EPS
WisdomTree U.S. LargeCap Fund
stock NYSE ETF

Nike guided fiscal 2027 adjusted EPS to $1.15-1.35 last night. The dividend is $1.64 a share.
That's a payout of about 130% of adjusted earnings at the midpoint, before roughly $0.15 of restructuring charges. China revenue fell 26% currency-neutral and they announced layoffs.
The stock fell about 9% after hours, which puts the yield near 5%.
Do they hold the dividend through the turnaround, or is a cut the cleaner reset?

Why, so you can watch it bounce between 330 and 350 until Anthropic IPOs...and that IPO better perform, AVGO better beat the brakes off of next qtrs EPS, Revenue, Guidance, and Backlog Estimates or something amazing; or else Broadcom is going to continue to bleed.

What is missing is people’s paying for future EPS not dividends. You can distribute eps as a dividend. Use it to improve the business with r&d or buy back stock.
Not all stock buybacks are the same. Some are used for stock based compensation and are distributed to employees. Others retire outstanding shares. Retiring 3 percent of outstanding shares reduce the divisor in calculating earnings per share. So if the company makes 100 with 100 shares outstanding that is $1 per share.
Next period the company still makes $100 but there are only 97 shares outstanding and eps will rise to $1.031 per share. This will have an effect that shareholders now will earn more $$$ over the future periods.
If you keep the company your future value of EPS has gone up by 3 percent. You can now sell 3 percent and be even with the previous year down to your percentage holdings. Or you keep your current shares that are worth 3 percent more. Yes a stock could be down 40 percent like Adobe. That is based on market conditions. While not always true NVDA and APPL are more representative of companies with buybacks.

**Something worth paying attention to with the valuation.**
Sales growth is running around **56%**, forecast earnings growth is approximately **26%**, and the **12-month forward EPS estimate has climbed to roughly $0.15**.
At a share price around **$4.25**, $0.15 forward EPS gives you a **\~28× forward P/E**.
The valuation math:
**30× P/E → $4.50**
**40× P/E → $6.00**
**50× P/E → $7.50**
The bigger point isn’t choosing a P/E multiple. It’s the **direction of forward earnings**. If EPS continues moving higher while revenue and earnings growth remain strong, the earnings-based valuation moves higher with it.
**Forward EPS is the number to watch.**

NKE is a 30$ stock every day of the week. They either need to eliminate the dividend...or increase their EPS. If neither of those happen, this stock is going nowhere fast.

The just beat EPS by 10.5%

We routinely see various companies beat expectations and sell-off. It probably investment firms that have their own set of expectations and they own a large amount of shares. Maybe a firm thought they would have an EPS of $35 per share, but it didn't meet their higher expectations so they sold.

Well Nike numbers are out… and yeah, I’m not gonna lie, this is pretty much what I was talking about in my last post 💀
Nike technically beat on EPS, but missed on revenue, and then proceeded to guide for a high-single-digit revenue decline for FY2027, China sales were down 26% too. 😭
Remember my last post when I asked what the bull case even was anymore? I genuinely want to hear it now. Because at some point “it’s at a 13 year low” can’t just be the entire investment thesis.
The brand can be legendary and the stock can still have a terrible business trajectory.The turnaround story keeps getting pushed further out, Nike is still dealing with competition, China is getting smoked, and now management is talking about more restructuring and job cuts.
Reuters is reporting that Nike expects the restructuring to save $2.5B by FY2031, but that’s a LONG way from now, And this is the part that gets me.
The stock is already down massively, yet the actual turnaround still needs more time. So what exactly is supposed to make this thing rip back to $50+?
A new shoe?
AI?
Jordan somehow carrying the entire company?
China suddenly waking back up?
At what point does “Nike is too strong to fail” become “Nike is too big to fall apart quickly,
but that doesn’t mean the stock can’t keep bleeding”?
I’m not saying Nike is going to $20 tomorrow. But after tonight, I definitely don’t think $20 sounds as crazy as people were making it seem when I posted this the first time.
Last post about nike 💀✌️ good luck to the bag holders.( and yes I played shorts but way otm so iv probably take everything)

Nike beat EPS but guided to a high-single-digit revenue decline. Value play or value trap?

In November of 2024, FLOW had an EPS NTM estimate of 1.28
Today it is .70 cents.
The share price went from 23 to 5.56
What is stopping FLO from cutting the dividend, resolve its debt when its sales have been stable but not enough to handle the additional legal hurdles.

$2.10 EPS and a multiple lower than a shit retailer. DCF on a risk adjusted 12% ROIC.

The main event tomorrow (Fri Oct 2) is the September jobs report at 8:30am ET, and Nike is the only name with an earnings reaction. I found no other noteworthy earnings for Friday \[3\]. Levels below are from closing prices (the data has no intraday highs and lows).
**Catalysts**
* **September payrolls:** consensus is +89K, prior +162K \[1\]. Trading Economics' model forecast is 120K \[2\]. August's +162K beat a 55K consensus and pushed up Fed-hike bets. The S&P 500 closed down 0.38% that day and consumer discretionary fell most \[1\]\[6\].
* **Rates backdrop:** the 10-year yield was 5.31% on Oct 1, up 0.53 points in a month \[10\]. The ^(TNX) quote shows 5.24% \[13\]; I couldn't reconcile the two. A Fed hike is the live risk, and yields hit their highest since 2007 in mid-September on Iran-driven oil \[11\].
* **Nike (NKE):** reported after the close. Revenue was $11.21B, down 4% and below the $11.32B estimate. Greater China fell 22%. Adjusted FY27 EPS guidance is $1.15–1.35, about 22% below the $1.61 consensus. The stock was down as much as 6.6% after hours \[9\]. It closed at $35.15, a six-month low \[12\]\[14\].
**Likely affected (my judgment):** NKE and consumer discretionary peers (XLY, LULU), SPY, QQQ, IWM, TLT, and rate-sensitive groups such as banks, homebuilders, REITs and utilities. I didn't test levels on the last group.
**Levels on the five most exposed**
|Last|Nearest support|Nearest resistance|Read|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|NKE|35.15|None, at 6M low|38.77 (20d high), 38.85 (50d SMA)|Gapping below its low|
|TLT|77.71|None, at 6M low|82.21 (20d high)|At the low|
|IWM|279.02|277.89 (20d and 60d low), 0.41% below|295.24 (20d high)|On support|
|SPY|763.99|761.56 (50d SMA), 752.18 (20d low)|773.5 (20d high), 775.95 (6M high)|Mid-range, 1.54% below the high|
|QQQ|742.03|715.06 (50d SMA)|747.46 (6M high), 0.73% above|Just under the high|
**Betting markets**
* **Payrolls:** Polymarket puts 100–150K at 36.5% and 50–100K at 33.0%. Kalshi has above 125K at 28% and above 0 at 88% \[8\]. Both imply a print near or above the 89K consensus.
* **Unemployment rate:** Polymarket has 4.1% at 38.5%, 4.2% at 30.0% and 4.0% at 23.0% \[4\].
* **Fed (Oct 28):** Polymarket has no change at 73.5% and a 25bp hike at 25.5% \[7\]. A strong print raises the hike odds, and the August precedent shows that is bad for equities and bonds.
* **Nike:** the only Nike markets are earnings-call word-mention contracts, so there is no price signal.
**Most likely to jump**
* **TLT:** the most asymmetric. It sits at its 6M low, and the nearest resistance is 5.5% above. A weak print (Polymarket gives below 50K about 24%) could trigger a sharp short-covering bounce. A hot print breaks the low and extends the 5.31% yield move.
* **IWM:** it is 0.41% above support at 277.89. A weak print and falling yields could spark a relief rally. A hot print breaks below it, with the next support at the 6M low of 250.04.
* **NKE:** a gap down from the 6M low into open air, with no support below $35.15. A bounce back toward 38.8 is possible but needs a reversal after the guidance cut, and short interest was already called crowded \[5\].
* **SPY and QQQ:** these have less room either way. QQQ needs only a 0.73% move to test its 747.46 high, and SPY has support at 761.56 just below.
Net view for the next few days: I give the upside scenario somewhat more weight. TLT and IWM have the best skew at their lows on a soft number. The strongest bear point is that August's beat of about 107K over consensus triggered a sell-off. A second beat with the 10-year above 5.3% would break TLT, IWM and NKE together.
**Sources**
* \[1\] United States Nonfarm Payrolls — Web Search
* \[2\] United States Non Farm Payrolls — Web Search
* \[3\] Earnings Calendar and Analysis for This Week (Sept. 28-Oct. 2) | Kiplinger — Web Search
* \[4\] Prediction markets: jobs report unemployment rate September — Source
* \[5\] NIKE, Inc. (NKE) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo Finance — Web Search
* \[6\] Wall Street ends lower as solid jobs data fuels hawkish Fed bets | Reuters — Web Search
* \[7\] Prediction markets: Fed rate October FOMC — Source
* \[8\] Prediction markets: nonfarm payrolls September jobs added — Source
* \[9\] Why Nike Stock Fell After Its October 2026 Earnings — Web Search
* \[10\] US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Quote - Chart - Historical Data - News — Web Search
* \[11\] 10-year Treasury yield hits highest level since 2007 — Web Search
* \[12\] NKE Quote — Live Quote · NKE
* \[13\] ^(TNX) Quote — Live Quote · ^(TNX)
* \[14\] NKE Historical Data (6mo) — Historical Market Data · NKE

Nike, $NKE, earnings: - EPS: $0.48, est: $0.44 - Revenue: $11.2 billion, et: $11.3 billion

As I am typing this, I am still shocked this is possible and how easy it is to set this up for anyone.
A few weeks back, I kept hearing about Muse, which is basically an AI assistant that can use its own computer and keep doing work for you automatically.
So I gave it a task I have wanted to automate for years:
Monitor my portfolio exactly how I want, and every day search the market for new stock opportunities.
I honestly expected the results to be trash but they were very good.
The first thing I tested was whether it could find stocks across the entire set of US markets that meet my specific criteria.
My criteria right now looks like this:
Three-year revenue CAGR 10% or higher
Latest annual revenue growth 10% or higher
Latest net-income growth 15% or higher
Gross margin 45% or higher
Operating margin 10.7% or higher
Free-cash-flow margin 16% or higher
Approximate ROIC 6.3% or higher
Annual share-count dilution -2% max but ideally positive
I connected Muse to an affordable stock API so it can screen thousands of US-listed stocks every day at 10am. But instead of just returning a giant list, it launches specialized agents to research every company that passes the filters.
My workflow looks like this:
* Growth analyst: forward revenue growth, EPS expectations, company guidance and industry outlook
* Valuation analyst: tests my valuation rules, including growth-adjusted pe and ev/sales relative to growth
* Moat analyst: analyzes what protects the business from competitors
* Financial health analyst: balance sheet, fcf, roic, leverage and margins
* Management analyst: CEO tenure, guidance accuracy, acquisitions, buybacks, dilution, insider ownership and capital allocation
* Durability/catalyst analyst: what keeps growth going and what could make the market recognize the opportunity
* Bear analyst: builds the strongest case against the investment
* Bull analyst: builds the strongest case for it
* CIO agent: reads everything and gives me a shortlist of the companies actually worth researching further
The end result each morning is basically:
"Here is what changed, here are the stocks that passed your screen, here’s the bull/bear research, and here are the 2–3 companies worth looking at today."
Then I can spend my time actually analyzing those few companies in depth.
The second thing I tested was my existing portfolio.
I gave Muse access to my portfolio and asked it to monitor every holding for new opportunities, threats and anything that might change my original investment thesis.
I now get that update every morning at 10am, and it has already made it much easier to keep track of what is happening across my holdings.
The point isn’t my particular investing criteria or my exact list of agents.
The interesting part is that you can replace all of this with your own investing process and have agents run your excat checklist and prcess for you.
And then have the system run it for you every day and get an update on your phone.
The setup was surprisingly simple: connect Muse to financial data, give it your prompts, and tell it what you want checked and how often.
So far I have also been able to run this daily without hitting any usage limits.
The next experiment I want to try is changing the screening rules based on the characteristics that the most successful stocks of the last 20 years had before their biggest runs, then seeing what the system finds.
If anyone tries building something similar, I’d be very interested to hear what agents or screening criteria you use.

Kevin Plank just took back over as CEO. All these companies will be fine. Nike beat EPS by 9% and dropped as stocks do. The company itself is fine. It's the number one athletic brand in the world.
In 20 years it will likely be the same five companies selling athletic gear. Puma might join them a little more.

2quarters ago they had huge EPS because they considered as profits tariffs refund
I don't even bother to check if they ever even received it lol

Tweet Mirror:[FirstSquawk](https://twitter.com/FirstSquawk/status/2105760605500273049)
>ONSEMI IS TO BUY SYNAPTICS FOR $123 PER SHARE IN CASH UNDER A REVISED MERGER AGREEMENT, VALUING THE DEAL AT $5\.70 BLN, SOURCES SAY, WITH THE TRANSACTION EXPECTED TO BE IMMEDIATELY ACCRETIVE TO ONSEMI'S NON\-GAAP EPS AND FINANCED WITH CASH AND COMMITTED DEBT FUNDING FROM MORGAN STANLEY\.
Tweet Mirror:[FirstSquawk](https://twitter.com/FirstSquawk/status/2105760632360591639)
>ONSEMI SAYS THE COMPANIES HAVE IDENTIFIED FURTHER OPPORTUNITIES BEYOND $200 MLN IN ANNUAL RUN\-RATE SYNERGIES\.

FY27 Guide: 🔹 Adj. EPS: $1.15-$1.35 (Est. $1.65) 🔴 🔹 Revenue: Decline high-single digits 🔹 Tax Rate: Mid-20% range
Wär langsam zeit dass der orangene dem laden bisschen unter die arme greift so wie Intel damals

Autsch
$NKE | NIKE Q1 27 EARNINGS:
• REVENUE: $11.21B (EST $11.33B)
• EPS: 48C VS 49C Y/Y
• GROSS MARGIN: 42.8% VS 42.2% Y/Y
• NIKE BRAND REVENUE: $10.95B (EST $11.09B)
• GREATER CHINA EBIT: $248M (EST $312.2M)
• INVENTORY: $7.8B (EST $7.96B)

$NKE
EPS $0.48, est. $0.44, vs. $0.49 y/y
Revenue $11.21B, est. $11.33B
Nike Brand revenue $10.95B, est. $11.09B
Gross margin 42.8%, vs. 42.2% y/y
Greater China EBIT $248M, est. $312.2M
Inventory $7.80B, est. $7.96B
Expects FY27 revenue to decline high-single digits
Expects adjusted EPS $1.15 to $1.35 for fiscal 2027