TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.
stock NYSE ADR

Doesnt it worry you that TSM had brilliant earnings yet it bled in the decline just as much as anything else? I fully expect this earnings season to be a constant cycle of good earnings reports followed by -5% losses. We have a market filled with extremely unrealistic valuations while we are also in a geopolitcal crisis caused by ourselves that will likely bring down the world economy if it continues for several more months... There is no reason anyone should be bullish right now

Samsung is way behind TSM in production yeild. Intel has just started and it has very long way to go to be atleast comparable.

Your statements are self contradicting. One side you are saying this growth and scale of company should have 1.5-2 PEG but still its at PEG of 1 and other way you are saying its no solid.
One side you are accepting low PEG ratio due to China risk and other way you are saying whole semi sector is exposed to it.
That's what my point is. It's selling at low PEG due to fear of geopolitical risk, but actually being crucial business at the exit end of supply chain and more than 90% chip production market holder, it doesn't have any immediate replacement in the event of crisis which leads to crumble whole semiconductor and AI ecosystem. So, ultimately whole AI ecosystem is exposed to geopolitical risk but just TSM low valuation doesn't make sense.

TSM, GOOGL, AMZN, ASML

I see TSM at 30 P/E. Could you tell us by which metric you think it's neglected?

If I could only pick one, UBER. Beyond that, AMZN, TSM, and BR.

It’s times like this where getting a world index covers you..
I do have some individual names like google, Microsoft, TSM and what not but very few these days

Official GDP growth was 0.5% annualized in q4 and 2.1% annualized in q1, this is just barely above water from being two quarters of negative gdp growth and a these numbers being actually negative is within the margin of error of revisions/measurement
Since then oil has skyrocketed and data center growth have been revised down per TSM reporting, so going forward we’d expect lower gdp growth
May estimate for q2 was 4.3%, current estimate for q2 is 1.7% reflecting deteriorating conditions and expectations. Will it actually be reported as negative? We’ll see
The last inflation prints with PPI going up but the CPI going down and being well below expectations is a strong recession indicator

TSM MU MRVL TXN ADI FNTN KO HWM AMD RKLB
Euphoria is pretty high among the ai names and i thought fear was the direct inverse of euphoria but it isnt. and so i filtered the high euphoria names with the lowest fear and those are the tickers that remain
just so happens they are names that have always been some of the strongest names that the market is clearly showing the most confidence in even in this bear market.
no one is trimming these names. infact institutional investors are buying the dip

TSM AVGO

It's a little wishful thinking. bullish report on TSM doesn't change the trends, so I'm not sure whether this will.
again, keep away from leveraged etfs in volatile time and be patient.

Wow, that actually seems like it might be difficult to do. Which one was it? I picked TSM 5 years ago and it’s 5x higher now. Within the last year I’ve picked Palo Alto and CrowdStrike. Then adding Microsoft recently

This week was Bloom Energy just chasing runs throughout the days. Mara, Google, TSM. Those are just stocks I have been looking at for a long time so feel comfortable with them, no other reason other than that.
What about you?

I have added less than 20 funds recently into AI data centers. Always have Nvda, Orcle, TSM etc stocks. After losing a lot over the years not able to see the direction of semis the newly added are all etfs this time. Always had XSD, STRL, SMCI etc this time I added data center infrastructure etfs. Power generation distribution, construction. alternative energy to power them. The projection of having 1000 more ai 1 gw data centers can shrinkl be less and schedule can be delayed. I will get a piece of infrastructure expansion not from day to day volatility in memory shortage. This new addition is 0.25% of total portfolio. I doubt my tech is 10% of total since adding more into safer bonds.

Honestly just DCA into the below and you'll be laughing when all this blows over....
MU, SNDK, GOOG, ASML, TSM, DELL, MRVL, NBIS
Any others?

TSM earnings were good and the stock bombed anyways. I’d sell

Underestimating the explosive growth of AI. Look at MU ASML TSM earnings. 

I’m buying this dump on outrageously strong MU ASML TSM earnings. Just like I did with SaaS, which I’ll sell at 35% profit. 

“Space is the future, AI enables it” — built a 4-tier ETF/stock portfolio around that thesis, looking for a reality check on timing + ideas for what comes next
Started this project in April with $500 and no finance background — just a thesis I couldn’t stop thinking about: space is the next frontier, and AI is what’s going to unlock it. So instead of picking random space stocks, I built a portfolio that ladders across the stages of that progression — starting with the AI buildout happening right now, and leaving room to add frontier/aerospace bets as the thing plays out.
Structure (Phase 1 — AI Development/Implementation):
• 60% — Base: Growth exposure, heavy AI/tech tilt (think SCHG, VOOG, broad quality names)
• 25% — AI/Tech Enablers: Non-tech companies that make AI physically possible — industrial, energy, materials, infrastructure. The unglamorous plumbing layer.
• 10% — Innovating AI Users: Companies applying AI to real breakthroughs — pharma, robotics, aerospace/defense, security
• 5% — Out There Ideas: Pure asymmetric frontier bets. “Why not.”
Process: Instead of chasing thematic ETFs, I hunt for strong individual names sitting in unexpected ETF baskets (e.g. a chip name showing up inside an energy or industrials fund) — it tends to mean quality names get picked up by funds outside their obvious category, which I use as a cross-check/entry point. Every thin or novel ETF I buy gets paired dollar-for-dollar with an established fund (SCHG/VOOG) to offset the structural risk. No fractional shares (E\*Trade), $50–100/week contributions, no exceptions to the rule discipline.
Where it stands today (as of 7/9):
• \~$3,432 deployed, current value \~$3,247 (down about 5.4% since April — rough few months for the whole space)
• Category weights: 59.4% / 23.2% / 11.1% / 6.3% — sitting right on top of the 60/25/10/5 targets, which the discipline seems to be doing its job on
• Biggest cross-basket exposure right now: MU, NVDA, AVGO, TSM, SK Hynix — the “wrong basket” names showing up everywhere
What I actually want feedback on:
1. Timing — Am I early, late, or right on time building an AI-buildout-first / space-second thesis starting mid-2026? Curious whether people think the “enablers” layer (industrials/energy/materials riding AI capex) still has room, or if that trade’s already crowded/priced in.
2. Phase 2 — The plan was always to graduate into more direct frontier/aerospace/orbital exposure once the AI layer matured. What would you actually put in that bucket? Pure-play space ETFs? Direct names (RKLB, etc.)? Is there a smarter way to structure a “frontier” allocation than just picking speculative single names?
Not trying to get rich quick — this is a slow-build, weekly-contribution project and I’m treating it like a long experiment. Would genuinely appreciate people poking holes in the logic. Thanks.

I sold most of my losing positions in March 2026 during the last selloff and lowered my risk. Now my returns are lower than many others here as I am 90% in $VT, $VXUS, $EWJ, and Gold. But my stress level is so much lower as I feel I have a solid foundation and support to my port.
Now that doesn't mean I haven't taken huge losses this month in the 10% gambling positions which were manly $DRAM, $SOXX, and $EWY. I would just suggest diversifying and setting up a port with 75% foundation in world indices such as $VT.
Then you take smaller risks on stocks or ETF's like $DRAM, $SMH, etc. You'll miss a chance at hitting a homerun on your first swing, but you also have a much lower chance of having a month like July has been for $DRAM.
If you believe in AI than look at the stocks in $VXUS. It's 10%-12% Samsung, SK hynix, ASML, and TSM. So you'll get the AI upside & downside, but also get financials, industrials, etc to diversify a bit.
Good Luck.