AVAV
AeroVironment, Inc.
stock NASDAQ

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|Rank|Ticker|Score|Val(2x)|Pos|Own|Mgmt|Cat|Grow|Sect|Price|RSI|ToFV%|FairVal|Buy<|Sell>|FwdPE|Beta|RevG%|EarnG%|OpM%|Sent|SecSc|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|1|BN|5|2|1|0|1|1|0|0|38.19|25.5|41.4|54|45.9|62.1|6.5|1.82|8.5|40.3|25.7|44|28|
|2|NVDA|5|2|0|1|1|1|1|\-1|220.27|49.8|26.4|278.5|236.73|327.65|14.2|2.22|105.9|127.8|66.2|35|21|
|3|AVGO|5|2|0|1|1|1|1|\-1|365.22|41.4|23.8|452.07|384.26|531.85|18.9|1.46|85.5|215.3|54.3|40|21|
|4|MU|4|2|\-1|1|1|1|1|\-1|979.64|53.3|31.3|1286.14|1093.22|1513.11|6.3|2.22|345.7|1368.5|80.4|33|21|
|5|SEI|4|2|\-1|0|1|1|0|1|67.98|59.2|20|81.59|69.35|95.99|28.7|1.26|46.9|\-13.5|26.5|77|63|
|6|AMZN|3|0|1|1|1|0|1|\-1|255.55|43.6|9.2|278.94|237.1|328.17|24.6|1.44|19.6|242.3|13.7|26|7|
|7|GOOGL|3|0|0|1|1|0|1|0|339.36|41.3|7.2|363.86|309.28|428.07|22.9|1.23|24.2|294|34|43|33|
|8|MA|3|0|0|1|1|0|1|0|566.2|44.1|0.4|568.25|483.01|668.53|24.6|0.73|14.1|22.1|61.1|50|28|
|9|KTOS|2|2|0|1|\-1|0|1|\-1|45.92|35|54.3|70.86|60.23|104.2|41.6|1.11|30.5|7.4|\-0.2|36|17|
|10|UBER|2|2|0|0|0|0|1|\-1|71.37|43.4|20.4|85.94|73.05|101.11|16.2|1.16|12.2|85.5|13.3|78|21|
|11|CRDO|2|0|1|0|1|0|1|\-1|163.68|32|16.9|191.35|162.64|281.39|16.9|3.23|114.7|97.1|25.2|51|21|
|12|GEV|2|0|0|0|1|1|1|\-1|958.73|42.4|9.6|1050.97|893.32|1236.43|36.5|0.97|21.9|32.8|7.5|43|17|
|13|MSFT|2|\-1|1|1|1|0|1|\-1|494.81|55|\-1.6|486.98|413.93|572.92|21|1.11|17.7|31.7|45.1|16|21|
|14|OKLO|1|2|0|0|\-1|0|0|0|37.63|44.8|42.2|53.51|45.48|78.69|\-37.4|1.2|n/a|n/a|n/m|45|36|
|15|CLS|1|0|0|0|0|1|1|\-1|347.39|52.5|16.8|405.64|344.79|477.22|17.5|1.46|62.4|74.2|9.8|40|21|
|16|AXSM|1|0|0|1|\-1|0|1|0|225.56|48.8|7.6|242.61|206.22|285.42|41.9|0.71|45.5|n/a|\-23.4|56|28|
|17|ORCL|1|0|\-1|0|1|1|1|\-1|153.73|53.5|6.8|164.16|139.53|241.41|13.9|1.73|20.6|21.9|36.2|91|21|
|18|PLTR|1|\-1|1|0|1|0|1|\-1|166.84|48.1|\-0.3|166.37|141.41|195.73|71.8|1.62|92.8|215.4|47.1|24|21|
|19|HOOD|1|\-1|0|0|1|0|1|0|114.45|56.6|\-4.3|109.56|93.12|128.89|33.7|2.34|32.3|47.6|43.9|49|28|
|20|RDDT|1|\-1|0|0|1|0|1|0|155.5|48.9|\-6.8|144.91|123.17|213.1|16|2.02|61.1|177.8|28.8|39|33|
|21|SNOW|0|0|0|1|\-1|0|1|\-1|328.32|54.1|8.3|355.55|302.21|418.29|109.4|1.33|35.1|n/a|\-17|39|21|
|22|META|0|\-1|0|1|1|0|\-1|0|651.73|66.4|\-1.2|643.71|547.16|757.31|18.7|1.24|28|\-13.4|34.8|42|33|
|23|CIEN|0|\-1|0|0|1|0|1|\-1|350.96|38.7|\-2.3|342.81|291.39|504.13|28.8|1.31|37|422.9|18.1|43|21|
|24|TWLO|0|\-1|1|0|0|0|1|\-1|230.8|53.2|\-5.7|217.69|185.03|256.1|34|1.41|22|4671.5|7.8|29|21|
|25|SITM|\-1|0|0|\-1|0|0|1|\-1|627.01|49.8|17|733.36|623.36|862.78|42|2.86|126.5|n/a|10.6|49|21|
|26|SN|\-1|0|0|0|1|0|\-1|\-1|159.61|35.7|11.6|178.13|151.41|209.56|20.8|1.2|22.2|\-6.3|10.2|39|7|
|27|AVAV|\-1|0|\-1|0|\-1|1|1|\-1|140.8|43.5|9.4|154.02|130.92|226.5|33|1.41|133.3|n/a|2.8|85|17|
|28|TER|\-1|\-1|\-1|0|1|0|1|\-1|380.78|50.4|\-0.3|379.5|322.57|446.47|31.8|1.78|103.9|385.8|33.2|47|21|
|29|HPE|\-1|\-1|\-1|0|0|1|1|\-1|61.3|54|\-6.5|57.32|48.72|67.43|13.3|1.44|33.7|410.2|12.6|44|21|
|30|TTWO|\-1|\-1|0|1|\-1|1|\-1|0|218.95|37.4|\-8.7|200|170|286.44|21.1|0.97|2|n/a|0.5|41|33|
|31|AAPL|\-1|\-2|0|0|1|0|1|\-1|332.55|59|\-17.1|275.74|234.38|324.4|34.6|1.08|16.4|28.7|32.6|64|21|
|32|GME|\-2|0|\-1|0|0|0|0|\-1|21.09|64.1|16.9|24.65|20.95|28.35|11.4|1.71|\-18.7|64.5|20|87|7|
|33|DELL|\-3|\-2|\-1|0|0|0|1|\-1|564.75|57.7|\-14.1|484.91|412.17|570.48|19.7|1.41|57.7|272.9|12|36|21|
|34|ZS|\-4|\-2|0|0|\-1|0|0|\-1|165.18|45|\-14.7|140.96|119.81|207.29|29.2|0.95|24.9|n/a|\-1|46|21|
**SYSTEM:**
|Veto|What it checks|Pass rule||
|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|V1 Mandate Fit|Revenue OR earnings growth YoY|Must clear 15% or removed outright||
|V2 Beta / Leverage|Volatility + solvency|Beta under 3.5, and not (D/E over 400% while unprofitable)||
|V3 Liquidity Floor|Market cap and tradability|Market cap over $5B||
|V4 Accounting Integrity|Altman Z / Piotroski F / Beneish M|Not live yet, data source (Stocklake Pro forensic\_scores) is paywalled||
|||||
|PART B -- SCORE GATES (7 gates, -1/0/+1 each, Valuation counts 2x, range -8 to +8)||||
|Gate|Weight|Score +|Score -|
|1 Valuation|2x|Price at or below buy zone (FV x 0.85)|More than 15% above fair value = -2, between FV and FV x1.15 = -1|
|2 Positioning|1x|RSI under 35 or capitulation sentiment|RSI over 68, extended off 52wk low, or crowded sentiment|
|3 Ownership / Flow|1x|Strong buy rating with 20+ analysts|Hold rating, or thin coverage (1-9 analysts)|
|4 Management Quality|1x|Op margin 25%+ or ROE 20%+|Op margin under 5% or negative ROE|
|5 Catalyst|1x|Dated identifiable event within \~90 days|No penalty for absence (0)|
|6 Growth Durability|1x|Revenue 30%+ or earnings 20%+ growth|Revenue under 10% or negative earnings growth|
|7 Sector / Macro Fit|1x|Sector cycle score 50+|Sector score 25 or below|
|||||
|PART C -- FAIR VALUE FORMULA (mechanical, no per-name discretion)||||
|Step|Rule|||
|1|Fair value = street analyst target x 0.85 (haircut for documented analyst optimism bias)|||
|2|If price is under 60% of the 52-week high, apply a further x0.80 haircut, since targets lag names that already got repriced hard|||
|3|Buy-below = fair value x 0.85 (15% margin of safety)|||
|4|Sell-above = the higher of fair value x1.15 or the street target|||
|||||
|PART D -- LOGGED OVERRIDES (every discretionary deviation is written down)||||
|Ticker|Type|Value|Reason|
|BN|Fair value|$54.00|3-method blend: 18x 2027E D/E multiple \~$3.05; management plan value \~$68 haircut 0.78x; street $54.40-57.40|
|GME|Fair value|$24.65|Sum-of-parts, net-liquid assets \~76% of market cap, no analyst target published|
|TTWO|Fair value|$200.00|Scenario-weighted GTA6 bookings, street $286 assumes zero release slip|

|Rank|Ticker|Score|Val(2x)|Pos|Own|Mgmt|Cat|Grow|Sect|Price|RSI|ToFV%|FairVal|Buy<|Sell>|FwdPE|Beta|RevG%|EarnG%|OpM%|Sent|SecSc|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|1|BN|5|2|1|0|1|1|0|0|38.19|25.5|41.4|54|45.9|62.1|6.5|1.82|8.5|40.3|25.7|44|28|
|2|NVDA|5|2|0|1|1|1|1|\-1|220.27|49.8|26.4|278.5|236.73|327.65|14.2|2.22|105.9|127.8|66.2|35|21|
|3|AVGO|5|2|0|1|1|1|1|\-1|365.22|41.4|23.8|452.07|384.26|531.85|18.9|1.46|85.5|215.3|54.3|40|21|
|4|MU|4|2|\-1|1|1|1|1|\-1|979.64|53.3|31.3|1286.14|1093.22|1513.11|6.3|2.22|345.7|1368.5|80.4|33|21|
|5|SEI|4|2|\-1|0|1|1|0|1|67.98|59.2|20|81.59|69.35|95.99|28.7|1.26|46.9|\-13.5|26.5|77|63|
|6|AMZN|3|0|1|1|1|0|1|\-1|255.55|43.6|9.2|278.94|237.1|328.17|24.6|1.44|19.6|242.3|13.7|26|7|
|7|GOOGL|3|0|0|1|1|0|1|0|339.36|41.3|7.2|363.86|309.28|428.07|22.9|1.23|24.2|294|34|43|33|
|8|MA|3|0|0|1|1|0|1|0|566.2|44.1|0.4|568.25|483.01|668.53|24.6|0.73|14.1|22.1|61.1|50|28|
|9|KTOS|2|2|0|1|\-1|0|1|\-1|45.92|35|54.3|70.86|60.23|104.2|41.6|1.11|30.5|7.4|\-0.2|36|17|
|10|UBER|2|2|0|0|0|0|1|\-1|71.37|43.4|20.4|85.94|73.05|101.11|16.2|1.16|12.2|85.5|13.3|78|21|
|11|CRDO|2|0|1|0|1|0|1|\-1|163.68|32|16.9|191.35|162.64|281.39|16.9|3.23|114.7|97.1|25.2|51|21|
|12|GEV|2|0|0|0|1|1|1|\-1|958.73|42.4|9.6|1050.97|893.32|1236.43|36.5|0.97|21.9|32.8|7.5|43|17|
|13|MSFT|2|\-1|1|1|1|0|1|\-1|494.81|55|\-1.6|486.98|413.93|572.92|21|1.11|17.7|31.7|45.1|16|21|
|14|OKLO|1|2|0|0|\-1|0|0|0|37.63|44.8|42.2|53.51|45.48|78.69|\-37.4|1.2|n/a|n/a|n/m|45|36|
|15|CLS|1|0|0|0|0|1|1|\-1|347.39|52.5|16.8|405.64|344.79|477.22|17.5|1.46|62.4|74.2|9.8|40|21|
|16|AXSM|1|0|0|1|\-1|0|1|0|225.56|48.8|7.6|242.61|206.22|285.42|41.9|0.71|45.5|n/a|\-23.4|56|28|
|17|ORCL|1|0|\-1|0|1|1|1|\-1|153.73|53.5|6.8|164.16|139.53|241.41|13.9|1.73|20.6|21.9|36.2|91|21|
|18|PLTR|1|\-1|1|0|1|0|1|\-1|166.84|48.1|\-0.3|166.37|141.41|195.73|71.8|1.62|92.8|215.4|47.1|24|21|
|19|HOOD|1|\-1|0|0|1|0|1|0|114.45|56.6|\-4.3|109.56|93.12|128.89|33.7|2.34|32.3|47.6|43.9|49|28|
|20|RDDT|1|\-1|0|0|1|0|1|0|155.5|48.9|\-6.8|144.91|123.17|213.1|16|2.02|61.1|177.8|28.8|39|33|
|21|SNOW|0|0|0|1|\-1|0|1|\-1|328.32|54.1|8.3|355.55|302.21|418.29|109.4|1.33|35.1|n/a|\-17|39|21|
|22|META|0|\-1|0|1|1|0|\-1|0|651.73|66.4|\-1.2|643.71|547.16|757.31|18.7|1.24|28|\-13.4|34.8|42|33|
|23|CIEN|0|\-1|0|0|1|0|1|\-1|350.96|38.7|\-2.3|342.81|291.39|504.13|28.8|1.31|37|422.9|18.1|43|21|
|24|TWLO|0|\-1|1|0|0|0|1|\-1|230.8|53.2|\-5.7|217.69|185.03|256.1|34|1.41|22|4671.5|7.8|29|21|
|25|SITM|\-1|0|0|\-1|0|0|1|\-1|627.01|49.8|17|733.36|623.36|862.78|42|2.86|126.5|n/a|10.6|49|21|
|26|SN|\-1|0|0|0|1|0|\-1|\-1|159.61|35.7|11.6|178.13|151.41|209.56|20.8|1.2|22.2|\-6.3|10.2|39|7|
|27|AVAV|\-1|0|\-1|0|\-1|1|1|\-1|140.8|43.5|9.4|154.02|130.92|226.5|33|1.41|133.3|n/a|2.8|85|17|
|28|TER|\-1|\-1|\-1|0|1|0|1|\-1|380.78|50.4|\-0.3|379.5|322.57|446.47|31.8|1.78|103.9|385.8|33.2|47|21|
|29|HPE|\-1|\-1|\-1|0|0|1|1|\-1|61.3|54|\-6.5|57.32|48.72|67.43|13.3|1.44|33.7|410.2|12.6|44|21|
|30|TTWO|\-1|\-1|0|1|\-1|1|\-1|0|218.95|37.4|\-8.7|200|170|286.44|21.1|0.97|2|n/a|0.5|41|33|
|31|AAPL|\-1|\-2|0|0|1|0|1|\-1|332.55|59|\-17.1|275.74|234.38|324.4|34.6|1.08|16.4|28.7|32.6|64|21|
|32|GME|\-2|0|\-1|0|0|0|0|\-1|21.09|64.1|16.9|24.65|20.95|28.35|11.4|1.71|\-18.7|64.5|20|87|7|
|33|DELL|\-3|\-2|\-1|0|0|0|1|\-1|564.75|57.7|\-14.1|484.91|412.17|570.48|19.7|1.41|57.7|272.9|12|36|21|
|34|ZS|\-4|\-2|0|0|\-1|0|0|\-1|165.18|45|\-14.7|140.96|119.81|207.29|29.2|0.95|24.9|n/a|\-1|46|21|


**SYSTEM:**
|PART A -- HARD VETOES (fail = removed from ranking, no scoring)||||
|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|Veto|What it checks|Pass rule||
|V1 Mandate Fit|Revenue OR earnings growth YoY|Must clear 15% or removed outright||
|V2 Beta / Leverage|Volatility + solvency|Beta under 3.5, and not (D/E over 400% while unprofitable)||
|V3 Liquidity Floor|Market cap and tradability|Market cap over $5B||
|V4 Accounting Integrity|Altman Z / Piotroski F / Beneish M|Not live yet, data source (Stocklake Pro forensic\_scores) is paywalled||
|||||
|PART B -- SCORE GATES (7 gates, -1/0/+1 each, Valuation counts 2x, range -8 to +8)||||
|Gate|Weight|Score +|Score -|
|1 Valuation|2x|Price at or below buy zone (FV x 0.85)|More than 15% above fair value = -2, between FV and FV x1.15 = -1|
|2 Positioning|1x|RSI under 35 or capitulation sentiment|RSI over 68, extended off 52wk low, or crowded sentiment|
|3 Ownership / Flow|1x|Strong buy rating with 20+ analysts|Hold rating, or thin coverage (1-9 analysts)|
|4 Management Quality|1x|Op margin 25%+ or ROE 20%+|Op margin under 5% or negative ROE|
|5 Catalyst|1x|Dated identifiable event within \~90 days|No penalty for absence (0)|
|6 Growth Durability|1x|Revenue 30%+ or earnings 20%+ growth|Revenue under 10% or negative earnings growth|
|7 Sector / Macro Fit|1x|Sector cycle score 50+|Sector score 25 or below|
|||||
|PART C -- FAIR VALUE FORMULA (mechanical, no per-name discretion)||||
|Step|Rule|||
|1|Fair value = street analyst target x 0.85 (haircut for documented analyst optimism bias)|||
|2|If price is under 60% of the 52-week high, apply a further x0.80 haircut, since targets lag names that already got repriced hard|||
|3|Buy-below = fair value x 0.85 (15% margin of safety)|||
|4|Sell-above = the higher of fair value x1.15 or the street target|||
|||||
|PART D -- LOGGED OVERRIDES (every discretionary deviation is written down)||||
|Ticker|Type|Value|Reason|
|BN|Fair value|$54.00|3-method blend: 18x 2027E D/E multiple \~$3.05; management plan value \~$68 haircut 0.78x; street $54.40-57.40|
|GME|Fair value|$24.65|Sum-of-parts, net-liquid assets \~76% of market cap, no analyst target published|
|TTWO|Fair value|$200.00|Scenario-weighted GTA6 bookings, street $286 assumes zero release slip|

$AVAV. Not really a value stock by traditional metrics, but their growth is real and they've carved out a role in the defense sector where they are bringing in orders for what the future of defense needs. This would definitely have been in the too expensive category when it was trading at $400, but it's at $145 (3.7x sales) right now which is a fair price for a solid growing company. 5-10 year horizon is perfect for them, expect a bumpy ride on a shorter timeframe.

Judging by AVAV's price action, pretty sure we're about to see peace in the middle east for the first time in history.

AVAV is a trash stock with scammy management - every growth will be sold and the stock will dip further down

AVAV is so annoying 😑

AVAV can't catch a break. All these smaller defense companies are acting like the war is already over.

AVAV fucked me real good today

Good time to buy AVAV. Its at $149 right now. Im all in.
“AeroVironment (AVAV) reported impressive fiscal Q1 2027 results, with record revenue of $480 million and an adjusted EPS of $0.59, surpassing expectations.”

AVAV ugly chart that does nothibg

Oracle is gonna pull AVAV like stunt, me thinks. We're not in a bull or bear market. We're in a manipulated market 🫪

see AVAV

AVAV getting some buying today and this is a drone stock well off its highs.

I got into AVAV, and they killed their Earnings in the best way. I think LPTH could be a great buy, I am gonna likely nab some shares before EOD. I'm gonna do more DD, but I am optimistic thus far in my research.

GUYS PUMP AVAV TO 160

You can buy AVAV today and end next week up 30%.

GUYS PUMP AVAV JOIN IN THE FUN BEFORE IT BREAKS 160

AVAV!!!!! There she goes!!!!

I have my portfolio broken down into growth and income-generation, which is split further between dividend/distribution yield and dividend/distribution growth:
dividend/distribution yield: O, MO, BTI, ET, EPD, WES, MPLX, VYMI, SPYI, BTCI and BLOX.
dividend/distribution growth: SCHD, DGRO, LMT, RTX, KO, PEP, FMX, AMGN, ABT, MRK, CVX, CNQ, EOG, GOOGL, NVDA, AVGO, TXN, MARUY and V.
Growth: SKHY, AMZN, PLTR, SOPH, AVAV, KTOS, and OII.

AVAV pumpjng