Create Account
Log In
Dark
chart
exchange
Premium
Terminal
Screener
Stocks
Crypto
Forex
Trends
Depth
Close
Check out our Dark Pool Levels

TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.
stock NYSE ADR

At Close
Feb 2, 2026 3:59:59 PM EST
341.39USD+3.276%(+10.83)12,399,984
332.00Bid   343.50Ask   11.50Spread
Pre-market
Feb 2, 2026 9:28:30 AM EST
330.37USD-0.057%(-0.19)94,860
After-hours
Feb 2, 2026 4:14:30 PM EST
341.36USD-0.009%(-0.03)81,618
OverviewOption ChainMax PainOptionsPrice & VolumeSplitsDividendsHistoricalExchange VolumeDark Pool LevelsDark Pool PrintsExchangesShort VolumeShort Interest - DailyShort InterestBorrow Fee (CTB)Failure to Deliver (FTD)ShortsTrendsNewsTrends
TSM Reddit Mentions
Subreddits
Limit Labels     

We have sentiment values and mention counts going back to 2017. The complete data set is available via the API.
Take me to the API
TSM Specific Mentions
As of Feb 2, 2026 4:15:51 PM EST (<1 min. ago)
Includes all comments and posts. Mentions per user per ticker capped at one per hour.
11 min ago • u/tampaguy2012 • r/SecurityAnalysis • i_read_487_hedge_fund_letters_so_you_dont_have_to • Investor Letter • B
I built a pipeline to extract and synthesize investment ideas from \~500 manager letters (Q4 2025 and January 2026). The goal wasn't to find "good companies" but to find where manager estimates diverge from consensus—the setups where earnings revisions are most likely to drive price action.
# Methodology
I parsed each letter looking for:
1. **Explicit estimate divergence** — Manager states their revenue/EPS estimate vs. street
2. **Contrarian positioning** — "The market misunderstands X"
3. **Catalyst specificity** — Not just "great business" but "what changes in the next 12 months"
4. **Conviction signals** — Position sizing, "top idea" language, depth of writeup
Each idea was scored 0-5 based on how clearly the manager articulated *why consensus is wrong*. A company can be fantastic but if the street already models it correctly, there's no edge.
# Three Dominant Themes
**1. Physical AI > Software AI**
The biggest rotation in the letters is *away* from SaaS and *toward* the physical constraints of AI buildout—power generation, grid infrastructure, copper, cooling. Multiple managers argue Wall Street models the "AI beneficiaries" (Nvidia, MSFT) but completely misses the second-derivative impact on utilities and industrials.
Names: Caterpillar, Siemens Energy, Targa Resources, Cameco, copper miners
**2. The "AI Loser" Arbitrage**
Several managers are buying companies the market has priced for disruption by AI—but they argue these businesses are *integrators*, not victims. The thesis: AI makes their product better, not obsolete.
Names: Wix (AI builds better sites for SMBs), Auto Trader UK (AI can't replicate verified inventory trust), LSEG (45% of data is proprietary real-time feeds that can't be scraped), Duolingo (engagement machine, not translation app)
**3. International Deep Value**
Managers are finding absurd discounts in "uninvestable" pockets—UK small caps, Japanese micro caps, and specific event-driven situations trading at historic discounts to US equivalents.
Names: Burford Capital, Toyota Industries, Swatch, Ascentech (Japan)
# Highest Conviction Ideas (Manager Estimates vs. Street)
**Caterpillar (CAT)** — Antero Peak
Manager's 2028 revenue estimate is 7.9% above consensus. Thesis: Street models CAT as purely cyclical, missing secular demand from data center power generation. Trading at "cyclical trough" multiples despite new growth drivers.
**Shift4 (FOUR)** — Greystone, Marram
Manager models $10-11 EPS by 2028 vs. \~$63 stock price (<6x forward). Market values it as legacy processor; manager sees vertically integrated payments compounder. Target: $140-155.
**Burford Capital (BUR)** — Focus, Highwood, Langdon
Three independent managers argue the market assigns *zero or negative value* to a $6B+ legal judgment (YPF/Argentina). Market cap is $2B. The judgment alone, if collected, exceeds 3x the equity value. Core business trading near 2019 prices.
**Limbach Holdings (LMB)** — 1 Main Capital
Manager calls this "most lucrative investment since inception." Thesis: Market sees cyclical contractor; manager sees structural margin expansion from 3% to 12% via business mix shift. Bought after 55% decline.
**Toyota Industries (6201.T)** — Elliott
Activist campaign argues the current tender offer values the core business at <1x EBITDA. Elliott sees path to ¥40,000/share NAV by 2028 (double the offer) via unwinding cross-shareholdings.
**Wise (WISE)** — Long River
Market punished stock for margin compression (22% → 16%). Manager argues this was deliberate "scale economies shared" that accelerated volume growth to 38%. "Most asymmetric investment in our portfolio."
# The Battleground Stocks
**Fiserv (FI)** is the most contentious name in the sample:
* **SOLD by:** Weitz, Renaissance, Troy, Third Avenue — Reason: "Aggressive accounting," broken trust, guidance cuts
* **BOUGHT by:** Vulcan Value, Forager — Reason: "Kitchen sink" quarter, too cheap for a payments duopoly
This kind of split—where quality managers capitulate and deep value managers step in—is often where the interesting setups live.
# What's Being Sold
**SaaS "seat count" risk** — Multiple managers exiting Salesforce, Workday, Atlassian, ServiceNow on thesis that AI reduces human headcount (and therefore software seats).
**Broadband** — Charter and Comcast sold due to competitive intensity from fixed wireless and fiber overbuilders.
**Taking profits** — Trimming gold miners, Costco, Netflix after strong runs.
# Most Mentioned Tickers (New Buys + Adds)
|Ticker|Count|Notes|
|:-|:-|:-|
|GOOGL|10|Near-universal position across growth managers|
|TSM|7|Consensus "picks and shovels" play|
|WIX|3|AI beneficiary, not victim|
|BUR|3|Event-driven consensus|
|SE|3|SE Asia e-commerce recovery|
|LRCX|3|Semi-cap equipment|
# What I Found Most Interesting
1. **The SaaS exodus is real.** Not a few managers—a systematic rotation out of software toward infrastructure. Worth monitoring if you're long enterprise SaaS.
2. **The best ideas came from smaller managers.** Third Avenue, Elliott, 1 Main Capital, Stone Sentinel had the most differentiated theses. The big shops mostly owned the same 20 names.
3. **Contrarian ≠ value.** Several growth managers are making contrarian calls (Wise, Duolingo, Sea Ltd).
4. **Litigation finance is having a moment.** Burford appeared in three letters independently.
# Limitations
* Letters are marketing documents. Managers talk their book.
* Survivorship bias in which letters get published.
* "Conviction" is inferred from language and writeup depth, not actual position size data.
Happy to discuss any of these names or the methodology. What stood out to you?
sentiment 1.00
59 min ago • u/Vilgan • r/thetagang • daily_rthetagang_discussion_thread_what_are_your • C
BTC TSM weeklies at around 75% profit x3
BTC ORCL 162.5 P for a slight loss (0.4) when ORCL was up at the start of the day. Decided I was nervous about more bad OpenAI news this week crushing the stock.
STO HOOD CCs at 115 Feb 13. My basis is around 110 so deeply underwater atm, trying to claw a bit of that back. Might not be the best choice as I do remain optimistic long term.
sentiment -0.81
5 hr ago • u/Acrobatic-Song-3151 • r/investing • vanguard_cuts_fees_on_53_funds • C
When will they recalibrate some of these funds to lessen concentration risk? VWO with 11% in TSM and VYM with nearly the same in Avgo isn’t my idea of diversification. I just keep selling both rotating more into vxus. 
sentiment -0.27
5 hr ago • u/ALPHAtradingpro • r/Daytrading • tsm_plan_played_out_perfectly • Trade Review - Provide Context • T
TSM plan played out perfectly
sentiment 0.77
6 hr ago • u/rocier • r/wallstreetbets • daily_discussion_thread_for_february_02_2026 • C
TSM backbone of my port has just been a straight march up consistently
sentiment 0.28
7 hr ago • u/TearRepresentative56 • r/Daytrading • all_the_market_moving_news_from_premarket • Advice • B
OrCL news:
* ORCL MAY SELL UP TO $20B IN COMMON STOCK FROM TIME TO TIME
* ORCL KICKS OFF EIGHT-PART US DOLLAR BOND OFFERING
* Oracle says it plans to raise $45B to $50B in 2026 through a mix of debt and equity to build more ORCL NO Cloud Infrastructure capacity, citing contracted demand from customers including NVDA, OpenAI, META, AMD, TikTok, and xAI.

MAG7:
* TSLA - European sales slump continued into January. France registrations fell 42% to 661 vehicles, the lowest in more than three years, and Norway registrations plunged 88%.
* AMZN - Citizens raises PT to $315 from $300 - Market Outperform
* Last week, The Information reported that Anthropic increased its internal revenue projections, which bodes well for AWS given it is Anthropic's primary compute partner. Specifically, Anthropic now projects at least $17B of revenue in 2026, up from an \~$15B projection made this summer, with at least $46B of revenue in 2027, up from $39B prior. Reportedly, Anthropic expects to spend \~$7B on inference and $12B+ on training in 2026, and we assume Amazon will capture the majority of this spend. To be clear, we believe AWS and other hyperscalers are supply constrained, but this reporting reinforces the importance of bringing capacity online.

OTHER COMPANIES:
* Rare Earths: Bloomberg: Donald Trump is set to launch “Project Vault,” a strategic critical-minerals stockpile with $12B in seed funding ($10B 15-year loan from Export-Import Bank of the United States plus $1.67B private). It would buy and store minerals like gallium and cobalt for manufacturers.
* Crypto names all lower on bitcoin sell off over the weekend.
* HOOD - Piper Sandler reiterates overweight, PT 155. "In the short term, there are a few narratives we believe are negatively impacting the stock: (1) a slowdown in crypto volumes and declining token prices, (2) the end of football season and its impact on HOOD's prediction market revenues, and (3) growing uncertainty about the sustainability of recent retail trading strength. Over the long term, we continue to believe HOOD is the best way to play secular growth in retail trading and the closest fintech platform we've seen to achieving 'super app' status. We reiterate Overweight."
* RCAT - says an Asia-Pacific ally selected its Black Widow sUAS in a competitive tender in December, with delivery of an undisclosed number of systems scheduled during 2026. Red Cat says this is the second Asia-Pacific ally to recently order Black Widow for military use, and each system includes two aircraft plus a ground control station and other components.
* MCD - "After two years on the sidelines, we are upgrading shares of McDonald's to Buy from Neutral as our franchise checks suggest changes to the value/promotions strategy are driving traffic growth on a consistent basis. Furthermore, we are optimistic that the new CosMc's beverage platform will launch in 1H26 and provide the next major catalyst for U.S. same-store sales and transactions.
* U - BTIG on Unity: an ad buyer saw \~15–20% ROAS uplift early with Vector, but scaling spend has been the challenge. Visible spend still grew 20% YoY in 4Q (10% QoQ), though Unity is just \~5% of mix. For 2026, they see \~18% spend growth, not a breakout. D28 was the most positive read.
* BA - still has more to do to win back full authority to certify its own aircraft, Federal Aviation Administration chief Bryan Bedford said in Singapore. He said the FAA ultimately wants to hand final safety checks back to Boeing and push FAA staff deeper into its factories.
* EL - is trading higher as traders try to find “Warsh plays” after Trump named Kevin Warsh as Fed chair nominee. Warsh is married to Jane Lauder, an Estée Lauder heiress. Her father is Ronald Lauder, a longtime Trump ally and close to Israel’s PM Netanyahu.
* HUM - Morgan Stanley downgrades Hum to underweight from equal weight, Pt 174 from 262. "While we continue to view the long-term prospects of Medicare Advantage as favorable, where Humana is essentially a pure-play, we view HUM's 2026 bid strategy—alongside incremental policy risk on the back of an unfavorable Advance Rate Notice (see note here)—as potentially slowing HUM's progress on its multi-year turnaround strategy. We are lowering our price target to $174 (from $262), a 9.1x 2027 P/E multiple (managed care organization peers at 10.0x). While, admittedly, the stock is already off \~24% year-to-date, hitting \~trough multiples, with what we view as incremental risk to 2026/2027 estimates, its valuation may be more expensive than perceived. Importantly, we would emphasize that this is a relative call versus managed care peers, where we see the positioning as more compelling for UnitedHealth Group, CVS Health, and The Cigna Group (in that order) amid industry dislocation."
* DIS - board is lining up Josh D’Amaro as the next CEO and could vote as soon as this week. He’s run the parks and experiences business, Disney’s biggest profit driver, since 2020 and would succeed Bob Iger if approved.
* MU - 1Q server DRAM contract prices are seen up 88% to 93% QoQ, and Micron proposed 115% to 125% QoQ increases for server DRAM. Most pricing talks finalizes in Feb
* TSM - Jensen says TSMC “needs to work very hard this year” because Nvidia needs “a lot of wafers and CoWoS,” adding that TSMC is “doing an incredible job” and Nvidia has “a lot of demand this year.”
* Regarding OpenAI: on talk that he’s “concerned about competition” at OpenAI: “That’s nonsense. That’s complete nonsense.” “We are going to make a huge investment in OpenAI… I really love working with Sam.”
* INTU - Intuit Partners With Affirm to Add Pay-Over-Time to QuickBooks
* SNDK - Bernstein raises PT to 1000 from outperform.
* MCHP - Cantor Fitzgerald reiterates overweight, PT to 100. Analyst sees upcycle strength from Industrial & Data Center ramps, boosts CY26 growth view and lifts PT on EPS upside tracking to $4 in CY27.
* GLXY down on crypto performance, but Cantor Fitzgerald reiterates overweight, ahead of earningsmaintins Pt at 48. Analyst expects $533M q/q decline in digital assets ahead of Q4 earnings due to sharp crypto price drops, including Solana (-41%) and FWDI (-74%).
OTHER NEWS:
* Japan’s Nomura says it has cut down its crypto exposure after Q3 losses at its digital-asset unit Laser Digital, and tightened position management to reduce earnings swings.
* ndia will now let foreign companies fund equipment for contract manufacturers in customs-bonded export zones for 5 years without triggering a tax “business connection.
sentiment 1.00
14 hr ago • u/Economy_Birthday_706 • r/stockstobuytoday • market_drops_where_to_invest • C
Consistently adding AVGO, ANET, APH, DRI, ETN, EME, GOOGL, HWM, LLY, MLI, MPWR, MSFT, NU, NVDA, PH, TSM, URI & VST. Heavier on these dips!
sentiment 0.00
24 hr ago • u/tdogger88 • r/StockMarket • after_watching_huge_volatility_in_the_market_from • C
We are talking 2 different things here.
1. Funding round for OpenAI coming up. That’s a funding round that various companies and funds will participate it.
2. The article you mentioned is a letter that of intent that says for each GW, they will progressively invest up to $100B, starting THE 2nd HALF OF 2026.
It feels like you are looking for ways to throw shade on the market. And yes I’m long MU (check my posts), AMD and TSM and demand is outpacing supply for the next year at minimum.
sentiment 0.61
1 day ago • u/Puzzleheaded_Bag_893 • r/Daytrading • is_daytrading_a_myth • C
Yes, I watch 5 - 10 stocks that have a low probability of going bankrupt. Normal trades include: WMT, MU, AMZN, META, AZO, TSM.
They all have consistent patterns and great cash flows. If my investment goes down 5%, there is a 99% chance it will go back up in a week or month.
sentiment 0.48
1 day ago • u/oddfinnish1 • r/thetagang • short_put_verticals • B
Another week of running Short Put Verticals aka Bull Put Credit Spreads.
Very pleased to end the month with $ 13,883 in profit despite the last week kicking my butt!!
Here is my simple trading plan.
I am now entering these trades 30-45 DTE and choosing a .25 to .35 delta short put and 1 to 2 strikes lower for the long put.
I set a stop/loss order for 150% of the premium received and a BTC order for 30% of premium received.
I currently have 15 open spreads and have closed 221 trades for the month.
Here are results for the individual tickers month to date.
|Ticker|Profit +/-|
|:-|:-|
|AMZN|$4,460|
|ASTS|$4,262|
|MU|$2,196|
|CRCL|$2,088|
|GOOGL|$2,047|
|FIX|$1,763|
|OKLO|$1,084|
|HUT|$983|
|COST|$629|
|RKLB|$430|
|SNDK|$295|
|SPX|$264|
|XLK|$260|
|MP|$225|
|JPM|$204|
|MSFT|$170|
|LMT|$165|
|UNH|$120|
|INTC|$119|
|AGI|$110|
|GS|$100|
|NVDA|$95|
|META|$85|
|SIVR|$70|
|MSOS|$15|
|ETN|$14|
|SMCI|$10|
|NFLX|($55)|
|OPEN|($270)|
|TSM|($397)|
|HOOD|($560)|
|NBIS|($666)|
|RIVN|($955)|
|SLV|($1,550)|
|RDDT|($3,922)|
|Totals|$13,883|

sentiment 0.55
1 day ago • u/lordturdhead • r/investing • whats_your_opinion_on_dfusdfax • C
Same trying to keep it as simple as possible too. DFAX seems to compliment AVDV. Small Cap Value US (DFSV, AVUV, VIOV, etc) seems like a tougher commitment. May be alone in that opinion though. Like that DFAX has TSM & Samsung.
sentiment 0.90
1 day ago • u/ALPHAtradingpro • r/Daytrading • tsm_weekly_game_plan_key_demand_and_supply_levels • Trade Idea • T
TSM weekly game plan – key demand and supply levels
sentiment -0.13
1 day ago • u/coopermug • r/stockstobuytoday • is_it_late_to_hop_on_mu • C
I bought calls & shares last summer. My 2 September 2026 calls are up 1000%. I sold 1 call to capture the profit and felt regret right after. So on Friday it came down so much, I bought another call for June 2027. Meta, Sandisk, TSM, ASML all told you that AI spending keeps going up this year. MU sold out this year. I hope to capture some more profit and then get rid of all calls around mid year. For 2026 the demand is still insane. Not so sure about 2027.
sentiment 0.87
2 days ago • u/Frandaero • r/wallstreetbets • weekend_discussion_thread_for_the_weekend_of • C
PLTR, ASML, TSM, MU, NVDA, META, GOOG
sentiment 0.00
2 days ago • u/SamuelDrakeHF • r/Bogleheads • is_60_vxus_bad • C
I agree and it’s very strange that people say “20% intl” is fine, but not 60%.
Investing is personal, and it’s okay to not be perfectly aligned with market cap weight 
I’m 60% exUS, due to valuations and hedging US specific career and social security risk
I’m also over 50% SCV in my US slice, so I’m only 20% or so allocated to US TSM.
I’m ok with not perfectly tracking a VT or VTI benchmark …I’m a strong believer that valuations do indeed matter (eventually)
sentiment 0.18
2 days ago • u/iplay4Him • r/ValueInvesting • getting_started_on_monday_any_changes_possible • C
If you are younger, I'd consider dropping broader investments and adding NVDA or TSM
sentiment 0.00
3 days ago • u/Upstairs_Whole_580 • r/NVDA_Stock • nvidia_to_invest_30b_in_openai • C
It's obnoxious when people hear what wasn't said or read what wasn't written.

Now... I'd ask what the fuck I said I KNOW more looking at their numbers(since their numbers are private, but even Altman isn't trying to spin this as a company he has any plan on how it'll make money beyond build it and then ask it).

I said I WOULD ask that... but I know you can point it out to me, because at no point did I say that... unless of course you're talking about the numbers that Altman and other insiders have openly spoken about.

He's what's indisputable.
1-They're spending substantially more money than... anyone save for MAYBE Musk on his LLM.
2-They had a lead and that lead has evaporated and they're either still holding on to a tenuous grasp OR they've fallen behind Gemini(which isn't using NVDA which may be part of the impetus here to push companies that do), Anthropic...
3-Anthropic has Amazon backing it, Gemini has... well, a 4T+ company backing it... and ChatGTP has several different companies, chief among them, Oracle... which is down \~165 dollars a share, in large part due to concerns over ChatGTP's debt structure.

4-THIS is objectively what circular financing LOOKS like.

Now... I understand you've got your 10-12T predictions, but if you get triggered because I express a little trepidation as a shareholder that's getting a whopping 700 dollars a quarter in dividends(while getting about 7X that on TSM despite holding 1/14th the number of shares... well, too bad.

Sorry, I've got concerns about investing in a company while their CEO issues "Code Red" due to concerns over it losing it's place to Gemini(that's from an actual Memo... but I'm sure you... could have looked that up).
sentiment 0.17


Share
About
Pricing
Policies
Markets
API
Info
tz UTC-5
Connect with us
ChartExchange Email
ChartExchange on Discord
ChartExchange on X
ChartExchange on Reddit
ChartExchange on GitHub
ChartExchange on YouTube
© 2020 - 2026 ChartExchange LLC