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This ranking estimates the probability that each cryptocurrency will **briefly reach three times its current price during the next major bull market**. It does not estimate the probability of sustaining that valuation or represent an ideal portfolio allocation.
Prices are approximate as of August 1, 2026.
|Rank|Coin|Approx. current price|3x target|Historical comparison|Subjective probability|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|1|SOL|US$72.77|US$218|Below its US$293 all-time high|60–75%|
|2|LINK|US$8.08|US$24.24|Less than half its US$52.70 all-time high|55–70%|
|3|AAVE|US$91.73|US$275|Far below its US$662 all-time high|55–70%|
|4|XRP|US$1.06|US$3.18|Below its recent US$3.65 peak|45–60%|
|5|ETH|US$1,867|US$5,601|Approximately 13% above its US$4,946 all-time high|45–60%|
|6|DOGE|US$0.070|US$0.210|Well below its approximately US$0.48 previous-cycle peak|45–60%|
|7|BTC|US$62,932|US$188,796|Approximately 50% above its US$126,080 all-time high|40–55%|
|8|TAO|US$192.65|US$578|Below its US$758 all-time high|40–55%|
|9|ONDO|US$0.385|US$1.16|Below its US$2.14 all-time high|35–50%|
# Justifications
# 1. Solana — SOL
SOL presents the strongest combination of adoption, token utility, market size, and historical precedent.
The US$218 target remains approximately 26% below its US$293 record. SOL is used for transaction fees, staking, and network security, giving the token a relatively direct connection to ecosystem activity.
Solana also remains prominent in trading, stablecoins, payments, consumer applications, and speculative activity. Its principal risks are network competition, inflation, technical problems, and its significant dependence on retail speculation and memecoin activity.
# 2. Chainlink — LINK
LINK only needs to reach approximately US$24.24, still less than half its historical peak. Its circulating market capitalization would remain relatively modest even after tripling.
Chainlink provides oracle data and cross-chain infrastructure to many different blockchain ecosystems, reducing its dependence on the success of one network. The official CCIP explorer shows support for more than 75 networks and 190 tokens.
The weakness is token value capture. Increased use of Chainlink’s infrastructure does not necessarily generate proportional buying pressure for LINK. Approximately 750 million of the maximum one billion tokens are circulating, leaving some dilution risk.
# 3. Aave — AAVE
AAVE has one of the strongest mathematical setups. The token’s market capitalization is relatively small, while the Aave protocol remains one of the largest and most established decentralized lending platforms.
The US$275 target remains far below the US$662 historical high. Moreover, approximately 15 million of the maximum 16 million tokens are already circulating, so dilution is limited compared with XRP, TAO, or ONDO.
AAVE ranks below LINK because its success depends more heavily on a strong revival of decentralized finance. It also carries smart-contract, regulatory, governance, and token value-capture risks.
# 4. XRP
XRP’s US$3.18 target is below its recent US$3.65 peak from July 2025. Unlike ETH and BTC, XRP would not need to establish a new record to triple.
However, its current market capitalization is already approximately US$66 billion. Tripling would imply a circulating valuation close to US$200 billion. Approximately 63 billion of the nearly 100 billion XRP supply are circulating, leaving meaningful future supply.
The XRP Ledger is fast, inexpensive, and established, but adoption of Ripple, XRPL, stablecoins, or tokenized financial products does not automatically create proportional demand for XRP itself.
XRP ranks above ETH for this specific objective because its 3x target remains below a recently achieved price. ETH would need to establish a new record.
# 5. Ethereum — ETH
Ethereum remains the safest and most established altcoin, but ETH’s historical price performance has repeatedly disappointed.
A 3x increase would take ETH to approximately US$5,601, about 13% above its historical high. This is certainly possible during a strong bull market, but it requires Ethereum to overcome the resistance zone around US$4,800–US$5,000 and establish a meaningful new record.
Ethereum benefits from staking, fee payments, DeFi, stablecoins, tokenization, institutional access, and fee burning. However, moving activity to Layer 2 networks may reduce fees and token burning on the main network. Ecosystem growth therefore does not always result in proportional ETH appreciation.
ETH would rank above XRP for durability and risk-adjusted quality, but slightly below XRP for the isolated objective of touching 3x.
# 6. Dogecoin — DOGE
DOGE only needs to reach approximately US$0.21. This remains well below its previous-cycle high near US$0.48 and far below the 2021 record of US$0.7316.
That makes tripling mathematically plausible during a strong memecoin season. However, the thesis depends heavily on retail attention, social-media momentum, Elon Musk, and general speculative enthusiasm.
Dogecoin also has an uncapped supply with continuous issuance. X Money has not introduced meaningful cryptocurrency integration, while competition from newer memecoins has grown considerably.
DOGE could reach US$0.21 quickly during a speculative rally and lose much of that appreciation equally quickly.
# 7. Bitcoin — BTC
Bitcoin is the strongest cryptocurrency in terms of liquidity, institutional access, decentralization, survival probability, and scarcity. Nevertheless, it is considerably harder for an asset of its size to triple.
The target near US$189,000 would be approximately 50% above the latest US$126,080 record and would imply a market capitalization close to US$3.8 trillion.
ETFs, corporate holdings, the fixed 21 million supply, and the expected 2028 halving support the long-term thesis. However, achieving 3x would require an enormous amount of sustained global demand.
BTC ranks seventh only for the probability of tripling. It would rank first for deploying a large amount of capital with the lowest relative cryptocurrency risk.
# 8. Bittensor — TAO
TAO’s US$578 target remains below its US$758 record. Its relatively small circulating market capitalization means that renewed enthusiasm for decentralized artificial intelligence could produce a rapid appreciation.
The primary problems are dilution and uncertainty about sustainable demand. Approximately 9.6 million of the maximum 21 million TAO are circulating, meaning that future emissions could absorb part of the demand.
TAO offers substantial upside, but much of its valuation continues to depend on the AI narrative rather than clearly demonstrated economic demand for decentralized AI services.
# 9. Ondo — ONDO
ONDO’s US$1.16 target remains well below its US$2.14 historical peak. The real-world asset and tokenization narrative could become extremely important during the next bull market.
Its last position is mainly due to tokenomics. Only approximately 4.9 billion of the total 10 billion tokens are circulating, creating considerable dilution risk.
Growth in Ondo’s tokenized financial products also does not automatically translate into proportional value capture by the ONDO governance token. ONDO could triple, but its outcome depends heavily on narrative momentum, future unlocks, and the token’s economic role.
# Final interpretation
For the isolated goal of briefly reaching 3x:
* **Best overall candidate:** SOL.
* **Best infrastructure asymmetry:** LINK.
* **Best established DeFi asymmetry:** AAVE.
* **Best recent-price precedent:** XRP.
* **Safest altcoin, but with disappointing price history:** ETH.
* **Most dependent on retail attention:** DOGE.
* **Safest cryptocurrency, but hardest to triple because of its size:** BTC.
* **High-risk AI speculation:** TAO.
* **High-risk tokenization speculation:** ONDO.

That was the ChatGPT list. I don't really believe bitcoin will reach $180.000+ next cycle. I also have doubts about ETH, but then again I'm horrible in predicting this stuff. What are your predictions?

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