ATHUSDC
Atheios / USD Coin
crypto Composite

It's a combination of several things. The biggest is the timing of previous cycles (and timing does matter sometimes, though other things can matter more). Like you say, midterms and general behaviour in markets during midterm years can affect things since there's increased uncertainty (and Bitcoin is a risk asset).
There's also simply the case that due to cyclic tendencies throughout the year, some months tend to fare better than others in general. For instance, September is by far the worst month for equities historically, with it normally representing nearly as large a retreat in stocks as the corresponding gain in July, which has historically been the best month.
Also there's just the current situation: we just had a ton of outflows, and you can't expect an immediate reversal even if the worst of the selling has passed. Given the speed of our rises and falls this year, we could theoretically (if we have bottomed out locally for the time being) rise fo six weeks and then fall another six weeks, which would put us in basically late September for the completion of that 'downtrend'.
And outside of the crypto space, equities are showing some concerning signs. Equities seem to be very pricey when compared to historical figures, which has a lot of people worried about a potential correction back down to 'sane' numbers. Add to that how we still need to wait a little for new numbers on revenue from AI companies (and the rest of the tech sector and broader market) and how stocks tend to behave poorly around September, and a fair number of people are pricing in a potential correction in equities (or even a theoretical recession) that could begin in late summer. Bitcoin has generally not behaved well if the broader market is in a downturn, so waiting until October would provide clarity about what happens with AI.
So I think those people that are waiting around until late Q3 or early Q4 have some decent reasons for doing so, although too many of them are just following the first point and waiting around simply because they think everyone else is waiting around for the year to end from the previous ATH because that's just what you do in a Bitcoin bear cycle.

BTC is not hard to predict...
55-58k low between October and November.
Return to 70k 12-18 months later.
Breaking ATH of 125k around late 2028. Likely Nov/Dec. Profit-taking through spring with alt-run, followed by a boring summer, a new ATH end of 2029 and 6 months later we'll be where we are now, just around 120k...

That’s your issue. You’re using a a 5 year reference where 5 years ago was the top of a 4 year cycle and we are currently in a bear market of a 4 year cycle with the last bull market ATH being last year.
Since we are having fun with numbers, why don’t you compare the growth from the bottom of the 2022 bear market to the top of last year’s bull market? During that 3 year period Bitcoin had over a 700% return. Compare the S&P during that timeframe.
Bitcoin is just doing what Bitcoin has done, albeit at less extreme levels than when much earlier 4 year cycles. That’s to be expected as it matures. Gone are the days of huge exponential growth, but that doesn’t mean it’s dead or won’t continue to grow in the slightest.
So yes, zooming out does give you some perspective if you actually know what you’re looking at and understand Bitcoin.

When will we hit ATH we've been so patient.

I'd like to request Eth hit ATH in next week or so before I start new job I'm absolutely dreading.

MSTR is actually more volatile than bitcoin now.
Bitcoin at ATH is a 2X, while at that same time MSTR will do 4-5X surely.

Yeah, the overall sentiment of this sub is quite pessimistic, i believe since the first dips from BTC ATH. It almost feels like an anti-crypto sub.

Touched that same line from ATH resistance again.. tap tap

reference price I like to think of - assuming current ETH supply fixed
|Rank|Reference market cap scenario|Reference market cap used|Implied ETH price|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|1|**ETH ATH token price market cap**|**$571.67B**|**$4,737**|
|2|**BTC ATH 2021 market cap**|**$1.28T**|**$10,607**|
|3|**MAG7 ATH min (Tesla)**|**$1.587T**|**$13,147**|
|4|**BTC ATH 2025 market cap**|**\~$2.50T**|**$20,716**|
|5|**MAG7 ATH average**|**$3.530T**|**$29,249**|
|6|**MAG7 ATH median (Microsoft)**|**$4.000T**|**$33,146**|
|7|**MAG7 ATH max (Nvidia)**|**$5.000T**|**$41,432**|

It is always a good time to get into crypto unless it is ATH, so yes. But also look beyond BTC the category has expanded quite a bit, so if next time BTC faces bear run you dont feel like you lost it all.

Let's focus on reclaiming the $294 ATH first before we start mapping out 10x gains.

This has been said multiple times now including the most recent ATH. I don't think anyone is claiming it can be timed exactly but it's not unreasonable to assume it still has a little lower to go.
It also wasn't a very popular opinion that the cycle was going still, most people claimed it was broken until recently. The average person in bitcoin is genuinely braindead, playing around with $10k or less and just FOMOs in late into the bull and then panic sells near the bottom. For example see this post, which did call it with incredible accuracy: [https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1opphm5/how\_do\_you\_guys\_not\_see\_that\_the\_cycle\_is\_over/](https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1opphm5/how_do_you_guys_not_see_that_the_cycle_is_over/)

Thanks mate, appreciate it, is there any coins you’d advise a look at ? I take it buying now LINK at $7 is excellent value considering past ATH ?

**Historical Bitcoin prices for today, July 6th:**
2026 - $62,206
2025 - $109,232
2024 - $58,304
2023 - $29,909
2022 - $20,548
2021 - $34,235
2020 - $9,375
2019 - $11,209
2018 - $6,674
2017 - $2,609
2016 - $677
2015 - $269
2014 - $627
2013 - $70
2012 - $6.7
2011 - $14.80
**Additional Stats:**
Bitcoin's current market cap is $1.25 trillion.
Bitcoin's current block height is 956925; with the average block time for the last 7 days being 10.34 minutes and the average block size for the last 7 days being 1.61MB.
Bitcoin's average block time for the year 2026 is 10.23 minutes.
Bitcoin's mining difficulty is currently 133.87 trillion; with the next difficulty adjustment anticipated on 11-Jul-2026 (within 675 blocks). The mining difficulty is currently expected to decrease 3.0% to 129.85 trillion.
Bitcoin's current block reward is 3.125₿, which is worth $194,394 per block.
Bitcoin's average daily miners' revenue for the last 7 days is $29.28M; which translates to $0.0312 per terahash per sec.
The next Bitcoin halving is anticipated to happen between 26-Mar-2028 to 20-Apr-2028 (within 93,075 blocks); the block reward will fall to 1.5625₿.
There are currently 96,223 total Bitcoin nodes; with 18,034 being reachable nodes.
Bitcoin's average daily hashrate for the last 7 days is 937 exahashes per second.
Bitcoin's average daily trading volume for the last 7 days is $29.23 billion.
Bitcoin's average daily number of transactions for the last 7 days is 628,018.
Bitcoin's average transaction fee for the last 7 days is 3.09 sats/VB, with the average fee's USD amount being $0.33; with the median values being 0.64 sats/VB & $0.12 respectively.
There are currently 20.05M ₿ in circulation, leaving 0.95M to be mined.
There are currently 4.19M ₿ held by companies, governments, DeFi, and ETFs, representing 20.89% of circulating supply.
There are currently 59,206,327 nonzero Bitcoin addresses that contain 166.19M UTXOs.
Bitcoin's average daily price from 18-Jul-2010 to 06-Jul-2026 is $21,384.
Bitcoin's average daily price for the year 2026 is $73,677.
1 US Dollar ($) currently equals: 1,608 satoshis; making 1 penny equal 16.08 sats.
Bitcoin's minimum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $58,558.86 on 30-Jun-2026.
Bitcoin's maximum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $96,929.33 on 14-Jan-2026.
Bitcoin's minimum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $57,747.76 on 01-Jul-2026.
Bitcoin's maximum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $97,860.60 on 14-Jan-2026.
Bitcoin's largest daily decrease for the year 2026 was -$10,317.60 on 05-Feb-2026.
Bitcoin's largest daily increase for the year 2026 was +$7,853.29 on 06-Feb-2026.
Bitcoin's all-time high (intraday) was $126,198.07 on 06-Oct-2025. Bitcoin is down 50.71% from the ATH. However, Bitcoin is up 7.72% from the lowest point since the last ATH.
Bitcoin has not reached an all-time high in 2026.
It has been 273 days since the last ATH.

BTC just crashed more than 20k little over 2 weeks and these kids start acting like we on ATH after a 5k pump, stop with the corny post.
Celebrate when it actually time to celebrate.

JUST IN: Tom Lee's 'BitMine' buys 42,197 Ethereum worth $73,000,000.00.

at this point nothing can take us to ATH

Back to previous ATH is sufficient :D

Same, just losing hope slowly I have a lot of qnt… been holding past that ATH

This is the time to buy. Even if there is a bit more downside, just hodl and wait couple years to be rewarded. Mentally Buying bottoms is arguably much harder then selling tops.
Most oeople lose money in crypto cause they buy into hype/ATH. Buying into the extreme fear is the way

i bought a utility altcoin that had a really nice idea behind it, and was one of the earliest buyers.
one day one of the devs emptied the pot.
the owner managed to recover.
as time passed i bought more and more (reached 2200$)
it mooned 10X to about 23000$
and then crashed

recovered to 10K
and crashed again.
crashed more
i smoked hopeium
crashed even more

all this time the owner was active, had conference calls, showed progress.

but no one was buying the utility itslef.
at some point the dev started to spread and expend the project (i still belive it was in good faith)
every withdraw from the pot was with complete transparency to the community, sometimes even provided invoices and show progress.
at this point it was already 80-85% at loss, about 3 years in i stopped following.
a year ago i swapped the remaining 129$ to BTCB.
it was the week of ATH for BTC.
now its about 80 USD. (have 5 more in BNB)

didnt check my wallet since (until today)
thats my wild crypto roller coaster ride