SOLUSDT
Solana / Tether USD
crypto Composite

You've already found the thing most people never internalize — raw win rate is close to meaningless, the asymmetry of your wins vs losses is the whole game. I've run reversal systems that hit barely 30-40% and were strongly profitable live, and 60%+ systems that bled out, for exactly this reason. So the 30% isn't the risk here; the R:R being "all the work" is.
The thing to stress next is whether that R:R survives contact with real fills. Low-win-rate trend/breakout systems make all their money in a thin tail of big winners, which means two failure modes quietly eat you: slippage on entries (you don't get the signal-bar open), and any exit rule that clips the right tail — a trailing stop that's slightly too tight, a partial that caps your best trades. Take away the top 5% of winners and see if the edge is still there. If it collapses, you don't have a robust edge, you have a lottery ticket that happened to print.
Two things I'd actually measure before trusting it: run it on a third uncorrelated asset (you have BTC and SOL — add something non-crypto) and check the R:R doesn't quietly compress, and do a small paper/live sample measuring how far your real fills deviate from the signal-bar open, then bake that in as a fixed buffer.
One trap: don't "improve" the win rate. Every knob that lifts win rate on a system like this usually does it by cutting winners short — you'll feel smarter and make less.

The procs every 4th cast but wipes the screen analogy is perfect. That's the shape exactly. And you nailed it: the edge is fine, the drawdown is what makes it unholdable. Vol targeted sizing is the obvious next move, scale down when realized vol spikes so the 62% SOL stretch becomes something you can actually sit through, ideally without gutting the CAGR. If you run the AVAX plus vol filter version I'm genuinely keen to see the curve. Might run the vol scaled version on BTC and SOL and compare.

Well I did that accidentally sent 400$ SOL to an old address that's not active anymore 🙃

SOL issues ~60,000 new tokens a day, but only burns ~650

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1. Depending on the liqudity of the pools. Thats why aggregators are for to find the best route. 2. You can use a dedicated cross-chain bridge like debridge or protal bridge which will securely lock your Solana tokens and mint the equivalent value on Ethereum. But I recommend you to swap SOL for USDC and bridge them.

I have no interest to continue replying to Claude but Claude is wrong by focusing on specific points. Last reply to bot:
Missing the forest from the trees, because it's not considering the wider picture of why assets move up long term and hold traders interest. Up to the prompter to understand. Too many things being thrown around while missing critical points.
The only thing that pushes value into this meme that other memes haven't tried is staking. That's it. The meme does have an external source of revenue you could leverage with staking but that injection of value is going to run down very quickly after the next emissions related proposal passes. This is the only mechanism that could save top buyers from getting fleeced but they would need to have their SOL locked in the contract long enough for staking revenue to payback their losses in terms of SOL. Not happening.
At that point you basically have a meme with a tax scheme for revenue which has been done a million times before. Using taxes as revenue for price appreciation only works if the asset itself has a reason for people to buy it and trade it. It doesn't.
If you want price appreciation you need value transfer from desirable services people are willing to pay for. People aren't willing to pay for the privilege to trade an asset of 0 true value over extended periods of time. Why pay to trade something guaranteed to only trend down after launch (Back down to the true value which is that of the janky LST minus issuer holdings)? The beneficiary of massive tax on trades is the issuer. Not the holder. The evidence is the ocean of memes that tried before.
Yes, Cables proposal is a janky LST that the issuer gets to capture the majority of value from staking with a tax scheme that ends up being almost a wash for holders and an additional source of revenue for the issuer.
Best bet is just use Fable to create a meme which uses the APY from staking to create constant buy pressure. Can drop the whole massive tax thing. However, it's almost ensured this tiny buy pressure isn't enough to overcome the issuer (you) selling. Especially after new proposals to cut emissions. Still, it's a new idea and that could be a fun side project. Should do with a fair launch mechanism where everyone pays same price at launch by using flexible total supply during bonding curve. Lots of work.

\> Currently Solana issues 65K SOL every day but only burns 650 SOL
No wonder the price hasnt been going up. that is too many SOLs on a daily basis. It looks like a Fed ATM.

Thats the best critic I got so far, thanks!
You are right in general. A Just a naive freeze-and-swap mixes curve-fit with a reald edge thats just unnormalized across different microstructures.
What I did in this use case, was, that I tried re-tuning params for the different assets. This still couldn't resuce ETH/SOL and a 0% win rate / sign flip on SOL isnt a scaling problem.
A normalization would rescale the magnitude and not flip the sign of the edge. Reads to more more like the pattern is not there. Still, fair point that a param grid isn't a proper vol + funding-normalized representation
Also, good catch with the carry trade. Thats not realls proof that the logic generalizes. Sounds plausible, but not a proof. It just shows that Im harvesting one shared factor, the funding/basis premium. So yes, its a risk factor, not a signal in this case.
And your last question is something I didnt actually test so far. And I should do this before I actually call it dead.
Had to think a lot about my answer here. Thanks again!

It's not necessarily the cheapest anymore. Uniswap Labs charges a 0.25% fee on their official front-end for most swaps. I recommend using 1inch or CowSwap.
To swap SOL for ETH, use a cross-chain aggregator like Jupiter’s bridge feature, deBridge, or maybe Mayan Finance. They allow you to swap native SOL on Solana directly for ETH on Ethereum or L2s (like Base/Arbitrum, which I highly recommend to avoid high Mainnet gas fees)

1. Not always; need to compare it with other options.
2. [meta-aggregator](https://app.rango.exchange/bridge?fromBlockchain=SOLANA&fromToken=SOL&toBlockchain=ETH&toToken=ETH&fromAmount=10) can offer several options

Cross-asset breakdown is useful, but it doesn’t automatically separate “curve fit” from “different exposures.”
BTC vs ETH vs SOL aren’t just different samples of the same process. They’re different microstructures (liquidity, funding, leverage demand, reflexivity). A strategy failing across them might just be missing a normalization layer rather than being invalid.
Same caution on the carry example — consistency across assets could just mean you’re harvesting a shared funding/roll dynamic, not proving generality of the rest of the logic.
The harder question is: are you testing a signal, or a risk factor expressed differently per asset?
Would your BTC edge survive if you stripped everything down to a common volatility + funding-adjusted framework?

I accidentally sent **3.178179538 SOL** to the address `....` instead of my intended address (I omitted the last character). Solscan shows:
* Owner: System Program
* isOnCurve: false
* Balance: 3.178179538 SOL
* Transaction signature: `....`
Is there **any** technical method to recover funds from this off-curve System Program account, or are they permanently inaccessible?

Hey everyone, I haven’t done much in crypto for years, since 2023, and I’m thinking about getting back in since prices look interesting. I also just realized I still have solana left (planning to convert to ETH)
I remember uniswap having the best protocol rates/slippage, it was basically unbeatable, but I noticed uniswap doesn’t support solana though
My questions:
1. Is uniswap still the cheapest these days? (it looks like they’ve added higher fees)
2. How do I bridge SOL to ETH if uniswap doesn’t support it?

BTC/ETH/SOL. Possibly HYPE. I’d like to say TAO/Bittensor but I dunno, the AI space is crowded.

**Source:** [https://x.com/solana/status/2073405235851366468](https://x.com/solana/status/2073405235851366468)
https://preview.redd.it/c57crh4fn8bh1.png?width=680&format=png&auto=webp&s=da4e0cd18d0a8b6afab2ade8364fce3729345892
**Read:**
* Wall Street Journal: [BlackRock, Google Join Banks and Crypto Firms in Backing New Stablecoin](https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp-500-nasdaq-06-30-2026/card/blackrock-google-join-banks-and-crypto-firms-in-backing-new-stablecoin-czjc2S3yJVxmofXLQpzP?mod=author_content_page_1_pos_4)
* CoinDesk: [ Mysterious Solana Project World Unveiled as Fully Onchain Prediction Market](https://www.coindesk.com/web3/2026/07/01/mysterious-solana-project-world-unveiled-as-fully-onchain-prediction-market)
* The Block: [Solana-based prediction market app on Phantom wallet launches ](https://www.theblock.co/post/406900/solana-based-prediction-market-app-on-phantom-wallet-launches)
* The Street: [ ](https://www.thestreet.com/crypto/markets/world-brings-fully-onchain-prediction-markets-to-solana) [Securitize brings its own stock onchain on Solana at NYSE debut](https://www.thestreet.com/crypto/innovation/securitize-brings-its-own-stock-onchain-on-solana-at-nyse-debut)
* SolanaFloor: [ ](https://solanafloor.com/news/category/rwa) [Solana Tokenization Roundup: June 2026](https://solanafloor.com/news/solana-tokenization-roundup-june-2026)
* SolanaFloor: [Open Standard Unveils $OUSD, a Stablecoin For the Internet Economy](https://solanafloor.com/news/open-standard-unveils-ousd-a-stablecoin-for-the-internet-economy)
* CoinDesk: [Solana launches onchain governance and sets entry fee at 100,000 SOL staked](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/07/02/solana-adds-onchain-governance-with-usd7-7-million-sol-needed-to-open-proposals)
* TheStreet: [Spiko brings its tokenized money market fund to Solana](https://www.thestreet.com/crypto/innovation/spiko-brings-its-tokenized-money-market-fund-to-solana)
* FintechMagazine: [Inside MoneyGram's Blockchain Expansion with Solana](https://fintechmagazine.com/news/blockchain-solana-gains-moneygram-as-active-validator)
* Wall Street Journal: [Under the Radar: Securitize Stock Rises in NYSE Debut](https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/june-jobs-report-stock-market-07-02-2026/card/-under-the-radar-securitize-stock-jumps-in-nyse-debut-B7NTLANijCEun624gaHs?mod=author_content_page_1_pos_1)
* CoinDesk: [Nasdaq expands distribution of its market data into blockchain infrastructure](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/30/nasdaq-expands-distribution-of-its-market-data-into-blockchain-infrastructure)
**Watch:**
* Chainlink discusses World on [The Rollup ](https://x.com/therollupco/status/2072389929972162783)
* Securitize’s Carlos Domingo on [CoinDesk](https://x.com/CoinDesk/status/2072733288729641359)
* Nick Ducoff at [ZeroHash’s Onchain Brokerage Summit 2026](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zBE-jymfcOA&t=13647s)
**Listen:**
* The Index Podcast: [ Solana's New Fundraising Frontier with Proph3t of MetaDAO](https://solana.com/podcasts/the-index/episodes/19369753-solana-s-new-fundraising-frontier-with-proph3t-of-metadao)
* The Index Podcast: [ Michael Hwang, CEO of Orca, on Powering Solana's Liquidity](https://solana.com/podcasts/the-index)
* The Index Podcast: [ Solana's Agentic Finance Future with Bunny of Clawpump](https://solana.com/podcasts/the-index)
* Billions with Pedro Miranda: [ How Solana Is Powering the Future of Liquor Marketplaces](https://solana.com/podcasts/billions-with-pedro-miranda/episodes/how-solana-is-powering-the-future-of-liquor-marketplaces-e3le3gu)
* Solana is Global with Alex Scott: [ Revolutionizing EV Charging: DeCharge's Blockchain-Driven Infrastructure](https://solana.com/podcasts/solana-is-global-with-alex-scott/episodes/revolutionizing-ev-charging-decharges-blockchain-driven-infrastructure-e3lfncd)
* Genfinity: [ World Emerges as Solana's Prediction Market Powering Phantom with Chainlink Oracles](https://genfinity.io/2026/07/01/world-solana-prediction-market-chainlink-phantom/)
* Genfinity: [The World Lives on Solana | Agents. Infrastructure. Quant. Yield. RWA.](https://x.com/Genfinity/status/2072681793686257891)
* Lightspeed: [The Institutional Shift Driving Crypto Forward](https://blockworks.com/podcast/lightspeed/4cebdbb8-2e0d-11f1-b1e8-bbae305ceaf6)

Just wanted to get the community's opinion from a builder/dev perspective. For those of you actively trading or launching tokens, are you guys completely filtering out USDC pairs now, or do you still see them on your feeds but simply choose not to interact with them because the quality has generally been poor so far? I'm trying to understand whether the issue is one of visibility or perception. If users are filtering them out entirely, that's obviously a much bigger hurdle than people simply deciding not to buy after seeing them.
The reason I'm asking is that we're currently building a platform where users will earn holder/player rewards, and the core gameplay and reward mechanics are designed around USDC. Because of that, launching a USDC pair would make a lot of sense from a product standpoint. On the other hand, if the majority of traders and bots are effectively ignoring USDC pairs altogether, we'd be sacrificing a lot of organic discovery and exposure from launch.
Our main goal isn't necessarily to maximize the token's market cap since the platform's revenue is intended to come from user activity rather than treasury holdings. What matters much more to us is getting the project in front of the right audience and ensuring people actually discover the platform. If launching with a SOL pair gives us significantly better visibility, that's something we'd seriously consider, even if the underlying product is USDC-centric.
So I'm curious what everyone's experience has been. Are USDC pairs being filtered out completely by most traders, bots, and communities, or do they still get seen but simply don't attract much attention because the launches haven't been very compelling? I'd really appreciate hearing your thoughts and experiences, especially from anyone who's launched tokens or actively trades on Pump.fun.

really appreciate your thoughts on this guys

Yeah SOL has grown faster than ETH the past week or so but at least since yesterday, ETH has growth that is currently outpacing SOL.

Agree - sol does take it fast, but keep in mind that SOL had several performance issues in 2021-22,
also inflation is ridiculous.

SOL > all