TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.
stock NYSE ADR

I full ported TSM calls in Jan 2025 ($221)
sold on april fools day for like a 60% loss ($146)

tsm sits happy at $450+ now

Should I leave TSM and NVDA?

TSM price target moved to 580, we going to see crazy pumps from algos on this

Get TSM. Equally good fundamentals, steady style, but actually is rising. Good alternative to NVDA.

TSM price target 590 from BoFA - i swear they just buy calls the week before then pick a new number and start the algo pump because its ripping

QQQ up almost +2%, TSM +4%, NVDA: 🤪

Unlike TD Ameritrade, Schwab does not do DRIFT for TSM. Inconvenient, but the rest is okay.

Good points. The key difference from dot-com is that the infrastructure layer — NVDA, TSM, AVGO — is actually profitable and cash-flowing. Dot-com infrastructure companies were burning cash with no path to profitability. The risk now is more in the application layer where hundreds of AI SaaS companies are racing to build on top of commoditizing models. That’s where I’d expect the shakeout. Hardware spending becoming structural is a real thesis though — data center capex cycles are much longer than software cycles.

In the past 10 years SaaS stocks have enjoyed good growth and strong returns, many of them have PE 40-60, P/S 10-20, look at PLTR, NOW, etc. They used to be the darling of the tech world. Nobody said nothing about software bubble. SaaS were unprofitable for many years, burning cash and raising prices until they become profitable. The common complain is high valuations yet valuations remain so high for many years until the rise of AI.
Now with the rise of AI and semiconductors, people immediately said its a bubble. Many semi stocks actually have SaaS-like valuations like PE 20-60, etc although some outliers have PE 100++. Yes the rise seems very sudden , too fast too furious but it may be because the breakthrough in AI tech is quite sudden with the introduction of GPT in 2022 and the entire world realize AI will be transformative .
Look at TSM, Nvda, Avgo their valuations is quite reasonable with strong margins and growth.
what if this is a new shift from software to hardware? what if this is the new normal? Hardware spending becomes less cyclical and more structural?

When $PLTR market cap higher than $XOM, crashed 40%
When $MRNA market cap higher than $BMY, crashed 80%
Now semi market cap, sky high.
Look $AMAT market cap higher than $CVX even net income way low
$MU $SNDK $STX $WDC $KLAC & many in $SMH $QQQ hyped &pumped,when $TSM cut tools

$TSM and $ASML

You have to dig through the sector, I am spread all over.  I think the same situation applies to enablers of more efficient chipsets.  
check out EUV corgi etf, I hold literally every company in there.
Most of my photonics/chip positions I have been holding for over a year waiting for chip/server architecture to collide with energy constraints, I am decently up on most of them, but I think that this shit is just getting started. A few I am heaviest on: POET, QUIK, AMD, GFS, MRVL, LRCX, ATOM, AIP, NBIS, INTC, GOOG, AEHR, MU, AAOI, TSM, VICR, ONTO, LSCC, KLAC, ALAB, LAES, SKYT, KLIC, UMC, RMBS, LITE, GLW, COHR, VRT, QUBT, LWLG, NVTS, AXTI, MCHP, WOLF, IONQ, AMKR, TSEM, TER, CAMT, MRCY, CRDO, AMAT, NVMI, CDNS, LSRCY, ALMU, MTSI, AMSC, ENTG, SNPS, FN, JBL.
Obviously some of these are already massively up from when I entered more than a year ago, so you'll have to do some digging. I would be interested what anyone thinks about this portion of my thesis.

Any reason not to full port TSM?

TSM will keep creeping up in value. I have a couple of long calls.

I had a margin stock that dipped and Robinhood sold my position in TSM at a loss to balance the account :(

TSM has increased investment in the US by more than the mkp cap of your avg Russell 2000 stock

You can get TSM at a discount by buying TWN. It's a closed end mutual fund that trades at a 10% discount to NAV and holds TSM and other Taiwan stocks

Hi, did my research last night on the market, and will be adding NVDIA and TSM to my portfolio, also holding those 3 for a long time. Gonna put $180 on VOO and $33 on NVDIA and TSM today. Will be holding for longterm to 5 to 10 yrs. Thoughts on this?

My top 10 core holdings from the last 5 years, and the ones I plan to keep holding for the next 5 years:
\#1 MSFT - safest long-term compounder
\#2 AMZN - AWS, ads, e-commerce, and logistics
\#3 GOOGL - Search, YouTube, Cloud, AI, and Waymo upside
\#4 NVDA - AI infrastructure leader, but very volatile
\#5 AVGO - AI/data center chips plus infrastructure software
\#6 TSM - backbone of advanced chip manufacturing
\#7 AMD - AI/data center upside, higher risk than NVDA
\#8 PLTR - AI/data platform, strong growth but expensive
\#9 CRWD - cybersecurity demand should keep growing
\#10 MELI - e-commerce and fintech leader in Latin America
PLTR and NU were more recent additions for me, around 3+ years ago. The rest have been longer-term core holdings. I also recently added NBIS and CRDO, but those are still small percentage positions because they are higher risk and more speculative.
Of course, QQQ is still my largest holding. That is the main anchor of my portfolio. Individual stocks are more like satellite positions around QQQ. Some may outperform big, but they can also drop 40-60% during a bad market, so position sizing matters.
For the next 5 years, I still want to own companies with strong moats, real revenue growth, major secular tailwinds, and the ability to keep compounding. I am not trying to trade in and out every few months. I would rather DCA, add on dips, and let the strongest companies compound over time.

& TSM, ASML, KLAC, etc etc