MU
Micron Technology, Inc.
stock NASDAQ

Yep, Im not big on NVDA being the #1 holding, they overweight it a little while SOXX has MU which I prefer.

Yeah, MU is last month's thing.

They and SNDK have been boring, and like -5% on the month.

This month is all about, um, idk, Dell, NFLX, PSKY. The only thing in tech or semiconductor spaces that was worth gambling on was KORE. Lol.

Meli, NU, several SaaS companies, nvidia, AMD, UBER, BN, MU, META, AMZN, MRVL, MSFT, CSU among others

I’d not short MU.

Cheap stocks with high chance of going higher soon. AMD, NVDA, MRVL, AVGO, CLS, DY, TTMI, MU, SNDK, GEV

You are so smart to group BTC with AMZN at 23x forward PE.  Or NFLX.  Or MU.  Where can I subscribe to your "fuck everything" blog?

Anthropic is just an example from my day to day use, even if OpenAI or Google or xAI succeed, ASML, TSMC, MU, BE, TSLA solar all succeed, and Nvidia to some extent.
I do get that these features will get commoditized at some point but Nvidia’s increase in gross margins argues that hardware is in fact going the opposite way at the moment and it seems likely for the next year. Where it stops I don’t know but that is the million dollar question, the tea leaves aren’t pointing towards that for some time. For something with the potential to disrupt so many jobs I feel these are early innings.

Back for another week of running Short Put Verticals aka Bull Put Credit Spreads.
Here are my rules for trading credit spreads:
* **All SVP's will be opened 35 to 49 DTE**
* **Short puts strike chosen at .20 delta and long puts at .13 delta**
* **Analysis of spread's Max Profit must show 80% or more probability for Maximum Profit**
* **Analysis of spread's Break Even must show 80%or more probability for Any Profit**
* **Analysis of Max Loss must show 10% or less Probability for Maximum Loss**
* **ROI for premium collected (premium divided by collateral required for spread) must be 10% or more**
Below is totals of tickers from this week:
|Ticker|\+/- Profit|
|:-|:-|
|CRCL|$1,070|
|HYMC|$573|
|HUT|$345|
|MSFT|$261|
|COST|$257|
|AAPL|$240|
|TSM|$237|
|SMH|$180|
|QQQ|$141|
|META|$121|
|AMZN|$104|
|XLE|$90|
|IWM|$74|
|MU|$66|
|GOOGL|$48|
|DIA|$44|
|UNH|$40|
|VOO|$34|
|VTI|$29|
|XLF|$27|
|ORCL|$15|
|TQQQ|$14|
|NVDA|$0|
|TLT|($0)|
|AMD|($470)|
|GGLL|($592)|
|ASTS|($898)|
|Totals|$2,049.35|

The rearview mirror is always clear. What is the next AMZN (PE 30), MU (PE 36.56), and NVDA (PE 36.06) over the next 10 years?

I’d park it in BIL 4.1% yield cash equivalent and then find a consistent research plan to evaluate multiple opportunities for Ai growth stocks that you believe are undervalued.
This is exactly what I’m doing. I’m transitioning out of another career and have been investing in AI for a few years. Currently building a model 100k portfolio. The trick is, it’s not a one shot, but this one stock and leave it. It’s digging into the value of a company, it’s competitive position, the current market sentiment and patiently waiting until the particular asset is trading for less than what you think the long term probable value is…
Here’s what I have right now doing the exact same thing. There’s about 600 stocks on my research list though. Cost basis for each; COHR $68.80 , FN $238.91, ASML $696.60, AAOI $21.19, CAMT $89.10, MU $240.65, CRWV $68.85, RDDT $112.76, NVDA $115.88, CRDO $89.47, ALAB $96.70, GEV $689, AMSC $32.90, GOOGL $214.55, MSFT $378.35, AMZN $179.00.
I only have &33k of the 100k invested so far, and have held most now for 9+ months. Starting to buy more of a few others right now as prices drop. +67.8% return over 15 months so far.
If you find some good stocks, DM me, I love chatting about this stuff. Good luck.

Just buy MU & SNDK. They benefit off Nvidia and even cheaper

Been selling MU CSPs and Covered NVDA calls. It’s a good time.

On MU's run from 115 to 260, I made 3200% on calls. Is that less boring for you?
1500 -> 48k

AAPL, MU

Aapl, goog, MU asml

MU

Actually, Nvidia's forward P/E has now dropped from 27 to the mid teens. And this is based on sales already made but not shipped through 2026. The stock price will rebound once the sellers have cleared out. This market is ruled by doubts and volatility, such as those expressed by this post. Don't expect any more returns from any AI stocks (or frankly any S&P 500 stock) like we have seen since the pandemic. If you missed out on AVGO, GLW, VRT, ETN, GEV, Q, Dell, MU, and other 2nd tier AI related suppliers, maybe you should call it quits. Honestly, when dRam stocks double and triple, you know the party is about over.

MU, LRCX, TSM, GEV

MU and SNDK resilient. What happens in March?

Nvidia remains the bellwether of the economy, once again reporting blockbuster results this week. Although the market has not responded kindly the last two days, its net income of $43.0 billion for the quarter was absolutely staggering--not only is Nvidia the fastest growing mega cap, but the $43.0 billion was a record quarter for any company.
Here are updated plots depicting net income comparison for U.S. mega cap tech companies, sorted by market cap. The scale of the y-axis is the same for each subplot to allow a fair comparison of net income across companies.
Of course, in the last quarter, there has been growing concern that net income is not the primary metric by which we should be measuring these companies, given their unprecedented capital expenditures. To that end, these plots also include revenue, operating income, operating cash flow, free cash flow, and capital expenditures.
Graphs were generated with Python Matplotlib, but there has been a change in the data source I use. By using Alpha Vantage, I can extend the data as far back as CY2005Q4. For the most recent quarters, I use Yahoo Finance (more specifically, the yfinance module, which differs slightly than their website), which provides the most five recent quarters of data (the first ones I scraped would have started in CY2023Q4). I have confirmed that both sources are consistent across almost all metrics (with very minor discrepancies in operating income for companies for those affected by recent acquisitions).
Note that these sources use GAAP net income, which significantly affect the following:
- Meta's TTM PE is approximately 22, not 28, due to effects from the one-time non-cash tax charge the prior quarter.
- Broadcom's TTM PE is significantly affected by amortization from its recent acquisition of VMware.
- Likewise, AMD's TTM PE is significantly affected by amortization from its recent acquisition of Xilinx.
I considered annotating the graphs with forward metrics, but yfinance gives extremely low forward PEs for all the companies (i.e. NVDA 16.6, AVGO 22.0, AMD 18.4, MU 9.3), and I didn't want disagreement over this estimate to dominate the discussion.