TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.
stock NYSE ADR

TSM earnings next Thursday are going to give the market the first excuse for a leg down. Big tech will give the second. We are going SPY 620 by May.

In a few hours TSM is going give us clear direction regarding semiconductor stocks. If they crush on earnings we are going to fly higher than a giraffe 🦒 Choochee.

TSM

I placed bets on MU and TSM toward the end of the session. This is purely for personal sharing and is not investment advice; please do your own research.

It’s been on my watchlist. The last few weeks there were too many other attractive stocks. They’ve all gone up now.
The fall in $NOW has been surprising. You are correct, customer retention is around 97/98%. CEO bought. Almost every analyst is positive about them. It’s not just a feeling. They’ve been probably one of the first to react to AI.
Must admit unlike the recent falls in META / TSM / MU / GOOG I wasn’t concerned. What concerns me here is the market won’t get confidence back anyone soon, even if they post good numbers. Whereas any slight slip will lead to another drawdown.

servicenow has a PE of 54.
why should I buy service now when i can buy TSM or NVDA with a PE under 20?
the disruptors are trading at lower valuations than the disrupted?

I'm ready to sell NBIS, ASTS, APLD, PLTR, KTOS cause they're the weakest links in my portfolio. LRCX, MU, GEV, TSM, STRL are my winners. I like drones UMAC, RKLB.
Of the Mag 7 I've lost value with MSFT, META, AAPL. Breaking even with AMZN, TSLA. Only made money with NVDA, GOOG.

Two years ago you could have bought shares in an actual real profitable chip fab rather than one that needs the government and flashy news releases to increase its stock price. You could have bought TSM at $145.

TSM, MU, GOOG, NVTS, MICROSOFT, ARM … many stocks doing worse than NVDA today so not that bad

NVDA red, while Amazon, TSM, AMD, ASML, AVGO, Intel, Meta, your mom, etc all green.
Fatigue is in, I don’t blame them for not having a Thursday thread.

Google, TSM

Puts for next Thursday before close on Wednesday. TSM earnings will tank the market.

Does anyone else think next Thursday is going to be the limit down? That's when TSM reports, which is really the face of the entire semiconductor right now. If they say anything about cutting guidance or helium shortages etc feels like we're in for a deep red day on tech.

But oil stocks have already run up massively despite their being a glut of oil before the war. How can you be sure that that hasn't been priced in? Why be in oil with such uncertainty when you can be in something like TSM where we know the demand is real until at least 2029? Granted there's some uncertainty, but when you see Claude Mythos outperforming PhDs in their field, it finding countless cybersecurity flaws better and faster than humans can, I can't imagine wanting to go big on oil.

Here's my rough portfolio right now, though it's definitely a work in progress. I was initially aiming for roughly 50% VOO, 25% VXUS, 10% each AVUV and SPMO, and 5% individual stocks.
I'm in my early 30s, willing to take on a bit higher risk for more growth. That said, I'm a bit over-invested in semiconductors, no? Was thinking about divesting the SPMO for more individual stocks in another sector, maybe pharma or green energy.
Right now, I'm adding roughly $250/month, and not really increasing my positions on anything but the ETFs.
|**VOO**|45%|
|:-|:-|
|**VXUS**|23%|
|**NVDA**|10%|
|**AVUV**|9%|
|**SPMO**|9%|
|**TSM**|4%|

i should have reloaded massively on TSM puts. i think all the worlds helium supply is keeping that price inflated.

I did same... closed out TSM position and reduced my VALE position a tad... same reasoning you gave... good luck!

I hold 20 stocks in my personal account, 8 of them are up +4% or more. Been a while since i had a day this good. RYCEY, MU, META, TSM, EMBJ, RDDT, AVGO, ITA and GOOGL.

TSM $365 call
Cost $3.88 → Current price $12.45
\+220%—done for the day 📈
INTC $57 call
Cost $0.11 → Current price $1.80
\+1,536%—taking off 🚀
Held for two days, expiring Friday.
When others panic, I step in; when others lose, I profit.
Pre-market prayer pose ready for Friday 🙏
Or maybe… hold it for one more day?

TSM $365 call
Cost $3.88 → Current price $12.45
\+220%—done for the day 📈
INTC $57 call
Cost $0.11 → Current price $1.80
\+1,536%—taking off 🚀
Held for two days, expiring Friday.
When others panic, I step in; when others lose, I profit.
Pre-market prayer pose ready for Friday 🙏
Or maybe… hold it for one more day?