QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
stock NASDAQ ETF

from the Nov 2021 high, QQQ fell −33% and reclaimed its high in about two years. TQQQ fell −79% and didn't reclaim its high until January 2025. Some other examples
Since TQQQ inception (Mar 2010, 16.5y)
- QQQ: +1,630%
- TQQQ: + +26,944%
From 2000-03-27 (26.4 years)
- QQQ: +806%
- TQQQ: +365%
The daily drag will fuck you up. The daily-rebalanced leverage has a growth drag of roughly L(L−1)/2 × σ², volatility in the period matters.
At the 2010s' ~17%, volatility that's ~9%/yr, you don't notice that in a 19%/yr market.
At 2000–2002's 40%+ volatility it's ~48%/yr

but it doesn't lol. Look at any triple leveraged fund over the long term - TQQQ vs QQQ. +1200% QQQ over the last 15 years, +36,000% TQQQ.
They get larger drawdowns, ye, but they also go up far harder and faster. I'd rather see a +100% then -20%, than a +50% and -10%. The cost of leverage on them is actually very cheap too... people overestimate their costs and friction.

Total Returns since I bought during the pandemic. XLK,QQQ,VOO,VTI,IWM,DIA ETF'S.

Not worth it. Too low of volume and not enough DTEs to choose. 
VT, VTI and VOO are for buy and hold. SPY and QQQ are for trading/options, and hold too if you want. 

I can tell you right now, you fell into the reach for yield trap that most beginners run into after they realize that you can make for than 6% a year. #1 concern should be am I getting paid for the risk I'm taking on. If the answer is no then walk away. In the long term you will avoid almost all of the steamrollers. If it's trending on WSB, walk away. If earnings is crossing your expiry date walk away, If you are required to put up more capital than regular margin requires, walk away. If you are being sold a story or use the Phrase, I believe in the company. don't walk, RUN away.
I'll give an example of Why not to trade NVDA with any size. NVDA Put 24 delta 10 DTE for 8-19 avoiding earnings risk.

Naked Puts comparison
NVDA Margin require 27% vs 20% Reg T on QQQ approx. delta and DTE
NVDA IV 43 IV Rank 32 QQQ IV 22 IV Rank 27
NVDA ROC 3.47% QQQ ROC 3.01%
I would want at least 30% more preferable 40% over market QQQ ROC due to the elevated single stock risk , IV, and Higher margin requirements. 4% to 4.25% ROC Since it is so popular to trade, it's the risk being discounted by demand. You are not getting paid for the risk you are taking on. Your capital is limited, there are plenty of trades where you can get paid for the risk your taking on. You don't have to learn by losing money, you learn how to manage the risk. with QQQ right now 3% every 10 days is an annualize 90% without compounding. If your risking only 1/5 aka 20% of your total capital at a time that is an 18% return a year.

Buy ETFs and chill. $VOO $QQQ, search up how many hedge funds outperformed the market last year. Those guys have all the info/knowledge at their fingertips and still can’t. This is coming from someone who has tried it. Yes you can easily make money, the hard part is doing it over and over again and actually keeping it over the long term. If you work hard for your money the last thing you wanna do is blow it trying to win a zero sum game. Anyway, just my two cents

No they didn't, $47 billion. Impressive, but not $100B.
They are also spending like drunken sailors. Their path to profitability is questionable with Chinese models threatening to take the lower end of the market.
I am not anti-AI. As a software engineer I use it on a regular basis, but there's clearly a bubble.
I don't think the correction is imminent, and I don't try to time the market, so I am still long AI for now.
Setting a reminder to admit I was wrong in a year if SpaceX is above IPO price by then. I'm also long SpaceX via Invesco QQQ, btw. I'm not rooting for a crash, I'm just paying attention to the math.
https://preview.redd.it/7jcyt1k8pdih1.jpeg?width=1792&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f6171b2d4c069ce43d3ad1b534c37eb638dd17c2

!remindme 1 year

Some international exposure would be a good idea, in general, IMO.
You can analyze the weighted holdings here: [https://etfdb.com/tool/portfolio-analyzer/?etfs%5Bqqq%5D=30&etfs%5Bvoo%5D=70](https://etfdb.com/tool/portfolio-analyzer/?etfs%5Bqqq%5D=30&etfs%5Bvoo%5D=70)
I guessed at your SPY/QQQ weightings (70/30) in that link, so you will have to adjust. Here is how things change if you reduce those to make room for just 20% of international exposure - [https://etfdb.com/tool/portfolio-analyzer/?etfs%5Bvxus%5D=20&etfs%5Bqqq%5D=20&etfs%5Bvoo%5D=60](https://etfdb.com/tool/portfolio-analyzer/?etfs%5Bvxus%5D=20&etfs%5Bqqq%5D=20&etfs%5Bvoo%5D=60)

The annoying thing with “broad AI” funds is that a lot of them are just expensive chip/mega-cap baskets with an AI label. Before choosing one, download the holdings and calculate the top-10 weight, semiconductor weight, overlap with VOO/QQQ and the fee.
For genuinely broad exposure I'd want to see semis/equipment, networking, cloud/data centres, power/cooling, and software/applications. One fund may cover all of that, but it may also dilute the thesis with weak companies added for theme purity. A broad-market fund already owns most eventual winners.
If you post the two or three tickers you're considering, I'm happy to map the overlap and show what exposure you're actually getting.

This is a really big fear for me. I'm 59 and probably too heavy in equities, but bonds barely keep up with inflation. There were all kinds of stories about Enron employees with their entire 401k in Enron stock. I met a guy in a training class who worked for Enron, he had really drank the koolaid. I wonder how he ended up.
I used to follow [thestreet.com](http://thestreet.com) heavily back in the .com crash, I remember right when the markets were starting to turn this younger guy (I think a brit) who wrote saying the NASDAQ would drop to 1500 and laid out his case. Cramer called him out, said he was an idiot. That guy was SO right.
At the time I had a friend who was really into MACD divergences (higher high not matched by higher high on MACD), I happened to be short QQQ when it went down because of that signal. Sold after about 10% drop because I didn't want to be greedy... should have been greedier.

I’ve got open positions on QQQ, AMZN, NFLX, BN, RDDT, ADBE, APP (which just took a massive beating but I’m holding my conviction!).

There is something called “dollar cost averaging”, which basically means breaking the investment amount into equal portions (say 3 pots of $10k) and then investing then over time (say once a month).
This helps avoid bad timing affecting your entire investment.
But in the long run it won’t matter much.
I’d look at VOO (S&P 500). Warren Buffet says investing in just that is a diversified portfolio.
If you want a little more exposure to technology. look at QQQ. It’s more volatile than VOO.
If you want to go a bit old school, look at DIA. It’s the DOW ETF. It’s kept pace fairly well and not as volatile as QQQ or even VOO. A lot of old money in there. I like it even though not touted here very often.
These a several individual stocks I’ve bought at various times are the vast majority of my portfolio.
You should have an emergency fund that is unvested. I’m not much into bond funds but sort of use money market or short term treasuring (SGOV) or even a bank account to hold the emergency fund. You don’t want to be forced to sell investments during a downturn. That’s the main idea behind the emergency fund.
Good luck!

Yeah def not full-on rotations yet, just some early signal of movement. I've found in backtesting my system that these early lag -> improve movements will provide signals for entry, but you do need to weigh that against everything else here (and actually this is an excerpt from a much longer analysis that helps complete the picture). Then I enter with very tight stop for trades, or use it for entry into stocks I like for long holds.
New leadership for me is when a theme crosses into leading on weekly RS vs QQQ (or SPY for factors/sectors), not just a one week bounce. I want the path to show improving to leading, ideally with RS turning up across shorter windows.
Inputs:
Level = 8 week RS. Theme ETF return minus benchmark return over 8 weeks.
Momentum = 3 week RS. Same spread over 3 weeks.
Leading means both are above a small threshold (0.15% spread). Outperforming on the longer window and the shorter window is still positive. Not just beating SPY/QQQ on price. Beating on both timeframes at once. So when something flips lagging to improving, 8 week RS can still be deeply negative. That is not leading yet. It becomes leading when the 8 week spread crosses positive and the 3 week spread is also positive at the same weekly close.

You call it crazy delusional and your theory is because unemployment is high, inflation due to war (when inflation was already getting bad pre-war) and you think people will buy crypto?
So you’re saying people don’t have money based on these things?
How come S&P, QQQ, DJI, a lot of the major indexes are at or near ATH lol.
The people that have money to spend, still have money to spend. My savings rate is still 40%.
The people that you are referring to (the ones hurting in today’s world) probably never invested to begin with.
I know because 90% of the people I work with complain about inflation, etc. and they never invest for retirement or anything.

My opinion? Don't get your info from reddit or any other forum. Search for every article you can find, search for videos of the CEO, ask Ai..etc.
If you're not capable of doing that then you shouldnt be buying individual stocks. Buy ETF's like SPX or QQQ, etc where you're not going to get burned. Especially in small little weenie stocks like you mention.

The only problem with that strategy is if you buy at the top of a bubble. Then it could be years before you break even. Looking at the slope of SPY or QQQ, it seems crazy to buy and hold now. This exponential growth is bound to pop after Trump leaves office.

QQQ: For me as a swing trader that likes to short premium or discount extensions, there is not much to do in current situation. I always need to have a bigger reasonable price target. For example one month ago when we first started to see lower highs and failure for ATH reclaim, I shorted every rip with the target of June lows in mind. Everything played out nicely. Woth last weeks massive reclaim bounce, we are now stuck in the worst place to take a long or short decision. With how they showed confidence in the bull market, I dont want to go short, and since we are not far from ATH I also dont want to long this here. Very tricky spot. Most likely we will be stuck in a range here for a while.

This is what I like about People on Reddit, always tring to be slic, 2 steps ahead of everyone else, the next big heacy hitting stock. traded for 25+ yrs for a Major Primary Dealer's Prop Desk. This was when Prop Desk were Prop desk and not the MISHEGOSS Conflagration they are today. We were the FICC Trading desk. TRY this on for size, in 2017 wife & I became the proud Grandparent to 2 BOYS. Being the "SMART" Wall Street started an experiment of buy and hold- as of today both boys have Identically sized Portfolio , no glitz no glamour and have not touched since: they own through UGMA's and outright accounts- SPY as of Friday up 243%, UDOW is up 533% as of Friday and QQQ up 505% as of Friday. We also have opened Treasury Direct accounts for them and have been Rolling 1yr Treasury Bills since then. So now you are asking completely unqualified CHUCLEHEADS about Wealth Management, good luck with that.

It’s actually early for optics and neoclouds. I disagree that Roundhill is late with these ETFs. However I don’t like the weightings in both ETFs. For LYTE, I don’t want China exposure. Their companies are opaque, their market is very volatile, and their photonics technology is 2+ years behind America. Plus, you have geopolitical risk anytime Trump escalates the trade war with China.
With NCLD, Nebius is the best in class. CoreWeave is an absolute debt bomb, and some of the other holdings are extremely risky due to debt and/or loony valuations.
It’s not a bad idea to own both as I do expect them to outperform QQQ, but if you do your research you’re probably just buying the leaders directly.

Just need 🥭to lie some more and pump QQQ 3% tomorrow