TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.
stockNYSEADR

They make money on inference. They "only" lose money because training/research. Yes, they need to keep investing in order to keep their leadership but they are getting more and more efficient over time and they expect inference market to keep growing so by itself pay for all the extra expenses. If they double the training costs but inference do x5 and keep the same margins they are green without sacrificing quality or margins. There are many neoclouds and will be winners/losers, but aside from Coreweave that I find too risky, others like Nebius or Iren (different businesses anyway) have much better financials and a manageable debt. They could do a x100, they could go to zero, but people often forget they can do something in the middle (and I don't mean x50), just be a good company that offers a service and make money without becoming the next Google. I think spending will stabilize in the future but I think this is a new paradigm and the "retraction" will be very limited, if at all. Memory makers, TSM etc. don't want to overbuild, they need to find the sweet spot between giving what market wants now and what they think they will want in the future, so they will build (as they are doing) but they won't go crazy, they don't really have the need for it. So I think this can suck most of the "bubble" and create a more balanced valuations avoiding extremely big movements. Time will tell.

pretty happy with today. my guess is the most likely case for the next 2 weeks is a sideways range bound price action between the lows we already saw and low 600s, since we didn’t get the usual october pre-midterms rally. checked the data for the past 50 years and if the rally doesn’t happen by now there’s less than 10% chance it rallies before the election (only happened once in the last 50 years / 12 mid term cycles). on a positive note though, when the pre-mid term rally doesn’t happen it has also led to more explosive rallies post election. who knows though Meta might have a killer quarter and fire things up, but ASML and TSM also had killer quarters and didn’t trigger anything. just really happy to see the bleeding stop for now - have a lot of confidence we will see new ATHs post mid terms and earnings.

Assigned TSM last week at 440. Liking today’s pump, may sell a call against the shares.

I messed up this my actual investments. Current holding: $TSM 421.80 NVDA: $217.96 AMZON: $468.67 GOOGL: $300.94

TSM, NVDA, Amazon and Google are solid businesses, but you're essentially concentrated in technology and AI related growth. Even great companies can all decline together when sentiment shifts. I like using Moon for specific market views but with a long term portfolio I'd want broader diversification rather than having every holding depend on a similar growth story.

I’ve done: Palantir (PLTR) 8.5% Alphabet (GOOGL) 8.33% Apple (AAPL) 8.33% ASML (ASML) 8.25% Taiwan Semiconductors (TSM) 8.25% Amazon (AMZN) 8% Broadcom (AVGO) 7.5% Micron Technology (MU) 7.5% Nvidia (NVDA) 7.5% SpaceX (SPCX) 7.25% Tesla (TSLA) 7.25% Constellation Energy Cooperation (CEG) 6.67% Robinhood (HOOD) 6.67% 5+ year hold.

Hello! I was looking to buy a handful of stocks on Friday after the dip in the market(NVDA, ASML, TSM, GOOGL). This was after the market closed and all my orders were showing as open orders in Merrill app. For a some orders, I did market day and I assume they would get filled right when the market opens today. For some other others, I did limit order with the price being slightly above the afterhours trading price. My question is, if I place a limit order with the price being slightly above the afterhours trading price, does that guarantee that my order gets filled? For example NVDA afterhours price was 213.75 and I set my limit to 213.95. Will the order get filled this morning at 9:30am at that price? Another question I had was market order. I was stupid and canceled all my market orders because I thought the market was going to crash even more today. I then changed my mind and reopened then but the prices were so much higher than the closing price. When I placed market order, it forced me to buy NVDA at 218 rather than 214ish on Friday. Will the order actually get filled at that price? It seems to me that the price is going off of the "Ask X Size" number. Can someone help me understand all of this because I am very confused. I am 20 and just started getting into investing. I placed these orders initially because I liked the dip and wanted to buy the stocks at a low price, but it seems to me that my new market orders are making me buy the stock at a higher price than what the market closed at. How can I prevent this from happening in the future? Any advice? Thank you all!

TSM can you just go to 490 by the end of November :)

TSM

Is it okay to setup autoinvest and automatically bank transfer and let sit for years? CAT and TSM are for extra weight. I know they are in VWRL.

If you are going to invest in individual stocks - which is fine despite what reddit will tell you - a rule of thumb is no individual stock (stock, not ETF) should start out more than 5% of your portfolio, to reduce *unsystematic risk*. Your current allocation is: * TSM 34% * NVDA 18% * AMZN 20% * GOOGL 28% So regardless of the fact you are heavy in tech, you are way too concentrated in too few stocks. That concentration might outperform the market as a whole but it also has much more risk. If TSM or any of the others has a significant drop it is really going to hit your portfolio hard. So if you are going to invest exclusively in individual stocks you need to have 20-30 of them. If you can't pick 20-30 stocks you want to invest in you are probably better of just buying an index funds that holds dozens or hundreds or thousands of stocks.

Current holding: $TSM 417 NVDA: $217 AMZON: $252 GOOGL: $343. Is this too heavy on tech stock?

* turning 19 this month US * Unemployed college studnet * I just got my investment account of $2300 transfered to me. I want to get it to grow quickly * I need liquid money often * Blackjack level risk tolerance * Current holding: $TSM 417 NVDA: $217 AMZON: $252 GOOGL: $343 * No debt only expense is food parents pay for everything else Question: Is my portfolio reasonable?

QQQ, a bit more NVDA and TSM...selling off a little VOE and VOO to risk up. Expecting things to stay especially choppy until mid terms are over.

Reddit is literally the antithesis to Warren's "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful" After a few days of red it's all over. When we're mooning everyone is bullish. IMO this is just volatility for volatility's sake so the big guys can make money. How many did we have this year already? They don't make much money in a nice, steady, slightly bullish market. I bought more, first time in months. Got me more TSM.

Uber, Netflix, Broadcom, TSM, Nvidia.

Less than 1%. TSM.

If any pocket of NVDA or AVGO chip capacity opens up it will get gobbled up by sidelined demand, and it would take a dramatic, prolonged slowdown to change that. GPU rental rates are going up, AWS is booked through the end of next year, Azure and GCloud are capacity capped, Elon Musk wants to triple the number of NVDA cards at Colossus.... If TSM.opens up even 1% manufacturing capacity someone is filling it. That's why OpenAI and Anthropic are in such a precarious/dire position. They have to either spend billions every quarter hand over fist on as much comoute as they can possibly procure, and if they slow down at all they open up space for their competitors. Having "runner up" models doesn't matter at all to Gemini or Co-Pilot, they have distribution and the product is "good enough", for OpenAI and Anthropic of their products aren't "good enough" they fail. TLDR the picks and shovels are still sold out for years to come but the gold miners are playing a risky game.

not only am I not selling, I'm buying. plenty of liquidity left but stuff like TSM is really tempting now.

TSM and BA

I bought 75 shares of TSM Friday so hopefully the selloff is over.

Scared money don’t make money, but I’m pretty aggressive and I wouldn’t put 50% of my money in any sort of thematic fund. I like SCHG. I’m an SPMO holder of more nearly a decade, auto contributions monthly, so I like it as well. 100% in anything is a gamble, but historically - VOO, SPMO, SCHG is intelligent “risk”. Ask yourself what in SMH do you like, and look under the hood. NVDA is **TWENTY** % of the whole thing. The top 10 is 70% of the whole fund. SPMO holds 16% weight of that. VOO about 15%. Index’s are already pretty semi heavy. TSM is the only hold not in SPMO or VOO.

TSM recently reported strong earnings but still sold off with the broader semiconductor sector. I think the selloff may be overdone, so I'm looking for signs of buyers stepping in and a potential recovery rally.

your problem isn't NVDA or TSM specifically, it's that you went from a setup you were comfortable with to one that's making you anxious in the span of a single trading day 2 years is a weird in-between horizon, long enough to ride out some volatility but short enough that a prolonged slump could leave you stuck if you actually need the money then. being all-in on big tech when that's already the crowded trade isn't ideal if you're losing sleep over it if you're already second guessing yourself this hard maybe keep what you bought but next time just ease into a position instead of deploying everything at once. nothing wrong with taking a swing but if the regret is eating at you that's your gut saying you overcorrected

VTI, TSM, and ASTS (sad)