MSFT
Microsoft Corp
stock NASDAQ

I've been holding them since the last earnings. Rode them down, then back up again. I'm up, decently, and they're finally ITM, just..
Earnings will either pump or dump the stock. MSFT murdered my port last earnings..

The TSLA and MSFT GEX

CAPEX will tank MSFT and Meta, at least that's my play for this earning

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT.NE/

I sold NBIS at $78, NFLX at $77, MSFT at $400, AMZN at $202, AAPL at $205.

MSFT and chill

MSFT, AAPL, AMZN are all dropping earnings this week!

Thebes one is MSFT. But I bought the other Saas too.

The only similarity is AI fear slowing revenue growth which affected MSFT, NOW, CRM, and other stocks just a few days ago.
But yeah fears are fears. Google was once dismissed because AI would eat its lunch in the search segment. Clearly that was all irrational fear. MSFT won't be affected by this, and if they will be, would we expect them to sit on their hands and let it happen?

But also MSFT invested hard early gambling OAI would keep hegemony and we all saw how that ended up

I think gross mismanagement will kill MSFT in about 30 years, but they'll limp along ala IBM for the foreseeable future.

I guess it depends on what horizon you are thinking of when you say long-term. If truly long term (10+ years), my recommendation is to DCA (and DRIP) QQQ/QQQM and/or SPY/VOO (and perhaps VXUS for non-US exposure). It gives you broad exposure to the biggest companies and will grow over time.
If looking for individual stocks, my favorites are NVDA, MSFT, GOOG, AMZN, ASML, TSM and META. All are mega caps and have a strong moat, with amazing fundamentals. Again - recommend DCA/DRIP instead of timing the market with these as well.

What's the worse that could happen? It's MSFT. Not like it'll go down by 20%

Everyone is bullish on MSFT earnings. Im scared

MSFT needs to reassure investors that its OpenAI-related backlog and AI infrastructure spending are controlled, and that capex is translating into better operating leverage and margin expansion.
If Microsoft shows only minimal margin improvement from all their AI capex while also announcing even higher future spending for the next quarterly earnings, the stock could get hit in the short term. In that case, investors may need to wait for fundamentals to catch up for their spending cycle.
For me, MSFT is still a buy at today’s price. But being undervalued does not mean it cannot sell off. The key question for this earnings report is whether Microsoft can prove that their capex is productive. If the market sees improving fundamentals, it could reward more investment. If not, the stock could trade sideways or get punished even if the long-term thesis remains intact.
Long term, I still think MSFT is a great buy but near term, the company is shaky and the market will need evidence that spending is productive.

You’re lucky this is MSFT. Might be fine. Dumb play regardless to play covered when entire WSB posts were loading up leaps at 350s. You should not be handling such amount.

I’m always bullish on MSFT

MSFT keeps delivering solid numbers, it’s just expectations are insane. Maybe this is the quarter it finally gets rewarded.

People really have nothing helpful to say in the comments, so I'll try to add something to a bottomless pit of nothing.
1. OpenAI recently ended its exclusive partnership with Microsoft and will start using other hyperscalers.
2. Microsoft is trying to build its own LLM's
3. Microsoft is trying to get people to quit? Instead of just firing them.
4. Co-pilot is still garbage
5. Anecdotal but I recently interviewed with Microsoft and I got boomer mansplained about the importance of manually writing optimal algorithms from the Principal Engineer who headed the department.
6. The CEO is frequently talking about things he absolutely has no clue about.

Microsoft's server usage is going to be insane. AI is constantly growing. There software sector is most likely not going anywhere right now and they will have good growth. The real question is how does the market interpret the OpenAI contract and future outlook of there home grown models.
I recently cashed out 400 calls on MSFT that I bought near the bottom for 200% gains. I was considering getting back in but after I thought through it, I don't see much upside here. Their spending is going to come in VERY high. They won't have anything to show on the AI front. Any hints of slowed growth or continued high level spending is going to kill any upward movement on MSFT.

They are starting to get bucketed into the legacy SaaS model and its not looking good until SaaS is re-rated like growth stocks. Big tech outside of MSFT is being priced high due to being marketplaces with high growth cloud and AI services/advertising.

Probably why OpenAi got amazon in as investors. Scam Altman probably wanted to buy up more azure clouds on “commitment money” and MSFT probably told him to fuck off due to investors not being happy about it. That breakup between MSFT and OpenAi could be a good thing for both sides.