ET
Energy Transfer LP Common Units
stockNYSE

**BanBet Created** ▲ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $773.42 (above) | $766.48 | +0.9% | Tue 8:19 PM ET |

Why do you double down on an incorrect claim? I definitely sold in after hours, 100 GMEWS at 4:14PM ET for $1.30, today 10/13/2016 a few minutes after the GameStop press release. https://preview.redd.it/fqn93btdmiwh1.jpeg?width=1199&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4c9b3405ffdf94f1ca1484b087e44a527d87ff85 I also sold warrants shortly thereafter out of a Schwab account. Yes. After hours,

**📊 Lower-impact U.S. Economic Data (ET)** **8:15 AM** | ADP Weekly Employment Change | Previous: 24.8K **8:30 AM** | Building Permits / Housing Starts | Forecast: 1.39M / 1.30M | Previous: 1.40M / 1.28M **10:00 AM** | Pending Home Sales m/m | Forecast: -0.7% | Previous: 0.3% ⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #Employment #Housing https://preview.redd.it/vqg02p2egiwh1.png?width=1789&format=png&auto=webp&s=5b9b3540a410497029be15c42b5c765821088dfa

I keep hearing "Fed week = bigger moves", so I finally sat down and checked it on ES. What I did: took every FOMC meeting from 2010 to now and compared it against weeks/days with no meeting but similar volatility going in. Ranges measured as multiples of ATR so different years are comparable. What came out: \- Full FOMC week: 1.14x the range of the comparison weeks (127 weeks) \- Announcement day: 1.38x (129 sessions) \- 2pm to 4pm ET window: 2.49x (109 sessions, data from 2013) So yeah, the week is a bit bigger, but most of it is packed into the two hours around the statement. The rest of the week looks pretty normal. I also ran it on NQ. Announcement day is bigger there too (1.23x), but the full week (1.09x) didn't hold up once I corrected for running six comparisons at once. Basically noise. To be clear, this is only about size, not direction. It says nothing about which way it goes. Has anyone tested this with a different control? Curious if matching on VIX instead of prior ATR changes the picture.

* **Guaranteed Delivery Option:** If warrants cannot be delivered by the cutoff, holders can submit a Notice of Guaranteed Delivery with full payment by 5:00 p.m. ET on October 30, with final warrant delivery due by 5:00 p.m. ET on November 2, 2026. Does this mean I can effectively exercise as late as 10/30 on the computersharecas site?

**BanBet Created** ▼ | **Record:** 5W - 6L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **MU** | $869.00 (below) | $905.16 | -4.0% | Wed 7:03 PM ET |

| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **ASTS** ▲ | $100.00 (above) | $40.67 | $41.88 | +145.9% | Tue, Nov 17, 4:10 PM ET | | **Record** | 0W - 1L | 0% | - | - | - |

**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 0W - 1L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **GOOG** | $355.00 (above) | $340.06 | +4.4% | Mon, Oct 26, 5:27 PM ET |

The distinction between acceptance, document availability and feed discovery is particularly relevant for Form 4 research. I recently examined recorded acceptance timestamps in a Form 4 corpus against SEC submission headers. One methodological issue is that an HTTP Last-Modified timestamp matching acceptance does not establish when a client could first retrieve the document. That requires timestamped retrieval observations, ideally including the last unsuccessful and first successful attempt. Do you have a Form 4-specific breakdown comparing first successful XML/SGML retrieval with RSS discovery? It would be interesting to see the distribution around 16:00 ET and whether the newer CIK requirement changed coverage or latency.

ET Jordan from Solana

Computershare might not support sales outside of normal market hours. Try again tomorrow after 9:30AM ET.

**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 15W - 6L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPCX** | $155.51 (above) | $148.10 | +5.0% | Wed 4:10 PM ET |

**BanBet Created** ▼ | **Record:** 0W - 1L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NFLX** | $60.00 (below) | $69.76 | -14.0% | Tue 3:40 PM ET |

One thing worth doing once the rules are written down is testing each filter on its own instead of just trusting it. Pull your last 100 or so setups that touched a key level and split them into the ones that closed with your min volume vs the ones that didnt, then compare win rate and avg R for each bucket. If the volume bucket isnt clearly better after fees, the filter is mostly making you feel safer lol. Also worth defining min volume as relative, like 1.5x the 20 bar average for that same time of day, since BTC volume at 3 ET looks nothing like volume around the US open. And write the exit rules down the same way, a lot of the edge (or lack of it) shows up there and not in the entry.

| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SOXX** ▼ | $450.00 (below) | $576.24 | $501.99 | -21.9% | Thu 3:26 PM ET | | **Record** | 0W - 3L | 0% | - | - | - |

What a night for Rovia users. Around 22:25 IST tonight (Oct 19), everyone in Rovia Insiders WhatsApp group (104 members) started getting emails: "Your SELL order is complete" Problem: No one placed any sell order. Within 5 mins: \- Portfolio shows 0 stocks / blank \- All cash moved to wallet \- Many accounts show a forced BUY of PLAG (Planet Green Holdings Corp) that they never placed \- App says "Transfer your RSUs" screen, unable to access holdings Rovia Team response in group: \> "There seems to be an issue with the custodian and this will be restored" \> "Yes, Alpaca incorrectly marked some trades on the account due to an issue at their end" \> "All the funds assets and money are completely safe" \> "These will be restored by end of day and there will be no tax implications" BUT - PLAG WAS actually traded on NYSE AMERICAN. This was not just a display bug. I have Yahoo Finance chart: \- Open: $0.689 \- High: $2.68 \- Low: $0.70 \- Vol: 3.491Cr (normal vol is ∼200k) \- Clear vertical spike at exactly 22:00-23:00 IST (12:30pm ET) So erroneous orders DID hit the exchange tape and caused a 308% pump. PLAG is a $9M market cap micro-cap with 45 employees, float 11.68M. Any small erroneous volume pumps it. Questions that Rovia/Alpaca haven't answered: 1. How can a custodian initiate trades on client accounts without authorization? Isn't this a breach of fiduciary duty / trust? 2. If trades are "trade busted" tomorrow, who bears the loss for PLAG bought at $2.68 now trading at $0.95? 3. Why no official incident report on Alpaca status page? 4. What about STCG/LTCG and 180-day repatriation compliance if trades are recorded at exchange level? Anyone else affected? Did your portfolio come back? Mine is still showing empty / PLAG buy.

🛢️ The Houthis claim they hit a Saudi Aramco site, an oilfield, and the Riyadh and Abha airports (Reuters, about 12:41 PM ET). Damage isn't confirmed. This goes further than this morning's Riyadh scare because oil sites are now being named. So far oil is mixed, with WTI up 1.5% and Brent flat as of 1:06 PM ET. SPY: a mild headwind that turns into a real risk to the bounce if the damage is confirmed or crude spikes. Reuters via Devdiscourse · Oil move on X Heads up: viral X posts saying Trump announced a US-Iran settlement are a recycled June 11 video from spam accounts. No wire service has it, so don't trade it.

**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 3W - 3L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **RIVN** | $15.00 (above) | $12.31 | +21.8% | Mon, Nov 2, 12:01 PM ET |

What to expect: Big tokenization news, growing institutional adoption, summit NYC recap, and more wins across the ecosystem. Last quarter gave us a lot to talk about, so let’s talk about it. Join the Quarterly Ecosystem Call tomorrow at 1pm ET for the highlights and a look at what’s upcoming. Watch live on X tomorrow and RSVP below: https://luma.com/avalancheQ3

🇨🇳 The Information reports DeepSeek and Huawei are teaming up on AI chips to compete with Nvidia. It came out about 12:03 PM ET, in the middle of today's chip bounce. SPY: mild drag that could cap the tech-led gains. Walter Bloomberg post ⚠️ Zerohedge says the cost of insuring Nvidia and Broadcom debt against default just hit record highs. That's AI credit stress spreading to the strongest names, even with the stocks up today. SPY: a risk-off warning if the bounce starts to fade. Zerohedge post

**BanBet Created** ▲ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $782.00 (above) | $768.21 | +1.8% | Mon, Oct 26, 12:21 PM ET |

I'm full porting puts on Oct 28 at 1:50pm ET

**BanBet Created** ▼ | **Record:** 0W - 1L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **TSLA** | $350.00 (below) | $367.17 | -4.7% | Wed 11:15 AM ET |

| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **MU** ▲ | $1200.00 (above) | $1088.84 | $918.89 | +10.2% | Wed 1:23 PM ET | | **Record** | 3W - 4L | 43% | - | - | - |

Anybody else praying for a disappointing read when SAP publishes Q3 earnings on Wednesday after the market closes (conference call's at 5:00 PM ET)? Nobody wants to talk about a German company but it's arguably the absolute bedrock of global enterprise AI. It's honestly one of the widest moat businesses I've ever seen and has a HUGE AI tailwind right now. It's not that expensive right now at about 24x forward but I'd love a drawdown off the back of earnings so I can load up. I'll put my full write up in the comments (free). Bull case: * High quality compounder & double bagger over past 4 years – growing into €230B market cap * Picks and shovels AI play with growth : Current Cloud Backlog (CCB) : +26% to €22.9 Billion * Highly predictable revenues & huge switching costs: \~98% retention rates * Elite cash generation & capital allocation