SU
Suncor Energy, Inc.
stock NYSE

Here is **THE FEARLESS FORECAST** for **December 8**, 2025 for the **DJIA**
(**SU** = Small Up; **LU** = Large Up; **SD** = Small Down; **LD** = Large Down) :
**Bucket:** 7-day look-back → Momentum.
**Probabilities:** SU ≈ 18%, LU ≈ 32%, SD ≈ 22%, LD ≈ 28%.
**Expected return:** ≈ +0.30%.
**Projected DJIA close:** \~48,100–48,350.
**Directional bias:** \~65% chance of an Up day.
The model is statistically based. It does not involve technical mumbo-jumbo. It gets the direction correct about 70% of the time, enough to give you a trading edge. It does not attempt to forecast "EVENT" days, such as the upcoming Fed rate decision. An Event-day has a 50-50 up/down probability. The model will generate a forecast for an upcoming Event-day, but it is as likely to be wrong as it is right.

VZ, MO, VICI, SU, CNQ, AM, ORI, BBY
Combined yield ~5.2%-5.6% depending on ORI's special dividend.

**The Fearless Forecast** for the DJIA for Dec 5, 2025 (SU = Small Up; LU = Large Up; SD = Small Down; LD = Large Down) :
Tomorrow’s Fearless Forecast (Dec 5, 2025)
* **Bucket:** Mixed sequence with 3 Ups in last 5.
* **Probabilities:** SU ≈ 38%, LU ≈ 18%, SD ≈ 24%, LD ≈ 20%.
* **Expected return:** ≈ +0.12%.
* **Projected close:** \~47,910–47,950.
* **Directional bias:** \~56% chance of an Up day. The Fearless Forecast expects to be directionally correct on about 70% of its forecasts. It is based on statistics, not technical mumbo-jumbo. It uses the closing prices of the Dow Jones Industrial Average for the past 60 trading days as its data-set. Each day, the latest close is added, and the earliest dated close is dropped. Check back tomorrow for the next Fearless Forecast.

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