ARM
Arm Holdings plc
stock NASDAQ ADR

Intel was hearing that about ARM 15 years ago for 5 years.

They already have a share in the GPU market. Many defence orgs and others buy AMD due to redundancy requirements. Then others for the price, then others because in some cases it’s better performance than Nvidia.
Granted it’s not a large share of the market but it’s there and it’s a big market in terms of money.
Then yes currently AMD is better than intel at CPUs, but intel still has a lot of old timers supporting them. ”We have always bought intel so we will continue to do so” they don’t even look at price performance numbers. And there is ARM increasing. But AMD is the strongest option for x86 for sure.
Plus they have the consoles which is money but nowhere near as much so they are a successful company this far.
They won’t vest Nvidia tho, Nvidia does it all. All hardware and software along with extensive research into most sectors. They are bigger than most people realize, it’s far beyond hardware and firmware.
As for stocks I like them both :)

Saw this on Twatter. Buy McDonald’s apparently. Drawdowns from highs:
Indices: SPY −3%, QQQ −8%, MAGS −11%
Mega cap: MSFT −31%, TSLA −36%, META −24%, GOOGL −22%, AMZN −16%, NVDA −12%, ORCL −65%, PLTR −41%, NFLX −46%, UBER −32%
Software: INTU −65%, TEAM −61%, ZS −59%, NOW −56%, WDAY −49%, ADBE −44%, CRM −43%, SHOP −39%, IBM −38%
Semis: SMCI −50%, SNPS −43%, ARM −37%, MRVL −36%, LRCX −27%, AMAT −24%, AVGO −21%
Emerging growth: OKLO −77%, RBLX −68%, UPST −68%, ACHR −65%, JOBY −64%, QBTS −63%, IONQ −60%, TEM −56%, HIMS −54%, APP −47%, CRWV −47%, IREN −47%, RDDT −40%, ALAB −35%, HOOD −34%
Crypto: BTC −49%, ETH −63% (−70% at the lows), MSTR −78%, BMNR −77%, COIN −60%, SOFI −49%
Space: SPCX −40% from its post-IPO high, back at the $135 offer price after the largest IPO in US history. ASTS −56%, RKLB −54%, LUNR −71%, RDW −65%, VOYG −50%, FLY −72%
Metals: Gold −27% from its January record, Silver −53%

These stocks were hyped here earlier, but with the recent drop are now in value territory:
• $OKLO −76%
• $NVTS −63%
• $CRWV −60%
• $ASTS −58%
• $IONQ −57%
• $PL −57%
• $AAOI −56%
• $RKLB −55%
• $IREN −54%
• $ONDS −53%
• $TE −51%
• $OUST −42%
• $ARM −42%
• $BE −39%
• $NBIS −38%

Deepmind, ARM, ​Infineon, SAP, Amadeus, Dassault, Spotify, Mistral and many more.

I’m heavily invested in AI and diversified like you . Got to some of them like MU, VRT a year ago but in ARM. SANDK, LITE, MRVLE a couple months ago. I’m underwater on those recent investments. What else did you invest in other than those stocks ?

Intel was hearing that about ARM 15 years ago for 5 years.

They already have a share in the GPU market. Many defence orgs and others buy AMD due to redundancy requirements. Then others for the price, then others because in some cases it’s better performance than Nvidia.
Granted it’s not a large share of the market but it’s there and it’s a big market in terms of money.
Then yes currently AMD is better than intel at CPUs, but intel still has a lot of old timers supporting them. ”We have always bought intel so we will continue to do so” they don’t even look at price performance numbers. And there is ARM increasing. But AMD is the strongest option for x86 for sure.
Plus they have the consoles which is money but nowhere near as much so they are a successful company this far.
They won’t vest Nvidia tho, Nvidia does it all. All hardware and software along with extensive research into most sectors. They are bigger than most people realize, it’s far beyond hardware and firmware.
As for stocks I like them both :)

Saw this on Twatter. Buy McDonald’s apparently. Drawdowns from highs:
Indices: SPY −3%, QQQ −8%, MAGS −11%
Mega cap: MSFT −31%, TSLA −36%, META −24%, GOOGL −22%, AMZN −16%, NVDA −12%, ORCL −65%, PLTR −41%, NFLX −46%, UBER −32%
Software: INTU −65%, TEAM −61%, ZS −59%, NOW −56%, WDAY −49%, ADBE −44%, CRM −43%, SHOP −39%, IBM −38%
Semis: SMCI −50%, SNPS −43%, ARM −37%, MRVL −36%, LRCX −27%, AMAT −24%, AVGO −21%
Emerging growth: OKLO −77%, RBLX −68%, UPST −68%, ACHR −65%, JOBY −64%, QBTS −63%, IONQ −60%, TEM −56%, HIMS −54%, APP −47%, CRWV −47%, IREN −47%, RDDT −40%, ALAB −35%, HOOD −34%
Crypto: BTC −49%, ETH −63% (−70% at the lows), MSTR −78%, BMNR −77%, COIN −60%, SOFI −49%
Space: SPCX −40% from its post-IPO high, back at the $135 offer price after the largest IPO in US history. ASTS −56%, RKLB −54%, LUNR −71%, RDW −65%, VOYG −50%, FLY −72%
Metals: Gold −27% from its January record, Silver −53%

These stocks were hyped here earlier, but with the recent drop are now in value territory:
• $OKLO −76%
• $NVTS −63%
• $CRWV −60%
• $ASTS −58%
• $IONQ −57%
• $PL −57%
• $AAOI −56%
• $RKLB −55%
• $IREN −54%
• $ONDS −53%
• $TE −51%
• $OUST −42%
• $ARM −42%
• $BE −39%
• $NBIS −38%

Deepmind, ARM, ​Infineon, SAP, Amadeus, Dassault, Spotify, Mistral and many more.

I’m heavily invested in AI and diversified like you . Got to some of them like MU, VRT a year ago but in ARM. SANDK, LITE, MRVLE a couple months ago. I’m underwater on those recent investments. What else did you invest in other than those stocks ?

I don't misundertantd the cloud business model. I iust made a simple comment rather than an indepth description of the business. Ultimately the point is that cloud computing replaces inhouse infrastructure. Yes, you are right, it allows for testing in many configurations. It also offloads a lot of the IT and server maintenance needed to the cloud provider. As a trade-off is that it creates a single point of failure of the vendor goes down. But ultimately it may actually be using SSD and ARM more efficiently by giving consumers exactly as much computer power as they need rather than millions of companies setting up their own infrastructure with a lot of different hardware configurations. It is also likely cheper for a smaller company that does not have the infrastructure built in.
AI on the other hand does not offer the same computational output compared to its SSD and RAM usage. For every dumb question every single person asks, the AI must run through a significant number of calculations (CPU) cycles, reads, and writes through the LLM to spit out an answer. For example, even if the prompt is "2+2" it would run through significantly more computationally expensive pat than simply passing 2+2 through and ALU chip which a computer would do locally rather easily. RAM is burning up like crazy. Now because these models are consistently retrained, SSD storage is also rewritten consistently before the model is available to users.
The point is that this technology is unimaginably expensive which makes their profitability model long term more tenuous specially if the technology cannot live up to its promise.

The revenue increase is not coming from Foundry yet. It is all data center driven atleast for this quarter. The share price might be driven by the news but that is the case for even AMD and ARM. ARM makes 4 billion in revenue for an entire year and it is worth more than 200 billion... AMD is yet to cross Intel's revenue and they are valued at close to a 1 Trillion based on future potential. AMD was valued at more than Intel even 5 years back so the market is irrational...

It's not fucking rocket surgery. INTC is a garbage company that couldn't make money selling pussy in a prison. They have no AI product besides their generic server CPU's and "oh by the way" every hyperscaler nowadays is making their own ARM based shit because you don't need x86 really.
Stack that with their client business (laptops and shit) being dead because no one can afford the RAM besides hyperscalers.
But yeah let's totally assume their foundry business isn't going to suck a fat cock like it did in 2015 when they had smart people working and hadn't done a carpet bomb 30% layoff.

Listen folks, I'm not a tech bro and I know nothing about this AI stuff. I don't care how it works, it's just hype and buzzwords for me. However, I've never made so much easy money in my life and I wanted to share a few insights on how I did it.
My strategy for the past 3 years has been to invest in a company as soon as they use the word AI in their brand. This has worked very well for me and a few of my friends across several stocks. For example, as soon as Intel has rebranded to "Built for AI", we knew that it was about to skyrocket, and sure enough, the green candles started to show up in the next weeks.
It worked so well that I've created an index called the Frequency AI Ratio Tracker (FART). It's basically the amount of time the word "AI" is used on a company's homepage. For example, AMD currently has 60 occurrences of the word "AI" on their homepage for roughly 876 words in total, meaning a ratio of 6.85%.
To put that in perspective: statistically, 1 out of every 15 words on AMD's homepage is "AI". That is a **critical-level**, enterprise-grade FART score and it was a no-brainer once I discovered that out. The higher the score is, the greater the potential was.
However, for the first time in the past 3 years, I have a strange feeling that this strategy is no longer working and the momentum is starting to fade away. Looking at all the OG companies from the .com bubble, it sure looks like a peak to me, and I've actually started to use a reversed-FART strategy since July 4th. The higher the score is, the greater the risk of a downfall once the AI bubble pops.
[Some OG stocks](https://preview.redd.it/yqpbos7uo7fh1.png?width=1080&format=png&auto=webp&s=40823c3fb4c3a05d4f200f85395622ed3ece69ae)
The General Rule of Thumb for the reversed-FART stategy:
0%: Low risk
0.1% – 2%: Medium risk
2% – 5%: High risk
> 5%: Extreme risk
Here's the most recent compiled version of FART for some tech companies as of July 24th.
==========================================================================
Name of company | Stock | Total Words | AI Mentions | FART Score
==========================================================================
AMD | AMD | 876 | 60 | 6.85 %
NVIDIA | NVDA | 2663 | 115 | 4.32 %
Oracle | ORCL | 786 | 27 | 3.44 %
ServiceNow | NOW | 651 | 22 | 3.38 %
Qualcomm | QCOM | 765 | 24 | 3.14 %
Arm Holdings | ARM | 862 | 26 | 3.02 %
Cisco Systems | CSCO | 450 | 13 | 2.89 %
SAP | SAP | 1004 | 25 | 2.49 %
IBM | IBM | 560 | 11 | 1.96 %
Micron Technology | MU | 635 | 12 | 1.89 %
Microsoft | MSFT | 645 | 10 | 1.55 %
Broadcom | AVGO | 462 | 7 | 1.52 %
Salesforce | CRM | 936 | 14 | 1.50 %
Samsung Electronics | 005930.KS| 375 | 5 | 1.33 %
Meta Platforms | META | 303 | 4 | 1.32 %
Alphabet (Google) | GOOGL | 422 | 4 | 0.95 %
TSMC | TSM | 688 | 6 | 0.87 %
Intel | INTC | 245 | 2 | 0.82 %
Palantir | PLTR | 3151 | 23 | 0.73 %
SK Hynix | 000660.KS| 167 | 1 | 0.60 %
Amazon | AMZN | 355 | 2 | 0.56 %
Applied Materials | AMAT | 209 | 1 | 0.48 %
ASML | ASML | 596 | 1 | 0.17 %
Corning | GLW | 576 | 1 | 0.17 %
Apple | AAPL | 883 | 1 | 0.11 %
Tesla | TSLA | 181 | 0 | 0.00 %
Lam Research | LRCX | 275 | 0 | 0.00 %
*Legal notice: I am dumb and this is not financial advise. This was compiled by hand by copy-pasting in Microsoft Word like a fool and searching for the word AI. Consider compiling your own data and use FART at your own risk. I am not responsable for any loss based on this strategy. The level of risk estimated by FART was established out of thin air. Ask your financial adviser about FART.*

This week I get much more organized in reporting. Also have a question on how to calculate annualized returns. Last weeks post:
[https://www.reddit.com/r/thetagang/comments/1uz3nrf/1\_weekly\_returns\_from\_options\_week\_20/](https://www.reddit.com/r/thetagang/comments/1uz3nrf/1_weekly_returns_from_options_week_20/)
**First, the strategy:**
\- Use a screener to give me a list of top 20 low delta options for next week
\- I either
\- a. Roll my current options - I do this if I can still get 1% for rolling or if the option is ATM/ITM and I have to roll. I always roll for credit.
\- b. Close a current option and pick something else from the list that I like
\- I try to do this every Friday. However, if I'm busy on Fridays, I'll sometimes do this on Thursdays.
Screener results for this week from earlier this morning:
|Stock Symbol|Stock Price|Strike Price|Premium (Bid)|Distance OTM %|Return %|Delta|Expiration|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|**BE**|$210.34|$120.00|$1.86|42.95%|1.55%|\-0.0508|2026-07-31|
|**NBIS**|$212.56|$135.00|$1.39|36.49%|1.03%|\-0.0519|2026-07-31|
|**SNDK**|$1,545.75|$1,080.00|$11.20|30.13%|1.04%|\-0.0657|2026-07-31|
|**AXTI**|$50.96|$32.00|$0.40|37.21%|1.25%|\-0.0735|2026-07-31|
|**SKHY**|$162.38|$120.00|$1.20|26.10%|1.00%|\-0.0726|2026-07-31|
|**MU**|$955.88|$750.00|$7.60|21.54%|1.01%|\-0.0873|2026-07-31|
|**IREN**|$39.39|$30.00|$0.34|23.84%|1.13%|\-0.0886|2026-07-31|
|**LRCX**|$317.49|$247.50|$2.50|22.04%|1.01%|\-0.0929|2026-07-31|
|**RDDT**|$170.41|$135.00|$1.49|20.78%|1.10%|\-0.1007|2026-07-31|
|**STX**|$882.50|$685.00|$7.00|22.38%|1.02%|\-0.1012|2026-07-31|
|**FCEL**|$22.41|$17.00|$0.20|24.14%|1.18%|\-0.1039|2026-07-31|
|**GLW**|$153.58|$125.00|$1.28|18.61%|1.02%|\-0.1062|2026-07-31|
|**AAOI**|$108.45|$86.00|$0.95|20.70%|1.10%|\-0.1106|2026-07-31|
|**WDC**|$542.48|$440.00|$4.90|18.89%|1.11%|\-0.1111|2026-07-31|
|**CVNA**|$60.30|$49.00|$0.54|18.74%|1.10%|\-0.1121|2026-07-31|
|**OUST**|$36.89|$30.00|$0.30|18.68%|1.00%|\-0.1149|2026-07-31|
|**ARM**|$279.51|$225.00|$2.55|19.50%|1.13%|\-0.1210|2026-07-31|
|**VRT**|$296.95|$250.00|$2.53|15.81%|1.01%|\-0.1210|2026-07-31|
|**LITE**|$812.95|$665.00|$6.70|18.20%|1.01%|\-0.1212|2026-07-31|
|**MRVL**|$202.53|$172.50|$1.97|14.83%|1.14%|\-0.1306|2026-07-31|
I stopped doing BE last week after the short attack.
This week's trades:
|Symbol|Action|Net Credit|
|:-|:-|:-|
|**IREN**|Roll 1 39 put to 1 35 put|$36.06|
|**DRAM**|Roll 2 44 puts to 2 44 puts|$93.05|
|**ASTS**|Roll 2 63 puts to 2 62 puts|$58.09|
|**AAOI**|Roll 1 85 put to 1 79 put|$83.52|
|**NBIS**|Roll 2 126 puts to 2 130 puts|$261.03|
|**SKHY**|Roll 1 110 put to 1 121 put|$122.52|
|**AXTI**|Roll 1 33 put to 1 25 put|$23.52|
|**APLD**|Roll 3 31 puts to 3 29.5 puts|$72.16|
|**RKLB**|Roll 2 76 puts to 3 73 puts|$400.00|
This week's total $1,148 on $111,500 invested (111,500 includes the assignment price of my SLV from a few weeks ago).
Weekly Results:
||Week|Capital Invested|Premium Made|Return %|Notes|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|3/2|Week 1|$0.00|$0.00|0.00%||
|3/9|Week 2|$13,100.00|$131.00|1.00%||
|3/16|Week 3|$19,850.00|$203.00|1.02%||
|3/23|Week 4|$41,500.00|$596.00|1.44%||
|3/30|Week 5|$34,150.00|$353.00|1.03%||
|4/6|Week 6|$43,350.00|$462.00|1.07%||
|4/13|Week 7|$53,800.00|$573.00|1.07%||
|4/20|Week 8|$70,400.00|$811.00|1.15%||
|4/27|Week 9|$103,450.00|$1,093.00|1.06%||
|5/4|Week 10|$97,400.00|$1,040.00|1.06%||
|5/11|Week 11|$102,800.00|$1,077.00|1.05%||
|5/18|Week 12|$98,600.00|$1,170.00|1.19%||
||Week 12.5|$106,100.00|$475.00|0.45%|Bonus round|
|5/25|Week 13|$106,100.00|$1,133.00|1.07%||
||Week 13.5|$115,900.00|$336.00|0.29%|Bonus round|
|6/1|Week 14|$105,750.00|$1,053.00|1.00%||
|6/8|Week 15|$110,700.00|$1,146.00|1.04%||
|6/15|Week 16|$111,850.00|$1,105.00|0.99%||
|6/22|Week 17|$108,350.00|$1,045.00|0.96%|Got SLV 65.5 assigned|
|6/29|Week 18|$111,550.00|$1,126.00|1.01%||
|7/6|Week 19|$102,850.00|$1,111.00|1.08%||
||Week 19 Bonus|$108,550.00|$98.00|0.09%|APLD 1:3 to avoid assignment|
|7/13|Week 20|$104,350.00|$842.00|0.81%||
|7/20|Week 21|$111,500.00|$1,148.00|0.81%|RKLB 2:3 to reduce strike|

Total Premium: $18,127
Value of current options: -$5,394
Gain/Loss from Assignments: -$1,225
**Total gains: $11,508**
This is currently the worst drawdown week and it always looks higher on the day of rolls / sales. It was \~3k yesterday.
Looking for ideas on how to calculate annualized gains.

What you think about COHR/LITE, ARM, VRT? Still have a headroom to go up in 2026 and 2027?