TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.
stockNYSEADR

I take assignment for naked CSPs, i never do naked calls. Calls only on positions I've been holding for a while an am comfortable exiting. For CSPs I feel that its easier to just get assigned, and start selling CCs. This has been a great strategy on GOOG, AMZN, NVDA, WDC, TSM. These companies are not going away, but they can stay in a range for quite a while and I will collect premium above my cost basis for as long as it takes. The vixx has been low recently so options selling hasn't been great, but I think we will pick up again as we head towards end of year rebalancing, elections, war impacts etc, lots to look forward to until the end of the year.

Jensen and TSM have a very personal relationship! Tsmc will always give preference to jensen!

**Friday's closes:** SPX **7,722.72 (+0.73%)** — \~1.2% below the Aug high (7,816.70). QQQ **749.58 (+1.02%)** — broke the June high (747.05), new chart-range high. 2Y **4.839%** / 5Y **5.055%** / 10Y **5.277%** / 30Y **5.630%**. MOVE **107.29** (−0.78%) — my key level is **125** (+16.5% away). Oct FOMC pricing: 83% unchanged / 18% hike (was \~50/50 days earlier). **The macro: NFP +29K vs +90K expected (prior +133K), unemployment 4.2%.** October hike odds collapsed to 18%. But the "weak economy" read fails on the rest of the tape: Q2 GDP finalized **2.2%** (exp 1.5%), Aug personal spending **+0.9%** (vs income +0.2% — a 0.7pp gap that means savings drawdown, watch it), ISM manufacturing **54.5**. Weak jobs + resilient demand = the Fed is boxed in. Note the bond market's response: every tenor dipped 10–14bp intraday on the print, then **fully recovered and closed higher** — weak payrolls brought no bond buying. The market fears inflation/supply risk more than soft labor data. 2Y at 4.839% sits \~84bp above the Fed funds ceiling — bonds are pricing more hawkish than prediction markets. **Global stickiness:** France CPI 3.0%, Italy 4.2%, Germany 3.3%, euro area 3.8% — ALL above expectations. RBA hiked to 4.6%. This external inflation pressure caps Fed dovishness and keeps **December 8–9** live even with October dead. Other data: JOLTs 7.079M (cooling), China PMI back above 50 (50.1), core PCE 0.2% m/m (tame). **Technicals — the divergence trade:** QQQ new high vs SPX chop (ADX **9.06** = no trend; +DI/−DI only 2.6 apart). Money flow *split*: QQQ CMF **+0.117** vs SPX **−0.050**. This is an AI/semiconductor-concentrated rally with weak breadth — rate-sensitive by construction. SPX levels: R 7,751/7,780/7,816.70, PP 7,725.97, S 7,697/7,672/7,657 (MA50)/7,616/7,508. QQQ levels: R 753.57/757.56/760, PP 750.55, S 746.56/743.54/742.16 (BB mid)/733.81/716.22. My scenarios (subjective): SPX bull 40% (reclaim 7,782 → 7,850–7,900; needs 10Y contained + MOVE fading) / range 35% (7,650–7,780) / bear 25% (lose 7,657 → 7,508; triggers: 10Y >5.342%, MOVE >110.52). QQQ bull 45% (hold 747 → 757–760 → 770) / range 30% / bear 25% (lose 742 → 716). **MU — the AI memory check:** revenue **$54.229B** (+5.3% vs consensus), EPS **$33.42** (+5.0%), guide **$61.5B**; core datacenter **+56% QoQ / +1,042% YoY** at 85% margins; gross margin 87.0%; FY26 revenue $133.19B (3.6×); op cash flow $89.68B. The catch: beat margin **narrowed from \~+18% to +5%** — consensus caught up. The stock now needs guidance *raises*, not beats. 87% gross margin is extreme — sensitive to supply response. **MOVE 125 — my framework:** 76.22 → 110.52 (+45%) in under two weeks while SPX sat at highs = stock/bond vol divergence that must resolve. Watch sequence: 110.52 → 120.33 (BB upper) → **125**. 125 is a **warning line, not a buy trigger** — it means raise alert and prepare to scale in. Real aggression waits for VIX 40–60, keeping 40–50% cash. **My book:** the **META jade lizard (with stock)** expired at $728.08 for **+$14,951/contract (+26.0%)** — the long 600 call reopened the upside, capping the short-call loss at $35 while the stock ran $152.58. Lesson: below 555 the structure bleeds 2× — preset exits next time. New: CCL 12/18 $25C u/1.79 · TSM 11/06 $460C u/21.39 (10/15 earnings inside) · MSTR 10/23 $162.5C u/7.25 (expires *before* est. 10/29 earnings — BTC/treasury bet, not earnings) · MDB 1/15/27 $370C u/38.85 · SNDK 10/09 $1800P **short** u/153.3 ($15,330 prem vs $180K notional — the tail risk) · $XX u/23.5 (needs SPX >10,000 by Jan 2030, \~8.2% annualized — lottery sizing). Whale alerts matched on TSM ($23M), MSTR ($3.4M), MDB ($3.2M), SNDK ($12.2M). Five of six lean bullish, all AI/tech. **Next week (Oct 5–9):** Mon — ISM services (prev 55.4, exp 55.7; prices sub-index is the inflation tell). Wed — **FOMC minutes** 11:00 PT (year-end-hike debate; dots: 12 of 18 see 4.1%, 4 see 4.4%, 2 see 3.9%; hawkish minutes = 2Y + MOVE up together). Fri — Michigan sentiment prelim (prev 48.1; watch inflation expectations) + SNDK $1800P expiry. **Desk take:** the hike died, but the bond market didn't get the memo — yields closed the week higher anyway. Respect the divergence: QQQ's new high is real but narrow, MOVE's spike is the bill that hasn't come due. Buy slowly. Scale in. Let time be on your side. \[NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, DYOR!\] from Humble Trader | Gemini Trading https://preview.redd.it/75n311yti5th1.png?width=847&format=png&auto=webp&s=ab46b704ae8f2ccac87077981febbbdfbd2eca3d https://preview.redd.it/sg0ibnkzi5th1.png?width=850&format=png&auto=webp&s=7903c7c1434dce3bb02e6bd9909ebb8f93ac4ca0 https://preview.redd.it/b07zluf4j5th1.png?width=1775&format=png&auto=webp&s=218e2a728e5ed80a41b534f7207b9250b1d31d94 https://preview.redd.it/7ypelgj9j5th1.png?width=1730&format=png&auto=webp&s=020cf19796858875db1cfac1073f8ffd8c3911ec https://preview.redd.it/n9pkn7kej5th1.png?width=848&format=png&auto=webp&s=aca538ea62a57550fb34e2869962f4fcbbbbeb25 https://preview.redd.it/so0ahs0jj5th1.png?width=843&format=png&auto=webp&s=32de7b7c36c3e024a187968b318500f095af6b3e https://preview.redd.it/ugv3reqnj5th1.png?width=844&format=png&auto=webp&s=da6331b3e172712496587d8215bf9d5ff278659b https://preview.redd.it/9erjb52qj5th1.png?width=849&format=png&auto=webp&s=8964e16712f220879a1771ddef423592e6b5dcb0 https://preview.redd.it/eroqmqrsj5th1.png?width=845&format=png&auto=webp&s=d888e2592386f0910f0ed83d8ca472de255453ba https://preview.redd.it/qbn690suj5th1.png?width=800&format=png&auto=webp&s=30c67171e1ea83b10933c40b1961acedf551e39a https://preview.redd.it/365w0qywj5th1.png?width=3840&format=png&auto=webp&s=0050654708dab8d0d7a12988984980a576df0863 https://preview.redd.it/2bprhkcyj5th1.png?width=1376&format=png&auto=webp&s=44490304dd0837742eaedea4010bc7b854c94f1b https://preview.redd.it/xevhbcf4k5th1.png?width=1133&format=png&auto=webp&s=da995be9a66a85438185f6efeaee4591c08ccf1a https://preview.redd.it/625nlu86k5th1.png?width=1376&format=png&auto=webp&s=35b38cab8f7d7dbb9f42aa7d66ad38493c809f2e https://preview.redd.it/2go00an7k5th1.png?width=680&format=png&auto=webp&s=bc0268d722022ffb1e04958bbcc7a0f2f4f99b62 https://preview.redd.it/flnzuxr8k5th1.png?width=680&format=png&auto=webp&s=8304397e5571049cfb8f4f274398132fc046f3ac https://preview.redd.it/2luixu8ak5th1.png?width=624&format=png&auto=webp&s=086ae85cb11c75045ebe1ebe0410b54cc3528733 https://preview.redd.it/qw01wltbk5th1.png?width=880&format=png&auto=webp&s=0fce8d4080dc241160aa3c0f88e918d57c8b26f2

**Friday's closes:** SPX **7,722.72 (+0.73%)** — \~1.2% below the Aug high (7,816.70). QQQ **749.58 (+1.02%)** — broke the June high (747.05), new chart-range high. 2Y **4.839%** / 5Y **5.055%** / 10Y **5.277%** / 30Y **5.630%**. MOVE **107.29** (−0.78%) — my key level is **125** (+16.5% away). Oct FOMC pricing: 83% unchanged / 18% hike (was \~50/50 days earlier). **The macro: NFP +29K vs +90K expected (prior +133K), unemployment 4.2%.** October hike odds collapsed to 18%. But the "weak economy" read fails on the rest of the tape: Q2 GDP finalized **2.2%** (exp 1.5%), Aug personal spending **+0.9%** (vs income +0.2% — a 0.7pp gap that means savings drawdown, watch it), ISM manufacturing **54.5**. Weak jobs + resilient demand = the Fed is boxed in. Note the bond market's response: every tenor dipped 10–14bp intraday on the print, then **fully recovered and closed higher** — weak payrolls brought no bond buying. The market fears inflation/supply risk more than soft labor data. 2Y at 4.839% sits \~84bp above the Fed funds ceiling — bonds are pricing more hawkish than prediction markets. **Global stickiness:** France CPI 3.0%, Italy 4.2%, Germany 3.3%, euro area 3.8% — ALL above expectations. RBA hiked to 4.6%. This external inflation pressure caps Fed dovishness and keeps **December 8–9** live even with October dead. Other data: JOLTs 7.079M (cooling), China PMI back above 50 (50.1), core PCE 0.2% m/m (tame). **Technicals — the divergence trade:** QQQ new high vs SPX chop (ADX **9.06** = no trend; +DI/−DI only 2.6 apart). Money flow *split*: QQQ CMF **+0.117** vs SPX **−0.050**. This is an AI/semiconductor-concentrated rally with weak breadth — rate-sensitive by construction. SPX levels: R 7,751/7,780/7,816.70, PP 7,725.97, S 7,697/7,672/7,657 (MA50)/7,616/7,508. QQQ levels: R 753.57/757.56/760, PP 750.55, S 746.56/743.54/742.16 (BB mid)/733.81/716.22. My scenarios (subjective): SPX bull 40% (reclaim 7,782 → 7,850–7,900; needs 10Y contained + MOVE fading) / range 35% (7,650–7,780) / bear 25% (lose 7,657 → 7,508; triggers: 10Y >5.342%, MOVE >110.52). QQQ bull 45% (hold 747 → 757–760 → 770) / range 30% / bear 25% (lose 742 → 716). **MU — the AI memory check:** revenue **$54.229B** (+5.3% vs consensus), EPS **$33.42** (+5.0%), guide **$61.5B**; core datacenter **+56% QoQ / +1,042% YoY** at 85% margins; gross margin 87.0%; FY26 revenue $133.19B (3.6×); op cash flow $89.68B. The catch: beat margin **narrowed from \~+18% to +5%** — consensus caught up. The stock now needs guidance *raises*, not beats. 87% gross margin is extreme — sensitive to supply response. **MOVE 125 — my framework:** 76.22 → 110.52 (+45%) in under two weeks while SPX sat at highs = stock/bond vol divergence that must resolve. Watch sequence: 110.52 → 120.33 (BB upper) → **125**. 125 is a **warning line, not a buy trigger** — it means raise alert and prepare to scale in. Real aggression waits for VIX 40–60, keeping 40–50% cash. **My book:** the **META jade lizard (with stock)** expired at $728.08 for **+$14,951/contract (+26.0%)** — the long 600 call reopened the upside, capping the short-call loss at $35 while the stock ran $152.58. Lesson: below 555 the structure bleeds 2× — preset exits next time. New: CCL 12/18 $25C /1.79 · TSM 11/06 $460C 21.39 (10/15 earnings inside) · MSTR 10/23 $162.5C /7.25 (expires before est. 10/29 earnings — BTC/treasury bet, not earnings) · MDB 1/15/27 $370C /38.85 · SNDK 10/09 $1800P short /153.3 ($15,330 prem vs $180K notional — the tail risk) · $XX /23.5 (needs SPX >10,000 by Jan 2030, \~8.2% annualized — lottery sizing). Whale alerts matched on TSM ($23M), MSTR ($3.4M), MDB ($3.2M), SNDK ($12.2M). Five of six lean bullish, all AI/tech. **Next week (Oct 5–9):** Mon — ISM services (prev 55.4, exp 55.7; prices sub-index is the inflation tell). Wed — **FOMC minutes** 11:00 PT (year-end-hike debate; dots: 12 of 18 see 4.1%, 4 see 4.4%, 2 see 3.9%; hawkish minutes = 2Y + MOVE up together). Fri — Michigan sentiment prelim (prev 48.1; watch inflation expectations) + SNDK $1800P expiry. **Desk take:** the hike died, but the bond market didn't get the memo — yields closed the week higher anyway. Respect the divergence: QQQ's new high is real but narrow, MOVE's spike is the bill that hasn't come due. Buy slowly. Scale in. Let time be on your side. \[NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, DYOR!\] from Humble Trader | Gemini Trading https://preview.redd.it/75n311yti5th1.png?width=847&format=png&auto=webp&s=ab46b704ae8f2ccac87077981febbbdfbd2eca3d https://preview.redd.it/sg0ibnkzi5th1.png?width=850&format=png&auto=webp&s=7903c7c1434dce3bb02e6bd9909ebb8f93ac4ca0 https://preview.redd.it/b07zluf4j5th1.png?width=1775&format=png&auto=webp&s=218e2a728e5ed80a41b534f7207b9250b1d31d94 https://preview.redd.it/7ypelgj9j5th1.png?width=1730&format=png&auto=webp&s=020cf19796858875db1cfac1073f8ffd8c3911ec https://preview.redd.it/n9pkn7kej5th1.png?width=848&format=png&auto=webp&s=aca538ea62a57550fb34e2869962f4fcbbbbeb25 https://preview.redd.it/so0ahs0jj5th1.png?width=843&format=png&auto=webp&s=32de7b7c36c3e024a187968b318500f095af6b3e https://preview.redd.it/ugv3reqnj5th1.png?width=844&format=png&auto=webp&s=da6331b3e172712496587d8215bf9d5ff278659b https://preview.redd.it/9erjb52qj5th1.png?width=849&format=png&auto=webp&s=8964e16712f220879a1771ddef423592e6b5dcb0 https://preview.redd.it/eroqmqrsj5th1.png?width=845&format=png&auto=webp&s=d888e2592386f0910f0ed83d8ca472de255453ba https://preview.redd.it/qbn690suj5th1.png?width=800&format=png&auto=webp&s=30c67171e1ea83b10933c40b1961acedf551e39a https://preview.redd.it/365w0qywj5th1.png?width=3840&format=png&auto=webp&s=0050654708dab8d0d7a12988984980a576df0863 https://preview.redd.it/2bprhkcyj5th1.png?width=1376&format=png&auto=webp&s=44490304dd0837742eaedea4010bc7b854c94f1b https://preview.redd.it/xevhbcf4k5th1.png?width=1133&format=png&auto=webp&s=da995be9a66a85438185f6efeaee4591c08ccf1a https://preview.redd.it/625nlu86k5th1.png?width=1376&format=png&auto=webp&s=35b38cab8f7d7dbb9f42aa7d66ad38493c809f2e https://preview.redd.it/2go00an7k5th1.png?width=680&format=png&auto=webp&s=bc0268d722022ffb1e04958bbcc7a0f2f4f99b62 https://preview.redd.it/flnzuxr8k5th1.png?width=680&format=png&auto=webp&s=8304397e5571049cfb8f4f274398132fc046f3ac https://preview.redd.it/2luixu8ak5th1.png?width=624&format=png&auto=webp&s=086ae85cb11c75045ebe1ebe0410b54cc3528733 https://preview.redd.it/qw01wltbk5th1.png?width=880&format=png&auto=webp&s=0fce8d4080dc241160aa3c0f88e918d57c8b26f2

Yeah I agree, but as an TSM shareholder, I do think it makes sense for TSMC to build fabs also outside Taiwan. The war over Taiwan strait is a real possibility and the area is also very prone to earth quakes.

Is this true? Has TSM confirmed?

**Aletheia on server CPU:** *2027E upside is supply constrained, 2028E to be seen. We expect limited upside to our 2027E for server CPU revenue/shipments of $40b/13.5m for AMD as it is supply constrained. The following year, 2028E, should be better as we expect TSM N2 and ASE’s FOCoS-Bridge output to grow by 50%/100%+ YoY, respectively. As such, we are modelling AMD’s server CPU revenue and shipments to still grow by 70%/30% YoY in 2028E, above the 60%-70% CAGR in 2025-2030E. AMD remains as the major beneficiary of agentic AI growth, especially for consumer-facing agents, which is mostly run on x86 CPUs.*

What platform is this bro? Interested to also get in to crypto. Can't give you advice since I'm just a position trader who has QQQ, S&P, TSM and NVIDIA. Mainly US stocks. Thank you!

$TSM - $ASE is her contractor supplier. $AMKR as well. Jensen Huang says he wants to invest in semiconductor suppliers in Taiwan. That’s why I bought both $AMKR and $ASE. $AMKR has been stalled at around $53 for weeks. Her CAPEX is possibly an issue to retail investors

NVDIA, AVGO, TSM, META, GOOGL, ORCL, SMCI, FSRL, PENG, RDDT, APP, AAOI, EROC… and probably for next year also: MU, SNDK and WDC (although they are cyclical and I would be carefull).

BABA, TSM, PDD, JD, TCEHY

Robinhood account: $10,513.59, up $118.54 (up 1.14%) on Friday. Whole book including the crypto and Kalshi sleeves: $10,986.20, up $102.77 (up 0.94%). AI Picks & Shovels, $1,082.96, up $32.29 (up 3.07%), best day in the book. It did its reweight at the open: trimmed AMD, DELL, MRVL and Micron, added to ANET, NVDA, SMCI and TSM. It added more SMCI at $43.23. It first bought SMCI on day 1 at $39.18, so that position is up about 10% since the start of the series. First of the Month, $1,019.55, up $21.61 (up 2.17%). It sits in the S&P 500 all month and only switches into a 3x leveraged S&P fund across the turn of the month. It's held the 3x fund since the close on Sept 24, and a green start to October is exactly what that window is for. FAANG+ Momentum, $2,519.12, up $21.71 (up 0.87%). Daily rerank sold AMZN and GOOGL and bought AAPL, META and NVDA. Business As Usual, $2,573.58, up $15.86 (up 0.62%). Plain SPY day, no leverage. The honest part: High Profile Congress sold FSLR at $173.80. In the week 1 recap I pointed out it bought FSLR back at $187.91 on a new disclosure. That rebuy lost 7.5%. It also bought IBP and WPM. It was still up $3.56 on the day. FDA Inspector, $495.90, down $7.18 (down 1.43%), the worst dollar day. No trades, just its pharma holdings having a bad Friday. NFL Fantasy Agent went 0 for 2 on Thursday Night Football again, my player Denzel Boston touchdown at 22 cents and 6+ catches at 10 cents. It's down to $5.96 from $19 on day 1. This one is clearly a lottery ticket and I sized it like one. WSB Consensus sold AVGO and Micron right before the close and bought WHK, because that's what the sub was talking about. It's a $9 position for exactly that reason.

I bought MU at 924, it rose to 1100 and is now around 1060. NVDA for 215, hit its all time high of 237,  ASML for 1450, now 1650, TSM for 422, now 473.

How much experience do you have with trading? Do you have the time to do day trading? What’s your time horizon? What’s your risk tolerance? For your stock picks, seems that you are just going for the momentum. You can’t extrapolate from 3 days with 3 stocks. I’m a fundamental investor. From my perspective, AMD/AVGO/TSM are high in terms of valuation. Not to say they aren’t good companies or won’t go up, just to say it’s already past the best time buying them. NVDA is better in terms of valuation, though it’s also inching towards all time high. I do have positions in them, but I bought way back, and I’d wait for better prices to add more.

TSM and NVDA is a great portfolio combo

### 📊 Q3 2026 Raw Earnings Performance Data | Ticker | Date | Badge | Expected Move | Actual Move | EM Band | Exceeded EM | Delivered | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :---: | :---: | | **PEP** | 7/9 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$5.05 | \$4.64 | 0.92x | No | ✓ | | **DAL** | 7/10 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$4.42 | \$1.61 | 0.36x | No | ✓ | | **C** | 7/14 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$6.01 | \$7.44 | 1.24x | **Yes** | ✗ | | **JPM** | 7/14 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$11.59 | \$8.36 | 0.72x | No | ✓ | | **ASML** | 7/15 | 🔥 `HOT` | \$128.05 | \$41.00 | 0.32x | No | ✗ | | **UAL** | 7/15 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$7.57 | \$2.16 | 0.29x | No | ✓ | | **TSM** | 7/16 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$18.30 | \$9.74 | 0.53x | No | ✓ | | **NFLX** | 7/16 | 🔥 `HOT` | \$7.09 | \$5.40 | 0.76x | No | ✗ | | **UNH** | 7/16 | 🔥 `HOT` | \$27.04 | \$4.86 | 0.18x | No | ✗ | | **SCHW** | 7/21 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$4.87 | \$2.58 | 0.53x | No | ✓ | | **LVS** | 7/22 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$3.35 | \$0.78 | 0.23x | No | ✗ | | **TSLA** | 7/22 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$22.67 | \$54.32 | 2.40x | **Yes** | ✓ | | **GOOGL** | 7/22 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$20.22 | \$24.40 | 1.21x | **Yes** | ✓ | | **IBM** | 07/22 | 🔥 `HOT` | \$15.10 | \$0.88 | 0.06x | No | ✗ | | **BX** | 7/23 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$5.53 | \$1.66 | 0.30x | No | ✗ | | **HON** | 7/23 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$10.78 | \$13.28 | 1.23x | **Yes** | ✓ | | **DECK** | 7/23 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$12.20 | \$4.19 | 0.34x | No | ✗ | | **NEM** | 7/23 | 🔥 `HOT` | \$4.80 | \$1.53 | 0.32x | No | ✗ | | **INTC** | 7/23 | 🔥 `HOT` | \$12.09 | \$8.27 | 0.68x | No | ✗ | | **AXP** | 7/24 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$12.35 | \$14.59 | 1.18x | **Yes** | ✓ | | **CAR** | 7/28 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$16.89 | \$11.47 | 0.68x | No | ✓ | | **ENPH** | 7/28 | 🔥 `HOT` | \$4.79 | \$1.25 | 0.26x | No | ✗ | | **PYPL** | 7/28 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$4.97 | \$2.25 | 0.45x | No | ✗ | | **UPS** | 7/28 | 🔥 `HOT` | \$7.41 | \$7.42 | 1.00x | **Yes** | ✓ | | **V** | 7/28 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$13.71 | \$2.14 | 0.16x | No | ✓ | | **RCL** | 7/28 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$25.06 | \$17.46 | 0.70x | No | ✗ | | **LRCX** | 7/29 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$23.80 | \$45.37 | 1.91x | **Yes** | ✗ | | **CVNA** | 7/29 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$8.06 | \$4.88 | 0.61x | No | ✓ | | **META** | 7/29 | 🔥 `HOT` | \$50.47 | \$46.58 | 0.92x | No | ✗ | | **MSFT** | 7/29 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$26.07 | \$60.56 | 2.32x | **Yes** | ✓ | | **HOOD** | 7/29 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$8.72 | \$3.24 | 0.37x | No | ✓ | | **RDDT** | 7/30 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$20.36 | \$37.37 | 1.84x | **Yes** | ✗ | | **AAPL** | 7/30 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$12.07 | \$24.52 | 2.03x | **Yes** | ✗ | | **AMZN** | 7/30 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$18.20 | \$36.08 | 1.98x | **Yes** | ✓ | | **FSLR** | 7/30 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$14.41 | \$5.02 | 0.35x | No | ✓ | | **COIN** | 7/30 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$10.56 | \$17.32 | 1.64x | **Yes** | ✗ | | **MSTR** | 7/30 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$5.06 | \$4.46 | 0.88x | No | ✓ | | **TEM** | 7/30 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$3.61 | \$0.42 | 0.12x | No | ✓ | | **XOM** | 7/31 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$3.55 | \$1.53 | 0.43x | No | ✓ | | **CAT** | 8/4 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$61.56 | \$46.51 | 0.76x | No | ✓ | | **PFE** | 8/4 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$0.83 | \$0.38 | 0.46x | No | ✓ | | **ALAB** | 8/4 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$55.82 | \$43.24 | 0.77x | No | ✓ | | **AMD** | 8/4 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$53.56 | \$36.53 | 0.68x | No | ✗ | | **MCD** | 8/4 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$10.94 | \$3.11 | 0.28x | No | ✓ | | **WYNN** | 8/4 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$5.71 | \$3.55 | 0.62x | No | ✓ | | **SPCX** | 8/4 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$22.26 | \$17.04 | 0.77x | No | ✓ | | **SHOP** | 8/5 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$16.49 | \$20.94 | 1.27x | **Yes** | ✓ | | **APP** | 8/5 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$48.69 | \$82.13 | 1.69x | **Yes** | ✗ | | **ELF** | 8/5 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$11.52 | \$5.94 | 0.52x | No | ✗ | | **ROKU** | 8/6 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$6.93 | \$3.04 | 0.44x | No | ✗ | | **NET** | 8/6 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$33.33 | \$15.84 | 0.48x | No | ✗ | | **DDOG** | 8/6 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$38.03 | \$53.88 | 1.42x | **Yes** | ✓ | | **ABNB** | 8/6 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$9.90 | \$26.43 | 2.67x | **Yes** | ✗ | | **SMCI** | 8/11 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$4.90 | \$6.01 | 1.23x | **Yes** | ✗ | | **CBRS** | 8/12 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$34.64 | \$31.05 | 0.90x | No | ✓ | | **BIDU** | 8/18 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$7.37 | \$13.25 | 1.80x | **Yes** | ✗ | | **EL** | 8/19 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$7.93 | \$13.74 | 1.73x | **Yes** | ✓ | | **TGT** | 8/19 | 🔥 `HOT` | \$10.57 | \$6.48 | 0.61x | No | ✗ | | **WMT** | 8/20 | 🔥 `HOT` | \$5.56 | \$10.46 | 1.88x | **Yes** | ✓ | | **BABA** | 8/20 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$10.41 | \$1.63 | 0.16x | No | ✗ | | **ROST** | 8/20 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$17.28 | \$10.05 | 0.58x | No | ✗ | | **DKS** | 8/25 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$22.01 | \$55.02 | 2.50x | **Yes** | ✗ | | **NVDA** | 8/26 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$12.88 | \$18.32 | 1.42x | **Yes** | ✗ | | **ANF** | 8/26 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$14.72 | \$38.85 | 2.64x | **Yes** | ✓ | | **CRWD** | 8/26 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$16.07 | \$38.78 | 2.41x | **Yes** | ✗ | | **MRVL** | 8/27 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$24.73 | \$24.83 | 1.00x | **Yes** | ✗ | | **DLTR** | 8/27 | 🔥 `HOT` | \$11.00 | \$5.18 | 0.47x | No | ✗ | | **DG** | 8/27 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$9.96 | \$3.12 | 0.31x | No | ✗ | | **ULTA** | 8/27 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$42.44 | \$22.60 | 0.53x | No | ✗ | | **PANW** | 9/1 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$34.85 | \$33.61 | 0.96x | No | ✓ | | **DELL** | 9/1 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$47.20 | \$67.00 | 1.42x | **Yes** | ✓ | | **MDB** | 9/1 | 🔥 `HOT` | \$67.44 | \$58.81 | 0.87x | No | ✗ | | **SNOW** | 9/2 | 🔥 `HOT` | \$39.77 | \$50.62 | 1.27x | **Yes** | ✓ | | **AVGO** | 9/2 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$29.42 | \$10.08 | 0.34x | No | ✓ | | **DOCU** | 9/3 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$7.25 | \$2.44 | 0.34x | No | ✗ | | **LULU** | 9/3 | 🔥 `HOT` | \$11.77 | \$21.16 | 1.80x | **Yes** | ✓ | | **COST** | 9/24 | 🌡️ `WARM` | \$27.90 | \$26.29 | 0.94x | No | ✓ | | **MU** | 9/30 | ❄️ `COLD` | \$80.67 | \$32.28 | 0.40x | No | ✓ |

Some people are scared of the AI bubble, but it's still growing and is probably a good investment if you've got some risk appetite. Some of the bigger names involved are NVDA, GOOGL, MSFT, META, MU, TSM, ASML. Try to pick up some shares during a dip, like the next time there's an AI panic in the news and then sit on it for a while

As the other comment mentioned you can lose more than you gained in premium. Especially with advanced options setups. I stick to covered calls on blue chips (TSM/GOOGL/MSFT). So I personally consider those "paper losses" because I was going to hold the stock anyways, If the price drops i still cushioned my PNL, kept my stocks and can sell another call until/into recovery.

TSM is an extraordinary company. However, I have avoided it because of geopolitical risk.