BTCUSDT20240420P72000
Bitcoin / Tether USD Apr 20 2024 72000.00 Put
crypto

Because they don't buy with cash. They buy after selling MSTR shares. And guess what dropped even lower than BTC?

For months I kept seeing the same pattern: influencer makes a call, price moves the wrong way, influencer deletes the tweet or pivots to "macro analysis." Nobody was keeping score.
So I built **VOXCH,** a credibility engine that scrapes an influencer's tweet history, extracts every price prediction they've made, cross-checks each one against real market data, and scores them 0-100.
Here's what the data looks like after auditing **35 accounts and 256 tracked predictions:**
**The Numbers**
* Average credibility score across all accounts: **45.1/100**
* Only **20% of accounts** scored above 70
* **14.3% scored below 30,** meaning they were wrong more often than they were right, yet still have hundreds of thousands of followers
* Overall accuracy across all tracked calls: **59.8%,** barely better than a coin flip
**Highest Scores**
|Handle|Score|Accuracy|
|:-|:-|:-|
|@rektcapital|80/100|100% on tracked calls|
|@IncomeSharks|80/100|100% on tracked calls|
|@RaoulGMI|80/100|—|
|@100trillionUSD|63/100|77.8% on 18 calls|
|@CryptoKaleo|40/100|57.1% on 8 calls|
**Lowest Scores**
|Handle|Score|Accuracy|
|:-|:-|:-|
|@CredibleCrypto|17/100|40% on 10 calls|
|@tedpillows|20/100|35.3% on 20 calls|
|@VentureCoinist|26/100|60% on 7 calls|
|@APompliano|33/100|0% on 1 tracked call|
|@CryptoWendyO|33/100|50% on 7 calls|
**@CredibleCrypto has "Credible" in the name and scored 17/100. That's the state of crypto media.**
You can run any account yourself in about 30 seconds. Just paste a Twitter/X handle.
**→** [**voxch.xyz/forensics**](https://voxch.xyz/forensics)
It's completely free. Paid tier unlocks the full historical prediction log and leaderboard rank.
Curious what score your favourite influencer gets. Drop their handle below and I'll run it live.
**How it works (for the skeptics):**
1. Fetches the account's last \~100 tweets
2. Extracts explicit price predictions (e.g. "BTC will hit $120k by Q3")
3. Checks the actual price on the predicted date/timeframe
4. Scores based on accuracy, prediction volume, consistency, and recency
The data is live and updating. Every account you analyze gets cached and added to the leaderboard. The more people use it, the richer the dataset gets.

ETH and ADA are my bags.
Strongly considering choosing BTC next depending on its movements in the coming months. Feeling very bullish on Crypto in general given how low these prices have been and how bearish the market has been about the general global situation and the opening of AI tech stocks. I think crypto prices go up much more once things become more stable, it just might take several months first.

watching Strategy stack another 1,587 BTC and it hit me, MSTR is basically just a wrapper. you’re not buying software, you’re buying exposure to Saylor’s conviction bet, tradeable on an exchange. the company became a vehicle for backing a thesis early.
so here’s what i can’t stop chewing on: if a corporation can tokenize its balance sheet into something you can buy a piece of… why is it weird for a person to do the same with their future output?
a creator’s attention/audience is real economic value. the only reason you’ve never been able to “buy early” into a creator the way you buy MSTR for BTC exposure is that the rails didn’t exist. now they kind of do.
the version of this i find interesting works like: a creator launches a token, but they only ever get paid in SOL/USDC, tips, content unlocks never their own token. so there’s no founder bag to dump. the token’s a key to their stuff and a bet that their market cap climbs as they grow. you’re early to a person the way MSTR holders were early to Saylor’s BTC call.
the obvious holes: a person is way more volatile than a balance sheet, and “betting on a human” gets weird fast. but is it actually structurally different from buying a company that’s just a wrapper around one guy’s conviction?
or is Saylor allowed to do it because it’s a corp, and a creator doing the same is automatically a “scam”?

52 level is major support level. it's possible to be tested. me personaly i would enter long if the price gets near that level. but recenlty BTC showed that it react well on geo-political events, so i would keep an eye on that. for examle if it reacts positively on the US-Iran deal, the uptrend might start without even testing this level. if you have hard time following fundamentals, i see you use primexbt, they have decent blog for that

BTC to $400K!

My friends are successful and occasionally tease me about BTC. I take it as affectionate ribbing. They all have done things I wouldn't have and I've done things that they don't understand. Who cares?

If BTC goes to $200,000 then yes

You can **mine** them, and only a finite amount of them, every 4 years the amount of processing work needed to mine the remaining 'Bitcoins' increases by 50%.
I don't really care about alt-coins, some of them have the same security as BTC, but none have the same market cap. There is not any real need for most of them, and I would be the first to agree that most alt-coins are pump & dumps.
Enough people are trading with BTC to give it the same legitimacy as fiat, I just like riding the waves and turning a 120% profit every two years.

IBIT moves with BTC. MSTR is 1.4X BTC. In adddition, bid/askspread is tighter on IBIT vs bitcoin. Plus, I can sell weekly covered calls and puts to generate premium which is used to buy more IBIT and MSTR.

If selling 32 BTC is what's got the market down than how the hell aren't we skyrocketing right now after a buy of 1500?

People trust BTC because people trust BTC.
It's just sheep mentality, and thinking that it's any different for "senior" or "money expect" positions is just cope.
That why ETH is an *extremely* long term play. People won't even consider ETH till BTC implodes.
When it does, every single Wei will be concentrated to people that went through 10 or 20 years of eating shit day after day. I wonder what happens then.
But not now. Not this pump, or the one after that. These will bart, again and again and again and again, till every bit of leverage is rekt and every wei is in wallets so cold a world war won't move them.
The Crab is still Eternal.

$1.3T market cap might as well be free. You're getting free Bitcoin right now, just so you know. There will be no difference between buying BTC now & literally getting it for free from the faucet website in 2010. There's roughly a quadrillion dollars of (mostly) fake wealth out there & the BEST SoV makes up like 0.1% of that? My brain can't comprehend that. Either these numbers are totally wrong or people are stupid af. Which one is it?
Anyway... just bought some more.

Am I the only one who wants to own BTC but is worried about the negative stigma surrounding it?

You saw michael saylor buying 100 mil of BTC and you went short. LMFAO

Fun fact: I have it on good authority that a (very) senior figure in a well know money transmission company said they (personally) only buy BTC because they "don't trust alts". Sadly I was not on hand to question what specifically they trusted so much about BTC, especially the long term security mechanism.

>That’s not how this works. A BIP-110 soft fork would change network rules
They will either, self-fork (hardfork) out of Bitcoin or the whole proposal will fail to activate before August 7th. Bip110 cannot exist in parallel like Segwit for example. That's at least how I see it and why I'm not joining their camp. They're just making drama and attacking Bitcoin instead of trying to work together and change it for better.
The vast majority of Bitcoin HODLers don't like NFTs, runes and other crap, and would be more than happy to get rid of them. But bip110 simply isn't the correct way, IMHO.
>not require ordinary BTC holders to exchange or move their coins. There’s no need for hodlers to do anything.
Agreed. Bitcoin HODLers won't need to do anything, no matter if it's a soft or hard fork.

BCH scales, BCH has privacy, BCH has cheap, instant and reliable transaction that are also easy and can be done by a person with no blockchain knowledge. No channel opening, managing etc. BCH has smart transactions allowing monthly payments or inheritance in case of death etc. BCH is in all technical aspects the better Bitcoin and the only one suited to replace the current MoEs with sound Bitcoin money. The only question is, are we able to change the system and bring enough people to use this better money. And this is where BTC comes in as controlled opposition making this job even harder.

He paid with shares, so BTC price in USD is completely irrelevant.
He also dumped the price of MSTR shares and then sold them at lowest to fill USD reserve, doesn't sound like such a great move to me

Thanks for the advice. BTC doesn’t have a lot of historical data, so testing on earlier years wasn’t really an option for my current setup.
That’s a solid point though. I’d love to test on as many regimes as possible.
Reconciling live data with training data was one of the first things I did. Nice pointer.