ETHEUR
Ethereum / Euro
cryptoComposite

OK I get it now. ETH and BTC are freezable on exchanges, but I guess North Korea wouldn't use exchanges. They would just transfer the stolen BTC and ETH to private wallets and dare anyone to come get it via invasion.

Not really. It is very likely both are in effect by the end of 2027. More interestingly Ethlabs has been pushing for some insurance there in the form of FCR (fast confirmation) and faster slots (or quick slots as they call It) both acting as a magnet towards "free use road entry to fast inclusion" which in turn reduces the premium large stakers could gain offchain. Both the ePBS+FOCIL side and the Quick Slots +FCR side are a sort of EF+Ethlabs tag team to make Ethereum sticky for TradFi. You can maybe then, after you establish a sticky service, discuss more radical gas repricing, which violently reprices ETH too.

A fascinating research paper published just last week caught my attention. Two mathematicians at Cardiff found that **weekend crypto volatility predicts Monday volatility in the S&P 500 (!!!)**. And it holds up after controlling for Friday's VIX, and it gets even stronger when Friday's VIX is already high. We can ignore crypto as an investment, but still it seems to know something about Monday. They tracked BTC, ETH and, yes, XRP weekends back to 2017, and since 2024 it shows up in EVERY pair they tested, across stocks, gold and Treasuries. What surprised me most is that Friday's crypto volatility predicts nothing, so the signal really comes from the hours when stocks can't trade. https://preview.redd.it/a09jxwxv61zh1.png?width=2160&format=png&auto=webp&s=3e16b8ef9695f4d52c60ef6461d737c0f7b96535 As someone who sells premium for a living, I keep thinking about two Mondays that open at the same IV after very different crypto weekends. Am I selling the same premium against two different risks? It's only 116 Mondays and the paper never touches option prices. They even wonder whether the effect gets arbitraged away once people notice, and, well, people are about to notice. I'm testing it myself for you now and will post what I find here. Has anyone here compared weekend crypto with Monday implied vs realized? Or is this already priced in and I'm late to the party? Paper: [https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.35702](https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.35702)

Yeah great point. In fact the article shows that they had to pay several hundred dollars more than market price for each ETH.

Revolut declined my deposit of 3.9 ETH, and are now holding on to it saying they have technical issues that affect returning it, waited a week now

>**Charts may tell the signs,** >**Long haul on all the airlines,** >**Immigration lines.** ~Daily haiku until we’re at least at 0.178 on the ETH/BTC ratio or highest market cap

Can still borrow manually, just have to do the extra click. The auto part seems dead for a bunch of pairs, happened to me on a few alts last week, worked fine on BTC and ETH though. Guessing they're tweaking risk settings again.

There Are quantum Secure Algorithms - some projects already use them, path is to migrate the existing projects (See BIP360/361 for BTC, ETH quantum roadmap), my worry is that some of the projects are not fast enough. Quantum is currently speeding up on all sides - algorithms, Hardware & design (I just found ecdsa.fail a few months ago & really freaky how this moved since then)

ETH isn't freezable. Also when you live in a country that doesn't give a shit, they do t need to care about the traceability. The people doing this are backed by the law in their country.

Someone should build decentralized ubereats. Pure html, js and CSS. No apps. Customer pays actual restaurant price no commission + actual delivery fee. One order one customer. No batching bs. Delivery driver get actual pay based on Kms. ETH or USDC/T.  As for refund for any damages I wouldn't worry about it initially. Only tricky bit is figuring out how to manage driver and restaurant profiles. Some kinda of Dao to maintain reputation scores? Given ubereats and doordash charges huge fee, this kinda of thing would be massively popular if we can built it correctly and run it at scale.

People said the same thing about ETH and BTC 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

Yes, mostly ETH, SOL, and USDT.

ETH has people behind who pull the strings, it is not decentral.

The reported 1.76 billion USDT were frozen by Tether and have not been converted into ETH. Other stolen funds were reportedly swapped for ETH and TRX before the freeze. In theory, Tether could issue 1.76 billion replacement USDT and return them to Binance, provided the frozen tokens are permanently neutralized and the recovery process is approved.

Roughly 24.5BTC.  Lost value in whatever was in ETH & Sol but got it all out.

I know you think you’re amazingly confident in what you believe, but trust me when I say, give it a few months and Binance will be facing collapse. Reactivating withdrawals quickly for individuals but not for institutions stinks of something off. And they may have been able to ‘freeze’ some funds, but North Korea have done this many times before and were able to use the frozen assets as collateral to take ETH loans on AAVE. They got away with mostly everything.

What do you mean by call "ETH"? Like I said, ETH is decentralized. There's nobody to call. No company to contact. Whatever ETH was stolen from Binance is gone.

They could call ETH, and reverse it, like they did with the DAO. Hahahah

Dein Beitrag wurde aufgrund folgender Regel entfernt: >8. Kryptodiskussionen sind begrenzt. Es dürfen nur die folgenden Kryptowährungen diskutiert werden: BTC, ETH, LTC, BCH Allgemeine Diskussionen z.B. zur Besteuerung sind erlaubt. Als Alternative steht r/Kryptostrassenwetten zur Verfügung. Bitte halte dich in Zukunft an diese Regel.

In my tests TA couldn't predict direction after costs: crypto 15m to daily, FX majors, gold, S&P/NQ intraday. ICT on gold, stop-runs on S&P, VWAP fades on NQ, S/R levels on crypto all came out same as random entries or worse. But TA is very useful for sizing, stops and execution. The edge comes from somewhere else. The one question: who is on the other side, and why are they ok losing to u ? For an RSI oversold long the answer is "nobody in particular". The seller is looking at the same chart. Real edges have an answer, and it's one of 3 things. "But if everyone buys at RSI 30, isn't it self-fulfilling ?" No, it kills itself. If 30 reliably bounced, people would buy at 32, then 35, until the bounce is gone. And chart traders disagree (one sees oversold, another sees a breakdown) and use different settings and timeframes. They're also small next to funds, hedgers and liquidations who don't care about RSI. The one part that's real is stop orders clustering just past obvious levels and round numbers, so price can speed up through them. That's order flow, it lasts seconds, and fast traders take it before ur candle closes. My data agrees: stoch/RSI oversold longs failed validation, and stop run trades on S&P lost. ***1. Structure: a rule or contract forces the price*** Stocks: merger arb. Deal at $50, stock at $48, it has to go to 50 if the deal closes. Ur risk is the deal breaking, not the chart. Forex: forward prices are set by the interest rate gap. My USDINR long trend trade looked fine on spot, but was -1.4%/yr after the forward premium. ***2. Flows: someone HAS to trade*** Crypto: exchange delistings, holders have to sell or move coins. My best lead, passed build data, but the holdout was too small and failed, so it's paper trading forward currently. Stocks: index adds and Russell reconstitution, index funds MUST buy on that date at any price. Forex: the 4pm London fix, month end, Japanese importers buying USD on the 5th/10th ("gotobi"). But forced isn't enough, it has to be a surprise. FX month end, gotobi, the fix, carry: 0 of 13 passed. Crypto token unlocks: 0 of 9. The S&P inclusion effect is way smaller than in the 90s. Known date = priced in. **3. Costs: u're cheaper than everyone else** Crypto: a reversal signal was real but smaller than taker fees. Same USDC signal wins as a maker, loses as a taker. Stocks: HFT and market makers earn the spread + rebates. Retail scalpers pay it. Forex: an edge at a 0.1 pip interbank spread can be dead at ur broker's 1 pip. So what is TA for ? Sizing. Direction isn't predictable but volatility is, big move days cluster in every market. 2x the ATR = half the size. Stops. A swing high or ATR multiple is ur "I'm wrong" level. In my tests stops never raised the average trade, they only cut the tail. That's what keeps u alive: one delisted coin went +2655% after the news. Same for a broken merger or a carry trade when the yen rips. Execution. Don't chase the first spike, use limits for maker fills, avoid CPI/NFP minutes, the open and rollover. A few bps matters a lot on carry or arb. Regime. Price above a long moving average cut drawdowns on BTC/ETH/BNB, but didn't pass significance on the final test. Risk dial, not alpha. **Checklist** Who loses to me and why ? "People who read the chart wrong" = expect random. Is it forced (rule, contract, mandate, liquidation) or opinion ? Is it already priced ? Is the gap bigger than my full round trip cost ? Only then use TA for size, stop and entry. Don't use the chart to find the trade. Find the reason someone has to lose, then use the chart to stay alive while u wait. **Let's work on this together** I'd rather find edges with people than alone. If u have an idea that passes the checklist, or even half an idea, drop it in the comments: **Brainstorm:** who is forced to trade in ur market ? Rules, mandates, deadlines, liquidations, rebalances, anything. **Discuss:** poke holes in each other's ideas. Is it already priced ? Who's the cheapest trader doing it ? **Test:** I'll run the good ones the same way as everything above (real data, real costs, vs random entries, final test on untouched data) and post the results here, pass or fail.

**Tricky's Daily Doots #1,640** **Yesterday's Daily 30/10/2026** [Previous Daily Doots](https://old.reddit.com/r/ethereum/comments/1xj6ig1/daily_general_discussion_october_30_2026/19rvl1kvhd7xc/) - u/eth10kIsFUD comments on [the irony of this industry.](https://old.reddit.com/r/ethereum/comments/1xj6ig1/daily_general_discussion_october_30_2026/19rviysa9e92d/) 🔓 - u/ro-_-b weighs in on [the state of the crypto cycle.](https://old.reddit.com/r/ethereum/comments/1xj6ig1/daily_general_discussion_october_30_2026/19rvvb34wm8v8/) 🔄 - u/Numerous_Ruin_4947 summarises [the Binance hack now that the dust has settled.](https://old.reddit.com/r/ethereum/comments/1xj6ig1/daily_general_discussion_october_30_2026/19rvpb1zt9tgj/) 🔓 - u/abcoathup delivers [the weekly Ethereal news.](https://old.reddit.com/r/ethereum/comments/1xj6ig1/daily_general_discussion_october_30_2026/19rvu4utw5gf8/) 📰 - u/ethdaily delivers [the daily ETH news.](https://old.reddit.com/r/ethereum/comments/1xj6ig1/daily_general_discussion_october_30_2026/19rwkvjl76k4k/) 📰

Did you pick the 'Exponential Time Hypothesis' only because it's ETH? :-)

On the ETH leg they used an EIP-7702 delegation to point Binance 14 at a sweeper contract, so each time the hot wallet auto refilled it got drained again, three passes in a row. The signing setup got compromised to authorize those delegations, so no raw private key ever had to leave wherever it was held.

Binance announced a few hours ago that they have successfully replenished 90% of the hacked losses. They deployed a portion of the SAFU emergency fund, their Futures insurance fund, and corporate treasury money to actively buy replacement crypto on the open market. They have confirmed that major tokens including BTC, ETH, USDT, USDC, and BNB are now 100% fully backed again on the platform. They are finalizing the last stages of their security checks and expect to turn withdrawals back on at some point today. They will release a final announcement when the feature is officially live. [https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/383244328983076](https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/383244328983076)

While writing another post and reading the comments, I came across someone's concerns and wanted to share my thoughts on one particular point. It was about the painfully slow user experience when using XMR. Since someone brought up the inconveniences of using XMR, let me first briefly share my experience with the coin that is most similar to it. I think this will help us compare whether these are unique and unreasonable problems with XMR or common challenges shared by privacy-focused projects. Since I first got into crypto, ZEC has been the coin I've invested the most money in. Of course, ZEC also takes a long time to sync when you first set up and use a private wallet. Moving funds between a wallet and an exchange also requires at least 20 minutes for transactions to be fully confirmed. These are certainly inconvenient for users. However, considering that these privacy projects have been around for more than 10 years, I think it's fair to assume that these limitations are not due to a lack of intelligence or willingness to improve on the part of their developers. In the end, I see the inconveniences you mentioned as things users have to accept when using these projects, rather than things to simply complain about. I'm not a cryptography expert, so I don't know whether these things are technically impossible, or whether they are technically possible but require so many resources to develop that they are simply not practical to work on. What matters is that these complaints should not create a narrative that makes it seem difficult to trade or hold XMR or ZEC as an asset because of these conditions. This approach does absolutely nothing to help the privacy ecosystem. Apart from that discussion, it would be much more reasonable and beneficial for all of us to focus on improving other aspects instead. I believe the developers are already aware of these issues, and when technology makes practical improvements possible, each project will find its own way to address them. Even so, based on current Binance prices, ZEC and XMR are the 3rd and 4th highest-priced cryptocurrencies per coin, behind only BTC and ETH. Despite all the inconveniences you mentioned, people have still placed considerable value on these coins and recognized their importance. And there is one more point I haven't addressed yet. It's about the slow user experience when using XMR. Since I live in South Korea, I have convenient access to high-speed internet almost everywhere. Perhaps the slow user experience can feel even worse for some users depending on their internet infrastructure. Therefore, I think people who are new to privacy coins need clear and friendly guidance so they can understand synchronization and transaction speeds as characteristics of these coins rather than something to complain about. So, when creating videos or posts introducing privacy-focused coins, including XMR, I think it would be a good idea to briefly explain the inconveniences users might experience when first using these coins near the end, depending on the situation. It would also be helpful to include simple instructions such as, "Click this link if you need help."