FRED
Fred. Olsen Energy
stock NASDAQ

yes it is absolutely possible to "recover" from this. People forget that we've had a bond environment that was artificially low to try and stimulate growth and this is just us normalizing rates. In a healthy economy the neutral fed rate is going to be \~2%-3% which means the 10y bond should be at least 4% and the 30y should be at least 5%. We aren't in a healthy economy right now with inflation pressure so the fed rate needs to be higher, which means the 10y and 30y should go up and normalize.
The reason the 30y wasn't going up when the fed spiked interest rates is that the bond market thought that interest rates would go back to below the target rate so 4% on 30y was seen as a good investment. Now the market thinks that inflation might be higher for longer so the fed will need to keep interest rates where they are and the market wants 5% on its money to account for the inflation.
FRED (St. Louis Fed) keeps track of the Real Interest rate on the 10y bond which is a good place to keep track of this information. A healthy economy will see FRED's 10y below 2%, and if we get to 4% on FRED that is when we get to concern territory. Between 3 and 4 is just yellow light on our congressmen with their spending fix.
[https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/REAINTRATREARAT10Y](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/REAINTRATREARAT10Y)

Ever wondered what happens to money during financial crises? 🤔
Check out this chart from FRED showing the Federal Reserve’s “Deposits: Other” 🟨
These are funds parked at the Fed by entities like GSEs, money market funds, and clearinghouses - often during times of stress.
Notice the spikes: the initial jump in 2008-2010 (financial crisis), July 2011 credit rating downgrade, a massive peak in 2020-2021 (COVID-19), and another surge in March 2023 when SVB and Signature Bank failed.
Even more intriguing? These deposits started climbing again in March of this year - hinting at new financial tensions?
Why park money at the Fed without earning interest? Safety and stability beats returns when the system starts to shake.
https://preview.redd.it/mbqhbrejdj2f1.jpeg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b9318b6e929864196c818f42c4e082ba3d268082
[https://x.com/Monetaryguy589/status/1925628291370598819?t=jUHCri2Gq40uYOz70srwwg&s=19](https://x.com/Monetaryguy589/status/1925628291370598819?t=jUHCri2Gq40uYOz70srwwg&s=19)

yes it is absolutely possible to "recover" from this. People forget that we've had a bond environment that was artificially low to try and stimulate growth and this is just us normalizing rates. In a healthy economy the neutral fed rate is going to be \~2%-3% which means the 10y bond should be at least 4% and the 30y should be at least 5%. We aren't in a healthy economy right now with inflation pressure so the fed rate needs to be higher, which means the 10y and 30y should go up and normalize.
The reason the 30y wasn't going up when the fed spiked interest rates is that the bond market thought that interest rates would go back to below the target rate so 4% on 30y was seen as a good investment. Now the market thinks that inflation might be higher for longer so the fed will need to keep interest rates where they are and the market wants 5% on its money to account for the inflation.
FRED (St. Louis Fed) keeps track of the Real Interest rate on the 10y bond which is a good place to keep track of this information. A healthy economy will see FRED's 10y below 2%, and if we get to 4% on FRED that is when we get to concern territory. Between 3 and 4 is just yellow light on our congressmen with their spending fix.
[https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/REAINTRATREARAT10Y](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/REAINTRATREARAT10Y)

Ever wondered what happens to money during financial crises? 🤔
Check out this chart from FRED showing the Federal Reserve’s “Deposits: Other” 🟨
These are funds parked at the Fed by entities like GSEs, money market funds, and clearinghouses - often during times of stress.
Notice the spikes: the initial jump in 2008-2010 (financial crisis), July 2011 credit rating downgrade, a massive peak in 2020-2021 (COVID-19), and another surge in March 2023 when SVB and Signature Bank failed.
Even more intriguing? These deposits started climbing again in March of this year - hinting at new financial tensions?
Why park money at the Fed without earning interest? Safety and stability beats returns when the system starts to shake.
https://preview.redd.it/mbqhbrejdj2f1.jpeg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b9318b6e929864196c818f42c4e082ba3d268082
[https://x.com/Monetaryguy589/status/1925628291370598819?t=jUHCri2Gq40uYOz70srwwg&s=19](https://x.com/Monetaryguy589/status/1925628291370598819?t=jUHCri2Gq40uYOz70srwwg&s=19)

Just fyi, not fud, but if you want to adjust for both inflation and relative dollar value, the symbol in tradingview is CRYPTO:BTCUSD*(TVC:DXY/99.642)*(FRED:CUUR0000SA0R/31.2)
Change the 99.642 to whatever DXY is today, and the 31.2 to whatever the cpi is.
This important, IMHO, bc the actual adjusted ath is about 121,340.

Let’s try this
So the likely lowest retail price for Wonder Bread in 2018 was around:
$1.13 to $1.21 per loaf — found in lower-cost-of-living states or major discount chains.
High-End Benchmark (L.A. in 2018):
• Price of Wonder Bread: $3.86 (estimated from LA average for white bread)
National Price Averages (2018):
• USDA/FRED data puts white pan bread at $1.29/lb average.
• A standard loaf of Wonder Bread weighs ~20 oz (1.25 lbs)
→ $1.29 × 1.25 = $1.61 average nationwide
This is how you figure out what the median price of something is. This has nothing to do with what people actually paid.
This is used as a metric when see how much things went up in price over the USA over time.

well, I looked up FRED m2
[https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL)
roughly 4 trillion, and 500 billion to answer my question if only counting m2

You are incorrect! The last time there was a surplus was the year 2001 when revenue was 19% of GDP. Good try though!
A simple FRED search will give you the truth. I suggest not living in your lies.