TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.
stock NYSE ADR

Yeah I remember looking at TSM at a number and being like that doesn’t make sense and I had to audit the whole thing. Now I just use a stock MCP and the AI doesn’t hallucinate anymore

TSM reported 1T in monopoly money. But only $40B in USD.

|Name|Symbol|Shares|Price|Average Cost|Equity|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing|TSM|10.073|$414.80|$255.65|$4,178.12|
|Broadcom|AVGO|21.061|$392.77|$349.03|$8,272.13|
|Alphabet Class A|GOOGL|16.019|$319.40|$276.88|$5,116.44|
|Goldman Sachs|GS|2.008|$1,075.63|$829.35|$2,160.39|
|General Electric|GE|10.008|$348.87|$300.41|$3,491.58|
|Amazon|AMZN|25|$234.78|$218.71|$5,869.49|
|NVIDIA|NVDA|20.024|$208.04|$194.44|$4,165.83|
|GE Vernova|GEV|4.502|$1,028.50|$972.68|$4,629.85|
|Microsoft|MSFT|10|$383.15|$364.80|$3,831.50|
|Ferrovial SE|FER|20|$63.30|$63.16|$1,266.00|
|S&P Global|SPGI|10.049|$420.00|$425.56|$4,220.42|
|Northrop Grumman|NOC|5.023|$533.48|$577.54|$2,679.69|
|**Total stocks and options**|||||**$49,881.43**|
**CASH:** \~**$10,000**

Discussion:
I bought GOOGL around $180, but recently I nearly doubled my position again in the low $300s. I am trying to figure out what makes the most sense between PWR, FER, HONA, META as big addition to my portfolio.
Ferrovial: high quality physical infrastructure mixture of toll roads, airports, CE services, electrical infrastructure. Physical infrastructure is one of the most overlooked moats. The assets like toll roads or airports are effective monopolies with wide moat, because direct competition would be financial suicide with high level of predictable cash flows with pricing power greater than inflation. Exciting projects concessions like toll roads (I-24 and I-285) and NTO (JFK Terminal One) can be resilient cash flows compounders into the future to acquire more high quality assets. I consider adding this stock, because I would be comfortable holding it 20+ years.
HONA: At $195 this morning, it just seem a bit cheap for a wide moat industrial. Before, we make comparison to GE Aerospace spinoff, it is obvious that this company is nowhere near the level of quality as GE. However, it is still a high quality wide moat player in aviation especially the APUs with similar business model as GE.
PWR: Electrification grid expansion similar tailwinds to GE Vernova, but GEV can substantially benefit because it can create energy source independent from the grid avoiding pushback of rising bills by local. Record backlog with high visibility, and provider of blue collar services that are high demand like electricians.
META: I agree that META has visible tailwinds that are attractive like rising revenues for core services from AI to Meta Cloud business that can be quite lucrative. I am bearish on LLM viewing it as a commodity with low margin and no pricing power and switch cost. With this view, I would lean towards Amazon and Microsoft as they do not have significant LLMs investment compared to Google and Meta. Since, I already have much success with Google, I lean towards the view that Google is a higher quality company with cleaner execution and positioning in the AI race.

Nope. TSM PE Is 31 forward is 27. SKHY PE is 21 forward is 7.

TSM

it's a good idea to learn! my 0.02 is to learn as much as you can and pick one yourself. asking here is a good start to get some ideas of things to look at, but it's fun to find other unique ideas you come up with too.
i'd usually say Google is my favourite company but i havent caught up fully on their latest earnings report myself, so i dont want to say "i like google as an investment right now" because idk if i do or not yet.
same goes for some of my other favourite highly-valued stocks like TSM or AVGO. not sure what the current market's sentiment is yet myself.
a decent starting point might be to go over some of the biggest MC companies and learn about them, and how to read 10ks/earnings reports. that can help build a decent foundation to learn, and try to seek out learning materials / ask chat for a framework

time to buy NVDA and TSM

GOOG, TSM, AMD, AVGO.

Agree. If time horizon was larger than probably a good investment. But if you do buy, wait for bigger dips even though we're in one now it can go lower.

Another thing to keep in mind is that companies like ASML, TSM, AMAT, etc will be the early signals when this AI boom starts to cool down. If the COMPUTE need and data center buildout slows down, then these are the first companies that will see their sales demand begin to slow down or even go lower.

SpaceX datacenters are the biggest wildcard to me. If they can really pull this off, we have several more years to go in this AI boom. Elon Musk has accomplished things in past that nobody ever thought could be done; e.g., let's reuse rockets instead of making them for one-time (billion dollar) use space missions.

AMD, MU, TSM all defending highest 1w support levels

buy TSM

Yeah I remember looking at TSM at a number and being like that doesn’t make sense and I had to audit the whole thing. Now I just use a stock MCP and the AI doesn’t hallucinate anymore

TSM reported 1T in monopoly money. But only $40B in USD.

|Name|Symbol|Shares|Price|Average Cost|Equity|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing|TSM|10.073|$414.80|$255.65|$4,178.12|
|Broadcom|AVGO|21.061|$392.77|$349.03|$8,272.13|
|Alphabet Class A|GOOGL|16.019|$319.40|$276.88|$5,116.44|
|Goldman Sachs|GS|2.008|$1,075.63|$829.35|$2,160.39|
|General Electric|GE|10.008|$348.87|$300.41|$3,491.58|
|Amazon|AMZN|25|$234.78|$218.71|$5,869.49|
|NVIDIA|NVDA|20.024|$208.04|$194.44|$4,165.83|
|GE Vernova|GEV|4.502|$1,028.50|$972.68|$4,629.85|
|Microsoft|MSFT|10|$383.15|$364.80|$3,831.50|
|Ferrovial SE|FER|20|$63.30|$63.16|$1,266.00|
|S&P Global|SPGI|10.049|$420.00|$425.56|$4,220.42|
|Northrop Grumman|NOC|5.023|$533.48|$577.54|$2,679.69|
|**Total stocks and options**|||||**$49,881.43**|
**CASH:** \~**$10,000**

Discussion:
I bought GOOGL around $180, but recently I nearly doubled my position again in the low $300s. I am trying to figure out what makes the most sense between PWR, FER, HONA, META as big addition to my portfolio.
Ferrovial: high quality physical infrastructure mixture of toll roads, airports, CE services, electrical infrastructure. Physical infrastructure is one of the most overlooked moats. The assets like toll roads or airports are effective monopolies with wide moat, because direct competition would be financial suicide with high level of predictable cash flows with pricing power greater than inflation. Exciting projects concessions like toll roads (I-24 and I-285) and NTO (JFK Terminal One) can be resilient cash flows compounders into the future to acquire more high quality assets. I consider adding this stock, because I would be comfortable holding it 20+ years.
HONA: At $195 this morning, it just seem a bit cheap for a wide moat industrial. Before, we make comparison to GE Aerospace spinoff, it is obvious that this company is nowhere near the level of quality as GE. However, it is still a high quality wide moat player in aviation especially the APUs with similar business model as GE.
PWR: Electrification grid expansion similar tailwinds to GE Vernova, but GEV can substantially benefit because it can create energy source independent from the grid avoiding pushback of rising bills by local. Record backlog with high visibility, and provider of blue collar services that are high demand like electricians.
META: I agree that META has visible tailwinds that are attractive like rising revenues for core services from AI to Meta Cloud business that can be quite lucrative. I am bearish on LLM viewing it as a commodity with low margin and no pricing power and switch cost. With this view, I would lean towards Amazon and Microsoft as they do not have significant LLMs investment compared to Google and Meta. Since, I already have much success with Google, I lean towards the view that Google is a higher quality company with cleaner execution and positioning in the AI race.

Nope. TSM PE Is 31 forward is 27. SKHY PE is 21 forward is 7.

TSM

it's a good idea to learn! my 0.02 is to learn as much as you can and pick one yourself. asking here is a good start to get some ideas of things to look at, but it's fun to find other unique ideas you come up with too.
i'd usually say Google is my favourite company but i havent caught up fully on their latest earnings report myself, so i dont want to say "i like google as an investment right now" because idk if i do or not yet.
same goes for some of my other favourite highly-valued stocks like TSM or AVGO. not sure what the current market's sentiment is yet myself.
a decent starting point might be to go over some of the biggest MC companies and learn about them, and how to read 10ks/earnings reports. that can help build a decent foundation to learn, and try to seek out learning materials / ask chat for a framework

time to buy NVDA and TSM

GOOG, TSM, AMD, AVGO.

Agree. If time horizon was larger than probably a good investment. But if you do buy, wait for bigger dips even though we're in one now it can go lower.

Another thing to keep in mind is that companies like ASML, TSM, AMAT, etc will be the early signals when this AI boom starts to cool down. If the COMPUTE need and data center buildout slows down, then these are the first companies that will see their sales demand begin to slow down or even go lower.

SpaceX datacenters are the biggest wildcard to me. If they can really pull this off, we have several more years to go in this AI boom. Elon Musk has accomplished things in past that nobody ever thought could be done; e.g., let's reuse rockets instead of making them for one-time (billion dollar) use space missions.