LINKUSDT
Chainlink / Tether USD
crypto Composite

It's true, I posted the analysis that showed it was gaining in early August along with LINK, ahead of all the other cryptos.
LINK ended up flipping XMR by marketcap tho, as it became the biggest benefactor of this run.
But def don't rule out XMR, because it was gaining ahead of everything else.

In this cycle, it's actually daddy XMR (Monero) and daddy LINK (chainlink). easy to verify- just look at the charts. XMR + LINK had mid-August gains, BTC and all others were August 19th

Asked ai for best altcoins post clarity act/stagflationary post-2027 4 year cycle:
S-Tier ETH, SOL, LINK Systemic pillars; base infrastructure for RWA and AI execution.
A-Tier TAO, ONDO, AAVE, AVAX Custom institutional Subnets, high-yield RWAs, and decentralized AI.
B-Tier SUI, HYPE, XRP, TRX High-performance specialists; emerging payment rails and deep perp order-books.
C-Tier ARB, UNI, ZEC Heavily capped by structural utility limits or aggressive token dilution.
D-Tier BNB, DOT, PUMP Structural decline; losing institutional mindshare or entirely speculative.
Do you agree? My goal is to outperform bitcoin. Though i likely may just fullport MSTR.

LINK base off the list. But SOL is good option too with recent improvement to processing speeds.

ETH, HYPE, HBAR, AERO, LINK

One thing I've noticed in watching the crypto market over the last several years is that there are usually a handful of tokens that drive increased interest across the space. That increased interest seems to start in one area, and start to consolidate as a broader trend in the market as time goes by.
So I thought it'd be interesting to evaluate - Where did the renewed interest begin? What's the driving force in the top cryptocurrencies by market cap?
You can't just look at % growth in the last 1, 7, or 30 day periods, because an overnight run could impact the price greatly over the time period, without there actually being meaningful interest. I also only looked at the Top 15 cryptos by market cap, because everyone knows shitcoins can grow 200% over night due to the high volume, low market cap.
**So which projects were the leaders? Spoiler Alert - even BTC and ETH followed their price action.**
First up XMR (Monero), which was building since mid-July to early August at a stable rate and seems to be the first to take off in this recent run at least in the top 15 cryptos by market cap.
https://preview.redd.it/lc5tmeis7tkh1.png?width=1794&format=png&auto=webp&s=87c8ff841eabb0ad4dd64d33728cb2c854a49689
Next Up, Chainlink. LINK started showing new signs of life as early as August 5th, but didn't truly take off until August 14th. Since then it's actually displaced XMR (Monero) in market cap and is the biggest winner of this August run so far.
https://preview.redd.it/fvkthkjw3tkh1.png?width=1846&format=png&auto=webp&s=2c3cebc5a97d15191361fca88c199ef2a34fb0a6
TRON seems to border the leader/follower categorization. It's had some growth recently, but it comes and goes. Both XMR and LINK have had steady and consistent growth in August without the dips.
https://preview.redd.it/3q76txpf4tkh1.png?width=1786&format=png&auto=webp&s=966509be9dacfd19e6c6008b6b3bbeb32884837c
**Now For the followers:**
**BTC** \- while it may still be the king in terms of cryptos, it was very much a follower in the recent run up, beginning on August 19th, which you'll see repeated through this analysis.
https://preview.redd.it/ksertslt4tkh1.png?width=1872&format=png&auto=webp&s=0b56b589f0cfc1ee64af5f5a981aafeea7948c4a

ETH - Appears to be a follower as well, mimicking the August 19th trend.
https://preview.redd.it/ri2h7coe5tkh1.png?width=1918&format=png&auto=webp&s=360cce481ff9d57aaf00b6c76991b7daf01e2ba3
SOL - in the same boat. Kind of a mixed bag until the August 19 ramp up
https://preview.redd.it/hv80ximl5tkh1.png?width=1702&format=png&auto=webp&s=f7c9f016993f5449d35c6a1f0a63806b5ba0f67a
XRP- Another August 19th baby, more pronounced considering the downtrending line before the ramp
https://preview.redd.it/4lnjw03y5tkh1.png?width=1746&format=png&auto=webp&s=9099cece19e8b9968f196221a9a506f056e42b7a
HYPE - HyperLiquid following the same trends on August 19th.
https://preview.redd.it/3er2e8oh6tkh1.png?width=1798&format=png&auto=webp&s=1b445ec0d986fece01db94d3bdbfbfe04f0c1024
DOGE was a little late to the party, but being a memecoin, not surprising it was also following suit on August 19th.
https://preview.redd.it/vvdmodwz6tkh1.png?width=1750&format=png&auto=webp&s=13776ef61945700625af546fae509870269b0efa

Serious question, not a hype post. Bitcoin just closed the best week since 2023, up 22 percent, from around 62,800 on Monday to 77,393 today with an intraday poke at 79,461. My timeline went from "it's over" to "here we go" in about 72 hours. But I wrote my rules down a week ago exactly so I wouldn't do this, and when I check them the answer is still no. Four gauges: drawdown from the ATH, price vs the 200 day, ETF flows over four weeks, and the altcoin season index. We're still 38 percent below the October 2025 high of 126,198, and my bear line is anything worse than minus 30, so that one hasn't flipped. Price is now 12 percent above the 200 day which is a real change. ETF flows had their best week since January, 517 million in one day on Wednesday alone. Alts are finally moving, LINK is up 32 percent on the week. So that's roughly one bear, one neutral, one bull, one still unclear. My rule is three of four have to agree AND hold for four straight weeks. Earliest that can happen is mid September.
The thing I keep coming back to is that the long short ratio is 0.865. More accounts are still positioned short than long, at 77k, after a 22 percent week. That number was 1.06 yesterday so it actually went down while price went up. Funding is basically flat too. That tells me this move was shorts getting run over plus real spot buying, not leveraged longs chasing, which is a better kind of rally than the one everyone assumes it is. I pulled up the Coinglass whale orders and there's about 97 million of real resting sell orders between 79,945 and 84,000, versus maybe 28 million of bids underneath. The 82,500 order has been sitting there 106 days. That's not a spoof, that's somebody who decided months ago they're out at that number. There's also a big air pocket in the book between 76,000 and 70,000 with almost nothing in it, so if 76 goes there isn't much to catch it.
So my honest read is this is a real breakout but not a confirmed regime change, and those are two different things. 79,945 is where the spike died today and 82,500 is the wall that actually matters. If those get eaten I'll take it more seriously, because a wall getting absorbed says more than no wall at all. Nothing changes for me today either way though. I DCA the same amount every week and I did it the whole way down from 126k, so I'm not going to suddenly get clever now that it's green. Not moving my buy ladder up to chase either, my rungs are at 68, 65 and 61 and they stay there. The one thing I probably do need to do is trim, because BTC drifted to over 70 percent of my crypto book and my own rule caps any single asset at 40. Trimming into the best week in three years feels terrible and that's kind of the point of writing the rule down beforehand. Anyone else running actual written criteria or is everyone just reading the candle?

[Week 1](https://www.reddit.com/r/algotrading/s/x4CiXV42kv)
[Week 2](https://www.reddit.com/r/algotrading/comments/1vnn6c8/week_2_of_algo_trading_on_robinhood_agentic/)
Week 3 TL:DR - 17 agents, and one of them did almost all the work.
The crypto rotator. Every day it ranks 10 liquid coins on momentum, volume trend and volatility, buys the single highest conviction one, and holds nothing else. Winner take all, re-picked daily, $200 in it.
It did +35.6% this week. Since April 18 it is +102.9% with a -14.6% max drawdown.
The sequence is the part I keep staring at. ADA, then LINK, now ETH. Three rotations, and each time it moved into the one that then ran instead of the nine that did not. Didn’t think it was anything at first but after AI consistently “guessing” right, I’m starting to believe.
The equities side had one genuinely absurd day. Moderna and Merck's cancer vaccine hit its endpoints in a Phase 3 melanoma trial. MRNA ran as much as 177% intraday, took about $5.5B off the shorts, then gave back a quarter of it the next session. One of my biotech screeners bought Moderna on open after the trial came in, and caught some of the intraday pump. Luck with a decent process underneath it, which I will take, but luck.
Everything else was quiet. Book finished +2.7% across 17 agents on the week and nearly all of it came from crypto. Have been using the free trial on Raijin given to the first 1000 users and planning to keep it.
Two things I would like someone to poke holes in:
1    What is the right benchmark for a single asset rotator?
2    -14.6% max drawdown on a daily single coin book over four months feels too clean to me. What am I not seeing? I only measure at each daily fire, so anything that happens between them is invisible.

damn LINK is pumping

# WELCOME TO MY POST
[PROOF PHOTO](https://coindex.app/photo/AVf6IeA)
[ALBUM LINK](https://coindex.app/a/6TGStl)
Sorry for the mediocre photos, it's hard to set things up inside the lightbox right now.
***
Looking to trade anything I have for AGEs, especially fractionals! Hit me up if you're interested!
***
#Gold Englehard bar
I know very little about these, but they are pretty and shiny and reflective, and this one has a serial # starting with "1".
[Englehard Photo 1](https://coindex.app/photo/ofa1sOa) - [Photo 2](https://coindex.app/photo/Faa7rnu) - [Photo 3](https://coindex.app/photo/bhavwdF) - [Photo 4](https://coindex.app/photo/fhX0I5q)
**WTT:** Prefer to swap this with someone for 1oz of AGEs (raw fractionals, 1oz MS69 slab, raw 1oz proof)
**WTS:** **$4800**
***
# Silver
All 1oz slabs shown here: [Slabs front](https://coindex.app/photo/oSkUGAl) - [Slabs back](https://coindex.app/photo/3SLz3Ew)
**1oz 1994 ASE PCGS MS69 (cracked slab)** - **$68.50** (spot)
**1oz 1991 (Type 1) Libertad - PCGS MS68** - **$300**
**1oz 1985 Libertad - PCGS MS67 (40th Ann. Label)** - **$190**
**1oz 1982 Libertad - PCGS MS67** - **$150**
[Perth Mint 5oz Iwo Jima Commemorative proof - PR70DCAM](https://coindex.app/photo/Z7n0cr9) - **$390** (last sold on feePay was $499!)
***
***PLEASE READ SHIPPING OPTIONS BELOW. YOU MUST SELECT A SHIPPING OPTION IN CHAT.***
**SALE INFO**
# Basics
Please post “chat” and then PM me. I will not PM anyone first!
Multiple quantity or mint-packaged items may be random pulls of duplicates. Multiples of slabbed items will be of the same grade. Slabbed item grades are given and backed by the grader. Anything not slabbed or mint-capsuled is sold as-is.
Prices are subject to change as spot changes, until a deal is locked.
# Payment
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The top comment asks what happens if it dumps now. Worth knowing what the base rates say, and also what they do not say.

I pulled every daily candle across 8 majors (BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE, BNB, ADA, LINK) that closed +15% or more. 253 instances. The day after: 57.9% closed red, 30.3% worse than -5%. But the mean next-day return was +0.92% against a +0.21% baseline, and the median was -1.51%. Barbell, not a drift. About one in seven ripped another 10%+ and carried the average by itself.

Then I tried to get more specific, because that is exactly the setup we are in now: the pump day was followed by a green day. Across the same sample, the second day after that pattern was green only 41.1% of the time (n=107). Nine points below baseline. That looked like a real edge.

So I split the history in half and ran each half separately. First half 38.6%, second half 52.6%. The effect reversed. Sample sizes in the second half are small, but a result that flips sign when you cut the data is not a result, it is a coincidence with good marketing.

So I do not have a call for today, and that is the honest answer. What I do have is a note about the first number: after a vertical day, red is the modal outcome, but the tail that pays is fat enough to make the average positive. Anyone quoting only one of those two numbers at you is selling something.

Method: daily candles, Binance spot, close vs open on the same candle for the pump day, close to close after.

I appreciate your willingness to discuss it civilly and know you did not name call anyone.
Everyone knows the "value" accrual hasn't been there. My issue with detractors is that they act like they've been rugged, when LINK publicly announced the schedule for selling supply to fund the project.
It's no different from AMZN being founded in 1994, going public in 1997, and not becoming profitable until 2003, nearly 10 years after being founded. Are investors mad at AMZN?
Any AI search can tell folks that, but it's easier to parrot a "rug pull" narrative.
How else are they going to pay a staff of engineers, business leaders, etc. to work on this project for 10+ years?
Would folks rather they accept a ton of VC money like Solana and others? IMO, the fact that they are selling the token to fund the growth of the project is compelling.
**The 2017 ICO:** Chainlink officially raised $32 million in September 2017 **by selling LINK tokens directly to both retail and institutional participants.**
Historical Supply Dynamics & Releases (easily researched):
* **Initial Allocation (2017):** The initial 1 billion LINK supply was divided into a 35% token sale (private and public), 35% for node operators/ecosystem incentives, and 30% for the parent company/reserve.
* **Economics 2.0 Shift (2022):** The Foundation pledged transparent periodic movements of non-circulating supply (such as capping early targeted releases to 50 million LINK) to support initiatives like staking.
* **Quarterly Unlocks:** On-chain analytics routinely track predictable multi-million LINK movements from non-circulating Foundation/Team addresses (often releasing 10M to 20M tokens quarterly) into operational or exchange-labeled wallets.
* **Current Circulating Supply:** Out of the 1 billion hard cap, approximately 748 million LINK (\~75%) are in active circulation, while the remaining balance resides across designated non-circulating or staking contract vaults

agree to disagree. This post has 0 upvotes, all the comments are about LINK holders being suckers. Keep in mind this is a single thread and I've been interested in crypto for a while.

Ripple and Chainlink are basically polar opposites. Ripple is a private company with shareholders, and XRP holders are not shareholders in Ripple. The company can sell XRP from its holdings to fund its operations, acquisitions and business activities, while any benefit to XRP holders is indirect. That creates an obvious distinction between the interests of Ripple shareholders and XRP holders.
Chainlink on the other hand, has increasingly been using revenue to acquire LINK for its reserves, directly tying part of the network's economic activity to the token itself.
And as for your 600% XRP trade, congratulations but making money on an asset doesn't prove the underlying project deserved its valuation. XRP's market cap has repeatedly priced in expectations that Ripple or XRP would achieve something extraordinary, yet the actual adoption of XRP as a global bridge asset has never come close to justifying the kind of valuation its community constantly claims is inevitable. You got lucky because you didn’t actually do any research into the company.

Imo, it’s okay to be condescending when people treat you like a moron for doing DD. 
Look- if your goal is to participate in tulip/beanie baby mania and play hot potato to see who wins and who holds a bag - go “invest” in PEPE, Shibainuobamacoin, or whatever the fuck else crops up.
Unfortunately for those who bought LINK at its highest point, they were unfortunately caught in the combo of a low circulating supply and high volume of interest.
In my experience, LINK has been one of the few projects that has pushed through the naysayers, and actually done things for the holders.
1. They announced when LINK circulating supply would be increased (sales to fund expansion)
2. Staking opened up on a priority basis for those who held LINK through price drops.
3. They are the ONLY project I’ve ever seen to buy back the token in regular intervals, using the fees they earn, in addition to the payment abstraction layer.
When people stop treating LINK investors like they’re idiots, maybe we can let up on the condescending tone. 
Satoshi himself once said, “if you don’t get it, I don’t have time to explain it to you.”

LINK's problem is there's no link between the profits the company makes and the token price, so even if the company makes a ton of money it doesn't follow that the token price will increase. That's true of a lot of crypto tokens unfortunately.
Having said that, it's up 22.4% and 32.5% in the last 7 and 14 days respectively, which is about the same as HYPE and more than you would have made with most stocks in that time. Although it's still down 80% from it's ATH in May 2021 and down 57% since August 2025, whilst HYPE is up 73% in a year. I don't know if HYPE's price is based on profits being made by the company though, or just hype.

Since the top comment is asking whether this is a bull trap, here's what the base rates actually say. I pulled every day across 8 majors (BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE, BNB, ADA, LINK) where the coin closed up 15% or more on the day. 253 instances. Then I looked at the following day.

57.9% of those next days closed red. 30.3% closed more than 5% down. 13.8% closed more than 10% down.

But the average next-day return is +0.92%, comfortably above the +0.21% baseline for a random day.

Both of those are true at once, and that is the whole point. The median next day is -1.51% while the mean is positive, because 14.6% of the time the thing rips another 10%+ and drags the average up by itself. The distribution is barbell shaped, not centered.

So "is it a bull trap" is the wrong shape of question. Most days after a big pump are red, and the ones that aren't are occasionally enormous. If you size for the average you get run over by the median. If you size for the median you miss the tail that pays.

Method: daily candles, Binance spot, up day measured close vs open on the same candle. Happy to be told this breaks somewhere I didn't test.