ADBE
Adobe Inc.
stock NASDAQ

ADBE saving my portfolio. God bless you digital artists

ADBE has stopped disappointing me for the last couple of days. I’m waiting for them to go back down so I can kick myself for buying this D tier stoc

The way I determine my moat is simple. I ask ChatGPT opinions.
However ADBE has been a free falling stock for quite a while and there is a chance AI can disrupt is basic design tools.
As of now I have not bought any adobe, not because the lack of data, but more towards conviction. I prefer for the stock to start consolidating or when the moving averages to converge first when viewed on a technical analysis stand point before entering.

Guess I have some questions on why or how you determine for example ADBE has a wide moat?

$FISV, $ADBE, $PYPL

The lower the price of ADBE goes, the happier I am. At current prices, they are likely to buy back \~10% of their float this year. If stock price gets cut in half, they would buy back \~20%! That would be \*insane\* for a company like Adobe.
Plus, remember, 20% buyback reduces the denominator, which results in 25% earnings growth (not 20%). So I would be exceptionally happy if their stock price tanked more (as long as fundamentals were still ok).

Hi Everyone,
I’m looking for a "vibe check" on my current portfolio. I’ve built this around high-growth companies and industry leaders, but I’m wondering if I’m becoming too concentrated in specific sectors .Am I missing exposure to specific sectors that you think are undervalued right now?
**Strategy:** Long-term growth. I prefer individual "best-in-class" companies over broad ETFs. **Risk Tolerance:** High.
|Ticker|Avg price (USD)|%|Thesis & Fundamental Rationale|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|Alphabet (GOOGL)|$157.00|14.60%|Dominance: Google Cloud is now a major profit engine (30%+ growth). The moat in proprietary AI (TPUs) justifies the heavy $180B+ Capex, ensuring they remain the "backbone" of AI search/compute. Holding it for 2 years now|
|Netflix (NFLX)|$84.30|9.80%|The Bundle King: Now a free-cash-flow machine. The ad-tier (190M+ MAUs) is scaling efficiently, proving they don't need to overspend to retain subscribers. I bought it at the recent bottom , i believed irresptive of the outcome of the warner takeover , netflix would benefit|
|Rubrik (RBRK)|$57.90|8.60%|Data Security: My pure play on "Cyber-Resilience." NRR (Net Retention Rate) of 120%+ proves that data security is non-discretionary for enterprises, even in a slowdown.|
|Mercado Libre (MELI)|$1,995.00|8.10%|LatAm Monopoly: The "Amazon + PayPal" of Latin America. 30%+ revenue growth for 27 straight quarters. Logistics lead is now insurmountable by local competitors.|
|Microsoft (MSFT)|$410.00|7.40%|The Anchor: Azure growth (25-30%) paired with the "Copilot" pricing power creates a multi-year tailwind. Defensive tech exposure. Doubled the exposure in the recent drop.|
|Lulu Lemon (LULU)|$180.00|6.40%|Brand Moat: Despite US discretionary cooling, their international expansion (China/Europe) provides a runway. A "quality" play at a mid-teens P/E.|
|Salesforce (CRM)|$269.00|5.60%|Agentic AI: "Agentforce" ARR is exploding (100%+ growth). They are pivoting from being a "database" to the "OS" for enterprise AI agents. Have serious doubts whether this will recover.|
|Uber (UBER)|$77.60|5.60%|Platform Synergies: Mobility and Delivery segments are hitting record gross bookings. The transition to consistent profitability and buybacks is now the primary bull case. I now have concerns about self driving|
|United Health (UNH)|$297.00|5.60%|Defensive Hedge: As tech valuations fluctuate, UNH provides steady dividends and exposure to aging-population tailwinds, balancing my growth tilt.|
|Palo Alto (PANW)|$171.00|5.40%|Platformization: Management is successfully bundling products (NGS ARR >30%), which is the only way to beat "point-solution" churn in 2026.|
|Snowflake (SNOW)|$172.00|5.00%|Data Engine: Re-accelerating revenue growth in Q4. Their AI-native "Cortex" platform is positioning them as the "front door" for enterprise data. Recent buy.|
|Adobe (ADBE)|$377.00|4.30%|Software Margin: 60%+ ROE and 30% net margins. Adobe Firefly and their Acrobat AI tools have successfully monetized the AI workflow, defending their creative moat.|
|ONON (On Running)|$44.30|3.70%|Disruption: Continued 23%+ growth forecast. Their premium "LightSpray" tech is stealing share from legacy incumbents and expanding into the "toe-to-head" apparel category.|
|Crowdstrike (CRWD)|$350.00|2.40%|Telemetry Flywheel: Largest endpoint footprint. Every new customer expands the data model, reinforcing their dominance in security telemetry.|
|Ferrari (RACE)|$396.00|2.10%|Luxury Scarcity: Industry-leading 39% EBITDA margins. Order books are full through late 2027; the 2026 EV transition is a branding exercise, not a mass-market play.|
|Fortinet (FTNT)|$78.00|2.10%|Hard Bottom: Benefiting from institutional accumulation in early 2026. Their focus on the mid-market and secure networking makes them a "buyable" bottom pick.|
|Elevance (ELV)|$291.00|1.90%|Margin Recovery: Pricing discipline in 2026 is expected to return them to targeted long-term operating margins after a difficult 2025.|
|Novo Nordisk (NVO)|$48.90|1.50%|Resilience: Recent price volatility (post-guidance reset) has created a high-ROE entry point (60% ROE) for exposure to the long-term obesity/diabetes TAM.|

Good points.
If ADBE truly is very undervalued here, there's no rush to get involved, especially in this shaky market. The recent move is nice, but there's still a lot of work to do for this stock to recover. Definitely on my watch list but I need a little more proof.

So what the fuck happened today? Why did a random selection of tech stocks go shrek dick while everything else dumped ? AMZN, MSFT, ADBE, NFLX go vertical at the exact same microsecond but everything else is dumping?

Chalk it up to market sentiment, investor emotions.
It think the tide's turned tho.
The SaaS-pocalypse fears are abating and valuations are slowly recovering. Good time to get into some of these beat down stocks. (some, not all)
Do run gemini reports on their
Stock
Forward P/E
EBITDA (TTM)
EBITDA Margin
EPS FY1 (2026)
EPS FY2 (2027)
PEG 1 yr
PEG 2 yr
PEG 3 yr
According to these figures, ADBE seems to be about half the fair value at the moment. They're making cash though (EBITDA Margin 38.88%) and are undervalued since their P/E is roughly 11.11 according to Seeking Alpha sourced data.
Note that the following is Gemini AI generated so DYODD (do your own due diligence)
|Stock|Forward P/E|EBITDA (TTM)|EBITDA Margin|EPS FY1 (2026)|EPS FY2 (2027)|PEG 1 yr|PEG 2 yr|PEG 3 yr|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|ADBE|11.11 \[1\]|$9.52B \[2\]|40.07% \[3\]|23.47 \[4\]|26.40 \[4\]|0.92 \[1\]\[5\]|0.89 \[1\]\[5\]|1.26 \[1\]\[5\]|

Still risk there, just as there always is. I've been looking at ADBE but so far am only long through my IGV exposure. I'm holding CRM shares as well.
Keep in mind that they (ADBE) have earnings coming up on the 12th.

Well at least ADBE is up

Ridiculous that ADBE is a flight to safety today lol.

I also suspect I can just replace the Adobe Suite anytime and keep just Premiere.
I was already user of Affinity Publisher and now the whole software ecosystem is just for free!
That’s why I didn’t bought ADBE a month ago when I was planning to..

Absolutely. Mission critical to any enterprise. 23x FPE with a 13% eps growth rate.
NOW is also very attractive. IRR is close to 22-25%.
Somebody else suggested ADBE which is of unbelievable value.

ADBE was one of the few stocks that was on my radar, even two years ago. Solid ROIC, low debt, good intrinsic value. Everything to indicate a good value investment, but its stock performance has continued to plummet. This market is weird, so who knows whether it’s a good investment or not at this point

ADBE

ADBE, AMZN

If he is long ADBE, why wouldn't he say it? Does he only mention stocks he's short?

Finally, no PYPL,ADBE, or UNH