12:00, 16:00, 20:00 ET).*
*The correlation coefficient is a composite score derived not only from the Pearson method but also from Pearson, Spearman, and EWMA calculations.*

I don't buy Treasurys at Fidelity anymore. The cutoff time for this bond at Schwab is 10:30 ET. It is indicated in the order form.
https://preview.redd.it/a9yn4eur33rh1.png?width=947&format=png&auto=webp&s=8676176deb91ef394ad8e6d03673bab64a4b5aa1

> It’s usually 10 ET for bills and 11 ET for bonds.
Copy that. TY. When you say bills are you including notes or is that possibly a different category with possibly a different cut off time?
If that info is indeed available form the Treasury why doesn't Fidelity include that instead of making us go hunting for it?

It’s usually 10 ET for bills and 11 ET for bonds.
You can get the official auction time from the Treasury. Fidelity’s cutoff is 1 hr before auction time.

Why isn't this more helpful? Having to guess which new notes close at 10 or 11am is not great? No other way to definitively know if it is 10 or 11?TIA
New Issue Treasury Note and Bond order periods close at 11:00 AM ET on auction close date if there is only one note/bond auction scheduled for the day. If there is more than one note/bond auction scheduled, **some may close at 10:00 AM ET while others may close at 11:00 AM ET**

SO SÉLECTIONNER AAPL, MSFT, META, NVDA, LLY, TSLA ET APPELER ÇA "PAS DE BIAIS DE SURVIVANCE", c'est fort. Ton panier c'est littéralement le top 10 de la décennie, tu l'as choisi en 2024 en regardant en arrière. Refais le même exercice avec le top 10 de 2014: GE, Exxon, Walmart, IBM, PG, Johnson & Johnson, AT&T. Sur 10 ans tu sous-performes le SPY et tu dors moins bien. Le SPY lui-même est un fonds actif, il vire les losers et garde les winners (voir le sort de GE ou Intel dans l'indice). Ta "preuve" c'est juste le SP500 en plus concentré et plus risqué, avec zéro mécanisme de nettoyage.