LOT
Lotus Technology Inc.
stock NASDAQ ADR

Definitely has a lot of signs of being a troll. However, on the small chance that this could be real, the time range you're talking about would suggest the possibility this is a Casascius Coin.
Is it gold, silver, or brass?
Note, if it is a Casascius, the "private key" is on a card embedded inside the coin and is protected by a tamper-evident hologram. The hologram leaves behind a honeycomb pattern if it is peeled. If the hologram is intact, there's a chance the bitcoin is good.
Casascius also sold 2-factor coins. In that case the private key is encrypted and will need to be decrypted using the original passphrase preselected by the original purchaser before you can redeem the funds.
There should be an 8-character code on the outside of the coin. That's the first eight characters of the Bitcoin address assigned specifically to that coin. With some effort, you can look that address up and see if there is still any Bitcoin associated with that address, without needing to spoil the holographic sticker.
Note that these coins, if unspoiled, can have additional collectible value beyond the value of the enclosed bitcoins. However, because of this, there are a LOT of trolls and scam artists, with counterfeits and/or carefully removed private keys, that attempt to take advantage of greedy and/or gullible people by pretending they are holding a legitimate Casascius.
Are you one of those scammers, or a victim of a scammer? I have no way of knowing, and really don't care. I'd just suggest to anyone else reading this to be very, VERY, careful about interacting with you about it.
If you believe you've got a legit Casascius, LoyceV at Bitcointalk.org can help you find the address from the 8 character code. Much like here, don't trust anyone in DM's over there.

I'm regretfully long gold, because of this dipshit and his boss. One day again, I'll invest in companies that can grow revenues and market share. Not gold. Gold isn't a good thing to invest in, that's why everyone winces when it goes up. What's it mean for the market if people buy gold over S&P? People should have confidence to invest in the future. People shouldn't invest in gold.
But throwing money at the S&P right now is funding the kleptocracy and I can't do that.
I also think AI is a recursive bullshit text predictor. So makes me think the S&P got a LOT of downside.
Gold is safe and steady and will be YTD +positive in 2026
✌🏻

Greetings!
I felt inspired to write an analysis of this fascinating BYND event!
So I entered last Friday when it began moving, my entry was 0.66 dollars. Then after digging deeper in the hype and the company, I realized it was potentially a short squeeze in the making, especially after Monday's crazy run and closing at +127% up.
My speculation was first 3 dollars as price target (PT), but as it kept reaching price targets, then people hyping started moving the price target and when that happens, it sort of becomes a self fulfilling prophecy, to a degree. 5 dollars was breached and today, Wednesday October the 22nd, it even went BEYOND my previous speculation, I thought 5 dollars was a reasonably high end PT. Then BAM, it peaked at 7.69 (nice) dollars. I sold off some portions when it was getting near the peak (roughly 30-40% of my position) and had I sold the peak I would've 12X'ed my investment.
But I decided to buy back in during a few dips. Why? I'll be honest and say that I'm full of anxiety and stressed out about this, had I sold before closing today I would still be up 5X my investment, which is pretty damn good in less than a week. Yet as I'm writing I'm also watching the AH trading and my soul is passively weeping because it's currently down -25% in AH.
But for some reason I'm still feeling some confidence in my decision to re-enter pretty much all in again and hold through the steep short ladder attacks that sent it plummeting down HARD. Naturally in hindsight I wish I had sold at least half around the peak and then waited for those shorting attacks to finish and THEN re-enter, then I would've had a vastly bigger position at least. But if my speculative hopium turns out to be correct, then I'll still feel super satisfied with my gains. So what am I talking about? Isn't the squeeze over?
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SHORT SQUEEZE POTENTIAL
My confidence lie mainly in two categories:
A. Believe it or not, despite being a 1000% in 4 days run, this WASN'T a short squeeze!
B. The level of hype.
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A. Not a short squeeze, am I crazy?
Yes, I'm crazy, but no, this wasn't a short squeeze. The run to 7.69 dollars was amazing, but it was a hype run. Why? Because the shorts haven't covered, which is basically the ultimate factor to call it a short squeeze. Sure, there might have been some shorts covering, I did see some indications that it might've been the case, but some data actually show that the shorts vastly INCREASED their short position during this run instead.
Fintel and some other sources showed their indexed short shares for lending ran out entirely. While I've seen some sources posted here on Reddit suggesting that the short interest was increased with like 240 million short shares? The carefully executed short ladder attacks that sent the stock dipping today seem to support the increased short interest.
It's like, when the stock pumps hard reaching a new peak, there's always some expected sell offs which can send it down a bit, BUT the short ladder attack tactic occurs in conjunction with those sell offs, to vastly increase the dipping and with enough short volume to send it down to calculated expected Stop Loss Triggers and voilá you three factors: 1. The profit takers sell offs 2. The high sudden short volume. 3. An army of triggered stop losses. Those three together crash the stock down HARD. A tactic to scare more people into selling and thinking that it's over.
But after each time, you could definitely see that it regained momentum and returned to climbing, so the tactic didn't work entirely. SO, they did it again, and again, and again. Enough to beat down retail into the abyss and hoping that would kill the hype and momentum, while also sending the stock down in general which the shorters want.
Here's where that can get juicy and actually become the proper catalyst mechanic to trigger the true short squeeze potential:
Those short ladder attacks can be effective if retail give up and hype die down. But they're insanely costly, because it forces the shorters to vastly increase their short positions, sometimes a well calculated risk if it kills the short squeeze entirely. I've seen it several times in events like FFIE and BBBY among others. Sure it will most certainly cause the stock to do a few spikes/jumps later on when the shorts are forced to cover their positions with high such volume, but worth it if no true short squeeze occurred, because they can cost hedge funds etc billions of dollars that go into retail pockets.
So, I guess you're probably at least starting to form the picture of where I'm getting at. That's catalyst factor number one, the vastly increased Short Interest (SI). Currently and when this squeeze began, the reported Fintel SI stood/stands at 62%, which is incredibly high already, making BYND one of the most shorted stocks out there. SI is only updated every 15 days, so I believe the new SI report will take place on like October the 28th, my speculation is that the updated SI will be much higher then.
So factor one is that the stock is now supercharged with shorts that needs to be returned at some point. The shorters are betting on the squeeze hype dying, so the stock remains beaten to the ground and forgotten, while the shorters can then short it down even further so when it's time to cover their short positions, it will be low enough to not rise too much. Costly still, but nothing compared to a real short squeeze.
Factor two, believe it or not, the greatly reduced stock share price CAN be a really really good thing. BUT it requires the ingredient of the hype remaining. Why? Because now retail can retaliate by being able to buy much higher volumes of shares thanks to the lower price AND if the hype is big enough, it could attract investors/retail folks who didn't have time/will to catch the big initial run because they discovered it when it was already high. But now the price is much more affordable, IF you believe in round two OR long term potential of the company OR patience to await those supercharged pumps/spikes when shorters need to close their short positions, from which you can make some decent money off if you expect them and wait for them .
So here's my point: What IF retail's short squeeze hype ISN'T gone and they are in fact ready for a round two? Then you can expect a new flood of extreme buying volume and naturally that can bring the stock price UP a great deal again, just like the initial hype just did. AND now the shorts have MORE short positions and less shorting ammo for beating round two down.
The setup is basically really similar to what happened with GME way back then when it went from like 2 dollars to 450 dollars. It wasn't the mythical MOASS but it was a true short squeeze.
What's also similar to GME is that it wasn't a linear rise from a couple of dollars to 400+ dollars. That squeeze was a rollercoaster, the stock surged high, then it was forced down a lot, then up again, and down. I believe one of their worst days was like 60% down. But then it started escalating and eventually the short squeeze properly triggered and BOOM.
Buy and Hold is the tactic for that. If you buy, you increase momentum upwards. If you hold you don't add exit liquidity for the shorts and you won't go against the momentum. If you hold and turn off share lending for shorting, then the shorters will run out of shares to borrow for shorting and eventually they'll be forced to cover and the only way to get shares to cover, is to buy from retail who are holding them and that increases the share price at accelerating speeds if many/most hold their shares and refuse to sell them to the shorts until they reach a satisfying price and that mechanic is largely automated and the shorts are forced to buy at whatever price is available at the time. So if the share price is 100 dollars, they'll buy the share for 100 dollars. So the exit liquidity for retail doesn't necessarily need to be other retail folks, but instead the shorters who theoretically can lose billions to be siphoned into retail pockets.
What made GME so successful (despite not being MOASS), was the cult following on Reddit, primarily fueled by WSB, with an army of investors buying and holding and not giving in to the short ladder attacks. Why MOASS was stopped is another topic.
B. The level of hype element:
I started playing the stock market a few months after the initial GME short squeeze in 2021. You could say that I became fascinated with the short squeeze concept to probably levels of obsession. Short Squeeze sort of became my white whale Moby Dick if I'm captain Ahab. But I'm hoping my fate will be better than Ahab's and I hope it's more ethical to hunt short squeezes which doesn't just make retail rich, it also punishes the organizations who are technically illegally manipulating the markets, like hedge funds. SO perhaps better prey than some poor whale. I'll be transparent, my hunting has been highly unsuccessful due to several factors, but I could go over my stock adventures later (if nothing else but to show you the lessons I've learned on the way for you to avoid on yours). I'm only bringing this up to show that I'm quite experienced with the short squeeze concept at least. But it's one thing to know the rules and history of it, than it is to actually play the game well.
AND this level of short squeeze hype craze I've not witnessed on Reddit since, well, probably GME and AMC in 2021 when it all began. (Yes I know the 2008 Wolkswagen squeeze was technically the first true short squeeze, but GME was the one popularizing the concept, while being inspired by the Wolkswagen one). The Reddit hype and volume is there for a proper short squeeze, the question is if retail still has the will for round two? Or if they are psychologically beaten down from round one?
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This is not a post suggesting that anyone should try to trigger the short squeeze proper. This is an analysis of the situation and a historical lesson about short squeezes and how they function. Nothing else.
But the question is now, does retail/Redditors/investors have the will and want to buy the dip tomorrow and continue with BYND? I guess I'm betting on a wildcard that the hype is enough to fuel BYND into squeeze phase two. I don't really want a MOASS, because it would be inconvenient in that it would likely crash the global economy worse than the 2008 bank crash, although the grumpy cynic in me would love to see it and hope it could reset the economy in a better fashion and perhaps the world deserves that crash? No, if the short squeeze triggers and I'm still riding it, I'll politely put my exit liquidity offer for the shorters at like 100 dollars per share, that should be fair and will only cost them some billions and might not even bankrupt them entirely. OR the shorters could gently just close their positions in the next few days on their own to drive the price up most likely above 7.69 dollars, but at least it will be less than my offering of 100 dollars. I'll be quite happy if it "just" reaches 10-12 dollars.
So again, this is not financial advice, it's just an amateur analysis of this event and a history lesson. If you decide to enter the dip tomorrow, that's entirely your own fault. I've also presented the risk that if the hype is too low, then tomorrow won't see enough action to really make the price go anywhere and heck, the shorts might even use what ammo they have left and further drive the price down to kill any momentum if the hype factor isn't strong enough.
SO I'm personally holding with hopium that Reddit IS ready for round two and if it looks juicy with potential, I'll even buy more shares on Friday.
BUT my confidence of holding ALSO come from two more things: 1. I already mentioned that the increased short positions will have to cover at some points, which probably at least create a nice jump/spike that will at least possibly double or triple my investment. Which would be good enough, so if I'm patient, there's no rush to exit this stock. Especially since the Trump market is as unstable as he is and is constantly crashing the market in general, so I dare not really invest in anything on the USA market right now. Except maybe squeeze potential because they don't give a fuck about the rest of the market being red rivers of blood, as you could clearly see with BYND running 1000%. Though I could also invest in stocks that are rumoured to get strong catalysts, because they also tend to run hard even against the blood red streams of market crashing.
SPEAKING OF CATALYSTS. I got greatly interested in BYND because of the recently discovered fundamentals. Yes, Beyond Meat (despite having been in decline and heading closer to bankruptcy for the past few years) now has potentially really really interesting catalysts/fundamental prospects! So my confidence ALSO comes from this having the chance of being a turnaround saga for BYND, thus making it a potentially really good medium/long term hold. You should know that BYND DID trade for over 200 dollars at a point in time some years ago, because it is a huge billion dollar company that has some large market shares in their product demography. Based on that alone, the 3 dollar share price is way way undervalued and is a product of illegal market manipulation from the heavy organized shorting (I'll make another post why I suggest it's illegal). Though the shorting may have been somewhat justified if Beyond Meat was actually heading into bankruptcy.
But guess what, that's no longer the case! I'll repeat the fundamentals elements from my initial analysis post:
1. They recently recruited several business turnaround experts into their high ranks who are in the process of restructuring and implementing changes to Beyond Meat's business ideas. Those experts apparently have a good record of being successful with that, and why would they bother taking on the Beyond Meat project if they didn't see potential and have good ideas?
2. One of those changes is literally going BEYOND (vegan) "meat" and not just focus on vegan meat imitation products, and now also expanding into making good vegan products in general that isn't trying to be anything other than nice vegan food products, like this one:
Beyond Meat's latest product reveal is "Beyond Ground", a versatile plant-based protein made from just four ingredients: water, fava bean protein, potato protein, and psyllium husk.
Additionally the company also launched a new "Beyond Steak Filet" made from mycelium and a Beyond Burger value pack. And supposedly those "steaks" are really tasty.
These releases are part of a larger rebrand strategy to focus on plant protein rather than solely mimicking meat
3. Dilution. Some are spreading FUD by warning people of upcoming dilutions of the BYND stock. But guess what? Read their filings, they can't dilute the stock for almost another 120 days minimum. Also guess what, they just a few days ago DID dilute the stock with over 300 million shares and did you realize that it ran 1000% in 4 days despite that recent dilution?
4. Threat and debt of bankruptcy. Speaking of dilution, by diluting with those 300 million shares, they amassed enough capital to reduce their debt by 97%! Meaning they are essentially debt free! That's pretty good for a big business and even if they are currently burning cash at a high rate, they are debt free and thus the threat of bankruptcy is probably postponed at least a few years, so they have A LOT of time to bring about their changes for the turnaround project and trying these new ideas.
5. Their products. Some don't like their vegan "meaty" products, others think they are pretty good, at least some of them. But the demand for such products has decreased a bit in general over the past few years, which is a big reason for their progressive decline. BUT there is still a really high demand for great vegan products out there, vegans and vegetarians still exists in abundance and lots of omnivores like me wouldn't mind at least eating vegetarian/vegan products occasionally, perhaps to minimize the guilt of eating cows and contributing to the meaty pollution of the environment. I'm actually considering entering at least a new phase of being pescatarian again (fish/seafood and vegetarian). There are plenty of people like me who are too lazy to eat vegetarian because of the limited diversity among ready to eat/easy to make vegetarian products out there and would definitely welcome additional interesting such products to try occasionally (and perhaps often if they are actually really good?) The market is there and perhaps it's possible that Beyond Meat can reclaim a lot of it with their new products?
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CONCLUSION:
So, with that in mind, does it really seem unreasonable to hold BYND medium/long term? What if their turnaround is successful and it naturally climbs back to 100+ dollars? Not a short squeeze, but seems like an equally and perhaps less stressful reasonable investment.
So then I ask, even if it dips more tomorrow, why the hell should I sell? Why shouldn't I hold and buy more?
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE: Just analysis, a history lesson and me thinking out loud about my own investment reflections. If this post inspire you to do something in some fashion, that's your own damn fault.
Though for the sake of discussion, feel free to point out any errors in this post, I'm writing most of it from the top of my mind without actually re-verifying my claims and also feel free to add substance to it if you got any interesting data of your own. AND I also welcome criticism if you think my ideas and data is just wrong in some fashion. My opinions are dynamic and willing to change after a fashion, should they be countered with evidence and/or sound arguments. It's just my moral compass that's essentially core rooted within me.
(Also look at that, as I finalize this post, the overnight price for BYND is now at 3.23 dollars, making it ONLY -9% down. Still stings my anxious soul, but that's not as severe as -25%, is it?
Cheers!

Do you really think that everyone who shorted on a day like today held their short through the entire day?The same shares were shorted and covered by numerous people so that by the end of the day the total amount shorted was A LOT. Y'all were basically fighting with each other. If you don't understand this and are buying the stock anyway then you don't understand what you are doing.

You may make some money, you may lose some money, maybe you’ll get a $4 check in 5 years in a class action. This is the recent activity of your current 47% share holder and future 70%+ share holder. (See pic of options deals).
Ride it for momentum but there’s nothing to squeeze that I see. Shorts closed under a dollar. Look at the CTB charting. It’s 7.5% on Fidelity for me right now, even cheaper than the IBKR.
“But shares available to short is 0”. It’s 0 primarily because of volume. The shares aren’t available during the T+1 settlement. Also IBKR is going to be one of the first to sell out being it’s got a lot of retail it wants that 50%-100% of fees on. There’s 30+ other lenders, and I would guarantee Apex (Robinhood/WeBull) has plenty available if needed.
Some of you know more than me, and some may be smarter. I encourage you to read the SEC filings through October and see if this wasn’t anything but an internal rug pull. Even the share dilution is only hitting the previously 75% free float (which at the end would only be 5% if everyone inside held, which they won’t).
I hope those of you holding get your lambos and I even hope it’s from BYND, I just don’t see this as anything but retail liquidation. Those who make money here are only making it from those who comment below them.
If you have DATA to link I’ll review what I can. If it’s formula/estimates based on things like order flow, give it a few days. Rises like that are never accurate for that kind of estimation. Sales short at closing bell yesterday was around 26M. That’s from actual OCC collateral data not any estimate. After midnight today, I’ll edit or toss a comment with the number for today.
This company, in my opinion, is gross for this, absolutely gross.
I have no horse in this race. I bought and sold once I read/skimmed through all of the recent SEC filings. Zero regrets, it was the right play even if this went to ATH. Even if you don’t understand them, just read or skim them. Take a bit of time for it. I don’t short and I don’t buy puts even though sometimes data points that that might be the play. For all I know the 47% now want it to squeeze. But that’s a LOT of SOLD calls at the bottom. The debt to equity conversion ONLY does damage to retail. Everything points internal rugging. Everything.
Just don’t get liquidated boys and girls. Good luck for real. I’m not your adviser, do what you want.

Not a great idea.
QQQM is a great fund oriented towards innovation and the best large cap disruptive companies in the US… however, there’s a LOT more happening in the market besides large cap disruptive companies.
And more than that, it IS a good idea to build your portfolio in such a way that it will weather any storm… rotation from growth to value, a move over to international, etc.
So if you were one of my kids, I would suggest that you go 90/10 VOO and VXUS for the moment, assuming you’re set on the S&P500.
Tilt to QQQM later on after you’ve got the foundation for your portfolio going

I hate to say this, but if you don’t like RC, and/or you don’t like share offerings, bond offerings, and warrants to raise cash, then this is probably not the right investment for you anymore. This is clearly the playbook they will be using. It’s very easy to make money off these predictable volatility cycles though if you are just trying to make a quick buck. If you are good at it, you can make A LOT of money. I find it hilarious that people like you think that RC is fucking you over personally by being a CEO and turning his business around. His job description as CEO is not to trigger MOASS for your personal gain lol

I did not spend as much. I also made a LOT more yesterday and sold. I went in modestly today. Im going to leave it. I dont know that this is over. Honestly dont know its not. All the people laughing at the retail investors, yall are honestly a little high and mighty perhaps? I have a well vested portfolio, so this spend is kind of like the money i would take to the casino...i more than likely will lose it. But, if i do, i budgeted for it.
I whole heartedly believe the temp pauses in trading that happened today, made a lot of people skiddish. Imo, if this was over, it would be back to .66 cents, not between 3 and 4 dollars. Volume is still respectable. So lets see what happens.

The IBKR outsourced data is estimated short positions being taken, similar to how Ortex works. I don’t know each of their proprietary formulas but from other tickers it seems to typically line up pretty close with whatever the large scale order imbalance is, especially on the starting a short position side (opening fast to drop price, hit stop losses, while closing them is done slower to not spike.)
The very real potential issue here is a LOT of people bought a LOT around when I did and before the rise. It was cheap, didn’t think about it. Seeing that price pop up while not otherwise actively watching definitely caused a lot of market sell orders. Going forward after today we’ll know more, but that kind of rise is not normal and therefore predictive formulas can’t be super accurate in those times.
When midnight hits and the OCC report comes I’ll run it again to see the shares short at bell today but even if it’s higher I still don’t see a path where the can doesn’t get kicked for a bit until it’s an off exchange close out.
Finra is proven unreliable. The original reason I bought in a bit is because BYND was underreported in Finra. A lot of shorts closed under a dollar. I didn’t do the math for each day but I distinctly remember seeing it around my exit. When I bought CTB was like 800%. It shot back to earth, currently at 40% on IBKR but cheaper elsewhere. Shares are a bit harder to locate but that’s because of settlement times with this volume. IBKR is one market for shorts of 30+, and the biggest ones on these type of plays is always going to be Apex, and their borrow fees will likely be 75% off due to them either not sharing the lending fees or only sharing 15%.
From 800%+ to 8%+ is huge
https://preview.redd.it/2lwaqsms0rwf1.jpeg?width=2868&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=06e8c8ee2775968c759676a9cbabd0731a536612
I could be totally off base and I hope I am. When I see the info after midnight I’ll get my answer.

Previous year was my first year in crypto and I made a LOT of trades. Tens of thousands of transactions across multiple chains/multiple wallets (at least 30+ wallets) and some that I was stupid enough to lose the address to. It was my first year trading crypto so I never really had the tax assessment in the back of my mind.
I've tried using tax calculators, but I'm missing addresses and they usually get it wrong (they underestimate how much I think I owe).
My one saving grace is that I know how much I started with, and I know roughly how much I ended the tax year with. I'd say at max I'd be overestimating/underestimating about 5-10%. How dangerous is it to just use this kind of a ballpark guess (which to be honest is probably not that far off)? I.e. just using how much I started with and how much I ended with and using those figures to get an accurate report of how much I think I owe?
Advice is appreciated, thanks.

My average is in the $50s it has to drop A LOT before I start sweating

sorry I didn't mean to be insulting or offensive.
I see options as a potentially very dangerous thing. a lot of the risk from them comes from not really knowing what one's doing. I had to learn the hard way and wouldn't really understand what it meant when reading of such "advice"
what I'm saying is you can very easily lose everything but also its absolutely possible to get to a level of understanding to make a decent return on your savings using them and with a fairly controlled risk, but please please understand you need really read books and study and learn about it a LOT before you even think about getting any significant amount of money on the line. think of it like retraining for a new job, it takes years of study and practice to be proficient
now I don't know your net worth and maybe this is nothing for you but when I read of someone looking to puttin 1 milly at risk on meme plays who is obviously inexperienced you can imagine my reaction was trying to put you off it.
frankly if you're not that passionate and just want extra return some people are better off just chilling and paying someone else to do the job.
but if you're really keen about the field then go forth, learn, start small and best of luck!
to reply to your original question: the at risk portion of my portfolio which mainly involves hedged option selling is currently at +22% YTD or an annualised return of +27% with a sortino of 1.22.

First of all... move out of your parent's house. They did their jobs. Now its time to do yours.
Secondly, not sure what you mean by " Stepping off the gas" but if the plan is retirement you'll need a LOT more than you think. More like 5 Million is what I would feel comfortable.

Impossible burgers are A LOT better. if that matters.....

Is there hope for AIRE AH and tomorrow??
I have lost A LOT

True but almost everyone if not everyone who got in this early made A LOT of money

Makes sense, it can be rough to photograph, but since I'm not running them through a tumbler like mints that do antiquing, I maintain that extremely dark background. I think for the Aztec round it will work really well if I can get some of the details more polished, but it takes a LOT of hand polishing to remove.
I think my next batch I won't tone as dark up front, or I might even buy a vibratory tumbler and not run it as long as the mints, then hand finish the details I want to be bright. Right now it takes way to much work for each round. I do love how the details "pop" though, there is SO much to the aztec calendar round that you can't really see if it's all shiny silver.

Wow I donated A LOT this year.

Damn I see a lot of exit liquidity here. A LOT has changed since this morning. Don’t get stuck holding a bag

profit is profit
I've just started w option calls only this time around as it is a LOT to get ones head around
better to be in profit than losing your house 😉