TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.
stockNYSEADR

I love the make-up and what it’s trying to do. Falls somewhere between AIS and EUV, if that’s your flavor. One big package. I hold both, because I want the additional ASML + TSM exposure and the photonics/litho tail. I don’t normally complain about AUM, but that could be an issue if they’re really trying to be active. Maybe not. EUV ballooned from whatever their start-up funding was to over $500M in like 4 months. Has the makings of a nice little satellite if you want the extra exposure to AI bottlenecks.

Robinhood account: $20,399.51, up $211.58 (up 1.05%) today. Whole book including the Kalshi and Coinbase sleeves: $21,014.34, up $288.56 (up 1.39%) today. I started with $10,000 and added another $10,000 a couple of weeks ago once it was going well. Profit since the start, deposits taken out: up $323.63. The strategies, and how they're doing: The Kneeler (Kalshi, NFL). Late in games, once the leading team is running out the clock, it buys NO on stat lines that can't realistically be hit anymore. That's usually at 88 to 99 cents, and it collects the dollar at the final whistle. It's 89 for 89 across five game days. This Sunday was 11 for 11 and made $13.81. All time it's up $85 after fees on $644 put in. FAANG+ Momentum ($5,155.79, up $112.36 today, best day in the book). Each morning it reranks the biggest tech names by short-term momentum and holds the leaders. Today it sold AAPL and GOOGL and bought AMZN and NVDA. Business As Usual ($3,048.65, up $29.09). Holds the S&P 500, and switches into UPRO, a 3x leveraged S&P fund, on days New York weather reads normal for the season on Kalshi's temperature markets. Yes, really. Today was one of those days, so it bought UPRO at $148.44 at the open. Full Send ($442.36, up 5.30% today). Holds TQQQ, the 3x Nasdaq fund, while the Nasdaq-100 is above its 200 day average, and Treasury bills otherwise. It's the most aggressive thing in the book, and days like today are why it's there. AI Picks & Shovels ($883.70, up $27.07 today). Owns the AI buildout, chips through networking and power, reweighted by momentum. Today's reweight trimmed SMCI, ANET, DELL and some NVDA, and added AMD, MRVL and TSM. Pelosi Tracker ($1,896.45, up $27.13, up 1.45%). It mirrors Nancy Pelosi's disclosed stock buys. Today it trimmed AAPL, AMZN and INTC and added Palo Alto Networks at $347.77 off her latest disclosure. High Profile Congress ($488.57, up $2.85) does the same thing across a group of high volume Congress members. It swapped RARE, RIG, STAG and YETI for FITB, RPM and AT&T off a new filing. FDA Inspector, down $7.45 today, the worst in the book. It sold its Amgen at $430.93 and bought Pfizer at $29.64. Its first Amgen buy in this run was $377.57. Dip Buyer is easing new money into VOO only on dip days: about $300 at $704.93 today and a similar amount last Thursday. The rest of its $2,000 is still waiting for the next dip. NFL Fantasy Agent buys YES on player props for my fantasy roster. It went 1 for 3 Sunday: Blake Corum 40+ rushing yards at 56 cents paid a dollar, while a Browns receiver touchdown and a CeeDee Lamb touchdown both went to zero. Still a lottery ticket and sized like one. WSB Consensus bought AMZN today. Still a $9 position, on purpose.

The real issue isn't whether NVDA or TSM are good holds over 2 years, it's that you went from a setup you were comfortable with to one you're clearly not, and that discomfort is itself the signal. If half your position in cash was letting you sleep, the fix isn't necessarily selling everything back, it's finding an allocation between 50% and 100% invested that you won't regret on either side. No position in any of these tickers, for the record.

ATEYY: Key testing equipment supplier. Extreme underrated vender with a diverse and impressive list of customers NVDA,TSM,SKHY

They make money on inference. They "only" lose money because training/research. Yes, they need to keep investing in order to keep their leadership but they are getting more and more efficient over time and they expect inference market to keep growing so by itself pay for all the extra expenses. If they double the training costs but inference do x5 and keep the same margins they are green without sacrificing quality or margins. There are many neoclouds and will be winners/losers, but aside from Coreweave that I find too risky, others like Nebius or Iren (different businesses anyway) have much better financials and a manageable debt. They could do a x100, they could go to zero, but people often forget they can do something in the middle (and I don't mean x50), just be a good company that offers a service and make money without becoming the next Google. I think spending will stabilize in the future but I think this is a new paradigm and the "retraction" will be very limited, if at all. Memory makers, TSM etc. don't want to overbuild, they need to find the sweet spot between giving what market wants now and what they think they will want in the future, so they will build (as they are doing) but they won't go crazy, they don't really have the need for it. So I think this can suck most of the "bubble" and create a more balanced valuations avoiding extremely big movements. Time will tell.

pretty happy with today. my guess is the most likely case for the next 2 weeks is a sideways range bound price action between the lows we already saw and low 600s, since we didn’t get the usual october pre-midterms rally. checked the data for the past 50 years and if the rally doesn’t happen by now there’s less than 10% chance it rallies before the election (only happened once in the last 50 years / 12 mid term cycles). on a positive note though, when the pre-mid term rally doesn’t happen it has also led to more explosive rallies post election. who knows though Meta might have a killer quarter and fire things up, but ASML and TSM also had killer quarters and didn’t trigger anything. just really happy to see the bleeding stop for now - have a lot of confidence we will see new ATHs post mid terms and earnings.

Assigned TSM last week at 440. Liking today’s pump, may sell a call against the shares.

I messed up this my actual investments. Current holding: $TSM 421.80 NVDA: $217.96 AMZON: $468.67 GOOGL: $300.94

TSM, NVDA, Amazon and Google are solid businesses, but you're essentially concentrated in technology and AI related growth. Even great companies can all decline together when sentiment shifts. I like using Moon for specific market views but with a long term portfolio I'd want broader diversification rather than having every holding depend on a similar growth story.

I’ve done: Palantir (PLTR) 8.5% Alphabet (GOOGL) 8.33% Apple (AAPL) 8.33% ASML (ASML) 8.25% Taiwan Semiconductors (TSM) 8.25% Amazon (AMZN) 8% Broadcom (AVGO) 7.5% Micron Technology (MU) 7.5% Nvidia (NVDA) 7.5% SpaceX (SPCX) 7.25% Tesla (TSLA) 7.25% Constellation Energy Cooperation (CEG) 6.67% Robinhood (HOOD) 6.67% 5+ year hold.

Hello! I was looking to buy a handful of stocks on Friday after the dip in the market(NVDA, ASML, TSM, GOOGL). This was after the market closed and all my orders were showing as open orders in Merrill app. For a some orders, I did market day and I assume they would get filled right when the market opens today. For some other others, I did limit order with the price being slightly above the afterhours trading price. My question is, if I place a limit order with the price being slightly above the afterhours trading price, does that guarantee that my order gets filled? For example NVDA afterhours price was 213.75 and I set my limit to 213.95. Will the order get filled this morning at 9:30am at that price? Another question I had was market order. I was stupid and canceled all my market orders because I thought the market was going to crash even more today. I then changed my mind and reopened then but the prices were so much higher than the closing price. When I placed market order, it forced me to buy NVDA at 218 rather than 214ish on Friday. Will the order actually get filled at that price? It seems to me that the price is going off of the "Ask X Size" number. Can someone help me understand all of this because I am very confused. I am 20 and just started getting into investing. I placed these orders initially because I liked the dip and wanted to buy the stocks at a low price, but it seems to me that my new market orders are making me buy the stock at a higher price than what the market closed at. How can I prevent this from happening in the future? Any advice? Thank you all!

TSM can you just go to 490 by the end of November :)

TSM

Is it okay to setup autoinvest and automatically bank transfer and let sit for years? CAT and TSM are for extra weight. I know they are in VWRL.

If you are going to invest in individual stocks - which is fine despite what reddit will tell you - a rule of thumb is no individual stock (stock, not ETF) should start out more than 5% of your portfolio, to reduce *unsystematic risk*. Your current allocation is: * TSM 34% * NVDA 18% * AMZN 20% * GOOGL 28% So regardless of the fact you are heavy in tech, you are way too concentrated in too few stocks. That concentration might outperform the market as a whole but it also has much more risk. If TSM or any of the others has a significant drop it is really going to hit your portfolio hard. So if you are going to invest exclusively in individual stocks you need to have 20-30 of them. If you can't pick 20-30 stocks you want to invest in you are probably better of just buying an index funds that holds dozens or hundreds or thousands of stocks.

Current holding: $TSM 417 NVDA: $217 AMZON: $252 GOOGL: $343. Is this too heavy on tech stock?

* turning 19 this month US * Unemployed college studnet * I just got my investment account of $2300 transfered to me. I want to get it to grow quickly * I need liquid money often * Blackjack level risk tolerance * Current holding: $TSM 417 NVDA: $217 AMZON: $252 GOOGL: $343 * No debt only expense is food parents pay for everything else Question: Is my portfolio reasonable?

QQQ, a bit more NVDA and TSM...selling off a little VOE and VOO to risk up. Expecting things to stay especially choppy until mid terms are over.

Reddit is literally the antithesis to Warren's "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful" After a few days of red it's all over. When we're mooning everyone is bullish. IMO this is just volatility for volatility's sake so the big guys can make money. How many did we have this year already? They don't make much money in a nice, steady, slightly bullish market. I bought more, first time in months. Got me more TSM.

Uber, Netflix, Broadcom, TSM, Nvidia.

Less than 1%. TSM.

If any pocket of NVDA or AVGO chip capacity opens up it will get gobbled up by sidelined demand, and it would take a dramatic, prolonged slowdown to change that. GPU rental rates are going up, AWS is booked through the end of next year, Azure and GCloud are capacity capped, Elon Musk wants to triple the number of NVDA cards at Colossus.... If TSM.opens up even 1% manufacturing capacity someone is filling it. That's why OpenAI and Anthropic are in such a precarious/dire position. They have to either spend billions every quarter hand over fist on as much comoute as they can possibly procure, and if they slow down at all they open up space for their competitors. Having "runner up" models doesn't matter at all to Gemini or Co-Pilot, they have distribution and the product is "good enough", for OpenAI and Anthropic of their products aren't "good enough" they fail. TLDR the picks and shovels are still sold out for years to come but the gold miners are playing a risky game.

not only am I not selling, I'm buying. plenty of liquidity left but stuff like TSM is really tempting now.

TSM and BA

I bought 75 shares of TSM Friday so hopefully the selloff is over.