BTCUSDT20240301P61000
Bitcoin / Tether USD Mar 1 2024 61000.00 Put
crypto

>Good to see ETH massively outperform BTC 💪
Checks 24 hr movement: +0.74%

The era of wild casino swings is fading. Bitcoin is finally putting on a suit.
Hey everyone,
While the internet is flooded with loud panic headlines and temporary market noise, the long-term structural architecture of Bitcoin tells a completely different story.
If you look closely at the data, the massive soul-crushing percentage drops of the past are flattening. Every cycle, the crashes get milder, and the recoveries get steadier. Fidelity analysts pointed out beautifully that each Bitcoin cycle has smaller ups and smaller downs than the one before it. This isn't a death spiral—it's maturity.
We are currently trapped between two fascinating macro narratives:
1. The classic 4-year halving cycle is still functioning and we are just navigating the natural macro winter phase (supported by analysts from Galaxy Digital and Morgan Stanley).
2. The old cycle rules are dead because Wall Street's ETFs now hold over 1 million BTC, changing the game from a retail playground to an institutional long-game.
The era of easy, lawless wild-west gains is fading, and Bitcoin is transitioning into a mature treasury asset class.
I put together a deep-dive visual breakdown analyzing this exact identity crisis, the shrinking crash pattern, and how smart capital is absorbing the supply behind the scenes.
If you want to explore the full analysis, you can watch it here: [https://youtu.be/b3vvmFK0W20?si=Bkv-kTszWSLxYMDH](https://youtu.be/b3vvmFK0W20?si=Bkv-kTszWSLxYMDH)
Would love to hear your macro perspective: Do you believe institutional liquidity has officially broken the classic 4-year halving cycle rules? Let's discuss!

> BTC doesn't have quatinum protection ,and feers of decrypting will be real in the end of 2027.
Lol.

Sailor will go bankrupt ,and crash BTC price to 20k..His "micro strategy" -price will always go up . BTC doesn't have quatinum protection ,and feers of decrypting will be real in the end of 2027. And war on crypto is only started . It's extremely good for long term holders ,but new guys will burn

I trade BTCUSDT on 2H timeframe. When a trade goes my way for 2-3 candles (on 2H), too afraid that the trade might reverse an I might end up in a loss... thus I move my SL to breakeven. But the 2H timeframe has big wicks, and I just get stopped out at breakeven by a wick and then the move continues.
Entering the trade after getting stopped out is risky as it places my entry point much closer to the trade momentum end, thus increasing my probability of getting a loss in the 2nd entry.

Context: I momentum trade longs and shorts, and keep moving my TP towards higher profits (eg. in the case of longs, I would move my TP higher) when the price moves in my direction.

What suggestion do you have for me to fix this?

this means BTC sucks and it is artificially held up.

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Did a small LTC to BTC swap straight from Suite trezor yesterday evening instead of my usual routine of sending to Kraken and back.
Picked whatever provider had the better fixed quote at that moment. Around $180 worth, nothing scary.
Coins left my wallet, then the status just sat on "exchanging" for a good 40 minutes. Long enough that I started digging through their FAQ with that slightly sweaty feeling. Then it completed, correct amount, my address, done.
But now I can't stop thinking about the part where the money was neither in my wallet nor in the destination. Whose problem is it during that gap?
These services don't custody anything long term as far as I understand, they route through bigger exchanges for liquidity. So if their exchange side chokes mid swap or the pair gets delisted what happens? There's a refund address field but I've never seen anyone actually confirm a refund landed.
It's always "in theory you get it back."
Anyone here actually been through a failed swap in Suite, not a slow one, a properly failed one? Did support respond, did coins come back, how long did it take? Because a 40 min hang on $180 was annoying. Same hang on a real amount would ruin my week and I'd rather know now than find out live.
Also side question, does picking floating vs fixed rate change anything about how failures get handled?

Lol crypto bro desperate for some use case.
The reality: it won't be crypto at all, there's no reason to use crypto. Remember when everyone where trying to push AI coins ? This will be the same.
So buy BTC/etc but don't try to chase some ghosts.

Nobody uses BTC as a store of value, it's a gamble, end of.

Congrats! 0.1 BTC is a great milestone. The next interesting journey is not only accumulating more, but also learning how to properly secure what you already own.

Monero or Lightning network BTC

For a closing next week, I would treat timing and source-of-funds as the first filter, not APR.

Before choosing Ledn, Morpho/Coinbase, or Unchained, ask the title company/lender whether loan proceeds backed by Bitcoin are acceptable, what documentation they need, and whether the cash has to be seasoned. A cheaper Bitcoin-backed loan is useless if the fiat arrives fast but underwriting rejects the source.

After that I’d compare the ugly-day terms: starting LTV, margin-call level, cure period, automatic vs manual liquidation, custody/rehypothecation, and how quickly you can add collateral. For a house down payment, I’d size it so a bad BTC week does not put the closing and the stack at risk.

I’m running a bit of a psychological experiment on myself, and I’m curious if anyone else has tried something similar.
A little background: I’m 6’4”. As a teenager, I was pretty overweight. During high school I got sick, took up cross-country running, and leaned out. In my 20s I stayed in decent shape, but by my 30s the weight slowly came back. At my heaviest I hit 272 pounds.
In 2021, I went keto and lost 55 pounds in about five months. I got down to 212 pounds and was honestly in the best shape of my life. Fast-forward to today, and I’m hovering around 225-230 pounds. I’d like to lose another 25-30 pounds.
Here’s the experiment.
We all know processed foods today are engineered to be incredibly appealing. Food companies spend enormous amounts of money studying consumer behavior, psychology, flavor, packaging, marketing—basically everything they can to get us to buy and eat more. I’m not saying it’s some grand conspiracy; it’s just business. But I’ve realized I’m pretty susceptible to those impulse purchases.
So recently, whenever I find myself standing in front of a bag of chips, granola, candy, or some other processed snack that I don’t actually need, I stop, look at the price, open my Bitcoin app, and buy that exact dollar amount of BTC instead.
My hope is that over the next six months I can slowly rewire my brain. Instead of getting a short-lived dopamine hit from food that doesn’t move me toward my goals, I redirect that impulse toward something that aligns with my long-term goals.
I fully recognize that an impulse buy is still an impulse buy, and Bitcoin is obviously a volatile asset. I’m not pretending this is some guaranteed financial strategy. But if the alternative was spending that money on junk food anyway, I’d rather own a little more Bitcoin. Best case, I lose weight while stacking sats. Worst case, Bitcoin drops and I keep buying over time while still improving my health.
Has anyone else intentionally redirected an unhealthy habit into buying Bitcoin—or investing in general? Maybe replacing gambling, drinking, smoking, or some other impulse with stacking sats?
I’m less interested in whether Bitcoin goes up or down and more interested in whether this kind of habit substitution actually changes behavior over the long run.

MSTR bagholders be like: "Saturn entered Aquarius, $150k BTC confirmed."

> HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) considers swapping one crypto asset for another (BTC -》USDT) a taxable disposal
Is this different in other countries?

You can also use a centralized exchange like Coinbase/Binance for lower slippage, or if you strictly want DEXs, sell BTC for WBTC first, but cross-chain bridges like Thorchain are usually the go-to for native-to-native swaps

Well there is the budget neutral way to acquire BTC

>Replying to you is pointless
It is not, I respond very well to good arguments.
>Obviously you wanted a gotcha but I’m not really wanting to go back and forth with you.
No, that is just you, feeling pressured by arguments.
>I do store my sats in cold storage.
Your cold storage is a good start, but if you can't spend self custodial it is useless you gain no freedom. Like a prisoner that owns his cell, but still has no freedom to go anywhere. BTCs 4 tps do not allow the 99% to spend self custodial.
>Ok than let’s go beyond bitcoin itself, what would you suggest storing wealth long term?
Either invest it so it can be productive, this is what helps society the most or store it in sound money. Sound money is money that has throughput and can be used without a third party. BTC has throughout at max for the 1%.
> Name me another asset that accomplishing these things?
Bitcoin Cash. Plus it scales.

Good to see ETH massively outperform BTC 💪
Grandpa is a nasty polluting mfer, time to move on.