TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.
stock NYSE ADR

One thing worth considering is that a lot of the space stocks that sold off before SPCX were low market cap (RKLB, ASTS, PL, FLY, LUNR, etc). Compare that to AI and you’re talking about companies worth a trillion or hundreds of billions (SKHY, MU, ASML, TSM). A lot of space stocks are also way more speculative and in their infancy, while AI stocks are highly profitable and accelerating. It’s apples and oranges. I’d be lying if I told you for sure they wouldn’t sell off, but I doubt it.

Recent yrs. reality is that NVDA and TSM do move with quite a high degree of correlation, which I guess makes sense on the basis of NVDA’s leadership and size, but, as TSMC grows and services more and more chip makers I would think that correlation should weaken, but it hasn’t much. But if you’re looking to move $ from NVDA to TSMC, now could be as good a time as any. NDVA is \~3% off its all time high, while TSMC is 12% off its all time high and has appreciated +5% in the last wk. (so last week would perhaps have been better, but whatever). TSMC will grind higher. It will in tandem with NVDA, but it will also move on their own earnings and revenue growth, it will respond to AVGO, it also responds to their own monthly reporting of net sales and yoy growth. It also delivers a 1% div. yield which is about 1.5x NVDA’s, 0.42%,m. Neither are much, but if you’re holding for a few years, it’s better than a kick in the head.
But… it’s also worth considering this: Broadcom (AVGO) just delivered strong earnings. Their growth rate remains intact, yet AVGO is about 40% off its all time high. There’s clearly a mean reversion rerating in the pipeline in Q4/2027 and if they eventually meet and exceed their ATH, there’s 50%+ upside. (For NVDA to achieve that the market would have to find $2.75 trillion. I’d call that pretty unlikely).

NVDA, TSM, GOOG, SKHY

What are your top 5 holdings? I'll go first.
1. MELI
2. GOOGL
3. LLY
4. GE
5. NFLX / META / NU / JPM / TSM / RYCEY / NOW (depending on the day, each at 4 - 4.5%)

Is it immodest of me to say I’m up biggly today on TSM calls?

How's your experience of trading TSM? the premiums took a cliff!

I think you could be underestimating the pricing power that companies like TSM and ASML will continue to have. They won't be the biggest winners, but substantial winners unless maybe AI gets orders of magnitude more efficient.

BTC TSM 10/2 385p +50% (2 days)
BTO SPY 0DTE 771/773c @ $0.33 (already sold one and letting the others ride a bit)

Hi,
New to this community, so, hopefully will be able to provide some good insights to potential trades that follows the below strategy.
The MACD RSI Strategy is simple, ***IF*** you follow the rules!
On the ***DAY*** chart.
Your selected stock/forex needs to be either overbought (**>70**) or oversold (**<30**) on the RSI scale within the last couple of days.
The earnings date needs to be at least 14 days out.
Once the above is good, wait for the MACD to cross in the same direction as the RSI, either both bullish or both bearish.
If you go for a trade, set your stop loss (SL) either above the most recent highest high in the case of a short, or below the most recent lowest low in the case of a long.
Let the trade sit until the RSI crosses the 50 mark. When it does close the trade.
This can take a day or several weeks depending on the stock, obviously forex moves faster! 😄
This is not financial advice, and you accept the risk should you enter a trade.
**New potentials will be posted here on a daily basis**, if they appear.
The stocks/tickers currently being monitor are:
AAA, AAL, AAPL, ABBV, ABT, ACN, ADBE, ADI, AEM, AMAT, AMD, AMGN, AMZN, ANET, APH, APP, ARKK, ARM, ASML, AUDUSD=X, AVGO, AXP, AZN, B, BA, BABA, BAC, BBVA, BHP, BKNG, BLK, BMO, BP, BSX, BTI, BUD, BZ=F, C, CAT, CB, CCZ, CEG, CMCSA, CME, COF, COIN, COP, COST, CRM, CRWD, CSCO, CVX, DE, DHR, DIA, DIS, DRIP, DUK, ELF, ENB, ETN, EURUSD=X, FCX, GBPUSD=X, GDX, GE, GEV, GILD, GLW, GOOG, GOOGL, GS, GSK, HCA, HD, HDB, HON, HSBC, HUM, HUT, HWM, IBM, IBN, INTC, INTU, ISRG, IWM, JNJ, JPM, KHC, KLAC, KO, LIN, LLY, LMT, LOW, LRCX, LUV, LVS, MA, MCD, MCK, MDT, META, MFG, MO, MRK, MS, MSFT, MU, MUFG, NEE, NEM, NFLX, NOC, NOW, NUGT, NVDA, NVO, NVS, ORCL, PANW, PBR, PDD, PEP, PFE, PG, PGR, PH, PLD, PLTR, PM, PYPL, QCOM, QQQ, RIO, RIOT, ROKU, RTX, RY, SAN, SAP, SBUX, SCCO, SCHW, SHEL, SHOP, SLB, SLV, SMCI, SMFG, SMH, SNY, SO, SONY, SOXL, SPGI, SPOT, SPY, SQQQ, SYK, T, TBB, TD, TGT, TJX, TM, TMO, TMUS, TNA, TQQQ, TSLA, TSM, TTE, TXN, TZA, UBER, UBS, UL, UNH, UNP, USDCAD=X, USDCHF=X, USDJPY=X, V, VRTX, VZ, WELL, WFC, WMT, XHB, XLC, XLE, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLP, XLRE, XLU, XLV, XLY, XOM, \^FTSE, \^NDX
In the image there are three potential shorts and a long, CME, COP, NEE & T.
Have a great weekend.

I like TSM

What happened to TSM?

Before you buy any stock or ETF you should look at the fundamentals of the company (revenue, debt, earnings, etc) and then think about what unthinking future of that company and the industry they are in.
I’ve owned Nvidia in the past. And it appears their short term future (maybe a year) is good. The reason I got out was two points. 1) is there an AI bubble. I think so, but I’m not sure. 2) Nvidia makes the fastest chips right now. But in my long investment career, I’ve seen chips change dramatically. About 10 years ago Intel was #1, they were followed by AMD, the TSM and now Nvidia.
In the chip world, everyone is trying to build a better mousetrap (faster, better, cheaper) chip. While Nvidia holds that position now, I’m not sure how long they will hold it. Take a look at Intel in 2021 it reached $57. It dropped below $20 in 2025. It took until early 2026 to get back and exceed the 2021 price.

I bought SK Hynix last year because every CEO and tech analyst was screaming from the rooftop that there was going to be a serious memory shortage and to me the price didn't seem to reflect that. I also guessed that the extent of the AI infrastructure cap ex would exceed expectations, but not with high confidence. I continue to hold that belief going forward, but not with high confidence.
I'm concerned about SK Hynix losing market share though and as someone without genuine expertise, it's a little difficult for me to discern why, if the trend will continue, and to what extent it's priced in. I believe SK Hynix has gone from something like 64% share of HBM and 39% share of DRAM last year to 250% and 25% respectively this year.
I'm tempted to move my money from SK Hynix into my other two main non index fund holdings, TSM and ASML. With those two, while it would be beneficial to have it, I don't feel like I need the technical expertise to evaluate if they will gain or lose market share, I can trust in their moat and reputation for high level execution.
I get that memory demand will likely remain high, and that at a PE of 6, SK Hynix is already pricing in a lot of risk/downturn, but everyone knows demand will remain high. Demand being high also in general tends to attract competition, a sector can be booming and those within the sector can perform quite poorly. While memory fabrication does have a moat, we have seen this start to play out. CXMT for instance has over doubled wafer production since the release of the first version of Chat GPT.

Full ported TSM/IREN calls 🚀🚀🚀

Fucking $MU & $TSM

No TSM there, the largest chip manufacturer in the world…but Intel is 😂🤡

It's a second order spend, when Meta etc wants to build a data center they would pay these companies, NVIDIA etc would then pay TSM to make chips

I like those names specially Googl, TSM, and NVDA. I would also suggest AMZN, Meta, MSFT, AMD, Sofi, reddit. I personally like to be well diversified, so I have about 70 names in my port.

May I ask. Where is TSM?

Couple issues with the math. Groq wasn't acquired for $20B, that was a rumored valuation. And the 150x bandwidth comparison is misleading since you're comparing on-chip SRAM bandwidth to off-chip HBM bandwidth, which are fundamentally different bottlenecks. Real world token throughput doesn't scale linearly with raw SRAM bandwidth because interconnect latency between 25,000 chips becomes the dominant constraint, not memory bandwidth per chip.

The TSMC capacity argument is more interesting though. If SRAM-heavy inference chips gain real traction, N3 wafer allocation becomes a genuine bottleneck. But that's a big "if" since Groq still hasn't demonstrated cost-competitive inference at scale against Nvidia's ecosystem.

What's your position here? The thesis seems to point toward TSM as the picks-and-shovels play regardless of which architecture wins.