BTCUSDMOVED20201212
Bitcoin December 12 2020 Daily MOVE Contracts
crypto

Not sponsored—I just feel like a lot of people still don’t know Binance.US Boost exists.
I currently have some BTC and stablecoins sitting on Binance.US while I wait for opportunities to deploy them back into the market. Rather than letting everything sit completely idle, I’ve been putting eligible assets into Boost to earn additional crypto rewards.
The rates change depending on the event and how many people participate, but there are no user fees, rewards are distributed weekly, and you can remove your assets when you need them. Binance.US also says the assets placed into Boost aren’t lent out or used for trading.
The only real inconvenience is that you can’t trade or stake those assets while they’re enrolled. You have to remove them from Boost first, which is worth keeping in mind if you’re waiting to make a quick market move. But there is no cool down period to remove them.
It’s not life-changing money, and there’s obviously still the normal risk of holding assets on a centralized exchange, but it’s a solid way to earn something while waiting to deploy them.
The yield has honestly been better than almost any other passive opportunity I’ve seen recently. With the current SEI Boost event, I’ve earned around $200 from roughly $5,000 split between BTC, USDT, and USDC.
Boost:
[https://www.binance.us/boost](https://www.binance.us/boost)
How it works:
[https://support.binance.us/en/articles/9842941-boost-on-binance-us-introduction-frequently-asked-questions](https://support.binance.us/en/articles/9842941-boost-on-binance-us-introduction-frequently-asked-questions)

If you zoom out back to 2010, BTC up 64,000,000%, S&P up 800%.

You're wrong, you can use DEX aggregator like https://switcher.finance/, it has better rates than CEX and no counterparty risk (I lost 6 figures on MEXC when i deposited BTC to just convert to USDT..)

You're not using Bitcoin if you're dealing with exchanges regularly. Stick to onchain and lightning and build a reserve so that you don't have to constantly change between fiat and BTC. Pay your suppliers with BTC whenever you can. Anything else is just optics.
In the end you have to ask yourself why you want to use Bitcoin in your business. If it's only to attract crpytobros only to immediately swap back to fiat, please just don't. Bitcoin has to serve your business, not the other way around. Use it to save on payment processing fees, accelerate payments, and diversify the assets held by your business.

BTC sitting under $65k after getting rejected at $67k, here’s what I'm watching

staking BTC does not exist, it s POw and not POS.
What exists is lending with the risk of default of the counterparty.

Maybe your problem is not the product but poor timing? If you want to stop losing money on blue chip tokens, such as ETH or BTC, then stop selling them when you are on minus. They will go back up! Maybe it will take some time but they will.
It's different story about pure meme lottery tickets. If the token has nothing but speculative value to provide and the community dies, or rogue team pulls the liquidity, then you should consider selling on minus. At least you get something, instead of getting zero.
If you want to take more risk and win big, I suggest to look for new project launches, do you own research and bet on new projects that provide value. Good luck!

Yes. Wall St got into BTC to drain liquidity

you can use DEX aggregator like [https://switcher.finance/](https://switcher.finance/), it has better rates than CEX and no counterparty risk (I lost 6 figures on MEXC when i deposited BTC to just convert to USDT..)

50% BTC , 20% MSTR, 20% ETH , 10% wait for good entry on some Alt’s

Here's the reality, with your disposable income and where we are currently with BTC you will never get to 1-10, but that's not a big deal. If you believe that BTC is going to become this global asset where governments and tradfi are soon to be accumulating in mass, whatever you are buying now could be huge in the not too distant future.
If your goal is to accumulate as much BTC as possible, here are a couple ideas.
1. I actually made a thread about this, but perhaps you could look into churning checking account bonus offers, there are many available right now that are quite easy to hit. Chase for instance has a $400 bonus for $1,000 in direct deposits, this is super easy money that you could throw into your stack.
2. Is there any way you could increase your income or maybe pick up a side hustle? Maybe go get a job delivering pizzas a couple nights per week at a busy restaurant, at the right place you could probably pull $100 in a few hours of work. This might not sound like much, but you do this 2-3x/week and invest all or most of that and it would make a massive difference with what you could potentially be stacking.
3. Is it possible to lower your cost of housing by getting a roommate or maybe moving back in with family or something? This also could make a huge difference but may not be realistic.

I compare bitcoin loan platforms for a living, so I am the last person against borrowing. But this one is a clear no.
A second mortgage means the debt sits on your house. If BTC drops 50%, and it does that regularly, but the debt stays full size and the monthly payment too. Then you sell your coins at the bottom to save the house. This is how people lose both.
And "quick and easy" plus "the charts say October" is not a plan but a casino ticket.
A better strategy would be to DCA every month with money you can afford to lose and keep your house out of it. Borrowing against bitcoin you already own, at low LTV, for a real need can make sense. But borrowing against your home to buy bitcoin, never.

Owning 0.03 BTC actually puts you in the top 10% of wealthiest Bitcoiners in the world. There will only ever be 21million.
I think people often forget how important scarcity is. And I’m sure many people who claim they own full coins+ are lying to you. The number can’t be more than 21million people, remember that.

There was. you missed it. It happened prior to the final leg of the BTC bull run.

Best way to do this in a decentralized fashion would be to swap the USDT for UBTC on Hyperliquid. You can then withdraw the UBTC as native Bitcoin to your wallet without issue, or hold it Spot on Hyperliquid, though this becomes subject to protocol risk.
Either bridge your USDT to Arbitrum as USDC then deposit, or Swap directly in an aggregator from USDT to UBTC with a slight fee.
UBTC is Unit's Spot BTC offering on Hyperliquid that's driven >$64B in cumulative spot volume since launching in February 2025. Not shilling, but sharing a newer protocol that I've found no issue with since launch.

TL;DR — Stablecoin dominance is a ratio. It rises either because fresh money is coming in (dry powder), or simply because the rest of the market is collapsing. The chart looks identical in both cases. Right now USDT.D sits at 8.5% while supply has been flat for months — that's the second case. And we've seen this signature before.
Disclosure: None of this is financial advice.
The problem with USDT.D
You see it constantly: "USDT.D bouncing off support → alt season incoming." The implicit reasoning is that rising dominance = capital waiting on the sidelines = fuel for the next leg up.
That can be true. It can also be completely wrong. The dominance chart alone can't tell you which.
The mechanics
: USDT.D = USDT market cap / total crypto market cap
It's a fraction. It rises in two opposite situations:
Case 1 — the numerator rises. New USDT gets minted. Fresh money enters and parks in stables. Real dry powder. Constructive.
Case 2 — the denominator falls. Supply doesn't move an inch, but BTC/ETH/alts get destroyed. Dominance rises mechanically, without a single new dollar arriving.
The chart goes up the same way in both cases. That's the whole problem.
How to tell them apart: absolute supply
Look at market cap in dollars, not percentage. On TradingView: CRYPTOCAP:USDT below USDT.D.
|Dominance|Absolute supply|Reading|
|:-|:-|:-|
|↑|↑|Genuine inflows. Capital waiting. Constructive|
|↑|flat or ↓|No new money. The market is just bleeding.|
|↓|stable or ↑|Capital deploying into risk. Risk-on signal.|
Only the first has predictive value. And it's visible only on the supply panel.
https://preview.redd.it/zu58susnq7fh1.jpg?width=2302&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c0da31b6b7379419703e986364b0f632ce2aeff9
Top: USDT.D weekly. Bottom: USDT market cap (CRYPTOCAP:USDT). Boxes aligned on the same time windows.
What the chart shows
Today: USDT.D at 8.50% (+1.45% on the week). USDT supply at 183.99B, down roughly 30M week over week. Dominance is climbing while supply has been flat since early 2026, with slightly negative weeks.
Do the implicit math. If dominance rises sharply while the numerator stays fixed, the denominator — total crypto market cap — must be contracting. That's what this chart is saying, and it's invisible if you only look at the top panel.
2022-2023: same signature. Dominance peaks around 9.1%, and on the bottom panel you can see USDT supply contracting meaningfully over the same window (from \~83B down toward \~65-70B). That wasn't dry powder accumulating. That was the bear market: the market collapsing while money genuinely exited the ecosystem.
Today dominance sits at 8.5%, just below that peak, with the same absence of net inflows.
Limitations of this comparison (important)
I'd rather raise these myself than leave them for the comments:
1. The magnitudes aren't comparable. In 2022-2023 supply actually contracted, on the order of −20%. In 2026 it's a plateau with marginal weekly moves (−0.02%). What they share is the absence of net inflows, not the intensity. This is a growth stall, not a collapse.
2. Two occurrences aren't a statistic. I'm showing what this configuration looked like last time. I'm not claiming the outcome repeats.
3. The context changed. Spot ETFs didn't exist in 2022. Part of institutional capital no longer needs to route through stablecoins to get exposure — so this indicator captures TradFi flow less well than it used to. It mostly tells you what's happening inside crypto-native markets.
4. The levels aren't identical. \~9.1% in 2022 versus 8.5% today.
USDT ≠ USDC: the layer above
Aggregating all stablecoins throws away the most interesting information.
USDT — offshore-dominant, Asia, retail, non-US exchanges, perp markets. It's leverage collateral. Its supply reflects global speculative appetite.
USDC — regulated, US rails, DeFi, corporate treasuries, banking on/off-ramp. Its supply reflects institutional capital.
The divergences are the real signal:
USDC ↑, USDT flat → institutional money via US rails. Slower, generally more durable.
USDT ↑, USDC flat → offshore leverage and speculation. Faster, more fragile.
Both contracting → global deleveraging. Money leaving crypto.
One level deeper: supply by chain. Stables flowing onto one chain while global supply stagnates isn't new money — it's capital rotation. Invisible on an aggregate dominance chart. (Not available on TradingView; use DefiLlama.)
Other caveats worth knowing
Not every mint is new money. There's cross-chain rebalancing and treasury pre-positioning. Look at smoothed net mints, never the isolated event.
This is a slow indicator. Regime context, not entry timing. Don't build an intraday trade on it.
Correlation ≠ causation. Rising supply doesn't force anyone to buy. It indicates capacity, not intent.
What this actually changes
None of this gives you an entry. What it gives you is a regime filter: knowing whether you're trading in an environment where capital is genuinely available, or one where dominance is rising simply because everything around it is burning.
The two look alike on a chart. They don't have the same follow-through.
What I'm watching for a regime change: supply resuming its uptrend, not dominance falling. If USDT.D drops while supply keeps contracting, that's a false signal of exactly the kind described above.
Data: TradingView (USDT.D, CRYPTOCAP:USDT, CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL), DefiLlama for per-chain breakdown.
Do you track stablecoin supply in your process? Curious whether anyone here watches the per-chain split, and on what horizon you find it actionable.

Investing in any crypto besides BTC is gambling

BTC 1 SNDK $1450/1400p @ $1.75 +$4.00

You are abso-frickin'-lutely 100% CORRECT. One doesn't have to be a BCH 'fan' to see how spurious, illogical and INCONSISTENT the narratives and rationales behind BTC are.

During the Bitcoin Civil War of 2015, paid trolls, get-rich-quick ppl more interested in number-go-up over utility and a 3rd generation of BTC core devs whose interests were more aligned with Blockstream, the company they founded, rather than the crypto community at large, were all very motivated to destroy BTC's suitability for p2p cash and they managed to drown out the sensible arguments for a straightforward blocksize increase.
Well, BTC got the ticker and the Bitcoin 'brand name' even as it mangled the Bitcoin architecture with endless misfeatures (such as RBF which makes double-spends a lot easier, killing its applicability for PoS) to the point that IT and not BCH should be considered the altcoin.

Then there is Bitcoin SV ('Satoshi Vision') with its very charismatic but ultimately fraudulent figurehead Craig Wright. BSV positions itself as the OG Bitcoin to the point of removing even stuff like P2SH. Its INANE roadmap decisions such as ultra big blocks (offering its blockchain to be used as incredibly inefficient decentralized storage) leads me to suspect that BSV could be the other end of a two-pronged attack vs Bitcoin \[as working p2p\] Cash.

Between BTC, BCH and BSV, it is Bitcoin Cash which reflects the original ethos of the Bitcoin community and its intentions of being p2p cash while also having a sane roadmap.

BTC 3 SOXL 8/14 225 C for $5.25. Sold them Monday for $9.27. Think I could have waited and bought back lower but decided I didn’t want SOXL risk over the weekend