TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.
stock NYSE ADR

All roads lead to TSM.

I’m assuming this is a good faith question even though it’s probably not.
1. SpaceX has deployed roughly 50% of the satellites the entire human race has ever deployed, combined, and that’s still trending number is increasing rapidly.
2. SpaceX reduced the cost of deployment per kg from $20k to less than $2k, and that’s still trending downward
3. SpaceXs reusable rockets are the first in the world and proved out the entire industry is viable. This is valuable for SpaceX obviously, but it makes the entire space market real and actually monetizable.
4. AI - new and grok is weak, but it’s going to be impossible for new AI companies to exist soon, and SpaceX’s data centers are a bet on them bridging the gap to becoming a contender over the years.
5. Chips/Semiconductors - if SpaceX can actually enter the semiconductor manufacturing race successfully through terrafab, and compete even remotely near the TSM levels, the entire planets economy and political climate will change. Taiwan is so important precisely due to this, and the reason GPUs are so expensive now is partially due to this bottleneck. It sounds like an insane idea they might beat TSM, but with the gigafactories Tesla has already produced, it’s a real possibility.

I got this from ChatGPT Latest model with a sub.
Executive Summary
Yes — but I’d tighten the output into a research screen, not a fake “committee.” Based on the current backdrop, I’d overweight quality compounders with positive revisions and avoid “consensus buys” that only work if multiples keep expanding. FactSet shows S&P 500 forward P/E at 21.1x, above both 5- and 10-year averages, while earnings revisions are unusually positive.
Top 20 Institutional-Quality Screen
Rank Ticker Company Sector Valuation View Thesis
1 MSFT Microsoft Software/Cloud Fair AI/cloud compounder, high ROIC, strong balance sheet
2 GOOGL Alphabet Digital Ads/AI Fair Search + YouTube + AI optionality
3 META Meta Platforms Social/AI Ads Undervalued/Fair Strong buybacks, ad efficiency, AI monetization
4 AVGO Broadcom Semis/Infrastructure High quality, pricey AI networking + VMware cash flow
5 AMZN Amazon Cloud/E-Commerce Fair AWS recovery, retail margin expansion
6 V Visa Payments Fair Toll-road economics, secular cash-to-card shift
7 MA Mastercard Payments Fair/Pricey Similar moat to Visa, faster global mix
8 ASML ASML Holding Semi Equipment Fair Monopoly-like EUV lithography moat
9 TSM Taiwan Semi Foundry Fair AI foundry leader, scale advantage
10 COST Costco Retail Overvalued quality Exceptional loyalty, pricing power
11 BRK.B Berkshire Hathaway Insurance/Holdco Fair Fortress balance sheet, disciplined capital allocation
12 SPGI S&P Global Financial Data Fair Ratings/data moat, high margins
13 ICE Intercontinental Exchange Exchanges/Data Fair Mission-critical financial infrastructure
14 LIN Linde Industrial Gas Fair/Pricey Defensive industrial compounder
15 AMAT Applied Materials Semi Equipment Fair AI chip capex beneficiary
16 KLAC KLA Corp Semi Equipment Fair/Pricey Process-control moat, high margins
17 LRCX Lam Research Semi Equipment Fair Memory/AI capex recovery
18 ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line Transport Fair/Pricey Best-in-class LTL operator
19 HON Honeywell Industrials Undervalued/Fair Breakup/spinoff catalyst, aerospace/automation value unlock
20 ELV Elevance Health Managed Care Undervalued Quality healthcare name under sentiment pressure
Microsoft screens exceptionally well: StockAnalysis lists 23.25x trailing P/E, 21.11x forward P/E, 15.98x EV/EBITDA, 39.77x P/FCF, and 27.24% ROIC. Alphabet has strong ROIC at 28.34%, but its current valuation is less obviously cheap after a major 52-week run. Meta is still attractive on analyst consensus, with Google Finance showing 32 Buy, 6 Hold, 0 Sell among recent ratings. Broadcom is high quality but no longer cheap, with StockAnalysis showing 64x trailing P/E, 24.5x forward P/E, and 44.7x EV/EBITDA.
10-Stock Model Portfolio
Weight Ticker Role
14% MSFT Core AI/cloud compounder
12% GOOGL AI/search value compounder
10% META Cash-flow + buyback machine
10% AMZN Margin expansion + AWS
9% AVGO AI infrastructure
9% V Defensive payments moat
8% ASML Semiconductor monopoly asset
8% TSM AI manufacturing backbone
8% AMAT Semi equipment cycle
7% HON Spinoff/value-unlock industrial
Bear/Base/Bull Return Framework
Scenario 3-Year CAGR 5-Year CAGR Assumptions
Bear -3% to 4% 2% to 5% Multiples compress, AI capex slows
Base 8% to 12% 9% to 13% Earnings compound, valuations normalize
Bull 15% to 22% 14% to 18% AI monetization accelerates, margins expand
Bottom Line
The best version of this strategy is not “buy what Wall Street likes most.”
It is:
> Buy companies where elite consensus, earnings revisions, moat strength, cash-flow quality, and valuation all line up.
My highest-conviction 10 from this screen: MSFT, GOOGL, META, AMZN, AVGO, V, ASML, TSM, AMAT, HON.

Just bail on SPCX and buy TSM

Buy TSM

> Why do you think Nvidia is just sitting with backlogs instead of investing in ASML to install with TSM to crank out GPUs?
Brother, I literally just explained this to you.

$75B or $750B. It doesn't matter. There isn't enough supply of EUV components to build the machines. No amount of money can make this stuff just appear.
Why do you think no one is investing in ASML? Why do you think Nvidia is just sitting with backlogs instead of investing in ASML to install with TSM to crank out GPUs? NVDA has 100s of billions of net income and practically no capex. It is 100% supply constrained with a $1T backlog. Do you really think Nvidia would rather invest in crap like Coreweave than a key bottleneck in their profit center?
The reality is that SpaceX has nothing that does anything that would help ASML expand any faster than ASML already can expand. Hell, the US considers these things matters of national security and won't even let other countries import the machines, yet it isn't investing in them and it can little print money to invest, just like it did with Intel etc.

Buy TSM

It’s gone from $2000 to $4000 so double
In the same timeframe I invested in MU which is up 7x, RDDT which tripled, AMD which tripled, SOFI which is more than double, TSM more than double
So how tf is gold any good?
Every other thing I invested in went up more
“Early retirement” my butt

All roads lead to TSM.

I’m assuming this is a good faith question even though it’s probably not.
1. SpaceX has deployed roughly 50% of the satellites the entire human race has ever deployed, combined, and that’s still trending number is increasing rapidly.
2. SpaceX reduced the cost of deployment per kg from $20k to less than $2k, and that’s still trending downward
3. SpaceXs reusable rockets are the first in the world and proved out the entire industry is viable. This is valuable for SpaceX obviously, but it makes the entire space market real and actually monetizable.
4. AI - new and grok is weak, but it’s going to be impossible for new AI companies to exist soon, and SpaceX’s data centers are a bet on them bridging the gap to becoming a contender over the years.
5. Chips/Semiconductors - if SpaceX can actually enter the semiconductor manufacturing race successfully through terrafab, and compete even remotely near the TSM levels, the entire planets economy and political climate will change. Taiwan is so important precisely due to this, and the reason GPUs are so expensive now is partially due to this bottleneck. It sounds like an insane idea they might beat TSM, but with the gigafactories Tesla has already produced, it’s a real possibility.

I got this from ChatGPT Latest model with a sub.
Executive Summary
Yes — but I’d tighten the output into a research screen, not a fake “committee.” Based on the current backdrop, I’d overweight quality compounders with positive revisions and avoid “consensus buys” that only work if multiples keep expanding. FactSet shows S&P 500 forward P/E at 21.1x, above both 5- and 10-year averages, while earnings revisions are unusually positive.
Top 20 Institutional-Quality Screen
Rank Ticker Company Sector Valuation View Thesis
1 MSFT Microsoft Software/Cloud Fair AI/cloud compounder, high ROIC, strong balance sheet
2 GOOGL Alphabet Digital Ads/AI Fair Search + YouTube + AI optionality
3 META Meta Platforms Social/AI Ads Undervalued/Fair Strong buybacks, ad efficiency, AI monetization
4 AVGO Broadcom Semis/Infrastructure High quality, pricey AI networking + VMware cash flow
5 AMZN Amazon Cloud/E-Commerce Fair AWS recovery, retail margin expansion
6 V Visa Payments Fair Toll-road economics, secular cash-to-card shift
7 MA Mastercard Payments Fair/Pricey Similar moat to Visa, faster global mix
8 ASML ASML Holding Semi Equipment Fair Monopoly-like EUV lithography moat
9 TSM Taiwan Semi Foundry Fair AI foundry leader, scale advantage
10 COST Costco Retail Overvalued quality Exceptional loyalty, pricing power
11 BRK.B Berkshire Hathaway Insurance/Holdco Fair Fortress balance sheet, disciplined capital allocation
12 SPGI S&P Global Financial Data Fair Ratings/data moat, high margins
13 ICE Intercontinental Exchange Exchanges/Data Fair Mission-critical financial infrastructure
14 LIN Linde Industrial Gas Fair/Pricey Defensive industrial compounder
15 AMAT Applied Materials Semi Equipment Fair AI chip capex beneficiary
16 KLAC KLA Corp Semi Equipment Fair/Pricey Process-control moat, high margins
17 LRCX Lam Research Semi Equipment Fair Memory/AI capex recovery
18 ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line Transport Fair/Pricey Best-in-class LTL operator
19 HON Honeywell Industrials Undervalued/Fair Breakup/spinoff catalyst, aerospace/automation value unlock
20 ELV Elevance Health Managed Care Undervalued Quality healthcare name under sentiment pressure
Microsoft screens exceptionally well: StockAnalysis lists 23.25x trailing P/E, 21.11x forward P/E, 15.98x EV/EBITDA, 39.77x P/FCF, and 27.24% ROIC. Alphabet has strong ROIC at 28.34%, but its current valuation is less obviously cheap after a major 52-week run. Meta is still attractive on analyst consensus, with Google Finance showing 32 Buy, 6 Hold, 0 Sell among recent ratings. Broadcom is high quality but no longer cheap, with StockAnalysis showing 64x trailing P/E, 24.5x forward P/E, and 44.7x EV/EBITDA.
10-Stock Model Portfolio
Weight Ticker Role
14% MSFT Core AI/cloud compounder
12% GOOGL AI/search value compounder
10% META Cash-flow + buyback machine
10% AMZN Margin expansion + AWS
9% AVGO AI infrastructure
9% V Defensive payments moat
8% ASML Semiconductor monopoly asset
8% TSM AI manufacturing backbone
8% AMAT Semi equipment cycle
7% HON Spinoff/value-unlock industrial
Bear/Base/Bull Return Framework
Scenario 3-Year CAGR 5-Year CAGR Assumptions
Bear -3% to 4% 2% to 5% Multiples compress, AI capex slows
Base 8% to 12% 9% to 13% Earnings compound, valuations normalize
Bull 15% to 22% 14% to 18% AI monetization accelerates, margins expand
Bottom Line
The best version of this strategy is not “buy what Wall Street likes most.”
It is:
> Buy companies where elite consensus, earnings revisions, moat strength, cash-flow quality, and valuation all line up.
My highest-conviction 10 from this screen: MSFT, GOOGL, META, AMZN, AVGO, V, ASML, TSM, AMAT, HON.

Just bail on SPCX and buy TSM

Buy TSM

> Why do you think Nvidia is just sitting with backlogs instead of investing in ASML to install with TSM to crank out GPUs?
Brother, I literally just explained this to you.

$75B or $750B. It doesn't matter. There isn't enough supply of EUV components to build the machines. No amount of money can make this stuff just appear.
Why do you think no one is investing in ASML? Why do you think Nvidia is just sitting with backlogs instead of investing in ASML to install with TSM to crank out GPUs? NVDA has 100s of billions of net income and practically no capex. It is 100% supply constrained with a $1T backlog. Do you really think Nvidia would rather invest in crap like Coreweave than a key bottleneck in their profit center?
The reality is that SpaceX has nothing that does anything that would help ASML expand any faster than ASML already can expand. Hell, the US considers these things matters of national security and won't even let other countries import the machines, yet it isn't investing in them and it can little print money to invest, just like it did with Intel etc.

Buy TSM

It’s gone from $2000 to $4000 so double
In the same timeframe I invested in MU which is up 7x, RDDT which tripled, AMD which tripled, SOFI which is more than double, TSM more than double
So how tf is gold any good?
Every other thing I invested in went up more
“Early retirement” my butt

just ride the wave 🌊until there is no more wave. No need to dive too deep unless you are long. Which should only be AMD, AMAT, TSM don’t care less about the others.

SNXX - 8-for-1 stock split
AIS ETF -
* SK hynix Inc.: 11.52%
* Micron Technology Inc. (MU): 7.92%
* Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD): 4.45%
* Marvell Technology Inc. (MRVL): 4.39%
* Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT): 3.55%
* Silicon Motion Technology Corp (SIMO): 3.41%
* Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSM): 3.31%
* Intel Corp (INTC): 3.07%
* Foxconn Industrial Internet Co Ltd: 2.99%
* Navitas Semiconductor Corp (NVTS): 2.74%
Monthly dividend stocks:
O - Realty Income Corp
EPR - EPR Properties
MAIN - Main Street Capital Corp