RFRUSD
Refereum / United States dollar
crypto

So it really depends on the investors in question. A lot are reconsidering already if not they will be along the next 2 years would be my non educated guess.
If the admin could keep an open dialogue with the investors we have today (very unlikely) they might be able to hold onto the reigns of capital we have left.
The domestic investors will always be the last to go but the big whales will jump ship as soon as things get really sour. Unless they wanna play warlord, which I doubt the richest people alive today want to do in a non puppet way. Some may but pretty doubtful in reality.
Foreign investors with strong ties like UK, Japan, etc would be take longer to break, New Investors may appear but the capital will be far less significant than what we have today. Most of Europe will dip I'd say as soon as real public outcry for violence takes place. Their funding or investments would be transformed into new capital for you know what (insert any assumption here) in a pretty high likelihood. I'd put money on other countries having plans for this exact scenario. Allies and true enemies of the country.
Investors may be inclined to make new deals instead that more strongly favor them. Prices will probably skyrocket due to first supply issues of other investors leaving the market, second the effects of AI really hit. Third, corporations see a shock in supply, demand, labor and a brain drain. Fourth an actual war with boots on the ground. A few assumptions but these assumptions are quite pattern driven.
There is always money to be made in chaos, in fact you can get profits like no other seen in peace. You just have to control the chaos to make the most profit.
Honestly the US should have been seen as a high risk on the CRP to begin with if you look at recent US history (60ish years). But you really gotta look at who controls country risk premiums to begin with, that would be your favorite people ever. That's right its big bro black rock and their buddies. So if you write the rules then why would you punish yourself?
So in all reality every country is getting an increased CRP within the coming months to years. They are all tied to the US by default because of the way CRP is measured to begin with. If I have educated myself enough on this.
ERP or Equity Risk Premiums is probably a better question to ask I believe. I just learned what it was and it seems a little more on the nose of what you are asking. Which leads to RFR's or Risk Free Rates, how is this calculated you may ask? Pretty much US bonds. Which is pretty much hinged on if the US defaults or not if things go upside down for everyone.
So BRICS may be the true winners very soon if they play their cards right. Which it seems like they are doing day after day. Can the United States not default? Possibly. I mean we make the rules after all. Do we get sold out or do we wanna stack cash? Thank you for coming to my Ted Talk Feddy bois.

So it really depends on the investors in question. A lot are reconsidering already if not they will be along the next 2 years would be my non educated guess.
If the admin could keep an open dialogue with the investors we have today (very unlikely) they might be able to hold onto the reigns of capital we have left.
The domestic investors will always be the last to go but the big whales will jump ship as soon as things get really sour. Unless they wanna play warlord, which I doubt the richest people alive today want to do in a non puppet way. Some may but pretty doubtful in reality.
Foreign investors with strong ties like UK, Japan, etc would be take longer to break, New Investors may appear but the capital will be far less significant than what we have today. Most of Europe will dip I'd say as soon as real public outcry for violence takes place. Their funding or investments would be transformed into new capital for you know what (insert any assumption here) in a pretty high likelihood. I'd put money on other countries having plans for this exact scenario. Allies and true enemies of the country.
Investors may be inclined to make new deals instead that more strongly favor them. Prices will probably skyrocket due to first supply issues of other investors leaving the market, second the effects of AI really hit. Third, corporations see a shock in supply, demand, labor and a brain drain. Fourth an actual war with boots on the ground. A few assumptions but these assumptions are quite pattern driven.
There is always money to be made in chaos, in fact you can get profits like no other seen in peace. You just have to control the chaos to make the most profit.
Honestly the US should have been seen as a high risk on the CRP to begin with if you look at recent US history (60ish years). But you really gotta look at who controls country risk premiums to begin with, that would be your favorite people ever. That's right its big bro black rock and their buddies. So if you write the rules then why would you punish yourself?
So in all reality every country is getting an increased CRP within the coming months to years. They are all tied to the US by default because of the way CRP is measured to begin with. If I have educated myself enough on this.
ERP or Equity Risk Premiums is probably a better question to ask I believe. I just learned what it was and it seems a little more on the nose of what you are asking. Which leads to RFR's or Risk Free Rates, how is this calculated you may ask? Pretty much US bonds. Which is pretty much hinged on if the US defaults or not if things go upside down for everyone.
So BRICS may be the true winners very soon if they play their cards right. Which it seems like they are doing day after day. Can the United States not default? Possibly. I mean we make the rules after all. Do we get sold out or do we wanna stack cash? Thank you for coming to my Ted Talk Feddy bois.