TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.
stock NYSE ADR

Sandisk, MU, Western Digital, AMD, TSM

It think crypto and SaaS blowup had some contagion effects into the AI trade. Picks & shovel plays are the least risky right now, yet we got hammered (at least AMD).
Hyperscaler capex is not yet a big deal. They have the cash (yes, some have started debt funding) and it is a wise investment.
I actually think given the enshtification (Cory Doctorow’s viral term and book title) of Big Tech in recent years (them sabotaging their own products and making them worse for the purposes of extending their revenue life and/or quickening replacement cycle timelines) and their market saturation (e.g., Google already has/had 88% search share and Meta’s social media apps already have like most of Earth’s social media-age population), there wasn’t much immediate growth prospects for these companies to maintain their growth and share valuations.
AI‘s fortuitous emergence both forced them to invest and also gave them a growth outlet to further extend the life and domain of their market saturated empires. I don’t mind Google’s investments vs. dividends/share buybacks. I wish they would enshitify search, of course, but I don’t think they can do that anymore with the AI arms race. Google is forced to make sure better. This will all end up being great for consumers. Hard to tell who wins the software/killer app battle in AI, but the picks and shovel plays like NVDA, AMD, MU, TSM, ASML have a few good years of bankable growth.
My hope is that some of the sellers out of crypto and SaaS deploy some of their capital over into AI. Where else you gonna get mega 25%+ topline growth….Kroger?

MU, TSM, AVGO, AMD
Also many other data center related chip, memory and networking players: MPWR, ASML, KLAC, LRCX, ANET, ALAB… or you could just buy SMH, SMHX or SOXX to get coverage across the whole bunch of them.
Finally, the other HBM players (besides MU) are SK Hynix and Samsung, both Korean companies. They comprise 46% of the South Korea (EWY) ETF - so you can buy them via that ETF or if you are super aggressive, buy KORU, which is a leveraged South Korea ETF.

As of current prices, but ratings goes like this AMD>NVDA>AVGO>MSFT>TSM

I play some etfs…but maybe I’m wrong but it seems the top few positions are the ones carrying the weight of the rest so I’ve kinda researched those and bought in to the few in each industry I feel is set to have success. So I’m very diversified across many industries but only with a couple “top flight companies”. So for instance in my semi industry instead of just qqq…say I have my Nvidea, TSM, AML, AVGO, Sandisk, Western Digital, Micron. Sure I don’t have AMD and every other various one but I feel the strongest companies will carry it. Similar in industrials like GEV, HON, Seimans, GE. Healthcare UNH, GEH, Medtronic’s, Lilly. and I carry mag7 heavy emphasis.
I have my moonshots….i had palinter, rocket lab, Lunar, OKLo, NBIS. As those shot up into giant gains I’ve sold near the top and downsized my positions to like 50-100 shares basically locking in what I invested and then pull out the profit to reinvest. I’ve got some new moon shots and we will see but I know it’s just educated gambling with those but I’m ok with a small pot devoted to risk.
Not sure if any of this makes sense but it’s been working and I’ve basically stopped investing in the etfs outside my 401k/ira.

China would not accept that sort of deal imo. Having political and economic control of Taiwan is the main reason they are threatening to invade in the first place. It isn't just symbolic.
I agree it's tough to see Taiwan holding out for long without help. That being said Taiwan is wealthy, technologically advanced, and highly militarized. It has also been preparing for this specific war for decades. Invading an island is much more difficult than a land invasion.
I think the world would step in militarily if China invaded. The US is legally mandated to sell Taiwan weapons as a result of a cold war era law. Also Taiwan is just too important to the AI buildout right now.
I agree it would be pretty tough to sanction China, not sure how that would turn out. Still, if they did something to temporarily shut down TSM during the middle of the AI boom the world might actually find a way.

[Here's](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1pore1a/see_nmr_mfg_if_you_want_to_benefit_from_increased/) my original DD, and [here's](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1pore1a/see_nmr_mfg_if_you_want_to_benefit_from_increased/) my follow-up DD regarding MFG.
Japan's PM won the new cabinet pretty convincingly, and got away with pretty much everything she wanted. TSM will open a spanking new factory in rural Japan. Now, the policies that have been promised by the PM and MFG all will be enacted. Let alone the stablecoin project which is entirely ran by Japan's big three, which will be set as soon as paper handed kids get fully pruned from BTC/ETH, while the adults on the table buy BLSH, COIN, and CRCL at a discounted price.
There is simply no fucking way there's not going to be financial sector rally from Japan tomorrow, if not all week long. Nikkei opens in a few hours, but I have been pretty much on spot for a few months now.
Thanks for the love and hate msgs I have received in DMs, peace! I will post this again tomorrow morning. And yes, when you buy the dip, always get some KMI for the road, it's good for your health.
Not advise financial

You realize that TSM has fans in the US?

Great charts! I own Peru EPU and Chile ECH. They benefit from the commodities and materials bull cycle. Especially Peru clearly benefiting from metals. I was shaken out of MELI don’t want to own it anymore.
Bull markets are everywhere on earth. Man if Antarctic had an index fund it would probably be making all time highs right now lol.
One thing common about most of these countries is they have little or no technology, which definitely helps. And if they do, as in the case for Taiwan and Korea, they have big weighting in semiconductor and hardware, like TSM and Samsung, not software, which helps. China is an exception it does have a lot of big tech, probably why FXI has yet to break out to new ATH.
I think it is about the countries and the currency, but also more importantly about the sector compositions of these countries.

The U.S. is moving forward with Javelin and howitzer sales to Taiwan. What’s this mean for TSM bag holders or our Shipping ETFs?

TSM is their biggest customer, but they also sell to intel, samsung, micron, and anyone else who wants to manufacture a chip

I like IDVO. Up 10.6%, ytd. Has a dividend yield of 5%+. Hold some large companies like BABA, NVS, SMFG, TSM, et al.

[https://www.trackinsight.com/en/compare-etfs/SOXX,SMH,SOXQ?mode=free](https://www.trackinsight.com/en/compare-etfs/SOXX,SMH,SOXQ?mode=free)
I personally prefer SMH since they load NVDA, TSM, NVDA more than the other two. SMH itself had stock split in 2023 and it may split again since it reached 400USD so its performance seems better in the long run. Soxq is cheaper than the other two in TER but the size is the smallest. SMH is the biggest fund in semi.

Yea yesterday sold TSM 1 day call at 9:45 and if I held would have made way more but I was fine with $750. Better to take the money and move on to next. This is the way

great list. i have NVDA, TSM, GOOG, VST, VRT, AMZN, MSFT, IREN.

it's NVDA, MSFT, TSM, GOOG, META

The Semiconductor Industry Association recently projected global semiconductor sales to reach $1 trillion in 2026. That's a 26.3% YoY projected growth.
The 2025 sales total was $792 billion which was 25.5% YoY increase from the 2024 total of $631 billion.
66.3% of the 2025 sales were shared by logic chips ($302 billion, up 39.9% YoY) and memory chips ($223 billion, up 34.8% YoY).
Key application areas in AI data centers, 5G/6G, autonomous vehicles, robotics and edge computing. The 5-year projected CAGR for these areas ranges from 20% to 35% as per major research analysts.
\----------
Long positions in both buyers and sellers. AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, MU, NVDA and TSM. Not financial advice.

Back for another week of running ***Short Put Verticals aka Bull Put Credit Spreads***.
What a rough start to February to say the least!!
I managed to squeak out $2038 in profit despite the waves.
Here is my simple trading plan.
I am enter these trades 30-45 DTE and choosing a .25 to .35 delta short put and 1 to 2 strikes lower for the long put.
I set a stop/loss order for 150% of the premium received and a BTC order for 30% of premium received.
I currently have 26 open spreads and have closed 28 trades for the month.
Here are results for the individual tickers month to date.
|Ticker|Profit +/-|
|:-|:-|
|COST|$842|
|GOOGL|$505|
|WMT|$335|
|XLE|$276|
|TSM|$190|
|PLTR|$145|
|APLD|$120|
|KO|$70|
|INTC|$70|
|XOM|$47|
|CVX|$45|
|AMD|$35|
|MULL|$19|
|AGQ|($287)|
|RDDT|($372)|
|Totals|$2,038|

TSM the most

TSM has been a steady increase and I don’t see that changing