BTCUSDT20240409C67000
Bitcoin / Tether USD Apr 9 2024 67000.00 Call
crypto

For many people, BTC is gambling.

Has anyone here used simple swap for BTC exchange ?

Follow the teams behind the coins youre holding & use public sentiment when we're in bear.
Keep an eye on regular news for any crypto news report - when the average person gets a news story on crypto then we're in for a rise or drop.. so keep watching that stuff.
DO NOT follow any influencer, any crypto article, any YouTube/reddit/Twitter ---- it's all member contributed, never reported by actual journalist or team members.
That's it... I been using the same sources since my journey with crypto n BTC began.

🎥 **Full Video Breakdown:** [https://youtu.be/Solk5r1zVlo](https://youtu.be/Solk5r1zVlo)
**Bitcoin ($BTC) Macro Update & Quantitative Risk Breakdown 📊**
Here is a summary of where Bitcoin stands based on our terminal risk metrics and machine learning models:
* **Market Phase & Status:** Spot trading near **$63,000**, holding **Golden Breakout** status on our matrix due to suppressed volatility and strong trend quality.
* **TWAP Cost Basis:** Lifetime 12-year Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP) sits near **$29,000** (120% premium, Gravity Risk Level 2). A historical Gravity Level 1 bottom maps between **$48,000 and $52,000**.
* **Regression Channels:** Primary Bear Accumulation Zone sits at **$58,000–$59,000**, with deep capitulation support modeling down to **$45,000–$58,000**.
* **Machine Learning Forecasts (10-Week Horizon):** Seasonal ARMA & LSTM models project a panic floor at **$52,000** (-16% drawdown) versus a counter-trend relief ceiling at **$70,000–$73,000**.
* **Capitulation Clock:** The standard 400-day bear market clock is **72% complete**, with June-to-November seasonality pointing toward low-volatility rangebound sideways consolidation.
* **2028–2030 Cycle Peak Projections:** With the halving cycle clock **56% complete**, rolling curves forward outlines a **$150,000** Base Peak, **$200,000** Euphoria Peak, and **$270,000** Stretch Target.
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Order book data for BTC

So les sey u have all your monis in BTC and to secure it you only remember 12 secret words of wallet. Well you are a moron

One of the few people I know personally that i recommended to get into BTC, around 2017, that ended up actually losing money somehow was a boomer(I believe he’s 61). Dude bought like 20k worth of BTC and sold for a massive loss in 2020.
He’s very jaded towards it all because of his own actions.

I mean this is bullish, BTC market share will go up as boomers go

Millennials are the largest home owning generation right now, but will be surpassed by Gen Z at this rate, so that probably isn't a critical factor.
They likely just don't understand BTC, and they are probably conflating stablecoins with all crypto, where there is a ton of gambling. Plus many will see an asset that went from pennies to $120k back to $60k, and if they are in retirement they want stability and not volatile assets.

The prospect of $200k BTC in the next cycle. People are greedy, the 4-year-cycle is an easy enough narrative to ignite a new bull run. Many won’t want to miss out on this opportunity, even if they make just a few bucks, they are going to pour their money in eventually.

>I know one guy, 76yo, teaches Finance & Econ at a respected university. He's also a partner in a wealth management firm. He thinks BTC is "gambling"
Ever thought he might be right, and you might be wrong?

No, it is a Bitcoin sub that doesn't censor discussion. The bCash sub is r/bitcoincash.
That said. BTC is in a sad state and bCash is lightyears ahead in all technical aspects.

I've noticed a generational gap in BTC acceptance. I'm 65yo and it seems people my age & older are at best BTC ignorant & at worst totally against it.
I know one guy, 76yo, teaches Finance & Econ at a respected university. He's also a partner in a wealth management firm. He thinks BTC is "gambling". I get this all the time w/ the older crowd ("boomers") so often that I don't discuss it anymore w/ them.
It makes me wonder how much the $price of BTC is generationally related?

I didn't experience much BTC hate with bcash holders. More core and maxi disgust than anything which is pretty reasonable.
Why hate?

People live in their own bubbles so much that it blows my mind.
I haven’t had a “bank account” in over 5 years. All my paychecks get directly routed to stablecoin and a portion is invested out to stocks/retirement and the rest is BTC savings with a small portion of stablecoin hold for daily card transactions.
The few companies that don’t support card payments all have other alternative forms that I’ve been able to utilize and it gets easier every year.
For big purchases I’ve used BTC directly a few times and more recently borrowed against my stack for super low interest rates.
Where do you think the capital for AI was generated?

BTC +1 MSFT 100 (Weeklys) 14 AUG 26 (17) 380/355 P @6.50 (Sold: 4.80, -$170), so that I don’t only post winning trades. Below gains offset this.
BTC +1 MSFT 100 21 AUG 26 (24) 340/315 P @1.69 sold: 5.22, +68% (+3.53)
BTC +1 MSFT 100 31 JUL 26 (3) 350/330 P @1.00 sold: 3.02, +68% (+2.02)
I trust the stock and company but I don’t trust people who sell it for no reason. rules.
I still have long position and LEAP short put which is up 14.00, keeping that guy around for 🚀

Right now, BTC is dumping again

its my theory I hope to see it posted and blasted here in a few months because I am still holding my btc. however, the ability to invest in btc through etf funds shows me that we are further fractionalizing whatever BTC fund x y or z hold. additionally much of these funds holdings are further leveraged artificially inflating the number of BTC again and diluting it.
if im right its one of the greatest rope a dopes in history

Someone gotta be the bagholder who pumps our bags. BTC doesn't goto 1 mill without someone willing to be the first to pay 1 mill for it.

BTC 1x NOW Sept 85P @$1.45(+50%)