ETHEUR
Ethereum / Euro
crypto Composite

Same guy calling for ETH 10k last year?

It's a cheap meme coin with a strong community behind it, which from my understanding, the community runs it. I hold, and will continue to. I dropped a few bucks into D*G* in '18, and was holding millions. Unfortunately, times get hard, no real progression, and I got my few dollars back to put into EOS. I'm so smart. But I was a nood, and had started with crypto in '17 and had zero idea what I should do. Years later, my few dollars in the D word would be worth hundreds of thousands if not millions. Meme coins are your real gain potential. Yes, you're likely to lose on 9 out of 10, but the one that comes through is the only one that matters. So as long as SHIB drops, I'm buying, only due to the fact that a few bucks gets plenty. If I lose, I lose. My staked ETH more than makes up for any lose in SHIB. We run it, and we make things happen. And as low as it is now, candybar money could be worth enough to buy a convenient store. If not, it's a few bucks. I think too many people are getting the fear, and are going to miss out. This could be the next D word, and we don't need Elon to do it.

>**Contracts between us,**
>**Stables heterogeneous,**
>**One year in GENIOUS.**
~Daily haiku until we’re at least at 0.178 on the ETH/BTC ratio or highest market cap

Fair point on tranches smoothing the path in — but if the tranche weights come from a vol/corr risk matrix, the re-entry signal is still symmetric volatility under the hood; tranching changes the step size, not the signal. Quick way to see it: measure time-to-full-weight after each drawdown bottom vs what the asset did in those weeks. If the matrix is vol-driven, you'll find the slowest re-entries sit exactly at the best re-entry points.
On the rolling split — that's the right structure inside. The catch is one level up: if BTC/ETH/XRP won by comparing full-period walk-forward results across many combos, the pick is still in-sample at the meta level. The half-split test applies there: choose the combo using only first-half results, then report the untouched second half. Still genuinely curious what that shows.
I'll keep it in the thread — more useful to others than DMs.

I do not see value in ETH. I see value only in Bitcoin. How can a platform that generates endless list of useless projects or scams be worth of hundreds of billions of USD?

Assuming you mean in current market conditions and starting over giving the insinuation that starting amount is low.
First step would be to go for higher beta risky securities, crypto, leveraged ETF’s, and options (if financial knowledge is somewhat competent).
1st rotation, I’d focus on is a crypto trade. I’d look to split 60% ETH, 30% MSTR, and 10% MST3.L (3x leveraged MSTR). This is merely a higher beta trade of Bitcoin. With crypto prices at 5yr lows (in ETH) and MSTR acting as a leveraged etf of Bitcoin, with MST3.L being a further levered asset of that. Expecting returns north of 2-3x (assuming logic plays out of institutional backing and further development of web3).
2nd rotation, this would be a similar strategy (somewhat higher beta but less risky). I’d exit out of all 3 investments and with the capital, move it into high yield European bonds (low beta, barely move. Somewhat secure) something like Itraxx XO as well as a few single names. Then would use this as collateral to take out a loan against this. Big assumption being you start with atleast $10-20k.
3rd rotation/2.5th would be using these funds to open up franchises. Then compound.
Of course this is a hyper optimistic idea but one that isn’t so out of reach for most people.

I think my parents are still mad about buying ETH at $4,000

Just hold dude. ETH will be up bigly next run. Don’t even sweat it. You won’t make money with the way you’re thinking.

I got tired of yield aggregators that sort by APY and call it done. Spent the last few months building something that tries to score yield quality rather than just yield size factoring in APY consistency over 30 days, TVL depth, organic vs incentive split, and pool maturity.
The result is Dexaris which is a free no signup platform, covering 1,300+ pools across ETH, SOL, ARB, BASE, AVAX, Polygon and more.

**Risks and limitations you should know before using it:**
Dexaris is a data aggregation and scoring tool, not a protocol as there are no smart contracts, no custody of funds and nothing to audit in the traditional sense. The underlying pool data comes from DeFiLlama's API. The Dexaris Score itself, is a model-based metric which does not constitute financial advice as it can be wrong. Typically, a high score does not mean a pool is safe, It's just one signal among many, not a verdict.
The scoring methodology also has known gaps: token unlock schedules and wallet concentration are not currently factored in, both of which materially affect real yield risk. That's currently on the roadmap to be added in at a later date.

**What I actually want feedback on:**
* Does the scoring methodology make sense, or is it missing something fundamental?
* Is there a type of pool or chain where the scoring clearly breaks down?
* What data would you need to see before you'd use something like this in your own yield research?
The r/DeFi community flagged the unlock schedule and concentration issues in an earlier thread I posted asking a question and it shaped a lot of great ideas I have implemented already and am looking to add in the future. I am looking for the next round of that.
Be brutally honest if possible, I'd rather know what's exactly whats bad or wrong with it now, rather than after I've built more on top of a flawed foundation.
Thanks!

ETH Zurich is probably your best, Paris Sorbonne is great as well and for Germany I’d say TUM.
But you have to understand that the university you pick for bachelor is less important in Europe then in America as you most likely won’t get into top tier internships from only semi target and would need a master from a better school.
Find a program where they have a good reputation for the stuff they are actually teaching and try to get good grades to get into a more recognizable master program.

J’ai perdu l’équivalent de 1.13 ETH en faisant une mauvaise manip (j’ai le mort)

I’m looking at bachelor’s programmes in Continental Europe and I’d ideally like to go into quant trading later. My backup option would probably be AI/machine learning engineering.
The degree needs to be taught in English or German. Some of the programmes I’m currently considering are:
\- ETH Zurich – BSc Computer Science
\- École Polytechnique – BSc Mathematics and Computer Science
\- University of Bonn – BSc Mathematics
Is this a good shortlist to optimise for good access to internships and recruiting at firms like Jane Street, Optiver, IMC, Citadel, etc? Which universities or bachelor’s programmes would you recommend for this career path? Would Maths, Computer Science, or a combined Maths and CS degree be the best choice?
Many thanks for your help in advance!

At least they have projects. BTC is my blue chip, ole reliable.
ETH is my technology longer shot, future of finances built with ETH as a backbone, stablecoins, institutions, verification, digital assets. I can follow what’s going on and be excited.
I think the returns from today have higher potential on ETH than BTC. However, higher risk of this not materializing. Don’t care if I’m wrong or you disagree, that’s my thoughts on why ETH,

Why do you buy ETH? Almost all projects on ETH are failures or scams.

underlying is more important. How has BTC/ETH performed over the last 1 YR? pretttty bad. I'd say these funds are more of a bet on consistently slow growth of the underyling, which has yet to happen lol it's one of the most VOLATILE assets I can think of.
Best way to bet is to buy under long-term average weekly price like starting a DCA position of where it's at now and continue for about a year until you're fully invested.....this asset also heavily depends on whether the FED raises or lowers interest rates over time.....If you compare BTC to USINT it's high when rates are low and falls when rates are high....so if you can predict the FEDs moves you can price out BTC.
Sideways for a year is my guess between $45K and $80K until interest rates move meaningfully one way or another. Good accumulation zone right now if you think long-term rates will be lower and inflation accelerates.

I believe in ETH as a long term project and plan to hodl a floor level of 1.5 eth moving forward. But my point is more so that it would be foolish to only hodl such a volatile asset. I mean eth and btc are still relatively new assets in the financial space. Having some to sell as it goes above cost average is just common sense. Clearly my comment came across wrong. I wasn't trying to imply that I don't want eth to go to new ath long term. I was just trying to state that my current strategy for trading it doesn't require it to reach extreme highs to make me profit. Also yes last bullrun I made over 3k on my eth from buying at 1500 and selling in increasing increments over 3k. I then repurchased eth after it fell and am now waiting for a spike again to pull more profit.

Yup, fair point on the oil analogy. ETH for sure has no physical inventory that forces price the way tankers do, and I wasn’t claiming it does. I was rather arguing that this is was only the parallel on how analysts reason around the price of commodities, if the fundamental demand is tight or loose.
One clarification: the paper doesn’t use burn vs stock. It uses fee flows ÷ supply (Flow Intensity), then hotter/colder vs baseline (Flow Deviation). That predicted \~45-day direction out-of-sample at 76.4%. But you're right that it doesn’t calculate Ethereum's absolute market-cap level and the paper never claims it does. That’s an entirely different question and worth pursuing in an another working paper at all.
But really appreciate your careful read of the paper!

You bought ETH at 4600 ?

I’ve never wanted to break even so badly, it’s always the wrong timing when I invest somehow.. sold all my ETH holdings at $1,100 and bought back at $2500 thinking it would be bullish.. any advice on how to at least break even..? 😂😔

All my “crypto” assets I shifted to stablecoins from 2024-2025. I am 100% back invested. 61-64k BTC, and 1.8-2.2k ETH.
Didn’t get the bottom but didn’t want to chance missing the bottom. What do you think the bottom will be. If we hit a bad total stock recession maybe they go down significantly from here. Other than that I think we hit bottom or near bottom already