CPI
CPI Inflation Hedged ETF
stock NYSE

worse than this?
• Dehumanizing immigrants.
• Stopped funding plan parenthood.
• 1 in 5 rural hospitals will close.
• 1 in 4 nursing homes will close.
• 6 trillion added to out debt.
• 11.8 million lose insurance.
• 850 billion cut medicaid.
• Child poverty increased.
• 1 in 4 children miss a meal.
• Cuts to SNAP benefits.
• Ukriane support stopped.
• Genocide of Palestinians.
• Genocide of Ukrianians.
• Rapist as a President.
• Felon as a President.
• Conman as a President.
• immigrants dying in detention.
• Republicans lying by minute.
• CPI inflation increasing.
• GDP shrinking.
• Consumer confidence down 5.4%.
• US dollar down 11%.
• Exports down 9 billion.
• Trade deficit up 14%.
• Consumers paying for tariffs.
• Redistribution of wealth.
• Tax breaks for the wealthiest.
• Racism and systemic racism.
• White Nationalist.

It's a coordinated effort to the pockets of white Americans and supremacy. For the list above I can't celebrate United States because it no longer celebrates everyone here.

Lost your entire account? Got stopped out by 0.1 pip/tick again? It's *definitely* not your fault.
The issue isn't your poor risk management or that "YOLO" trade on CPI news. No no — it's **Saturn**. It's always Saturn.
**Maybe Jupiter wasn’t aligned with your fib levels.**
**Maybe the moon trined your SL.**
Who knows? You’re a victim of celestial sabotage.
Forget charts. Learn astrology.
Trade by star signs.
**Blame the planets.**
*Account blown? Mercury did it.*

I have not really seen prices go up that much. The CPI indicator that the FED looks at is pretty flat as well. Standard 2% or so

Sorry, it’s *never* made a losing trade? It correctly predicted every BOL report, every CPI, every GDP report, every debt ceiling negotiation, etc.?
Is this arbitrage then? Because I don’t see how a directional strategy can predict all the factors that impact dollar buying power with 100% accuracy.
What backtesting framework are you using?

The net inflation rate (in CPI terms) is 20%, meaning $69k would be $82.8k. BTC currently exchanges at 30% higher than that, so its exceeded it's 2021 high significantly.
If, instead, you use historical inflation rate, and ignore CPI, the rate would be 7.7%/yr, net 34.5%. That makes $69k into $92.8k. BTC is exchanging at a rate 16% higher than that now. Safe to say, it has far outpaced inflation. Demand is up, supply is also up (but much less).

And we know the inflation is closer to 10+%. 
In Canada, our M2 has expanded on average, 6.6% per year over the last 25 years (6.8% per year on average in the US since 1971). Then there is the manipulation of the CPI basket by way of substitution, hedonic adjustments, geometric weighting, and owner’s equivalent rent.

worse than this?
• Dehumanizing immigrants.
• Stopped funding plan parenthood.
• 1 in 5 rural hospitals will close.
• 1 in 4 nursing homes will close.
• 6 trillion added to out debt.
• 11.8 million lose insurance.
• 850 billion cut medicaid.
• Child poverty increased.
• 1 in 4 children miss a meal.
• Cuts to SNAP benefits.
• Ukriane support stopped.
• Genocide of Palestinians.
• Genocide of Ukrianians.
• Rapist as a President.
• Felon as a President.
• Conman as a President.
• immigrants dying in detention.
• Republicans lying by minute.
• CPI inflation increasing.
• GDP shrinking.
• Consumer confidence down 5.4%.
• US dollar down 11%.
• Exports down 9 billion.
• Trade deficit up 14%.
• Consumers paying for tariffs.
• Redistribution of wealth.
• Tax breaks for the wealthiest.
• Racism and systemic racism.
• White Nationalist.

It's a coordinated effort to the pockets of white Americans and supremacy. For the list above I can't celebrate United States because it no longer celebrates everyone here.

Lost your entire account? Got stopped out by 0.1 pip/tick again? It's *definitely* not your fault.
The issue isn't your poor risk management or that "YOLO" trade on CPI news. No no — it's **Saturn**. It's always Saturn.
**Maybe Jupiter wasn’t aligned with your fib levels.**
**Maybe the moon trined your SL.**
Who knows? You’re a victim of celestial sabotage.
Forget charts. Learn astrology.
Trade by star signs.
**Blame the planets.**
*Account blown? Mercury did it.*

I have not really seen prices go up that much. The CPI indicator that the FED looks at is pretty flat as well. Standard 2% or so

Sorry, it’s *never* made a losing trade? It correctly predicted every BOL report, every CPI, every GDP report, every debt ceiling negotiation, etc.?
Is this arbitrage then? Because I don’t see how a directional strategy can predict all the factors that impact dollar buying power with 100% accuracy.
What backtesting framework are you using?

The net inflation rate (in CPI terms) is 20%, meaning $69k would be $82.8k. BTC currently exchanges at 30% higher than that, so its exceeded it's 2021 high significantly.
If, instead, you use historical inflation rate, and ignore CPI, the rate would be 7.7%/yr, net 34.5%. That makes $69k into $92.8k. BTC is exchanging at a rate 16% higher than that now. Safe to say, it has far outpaced inflation. Demand is up, supply is also up (but much less).

And we know the inflation is closer to 10+%. 
In Canada, our M2 has expanded on average, 6.6% per year over the last 25 years (6.8% per year on average in the US since 1971). Then there is the manipulation of the CPI basket by way of substitution, hedonic adjustments, geometric weighting, and owner’s equivalent rent.

You aren't keeping up with true purchasing power. You are using government CPI numbers for inflation. That's not the true numbers.
Currently debasement is more like 7% a year.

I ask this every day (along with half this sub) and am personally holding tons of cash. But I think half of people are bullish half are bearish. There’s no real hard data (yet) saying things are down. There’s no reason to assume the worst other than economists and companies being conservative on making forecasts. Nothing terrible has actually happened yet. That being said, The CPI data is being calculated differently, jobs report data is contradicting and tariffs absolutely will hurt things long term. BUT the stock market doesn’t care and it will essentially do what people want it to do, it’s a self fulfilling prophecy in a way. I honestly think it could take till fall at a minimum for people to realize things are bad, but the market could go up forever! Everyone desperately wants it to make sense but it doesn’t.

Without Googling for a link, I suspect you'd agree there is a statistical link between performance and frequency of trading.
Daytraders fail 97% of the time, Swing traders have an advantage, long term B&H are 100% successful.
This is likely the biggest contributor to that stat -
Almost all stock gains occur overnight, over time likely due to reports (earnings, CPI, etc ) that come out after and premarket hours.
NASDAQ article:
[https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/like-night-and-day](https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/like-night-and-day)
"In fact, over the more than 30 years in this chart:
* **Intraday** returns are barely positive (+12%).
* **The buy-and-hold** strategy has increased almost 20-fold.
* **Overnight** returns, therefore, have also increased close to 20-fold."

After tax and CPI = $56

About two months ago I stumbled on **TradingAgent** by TauricResearch and it *lit a fire* under me. The idea of handing the market-watch grind to a swarm of GPT researchers felt like the future: drop in a ticker, let the bulls and bears argue it out, and I just read the verdict. Perfect for anyone who loves markets but hates staring at charts all day.
But after a week on the paper account I hit the walls:
* single-ticker only
* no crypto, no macro lens
* command-line only (goodbye, spouse-friendly UX)
* zero scheduling — I had to babysit the script
* no “push the button” auto-trade
So… I rebuilt it.
[config, status and decision panels](https://preview.redd.it/2b7j7ahagwaf1.png?width=1402&format=png&auto=webp&s=428ec5a18383b4ba6b72e5c8569fe2b47a39e6d0)
What’s new
* **Dash-powered web UI** – tabs for each agent, live charts, manual controls.
* **Five specialist agents** – Market, Social, News, Fundamentals, *and* Macro (Fed speeches, CPI prints, etc.).
* **Debate stage → 3 Risk Managers** – a final sanity check before anything reaches the order book.
* **Stocks** ***and*** **Crypto** – BTC/USD, ETH/USD, you name it (news via Coindesk, data via DeFi Llama).
* **Multi-symbol runs** – “NVDA, AAPL, ETH/USD” in one click.
* **Scheduler** – loop every N hours or only during market sessions; set-and-forget overnight.
* **Alpaca auto-trade** – margin long/short, or paper mode if you’re sane.
* **Account dashboard** – buying power, open P/L, one-tap liquidate.
Repo (with `env.sample`): [**https://github.com/huygiatrng/AlpacaTradingAgent**](https://github.com/huygiatrng/AlpacaTradingAgent)
# Quick result
Five-day paper run on **NVDA** (bullish-ish week, some chop). Settings:
* GPT-4o-mini for fast passes, o3 for deep dives
* margin = 2, shorting allowed
→ **+2.7 %** vs NVDA’s own +2.0 %. Tiny sample, bullish backdrop, but encouraging.
# Why I’m posting
I think this could save weekend warriors a *ton* of screen time. I’d love feedback on:
* Extra data feeds worth wiring in?
* Smarter risk verdicts?
* Performance on small-caps or an outright bear tape?
Try it, break it, fork it—tell me what hurts. And of course: **NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, use paper trading first, etc.**
Can’t wait to hear your ideas!

If we woke up one morning to a 5% change in CPI, it would equate to a catastrophic market drop that would continue for weeks, maybe months.
We're sitting on a 55% tax on almost everything we buy and the market's breaching ATH.
Either Trump's been bluffing the whole time, or "priced in" is the result of promoters and influencers on the payrolls of the big players pummeling retail trading forums until retail traders themselves are parroting it.
I don't question Warren Buffet.
For me, it's a matter of Plato's allegory of the cave ...who's creating the shadows on my wall, and which of them objects when I ask to see the source of light.

Like I said, that will show up, if and when it happens, in CPI.
That's the number to look at, for US investors anyway. Not DXY.

I mean, they're not wrong. None of the tarrifs have shown up in CPI, all the DOGE stuff hasn't shown up in employment numbers.
There's a lot of reasons to suspect it's not going to stay this way, but for today, the numbers are fine.
The dollar is down, but until that shows up in CPI it's arguably beneficial.