IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
stockNYSEETF

I mightve done the dumbest thing. I got 25x IWM 10/16 275Ps just before close. Looks like i'm giga cooked RIP my money

$IWM PUTS FOR TMRW

Why IWM and not tech?

Come on IWM close red

No, there's almost nothing in markets that's certain, but experienced investors do not ignore obvious warning signs. IWM(small caps) were down almost 11% since mid August while the techs just kept chugging along like there wasn't a care in the world. I took note, but didn't really adjust much...until volume dried up on the cap weighted S & P last week...even as the S & P put in new highs. That's a classic warning sign that a top is in or near. ...that's when I shorted tech. I do think tech will continue lower...obviously with bounces. The reasons why are simple, but numerous. It ran too far too quickly, it barely corrects, everyone thinks it will go up forever, the companies in tech are loaded up with debt, and liquidity in the AI trade is drying up with regard to financialized assets. That is to say, the capex raised is leaving financial assets and going into the real economy...aka hyper scaler data center buildout. This will lead to lots of jobs in the real economy, but it will also drive monetary inflation. Commodity prices are inputs for producers and the AI buildout will drive commodity prices significantly higher. I rather be in those producers than the tech companies burying themselves in debt to build the datacenters. Particularly in an environment with significantly higher bond yields(interest rates) over the past six years. I suggest everyone reading this get some physical silver, platinum, gold. If you trade then get some shares of producers...especially silver, copper, sulfur, sulfuric acid, etc. Much higher price inflation is coming and these things can defend your purchasing power/protect your wealth.

Damn they got me good with this, lost almost all my port on this IWM pump. Damn

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My regarded senses are blinking. TLT & IWM are green

Lol the money coming out of the AI trade is so desperate for a place to hide they bid IWM green on this insane PPI. As if those garbage stocks have any pricing power.

iShares Russell 2000 ETF ($IWM): Holding steady around $278.20 – $278.50 pre-market following yesterday's close near $277.90, trying to build a base above the mid-$277 support area. Broad Market Futures: Ticking mildly in positive territory (+0.10% to +0.20%) as markets absorb ongoing macroeconomic data and look for fresh catalysts. Key Market Drivers Today Macro Data & Jobless Claims: Weekly initial jobless claims and regional manufacturing data are crossing the wire this morning, keeping interest rate expectations front and center for institutional desks. Post-CPI Momentum Shift: With this week's key inflation reads digested, small-cap relative volume is starting to rotate back into select low-float names displaying genuine catalyst strength. Capital Protection Mode: Remember the golden rule—never let a winning morning turn into a red day. With cold-market volatility still lingering, strict risk management and taking immediate profits on early morning pushes are your best defenses against sudden pullbacks.

IWM being green while QQQ is red af is just the biggest insult

What’s everyone worried about? IWM is up

Butt fucking seriously why IWM green?

Well played IWM 👏

Thursday's setup is a hot-CPI hangover going into 8:30 ET PPI and retail sales, plus TSMC and Schwab earnings before the open. The five names most exposed are TSM, SMH, SCHW, QQQ and IWM. TSM and IWM are sitting on support. **Catalysts (Thu Oct 15)** * **Backdrop:** September CPI rose 0.6% m/m and 3.7% y/y, against 3.6% expected \[4\]\[5\]. SPY closed -1.03%, QQQ -1.97%, IWM -1.93%, and the 10-year yield is 5.19% \[19\]\[16\]\[17\]\[20\]. * **Fed odds:** Polymarket has 67.5% on no change at the October meeting and 31.5% on a 25 bp hike \[12\]. * **8:30 ET data:** PPI (MoM consensus 0.5% vs 0.4% prior) and retail sales (consensus 0.3–0.4% vs 1.2% prior). Jobless claims and the Empire State and Philly Fed surveys also print \[1\]\[2\]. * **Fed speakers:** Bowman at 2:55 AM and Hammack at 4:30 PM \[1\]\[3\]. Fed Chair Warsh speaks Friday \[1\]. * **TSMC:** It reports before the open, with the call at 2:00 AM ET \[8\]. Q3 revenue is already out at NT$1,494.2B, up 50.9% y/y. The focus is Q4 guidance, capex and gross margin versus the 65–67% guide \[7\]. * **Schwab:** It reports before the open, with consensus EPS around $1.67 and revenue around $7.2B \[9\]. * **Chip read-through:** ASML raised its 2026 sales outlook for a third time, but its Q3 revenue slightly missed in dollar terms. The stock fell, and MU, SNDK and INTC slid with it \[6\]. **Exposed names** * **Chips:** TSM and SMH, which are the direct read-through from TSMC's guide. * **Brokers:** SCHW, on earnings and the rate path. * **Broad indexes:** QQQ and SPY, which are hit by yields and PPI. * **Rate-sensitive:** IWM. * **Also in play:** MU, INTC and SNDK on the chip read-through. **Support and resistance** Levels are swing pivots on 6-month daily closes, not intraday highs and lows. |Last|Support|Resistance|Near a level?| |:-|:-|:-|:-| |TSM|430.00|427.66 (-0.5%), 412.38|437.83 (+1.8%), 444.45|**On support**| |SMH|564.74|556.53 (-1.5%), 544.37|575.35 (+1.9%), 594.07|Between levels, closer to resistance| |SCHW|96.80|94.91 (-2.0%), 91.96|99.67 (+3.0%), 102.82|Mid-range| |QQQ|728.95|722.66 (-0.9%), 703.29|741.32 (+1.7%), 759.66|Near support| |IWM|271.37|271.19 (-0.1%), 268.05|284.81 (+5.0%), 293.50|**On support**| **Betting markets** * **Retail sales:** Kalshi puts 35% on a September print above +0.4% and 93% on above -0.4% \[14\]. That points to a soft-to-moderate number, not a blowout. * **PPI y/y:** Polymarket's modal bucket is 5.6% at 41.5%, and 19.5% is on 5.9% or higher \[14\]. A hot print raises the odds of a December hike more than an October one. * **Schwab:** The Polymarket SCHW EPS market is at 41.5%. Its URL slug implies a $1.70 threshold, above the $1.67 consensus \[24\]. A web description of the same event cited 67% \[11\], so I can't reconcile the two. * **TSMC call:** Mention markets are near-certain on "margin" (97%) and "capex" (97.5%) \[13\], so they carry no price signal. * **Gap:** There is no one-day index or single-stock price market. Kalshi's Nasdaq-100 markets only settle at year-end \[25\]. **Most likely to move** * **TSM (largest single move):** It is down 3.51% to $430.00, sitting on 427.66 support that has been touched four times, and the 52-week high is $485.80 \[15\]\[21\]. The revenue number is already known, so the reaction depends on the Q4 guide and 2027 capex. If it holds 427.66 and takes out 437.83, 444.45 is the next level. If it breaks, 412.38 is 4.1% lower. ASML just showed that a raised outlook can still sell off. * **IWM:** It closed at 271.37, 0.1% above 271.19 support. The 6-month low is 268.05, only 1.2% below, and the ETF is down 4.93% over 20 days \[23\]. A hot PPI likely breaks it, and a soft PPI with soft retail sales is the squeeze setup. Resistance at 284.81 is 5% away. * **SCHW:** It has fallen 7.48% over 20 days, and Truist cut its target to $125 from $130 \[22\]\[10\]. Company guidance is for 17.5–18.5% revenue growth \[10\]. It has beaten estimates for several straight quarters \[9\], so a beat clears the nearest resistance at 99.67, +3.0%. A miss goes to 94.91. * **SMH and QQQ:** These are follow-through names. SMH is $564.74, with 575.35 resistance 1.9% above \[18\]. QQQ is $728.95, 0.9% above 722.66, a level touched six times. **Net view (days to weeks):** Risk is two-sided, and I lean toward the upside bounce in TSM and IWM, which are both sitting on support after 2% to 3.5% drops. The strongest bear point is that PPI tomorrow follows a hot CPI, which raises hike risk, and a break of IWM 268.05 or TSM 412.38 would end the bounce case. The upside leans on tight stops under support, since the nearest resistance is only 1.8% above TSM. **Sources** * \[1\] United States Calendar — Web Search * \[2\] U.S. Economic Calendar - MarketWatch — Web Search * \[3\] What to Look Out for in Economic Data This Week (October 12-16) | Kiplinger — Web Search * \[4\] VIEW Hot September CPI sends rate-hike bets soaring | Reuters — Web Search * \[5\] CPI Report Live Updates: New Insights on Inflation, U.S. Economy and the Fed - The New York Times — Web Search * \[6\] ASML Raises Sales Forecast For A Third Time, But Q3 Revenue Miss Sends Stock Lower: Earnings Selloff Spreads To MU, SNDK, INTC — Web Search * \[7\] TSMC Earnings Q3 2026: Margins and Guidance Under Test — Web Search * \[8\] TSMC 2026 Q3 Quarterly Results - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited — Web Search * \[9\] Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q3 2026 Earnings: Key Metrics and What Could Move the Stock — Web Search * \[10\] Dear Charles Schwab Stock Fans, Mark Your Calendars for October 15 — Web Search * \[11\] Polymarket — Web Search * \[12\] Prediction markets: Fed rate decision October — Source * \[13\] Prediction markets: TSMC earnings — Source * \[14\] Prediction markets: retail sales PPI September — Source * \[15\] TSM Quote — Live Quote · TSM * \[16\] QQQ Quote — Live Quote · QQQ * \[17\] IWM Quote — Live Quote · IWM * \[18\] SMH Quote — Live Quote · SMH * \[19\] SPY Quote — Live Quote · SPY * \[20\] ^(TNX) Quote — Live Quote · ^(TNX) * \[21\] TSM Historical Data (6mo) — Historical Market Data · TSM * \[22\] SCHW Historical Data (6mo) — Historical Market Data · SCHW * \[23\] IWM Historical Data (6mo) — Historical Market Data · IWM * \[24\] Prediction markets: Schwab earnings — Source * \[25\] Prediction markets: Nasdaq 100 close October 15 — Source

I accept assignment. Switch to CC. I only trade in ETFs like QQQ. IWM. EEM. DRAM. SCHD. I’m comfortable holding those through any downturn as I have been investing in this type of fund for 30+ years and been through many downturns. Options through a major long downturn will be new to me but to me it seems like wheeling options can only my portfolio investments through a general downturn. I have recently decided that I will not change my premium goal as a percentage of the current stock price as opposed to accepting a lower premium by setting my CC strike price at the price I was assigned at. There is obviously a risk of loss if the CC closes below my cost basis. But I feel like maintaining the higher premium will offset negative or low or flat returns during a downturn and hopefully allow my portfolio to recover faster

iShares Russell 2000 ETF ($IWM): Hovering around $277.30 – $277.50 (-0.1% to -0.2% pre-market) after closing at $276.79 yesterday afternoon. Stock Index Futures: Ticking up modestly across the board (+0.15% to +0.20%) as market participants position ahead of upcoming CPI inflation prints and continuing Q3 earnings reports. Key Drivers & Tape Dynamics Today Morning CPI Inflation Focus: Macro liquidity is taking a backseat early as traders digest fresh Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers. Continued strength in yields means broad market participation will stay cautious until headlines drop. Yesterday's Low-Float Follow-Through: Following monster multi-hundred percent moves on runners like $JBDI, $FLYE, and $TCRT, expect retail momentum money to stay highly active in pre-market order flow. Execution Edge: High-RVOL runners will continue triggering Limit-Up/Limit-Down (LULD) volatility halts. Keep your sizing lean and leverage pre-halt order flow signals to lock in clean gains before circuit breakers lock up liquidity.

Bought some IWM. Playing for a bounce in the next 48 hours. Will cut my losses if it doesn’t go my way.

8 days in to my March IWM calls and I’m down 50%. Wtf

Just randomly got an alert my 275 IWM calls were in the money? Glitch or foreshadowing?

Profit looks small, small will bring more pleasure later as it will grow. I need money for Christmas gifts. Yesterday, I started with a $250, aiming to reach $5k profit in 50 trades. You saw on many of my previous post I was growing another small account. Hope you get inspired. Life is short. I will try post the trades. Simple options strategy, no wheel, iron condors etc. Using simple EMAs, VWAP etc to see the trends, levels calculations. I was pushing it today, getting this $30 profit per contract. I am greedy as I started with a small account. Don't be like this if you are a beginner and avoid the open. I got in a bit late with the drop on SPY as I was caught up with some work. Trade: 2 contracts = $60 total profit. Total options cost = $184 33 % profit Time in Trade : 32 min. Edging towards the morning glory 🤤 $10 per contract per day, it makes a huge difference with time. Don't be greedy every time. My trading plan and strategy is trading one trade a day, 2-5 times a week depending on availability. If you are learning by yourself, give it 2-3 months to see how you are progressing. If you believe I am lucky every day with the trades and posts 🤷🏻‍♂️ so be it. I believe I have no choice, I put in the effort and keep doing, any loss is my loss as it is me executing my own trades and money. I only day trade options on ETFs like SPY, QQQ, IWM etc. Timestamp on the broker is UK time. So, entry time of 3.20 is 10.20 ET. I trade on my phone, screenshot is from TastyTrade. EMA 200 and VWAP on the screenshot for TradingView

Lmao us02y straight up Lmao us10y straight up LMAO IWM QQQ STRAIGHT DOWN

seeing IWM back at April level makes me happy and I don’t even have puts

IWM is drilling deeper after CPI small caps r fuk

Oh wow, that IWM candle is ugly.