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It was obvious 2024/25 looked nothing like previous cycles waaay back in July 2024. I'd been warning noobs we're in a completely different game this time for 15 months now.
But scammer Youtube and other crypto influencers kept pointing to meme metrics like BTC.D, Fear & Greed Index and told them Altseason was coming and it would pump their bags.
> Exactly what is wrong? We are crabbing like we always do post-halving. (July 2024)
> Agree to disagree.
> - 2016 we crabbed at ~$600 range post halvening for months until EOY
> - 2020 we crabbed at ~$10K range post halvening for months until EOY
> - 2024 we hit ATH pre-halvening and we're starting to crab near ATHs
https://old.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1eellzp/daily_crypto_discussion_july_29_2024_gmt0/lfhdf1d/
> Noobs who weren't around in 2016 and 2020, you should know that 2024 looks very very different so far than at this time frame in 2016 and 2020. (Nov. 5, 2024)
https://np.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1gkfvzs/bitcoin_price_crushing_altcoins_heading_into_us/lvlrry1/
> The market is changing: ETFs, MSTR, etc account for a lot of the inflows. This money is not going to leave BTC seeking greater return on Alts (Nov. 13, 2024)
https://np.reddit.com/r/ethfinance/comments/1gq6ahm/daily_general_discussion_november_13_2024/lwymxl9/
> Each cycle is a bit different. Too many people are saying, just hold on to your coins, it's playing out exactly the same. (Nov. 13, 2024)
https://np.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1gqexix/why_are_there_so_few_active_users_when_btc_is_at/lwxx36a/
> Be careful of people telling you this cycle is playing out exactly the same. ETFs, institutional and mainstream involvement, memecoins, L2 options and ETH competitors, it's very different (Nov. 19, 2024)
https://np.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1gujmk1/daily_crypto_discussion_november_19_2024_gmt0/lxyt5pw/
> *"Most altcoins barely even moved before Feb-march last cycle"* (January 2025)
> If you only entered late last cycle, please don't make things up
> - ETH reached ATH on January 25, 2021 last cycle
> https://np.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/l4bo67/eth_breaks_ath_of_1440/
> - ADA went from $0.05 in the summer of the halvening to $0.35 by that time last cycle
> - BNB went from $15 range to $100 by that time last cycle
> - DOT went from $5 in December to $16 by that time last cycle
> - LTC went from ~$50 in late 2020 to $170 by that time last cycle
> All while the halvening has been 1 month earlier this cycle so in terms of cycles we're in mid-Februrary already if you believe we are still having cycles
https://np.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1i7q0z8/daily_crypto_discussion_january_23_2025_gmt0/m8rj5qq/
> Unless you go back to 2011, 2012, 2013 when it was a tiny marketcap, *BTC has never had 100%+ gains for 3 consecutive years. It's going to be even more difficult to have that type BTC performance 3 years in a row and now with a ~2 Trillion marketcap.*
> A lot of people are holding heavy Alt bags rationalizing a huge Altseason is coming this year. Your Alt echo chambers are telling you, it's 100% happening. There is zero percentage chance of that happening without another big BTC leg up so it would be wise to temper your expectations. (January 1st, 2025)
https://np.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1hr1bgb/btc_returns_2010_2024/m4uaz4g/

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