TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.
stock NYSE ADR

It’s times like this where getting a world index covers you..
I do have some individual names like google, Microsoft, TSM and what not but very few these days

Official GDP growth was 0.5% annualized in q4 and 2.1% annualized in q1, this is just barely above water from being two quarters of negative gdp growth and a these numbers being actually negative is within the margin of error of revisions/measurement
Since then oil has skyrocketed and data center growth have been revised down per TSM reporting, so going forward we’d expect lower gdp growth
May estimate for q2 was 4.3%, current estimate for q2 is 1.7% reflecting deteriorating conditions and expectations. Will it actually be reported as negative? We’ll see
The last inflation prints with PPI going up but the CPI going down and being well below expectations is a strong recession indicator

TSM MU MRVL TXN ADI FNTN KO HWM AMD RKLB
Euphoria is pretty high among the ai names and i thought fear was the direct inverse of euphoria but it isnt. and so i filtered the high euphoria names with the lowest fear and those are the tickers that remain
just so happens they are names that have always been some of the strongest names that the market is clearly showing the most confidence in even in this bear market.
no one is trimming these names. infact institutional investors are buying the dip

TSM AVGO

It's a little wishful thinking. bullish report on TSM doesn't change the trends, so I'm not sure whether this will.
again, keep away from leveraged etfs in volatile time and be patient.

Wow, that actually seems like it might be difficult to do. Which one was it? I picked TSM 5 years ago and it’s 5x higher now. Within the last year I’ve picked Palo Alto and CrowdStrike. Then adding Microsoft recently

This week was Bloom Energy just chasing runs throughout the days. Mara, Google, TSM. Those are just stocks I have been looking at for a long time so feel comfortable with them, no other reason other than that.
What about you?

I have added less than 20 funds recently into AI data centers. Always have Nvda, Orcle, TSM etc stocks. After losing a lot over the years not able to see the direction of semis the newly added are all etfs this time. Always had XSD, STRL, SMCI etc this time I added data center infrastructure etfs. Power generation distribution, construction. alternative energy to power them. The projection of having 1000 more ai 1 gw data centers can shrinkl be less and schedule can be delayed. I will get a piece of infrastructure expansion not from day to day volatility in memory shortage. This new addition is 0.25% of total portfolio. I doubt my tech is 10% of total since adding more into safer bonds.

Honestly just DCA into the below and you'll be laughing when all this blows over....
MU, SNDK, GOOG, ASML, TSM, DELL, MRVL, NBIS
Any others?

TSM earnings were good and the stock bombed anyways. I’d sell

Underestimating the explosive growth of AI. Look at MU ASML TSM earnings. 

I’m buying this dump on outrageously strong MU ASML TSM earnings. Just like I did with SaaS, which I’ll sell at 35% profit. 

“Space is the future, AI enables it” — built a 4-tier ETF/stock portfolio around that thesis, looking for a reality check on timing + ideas for what comes next
Started this project in April with $500 and no finance background — just a thesis I couldn’t stop thinking about: space is the next frontier, and AI is what’s going to unlock it. So instead of picking random space stocks, I built a portfolio that ladders across the stages of that progression — starting with the AI buildout happening right now, and leaving room to add frontier/aerospace bets as the thing plays out.
Structure (Phase 1 — AI Development/Implementation):
• 60% — Base: Growth exposure, heavy AI/tech tilt (think SCHG, VOOG, broad quality names)
• 25% — AI/Tech Enablers: Non-tech companies that make AI physically possible — industrial, energy, materials, infrastructure. The unglamorous plumbing layer.
• 10% — Innovating AI Users: Companies applying AI to real breakthroughs — pharma, robotics, aerospace/defense, security
• 5% — Out There Ideas: Pure asymmetric frontier bets. “Why not.”
Process: Instead of chasing thematic ETFs, I hunt for strong individual names sitting in unexpected ETF baskets (e.g. a chip name showing up inside an energy or industrials fund) — it tends to mean quality names get picked up by funds outside their obvious category, which I use as a cross-check/entry point. Every thin or novel ETF I buy gets paired dollar-for-dollar with an established fund (SCHG/VOOG) to offset the structural risk. No fractional shares (E\*Trade), $50–100/week contributions, no exceptions to the rule discipline.
Where it stands today (as of 7/9):
• \~$3,432 deployed, current value \~$3,247 (down about 5.4% since April — rough few months for the whole space)
• Category weights: 59.4% / 23.2% / 11.1% / 6.3% — sitting right on top of the 60/25/10/5 targets, which the discipline seems to be doing its job on
• Biggest cross-basket exposure right now: MU, NVDA, AVGO, TSM, SK Hynix — the “wrong basket” names showing up everywhere
What I actually want feedback on:
1. Timing — Am I early, late, or right on time building an AI-buildout-first / space-second thesis starting mid-2026? Curious whether people think the “enablers” layer (industrials/energy/materials riding AI capex) still has room, or if that trade’s already crowded/priced in.
2. Phase 2 — The plan was always to graduate into more direct frontier/aerospace/orbital exposure once the AI layer matured. What would you actually put in that bucket? Pure-play space ETFs? Direct names (RKLB, etc.)? Is there a smarter way to structure a “frontier” allocation than just picking speculative single names?
Not trying to get rich quick — this is a slow-build, weekly-contribution project and I’m treating it like a long experiment. Would genuinely appreciate people poking holes in the logic. Thanks.

I sold most of my losing positions in March 2026 during the last selloff and lowered my risk. Now my returns are lower than many others here as I am 90% in $VT, $VXUS, $EWJ, and Gold. But my stress level is so much lower as I feel I have a solid foundation and support to my port.
Now that doesn't mean I haven't taken huge losses this month in the 10% gambling positions which were manly $DRAM, $SOXX, and $EWY. I would just suggest diversifying and setting up a port with 75% foundation in world indices such as $VT.
Then you take smaller risks on stocks or ETF's like $DRAM, $SMH, etc. You'll miss a chance at hitting a homerun on your first swing, but you also have a much lower chance of having a month like July has been for $DRAM.
If you believe in AI than look at the stocks in $VXUS. It's 10%-12% Samsung, SK hynix, ASML, and TSM. So you'll get the AI upside & downside, but also get financials, industrials, etc to diversify a bit.
Good Luck.

I agree as long as I stick to BTD's in $VTI, $VT, and $VXUS. I'm already extremely heavy ex US $VXUS and $EWJ b/c I like the AI & Robotics growth potential in Pacific Asia vs USA.
I bought heavy & tried to catch the bottom in $SOXX and $DRAM this month and lost 20%. I decided to move that cash into $TSM, $SKHY, $EWJ, and $VT.
Semis can rally now that I am lowering my risk. The market is acting like a casino right now w/ all the leveraged ETF's & leverage stock options avail rn.

Fundamentals are still strong, from TSM to Samsung to even IBM earnings, everything points to strong demand. Question is, is market sniffing out the info that are not in public domain or it’s just a normal (though painful) market fluctuations. No one knows but earning season will tell whether hyperscalers are cutting back or doubling down. IMO this will determine the fate of semis.

I want to buy Netflix so bad since months ago, but I blew all my money on TSM.
I'm very happy with my choice, but I want to buy more shiny new companies! (not because I want to diversify, but for fun)
I also want an advertising company, so I'll buy whatever has the biggest discount from the advertising technology companies.
And I want Microsoft! But again, no money.
Ah! \~

Ummm
Take the profit off the table and leave the initial outlay to run.
Also:
Something I've noticed with SK Hynix past week since it went live was that the ADR in the US seemed to do the opposite of what the KOSPI ticker did. Dunno if this will work out the same way (I don't own any TSM) but it's something to look for.

Patiently waiting for $500 TSM might be waiting awhile now

All the semis & memory stocks are moving together so I fail to see how $SOXX, $SMH, or $DRAM is doing any good diversifying. I think all these stocks will continue to move lower until all the leveraged ETF's both long and short work themselves out. Which means they may going bottom until many people just give up.
If you just have 1 position like $SMH; it's prolly good as any of the individual stocks. I just had 3 ETF's $SOXX, $DRAM, and $EWY over these last 3 months. I have a lower position in semis now than I did a week ago.
I needed a fresh start so I decided to DCA what I just sold into SK hynix and TSM over the next year. But I am not going to put all that cash back into semis right now & go all in right trying to time the bottom.