ET
Energy Transfer LP Common Units representing limited partner interests
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**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 2W - 9L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPCX** | $188.00 (above) | $171.34 | +9.7% | Tue 8:37 PM ET |

Tuesday (Oct 6) is light on scheduled data. The one hard catalyst is Constellation Brands (STZ) earnings after the close, set against a macro backdrop of 10-year yields near 5.3% and crude near $100. **Tomorrow's calendar** * **STZ Q2 FY27, after the close.** EPS consensus is $3.55–$3.62 and revenue $2.54–$2.57B. The call is Wednesday at 8:00 AM ET \[5\]\[6\]\[8\]. * **8:15 AM ET: ADP weekly employment** \[4\]. * **8:30 AM ET: August trade balance.** The forecast is –$102.5B against –$88.58B prior \[2\]. * **Eurozone August retail sales.** Spain's snap elections and French bond worries are also on the radar \[1\]\[3\]. * **Wednesday, 2:00 PM ET: FOMC minutes.** Tuesday trades into them \[4\]. **Macro backdrop** * The 10-year yield is 5.31% \[15\]. * A five-week global bond rout and crude near $100 have weighed on rate-sensitive sectors. Tech is the exception, with the Nasdaq at a record on Nvidia and Micron \[4\]. * Kalshi prices a 79% chance the Fed holds in October and 21% for a 25bp hike \[9\]. **Names and ETFs affected** * **STZ (direct):** read-through to beer peers TAP and BUD. * **XLE:** oil and Iran headlines. * **TLT and \^TNX:** yield and Fed-minutes risk. * **SPY and QQQ:** index-level reaction to yields. * **NVDA:** at an all-time high \[3\]. **Levels for the five most exposed** (6-month daily closes, swing-pivot clusters plus the 50-day moving average) |Ticker|Last|Nearest resistance|Nearest support|50DMA|Near a level?| |:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-| |STZ|$113.31 \[11\]|$120.98 (+6.8%)|$112.77 (–0.5%)|$126.63|Yes, at the 6-month low support| |SPY|$774.83 \[12\]|$775.95 52-week high (+0.14%) \[17\]|$761.91 (–1.7%)|$762.98|Yes, at the high| |QQQ|$756.20 \[23\]|None, at the 52-week high \[19\]|$722.20 (–4.5%)|$717.68|At the high, support far below| |XLE|$63.45 \[13\]|$65.54 (+3.3%)|$61.74 (–2.7%)|$61.91|Mid-range| |TLT|$77.11 \[14\]|$83.10 (+7.8%)|None, at the 6-month low \[18\]|$81.04|At the low, no support below| **Betting markets** * **Fed:** 79% hold, 21% a 25bp hike, 1% a cut for October \[9\]. * **10-year yield:** Polymarket gives a 50.2% chance of hitting 5.5% before 2027 and 72% for 5.4% \[21\]. * **WTI:** 72.5% chance of touching $85 in October and 40% for $80 \[10\]. These are "hit low" contracts, so they price the downside, not the upside. * **SPY:** Polymarket gives a 47% chance it closes above $775 on Oct 6 and 96% above $765 \[22\]. That is roughly a coin flip on a new high. * **STZ call mentions:** "Tariff" is only 37% on Polymarket \[20\]. Volume is thin in these markets ($30–$41.8K), so treat them as weak signals. **Most likely to jump (horizon: 1–3 days)** * **STZ, two-way, the biggest mover.** * Bull: the stock is 13.5% off its Aug 31 close and trades about 9.8x forward EPS \[7\]. Support at $112.77 is the 6-month low. * Bear: management flagged gross-margin pressure for the second half at the Sept 8 Barclays conference \[7\], and the stock is –25.95% over 6 months \[16\]. A guide-down breaks $112.77 with no support below, and a beat has to clear $120.98, 6.8% higher. * Net: I lean toward a relief bounce, since the bar is low and the stock is at support. The data does not support more than that, and the rising yields are the main risk. * **TLT, downside break risk.** It is at a 6-month low with no support below, and the 10-year yield has risen 0.03 points to 5.31% \[15\]. Hot FOMC-minutes language or an oil spike extends the slide. A bounce toward the 20-day average (about $79.77) is possible if the Fed pushes back on a hike. Nothing scheduled Tuesday forces that. * **SPY and QQQ, small-move days.** Both sit at or within 0.2% of their highs with no resistance overhead. A hot yield or oil move could pull SPY back to $762 (–1.7%). For QQQ, the first real support is $722 (–4.5%). * **XLE, no edge.** It sits mid-range between $61.74 and $65.54, so oil headlines decide direction. **Sources** * \[1\] Economic Calendar: October 5–9, 2026 — Web Search * \[2\] United States Economic Calendar for October 5, 2026 — Web Search * \[3\] Market Open: Stocks Mixed, Yields, Europe and China in Focus • 10/5/26 — Web Search * \[4\] Stock market next week: Outlook for Oct. 5-9, 2026 — Web Search * \[5\] STZ Earnings Calendar — Earnings Calendar · STZ * \[6\] Constellation Brands Q2 2027 Earnings Preview | FMP — Web Search * \[7\] Constellation Brands Stock Forecast: Beer Demand Faces a Key Q2 Earnings Test — Web Search * \[8\] Constellation Brands to Report Second Quarter Fiscal 2027 Financial Results on October 6, 2026, After Market Close and Host Conference Call on October 7, 2026, at 8:00 AM ET :: Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) — Web Search * \[9\] Prediction markets: Fed rate October meeting — Source * \[10\] Prediction markets: crude oil price October — Source * \[11\] STZ Quote — Live Quote · STZ * \[12\] SPY Quote — Live Quote · SPY * \[13\] XLE Quote — Live Quote · XLE * \[14\] TLT Quote — Live Quote · TLT * \[15\] ^(TNX) Quote — Live Quote · ^(TNX) * \[16\] STZ Historical Data (6mo) — Historical Market Data · STZ * \[17\] SPY Historical Data (6mo) — Historical Market Data · SPY * \[18\] TLT Historical Data (6mo) — Historical Market Data · TLT * \[19\] QQQ Historical Data (6mo) — Historical Market Data · QQQ * \[20\] Prediction markets: Constellation Brands earnings — Source * \[21\] Prediction markets: 10-year Treasury yield — Source * \[22\] Prediction markets: S&P 500 close October 2026 — Source * \[23\] QQQ Quote — Live Quote · QQQ

**BanBet Created** ▲ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NAT** | $9.00 (above) | $8.39 | +7.3% | Sat 6:44 PM ET |

Thanks for joining us! Current Investments are those from previous contributions that are already invested, while Future Investments are where your future plan contributions will be invested. Changing each of these takes its own request. Since it sounds like you were successful in changing your Future Investments, I'll outline the steps to change Current Investments while logged in to NetBenefits.com: 1. Click the three-dot menu for the desired plan and choose "Change Investments" 2. Under the "Current Investments" section, choose whether you want to exchange one or multiple investments 3. Follow the prompts to change your investments If you want help changing your investments, you can reach out to our Workplace Investing team. Representatives are available, Monday through Friday, from 8:30 a.m. to 8:30 p.m. ET. Please say "401(k)" when prompted by the automated system to be connected to the right group. [Contact Fidelity](https://www.fidelity.com/customer-service/contact-us) Our Mods are here if there are any other features or tools you'd like help with.

I’ve been testing a basic long-only ORB on 30 US stocks, from January 2024 to June 18, 2026. Rules: * Stock opens above the previous day’s close. * Opening range is the high of the first five 1-minute bars. * First completed candle closing above that high, after 09:35 and through 11:00 ET, triggers the signal. * Enter at the next minute’s open. * Exit at the end of the day. * One trade per stock per day. No stop or target. This is a deliberately simple version, not a test of every discretionary ORB approach. Across 5,830 signals, the initial result was roughly: * 50.8% win rate. * \+0.046% average return before costs. * 18 of 30 stocks positive. Small positive result. But stocks triggering on the same morning aren’t independent bets. Accounting for that weakened the statistical evidence quite a bit. Then I asked: what if these stocks were going to move upward anyway? For each breakout, I compared it with other stocks in the universe that had also gapped up that day but hadn’t broken their opening range **at that moment**. They could break out later. Across 5,809 comparisons: * ORB stocks: +0.0454% average return. * Comparison stocks: +0.0244%. * Difference: +0.0210%. The difference was positive, but the evidence was weak once trades were grouped by day. Separately, the next-minute-entry ORB result was roughly wiped out by an assumed 0.025% cost each way. There’s also a limitation I haven’t solved: the fixed stock list was chosen using current names/liquidity, rather than a historical universe. So I’m not claiming “ORB doesn’t work.” I’m trying to separate the breakout signal from the stock selection and the conditions that morning. For people who trade ORB: **what is the biggest thing this test is missing?** Is the comparison group fair? Would you want it matched more closely on sector, gap size or relative volume? Or is there something about the entry and execution that makes this mechanical version a poor representation of what you actually trade? I’d be interested in a specific check I could run, rather than changing filters until the backtest improves.

**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 14W - 5L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **TSLA** | $383.58 (above) | $379.79 | +1.0% | Tue 4:02 PM ET |

| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **CRDO** ▲ | $270.00 (above) | $220.28 | $210.34 | +22.6% | Fri 2:50 PM ET | | **Record** | 7W - 3L | 70% | - | - | - |

| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **AMZN** ▼ | $226.03 (below) | $251.15 | $253.45 | -10.0% | Fri 7:42 AM ET | | **Record** | 2W - 4L | 33% | - | - | - |

**BanBet Created** ▲ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **GOOG** | $360.00 (above) | $343.39 | +4.8% | Thu 1:24 PM ET |

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**BanBet Created** ▼ | **Record:** 0W - 1L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $765.26 (below) | $772.99 | -1.0% | Tue 12:05 PM ET |

Thanks for sharing that screenshot. Given the error you’re receiving and the troubleshooting you’ve already completed, I'd recommend connecting directly with our Technical Support team, so they can review this further with you. You can reach the appropriate team through our contact page below. Associates are available Monday through Friday from 8:30 a.m. to 9:00 p.m. ET. Say "Technical Support" to be routed correctly. [Contact Us](https://www.fidelity.com/customer-service/contact-us) We appreciate you taking the time to provide those additional details.

# Foxconn third-quarter revenue soars on AI demand, beats market forecast Reuters 4:07 AM ET Oct-05-2026 TAIPEI, Oct 5 (Reuters) - Taiwan's Foxconn, the world's largest contract electronics maker, reported on Monday a 47% jump in third-quarter revenue year-on-year that beat market estimates, fuelled by strong AI-related demand.

**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 7W - 2L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **PCVX** | $91.45 (above) | $88.79 | +3.0% | Thu 9:22 AM ET |

Hello there. As a Full View user myself, I understand how important it is to maintain historical data. I would recommend speaking to our technical support team next so they can look at the connection. You can reach them Monday-Friday from 8:30 a.m. to 9:00 p.m. ET. [Contact us](https://www.fidelity.com/customer-service/contact-us)

Pre-market action for small caps is flat-to-slightly positive heading into the 9:30 AM ET opening bell. Pré-Market Snapshot: iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM): Trading around $281.52 (+0.08% pre-market). E-mini-Russell 2000 Futures (RTY): Holding steady around 2,849. Key Catalyst Drivers Today: Macro Data & Fed Rate Expectations: Friday's nonfarm payrolls came in significantly lower than expected (+29k vs +79k forecast, with unemployment ticking up to 4.2%). Markets are parsing whether the weaker labor context will accelerate rate cuts. Traders are focused on upcoming Fed meeting minutes and inflation metrics. Bond Yield Pressures: Benchmark Treasury yields are seeing a slight upward tick this morning. Higher yield environments typically cap aggressive upside expansion in debt-sensitive small caps and regional banks. Pre-Market Volatility: Sector setups are leaning mixed, with early momentum concentrated in low-float biotechnology, clinical catalysts, and earnings-driven gaps.

Good morning! It looks like the comments beat me to it here. To answer this officially, there are no additional fees just for buying or selling during Fidelity's extended hours trading windows. Just so you know, Fidelity's extended-hours trading is available in the pre-market session between 7:00 a.m. and 9:28 a.m. ET and 4:00 p.m. and 8:00 p.m. ET in the after-hours session. You can learn more about it through the link below. [Extended-hours trading](https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/active-investor/extended-hours-trading) Do you know how to place a trade during extended hours?

Svp, il faut parler du véhicule de placement. Sois la Fiscalité. Avant de choisir les titres, opter pour l’optimisation CELI ET REEE et FTQ. Faut voir dettes, hypothèque. Vos taux d’interêts. Je crois qu’une diversification serait plus optimale. Vous avez proposé les titres qui ont déja donné des rendements extraordinaire. Le train est passé. Soyez prudent. Ajouter un conseiller financier a votre projet. Confier lui une partie, et garder une part pour auto gestion un peux plus funky.

ET:- Redditor dishes out sane advice. Live Mint:- This Redditor has a funny take on stock market advice.

It's 3:36 AM ET and I finally finished work. Need to login before 9:30 AM ET to do it again

**📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)** **10:00 AM** | ISM Services PMI | Forecast: 55.1 | Previous: 55.4 ⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. 📌 #ISM #ServicesPMI

**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 4W - 6L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $780.00 (above) | $769.64 | +1.3% | Tue 9:15 PM ET |

| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **GOOG** ▲ | $358.17 (above) | $341.05 | $340.11 | +5.0% | Sun, Oct 11, 6:59 PM ET | | **Record** | 0W - 3L | 0% | - | - | - |

**Let me know if there is anything I can change or improve!** Monday, Oct 5 is a macro-driven session with almost no earnings. The main events are the 9:45 ET S&P Global services PMI and the 10:00 ET ISM services PMI. ISM is expected at about 55.0–55.1 versus 55.4 prior \[5\]\[6\]. The backdrop is a five-week global bond rout and crude near $100 \[10\]. The Fed hiked in September, the first hike in three years \[1\]. September payrolls then came in at +29K against 84–90K expected, with unemployment at 4.2% \[2\]\[3\]. **Catalysts** * **Data:** ISM services is the only market-moving print. Logan speaks Tuesday at 6pm, FOMC minutes are Wednesday at 2pm, and the Oct 28 FOMC meeting and Nov 3 midterms follow \[5\]\[10\]. * **Energy:** The US is pressing Europe to release diesel reserves and has threatened a diesel export ban \[17\]\[18\]. Trump said Europe agreed to a "massive" release \[20\]. The Iran war and a Russian diesel export ban are keeping supply tight \[19\]. * **Earnings:** McCormick filed its 10-Q and 8-K on Oct 1, so it has already reported, even though some calendars still list it for Monday \[Source: EDGAR\]. Aehr (AEHR) is listed for Monday after the close, but the date is unconfirmed: one calendar estimates it from past schedules and our calendar tool says Nov 2 \[9\]\[13\]. Constellation Brands (STZ) reports Tuesday, PepsiCo Thursday, and Delta Friday \[10\]. **Names affected** TLT (long bonds), XLE (oil), IWM (rate-sensitive), SMH (semis at records after Micron and Nvidia) and AEHR (AI test equipment). Also SPY/QQQ via ISM and yields. Homebuilders (XHB) and regional banks (KRE) are rate-sensitive too, but I didn't run levels on them. **Levels (6-month daily closes)** |Last|Support|Resistance|Position| |:-|:-|:-|:-| |TLT|77.48|77.47 (6-mo low)|81.38 (+5.0%), 83.67|On support; SMA20 80.00 and SMA50 81.15 above| |XLE|62.82|61.74 (−1.7%), 60.49|63.37 (+0.9%), 65.54|Inside a tight band| |IWM|281.52|275.97 (−2.0%), 271.19|284.91 (+1.2%), 292.48|Below SMA20 284.78 and SMA50 292.02| |SMH|630.60|606.17 (−3.9%), 590.49|637.90 (+1.2%), 655.89|Near resistance, above SMA20 584.15| |AEHR|107.21|106.34 (−0.8%), 104.39|109.90 (+2.5%), 116.23|Between two levels, above SMA20 94.94| **Betting markets** * **Fed:** Kalshi gives 24% that the upper bound ends above 4.00% after Oct 28, and 2% above 4.25% \[4\]. Polymarket gives 0.5% for a cut by the October meeting \[4\]. Markets are not pricing an October move. * **10-year yield:** The 10-year is at 5.28% \[12\]. Polymarket gives 63.5% for 5.4% and 42.4% for 5.5% before 2027 \[16\]. The rout is not priced as finished. * **Oil:** Polymarket gives 6.5% for WTI hitting $115 in October and 2.8% for $120 \[14\]. Its "WTI hits $90" market is at 94.2%, which implies a dip toward $90 is expected. I can't tell whether that market is a low or a high touch, so treat it as a downside-volatility signal \[14\]. * **Equities:** SPY closed Friday at $769.64 \[11\]. Polymarket gives 96.5% for a close above $760 on Oct 5, 90% above $765, and 14.5% above $775 \[15\]. Markets expect a flat-to-firm open. **Flags (Monday to this week)** * **TLT, the most binary:** It closed at its 6-month low on Friday with no chart support below. A soft ISM, consistent with the weak jobs data, could bounce it toward 80.00 (SMA20). A hot print breaks the low into open air. * **XLE:** It sits 0.9% under 63.37 and 1.7% over 61.74, so diesel headlines decide the direction. The 6-month high is 65.54. The risk is two-sided: oil near $100 supports it, and the EU reserve release is a downside catalyst. * **IWM:** It is under both moving averages. A soft ISM with falling yields is the setup for a push into 284.91–292.48. A bond selloff sends it to 275.97. * **SMH:** It sits 1.2% under 637.90 after a 59% six-month run. A break of 637.90 aims at 655.89 and then the 668.91 high. A failure there falls back to 606.17. * **AEHR:** Its FY27 revenue guidance is $130–150M, and the quarter's consensus is about $0.11 EPS on about $27M revenue \[7\]. Insiders have been net sellers \[8\]. Given the date uncertainty, treat it as a possible Monday after-close mover rather than a confirmed one. **Net view:** I lean toward upside this week in TLT, IWM and SMH if ISM prints at or below 55 and yields stabilize. I keep that lean modest because the strongest bear point is rates: the 10-year is at 5.28% and Polymarket gives 42.4% to a move to 5.5%. A hot services print or an oil spike would break TLT's low and IWM's 275.97 support first. **Sources** * \[1\] U.S. September 2026 jobs report: payrolls miss forecasts badly — Web Search * \[2\] Jobs report September 2026: — Web Search * \[3\] September jobs report: US economy added jobs at a slower pace amid uncertainty | Fox Business — Web Search * \[4\] Prediction markets: fed rate October — Source * \[5\] What to Look Out for in Economic Data This Week (October 5-9) | Kiplinger — Web Search * \[6\] Week ahead: ISM services, Fed minutes and Canadian jobs lead the economic calendar. Be aware. — Web Search * \[7\] Aehr Test Systems (AEHR) Earnings Preview: AI Growth | FMP — Web Search * \[8\] AEHR TEST SYSTEMS Q1 2027 Earnings Preview: Recent $AEHR Insider Trading, Hedge Fund Activity, and More | Quiver Quantitative — Web Search * \[9\] Aehr Test Systems (AEHR) Earnings Date and Reports 2026 — Web Search * \[10\] Stock market next week: Outlook for Oct. 5-9, 2026 — Web Search * \[11\] SPY Quote — Live Quote · SPY * \[12\] ^(TNX) Quote — Live Quote · ^(TNX) * \[13\] AEHR Earnings Calendar — Earnings Calendar · AEHR * \[14\] Prediction markets: crude oil price — Source * \[15\] Prediction markets: S&P 500 close October 2026 — Source * \[16\] Prediction markets: 10-year Treasury yield — Source * \[17\] G7 leaders hold talks on fuel crisis after US pressures EU — Web Search * \[18\] U.S. Threatens Diesel Export Ban Unless Europe Releases Stockpiles | OilPrice.com — Web Search * \[19\] US pressures Europe to release diesel reserves ‘immediately’ to tame prices | CNN — Web Search * \[20\] Diesel stocks: EU debating release amid to U.S. pressure — Web Search

Energy transfer is a winner. When you know the politicians are buying the stocks pay attention. Who owns these and more • Senator Bill Hagerty (R-TN): Disclosed ownership of up to $500,000 in methane gas pipeline giant Energy Transfer LP (NYSE: ET) alongside other fossil fuel investments. • Senator Gary Peters (D-MI): Has held utility and energy investments including electric providers like NextEra Energy and DTE Energy. • Senator John Boozman (R-AR): Disclosed purchases in April 2026 of electricity/energy infrastructure exposure via Constellation Energy Corp (NASDAQ: CEG) and Devon Energy.