BTCUSDT20240124C41500
Bitcoin / Tether USD Jan 24 2024 41500.00 Call
crypto

Guten Morgen zusammen, hier die heutige MSWettervorhersage:
* [Schatzkistenerträge](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y) sind **blassgrün**, mit **+0.10%** (Kurs: 4.067).
* [💦🦡 Zukünfte](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/%40ND.1) sind **grün**, mit **+0.79%** (Kurs: 24,497.25).
* [🕵️ Zukünfte](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/%40SP.1) sind **grün**, mit **+0.55%** (Kurs: 6,656.75).
* [DAU Johannes Zukünfte](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/%40DJ.1) sind **grün**, mit **+0.25%** (Kurs: 46,436.0).
* [🐘 2000 Zukünfte](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/%40TFS.1) sind **grün**, mit **+0.49%** (Kurs: 2,386.9).
* [🦡 Zukünfte](https://www.investing.com/indices/germany-30-futures) sind **grün**, mit **+0.82%** (Kurs: 23,327.8).
* [Ⓜ🦡️ Zukünfte](https://www.investing.com/indices/germany-mid-cap-50-futures) sind **rot**, mit **-0.88%** (Kurs: 28,255.0).
* [🇪🇺🦯 Zukünfte](https://www.investing.com/indices/eu-stocks-50-futures) sind **grün**, mit **+0.74%** (Kurs: 5,557.0).
* [🧗🔥 Zukünfte](https://www.investing.com/indices/hong-kong-40-futures) sind **grün**, mit **+0.68%** (Kurs: 25,714.5).
* [☑🦈 Zukünfte](https://www.investing.com/indices/japan-225-futures) sind **grün**, mit **+0.37%** (Kurs: 48,970.0).
* ˙(І˙5ᘔ5'8 :sɹn⋊) **%6ᘔ˙І+** ʇᴉɯ '**un̤ɹƃ ƃᴉʇɟɐ̤ɹʞ** ʇsᴉ [00ᘔ XSⱯ ɹǝᗡ](https://www.investing.com/indices/aus-200)
* [🔥🛢 Zukünfte](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/@LCO.1) sind **geringfügig grün**, mit **+0.08%** (Kurs: $62.61).
* [🥇 Zukünfte](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/%2540GC.1) sind **rot**, mit **-0.91%** (Kurs: $4,042.2).
* [🌎💨 Zukünfte](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/%2540NG.1) sind **mächtig rot**, mit **-1.31%** (Kurs: $4.52).
* [CO2 Zertifikate](https://www.onvista.de/derivate/Index-Zertifikate/158135999-CU3RPS-DE000CU3RPS9) machte/machten Probleme. 😭.
* [Der 🦯🪙 kurs](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/BTC.CM) ist **gesunken**. Der Preis liegt bei **$87,005.0** was einer Veränderung von **-0.55%** zum Vortag entspricht.
* [Das Wetter in Dachsenhausen](https://www.wetter.com/deutschland/dachsenhausen/DE0001902.html) soll heute **Wechselnd bewölkt und Wechselnd bewölkt, wenig Sonne** werden.
Und natürlich die Miesmuschel: !mm Wird heute ein grüner Tag?
*^^Dieser ^^Wetterbericht [^^wurde ^^automatisiert ^^erstellt](https://github.com/m3adow/mswetterbericht) ^^und ^^ist ^^ohne ^^Unterschrift ^^gültig.*

**Is MicroStrategy a Fortress or a House of Cards? The math behind Michael Saylor’s $60B bet.**
Everyone is asking the same question: "Can Michael Saylor survive a 90% Bitcoin crash?" Saylor says yes. The market is skeptical. But looking at the balance sheet, the answer isn't what you think.
We dove deep into the numbers of the MicroStrategy machine. Here is the reality vs. the narrative:
❌ **The Myth:** "MSTR faces a margin call if BTC drops."
✅ **The Reality:** Most of MSTR’s $8.2B debt is unsecured convertible notes. There are no price-based covenants. Saylor won't be forced to sell a single Satoshi tomorrow, even if Bitcoin hits $15k.
⚠️ **The Real Danger:** The "Debt Wall" of 2027-2029. The risk isn't liquidation; it's **refinancing**. Between 2027 and 2029, billions in debt mature.
• If Bitcoin is high? The debt converts to equity. Genius move.
• If Bitcoin is low? Creditors want cash. The financing window closes.
MicroStrategy is a time-leveraged bet. It’s not about the **Price** of Bitcoin today; it’s about the **Time** it takes to recover.
We analyzed the liquidity, the cash flows ($689M/year needed just to keep the lights on), and the "Paper Fortress" structure.
📖 **Read the full analysis to understand why MSTR is immune to volatility, but vulnerable to time:** [**The Paper Fortress? Michael J. Saylor's Strategy Facing the Trial by Fire**](https://sylvainsaurel.substack.com/p/the-paper-fortress-michael-j-saylors)

Took profits Nov 24 to Jan 25, sold about half of position.
Still in the green, average BTC price is 45k.

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Yeah, pretty much. Once you swap back to BTC and send it to a KYC exchange, they can still ask where the funds came from. XMR breaks the trail, but the moment you off-ramp to fiat, you’re dealing with their rules again.

If you zoom out and look at BTC, it’s pretty clear the 4 year cycle is a thing. For alts seemingly not….

There are only a couple things which really matter in terms of price:
1. The cost for you to buy more BTC (late adopters usually have to pay more money per BTC)
2. It gives an indication of what stage adoption is currently at
In the long term - the fiat price of BTC won’t matter, because once mainstream adoption occurs - the fiat price will stabilise and things will be priced in BTC (not fiat)

Actually I think the chance is pretty high right now for this normally bullish part of seasonality. Also the flush the day after nvidia earnings wasn’t normal. Bitcoin dumping as far as it has isn’t normal. SPX should be down near 6K to match the MA drop level in BTC. I personally am adding spy put hedge on any bullish moves and VIX calls. I mean could they manipulate it higher sure. To me the market is being held up by strings that are slowly breaking. Need a real decent pullback to maybe put the market back on better footing. I sold most my longs and am in cash. I will
Still DCA small amounts if it looks like it’s gonna continue or news turns real positive but to me it’s never been clearer this is or very near to the 2022 top scenario.

Hello u/JoeyJoJo_1
[You have](/message/messages/4ia3e9q) **Shorted ₿5.72203171** ($500,000.00 worth of BTC at the execution price of $87,381.55)
You have chosen 100X leverage: You have borrowed $495,000.00 from the Bitty Bot Bank and spent $5,000.00 from your cash balance.
**Liquidation Price: $88,255.37**
Stop Loss Price: $88,000.00 - Your cash loss will be $3,538.79 if your stop loss is triggered.
You have not set a take profit price.
After opening this trade, your remaining cash balance is -$181,685.39
Good luck!

I sold my BTC way before the dump at 12k. LMAO

If you keep throwing money in as it was in bull to peak. It crashes to 80k and you only hold. You’re just losing long term profit.
You throw more money in at 80k. That money makes money while you ride up and past the previous BTC peak.

What if at the end of q3 they held no BTC 🤔

Always have extra funds. The money invested in BTC shouldn't be one you need in a near time

If you *must* sell one, then sell the GOOG. It is near its local top, while BTC is near its 6-month low.
But if at all possible, borrow against your BTC.

SIR THIS IS A BTC ATM

I hope they won't come for my 0.01 BTC

BTC LOOKING LIKE A TRIPLE LYNDY ON THE 1M AND THE REVERSE BART SIMPSON ON THE 100X CHART SHOWS IT GOING TO ITS FAIR USE MARKET VALUE AS ESTIMATED BY CATHIE WOODS AND JAKE PAUL BY THE TIME EUROPE SMOKES ITS SECOND CIGARETTE

Fking degens still trying to long BTC which is preventing it to rip . It wants to liquidate them on the way up lol

Sell? Never BTC.

Ah crap, this guy spouting off gonna send BTC sub 80k.