ETHEUR
Ethereum / Euro
cryptoComposite

There's now over 1.5 million ETH sent to the Ethereum 2.0 contract

but the network is already secure so its just hard to buy that these institutions would feel the need to buy reserves to play a part in it. and even if they do, thats not really the continuous demand we need to find. Tom Lee has just about finished his 5% stack and that did basically nothing for the price (if anything kept it afloat from an even deeper goblintown.) These other places would just buy a certain amount of ETH for their reserves, then stop. And we're back to where we are now. ETH, in my opinion, needs a continuous demand that we don't currently have or its not going to go anywhere. And I understand why people think thats just incessant whining and they dont wanna hear it but thats a cold hard truth I dont see any way around. Not if you have any interest in ETH going past this 1k-5k band.

The tradeoff is less “regulated means safe” and more which risks you’d rather manage. With an exchange, you avoid running contracts or tracking onchain rewards, but add custody, withdrawal, and platform counterparty risk; Genesis/Earn is a reminder that products under the same brand can have very different risks. Splitting can make sense if you’re comfortable with that tradeoff—just check whether the exchange is actually staking your ETH and what happens if withdrawals are paused.

my hangup is while you're correct we're in the early stages, we're still seeing it happen right now and theres nothing that puts ETH on a scalable value trajectory. RWAs and tokenization can continue to happen to the tunes of billions and billions and while that is an excellent use case of Ethereum, ETH doesnt need to be any more expensive than it is today. I continue to see Ethereum have these big wins but it is almost totally decoupled from ETH.

FWIW, I never downvote people for facts, you are right, we haven't. But we have come pretty close, that's why I'd say ~$1500 would be oversold. But $2400 oversold? This is the heart of the range ETH has been for the majority of the last decade. It's not oversold.

Does a traditional broker adding ETH staking actually matter for Ethereum adoption?

If you NEED a 2 year max timeline then I’d probably say Bitcoin. ETH is solid but has stayed fairly flat all things considered. I fully believe BTC will crash in the future but I doubt the risk is there in the 1-2 year time frame… more like next 10-20. If the 2 year timeline isn’t solid, there are tons of top 20-40 say altcoins which could have far better potential based on recovery to levels right before the Trump inauguration boom/bust. That’s where I’m putting most of my cards. Take AVAX for example as it is one I pay a lot of attention to. Right around election it was hitting around $60-80 which is probably unrealistic outside of a massive bullrun but prior to it was averaging around $25-35 for much of its history (ignoring the Covid era spike when NFTs drive ETH traffic to alternative ERC-20 chains). Today it’s trading around $10… I see a return to $20 being more likely than BTC doubling so a greater change in value is possible; HOWEVER, that entails greater risk and a less predictable timeline. If you want easy set & forget potential in the short term then I’d probably buy a BTC drop and sell the next time it spikes. For the duration of your holding period just buy the dips and sell the tops while keeping earnings in cash (maybe a stablecoin you can stake for small interest rates).

ETH long trade with 2311 stop, did hit first target lets see if it gets to the final one.

Sounds like you’ve done some homework already. In my experience, sticking to what you understand matters more than chasing hype. If ETH feels right, focus there and don’t stress trying to time every move. What’s your plan if things don’t go exactly as expected?

Learn about liquidity pools on Uniswap or Aerodome. Best place to start is USDC/ETH.

Splitting between BTC and ETH is safer

Disclosure: I help with SolanaJack’s marketing. This is a write-up, not a shill. Everything here can be checked on-chain, and the code is open source. Not financial advice. What it is: A player-vs-player casino on Solana with no house bankroll. Bets sit in an on-chain escrow and the contract pays the winner. • Blackjack: play another player, not a dealer. Hits are drawn from future blocks, so cards can’t be previewed and cancelled. • PvP Roulette: up to 20 wallets, one pot; your chance of winning = your share of the pot. • Trading duels: a virtual $1K each on real SOL/BTC/ETH prices (anchored to Pyth); trades sealed until both windows close; no leverage. 5 days live: the numbers Right now: 11 open games waiting for an opponent Last 24 hours • Games: 39 • Total bet: $837.50 • House edge: $8.37 • Biggest game: $66.14 • $JACK farmed: 8 All-time: (since launch on 10.10) • Games: 342 • Players: 19 • Total bet: $7,603.47 • Biggest game ever: $123.57 Growth since launch day • Players: 12 → 19 • Total games: 66 → 342 (more than 5×) • Total bet: $2,068 → $7,603 (more than 3.5×) Still early and small, but it’s grown every day since launch. Mc is around $164k so an insane amount of upside. The token: • A flat 1% of each pot is used to buy $JACK for the staking vault (buyback is live). • Stake $JACK for xJACK (7-day unstake). Yield depends entirely on game volume, so it will move a lot while volume is small. • Every game farms $JACK for both players, win or lose (0.01 per $1 bet), halving every $30M of volume. • Supply: 1,000,000 max, \~400,000 circulating. 60% farming / 20% liquidity / 15% team / 5% early investors. No freeze authority; mint authority is a program address. • Contract address: posted on our official X and Telegram (links on my profile). Please only use the address from those, as copycat tokens exist. The pool is $JACK/cbBTC on Raydium. Risks • Programs are upgradeable by the team, so it’s not trustless, even though the code is public. • One new, thin pool: high volatility, and the price can go to zero. Holders are few and concentrated at the moment. • Some centralised parts: an off-chain keeper (farming credits need the team’s key) and a centrally hosted site. • Blackjack isn’t symmetric: Player 1 plays first, and a team-run bot opens some tables as Player 1. • Depends on MagicBlock (randomness) and Pyth (prices). • 20% of supply is with the team and early investors, with no public lock or vesting announced at the time of writing. • It’s considered gambling, so check it’s legal where you live. Verify: the code is open source, so you can read the contracts yourself. Get the contract address from our official X or Telegram, then check the mint on Solscan, settlement transactions on-chain, and the pool and top holders on Raydium. Happy to answer questions, especially the critical ones!

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Hello! Basically, few weeks back I finally got myself 25k freed up to invest for 1-2 years. Missed opportunity at 1.8 ETH, still consider it at 2.5k, 7-8 ETH. Also looking at QNT, would like some opinions on that, I know it blew up, is this price gonna stay or is it dropping? BTC always also an option. I’m not a crypto pro, but many of my partners and friends are into it in different aspects. My priority is probably ETH. It will definitely hit at least 4.5 next year from everything I’ve learned. Anyway, would like to hear some opinions and advice, thank you!

My reasoning is that I have some money to spare outside of the traditional US and PH stocks. Though I only have BTC, ETH and a few ZEC (bought at $35 😎. Spare money that, win or lose, won't hurt me.

ETH getting smashed

To me (price wise) it sounds like the only big thing worth waiting for is tokenization of equities. Heard there is like 160 Trillion in equities, if 10% of that moves on chain and ETH captures 50% of that that’s 8 trillion on ethereum. Now the real question would be what does that do to the price of ETH? The thing that also gets me is WHEN is this going to happen? Guys keep talking about tokenization on podcasts and panels but WHEN! Is there like a timeline of when blackrock will put stocks on chain? I do think it would be pretty massive to have something like NVIDIA stock and be able to borrow against it using Defi. No taxes, just like the ultra wealthy do, would be a pretty big unlock for the average person.

I'd make random-entry with the same exposure and holding time the main null. It asks the thing you care about, whether your timing beats just being in the market that much. Shuffled returns is the easy one, and a block bootstrap mostly tells you autocorrelation exists. Maker fills on BTC/ETH I haven't tested, so no help there.

Thanks, this is exactly the kind of reply I was hoping for. One correction on my side: I described the placebo wrongly in the post. For the momentum tests (incl. the 168h one) the fake series were plain permutations of hourly returns, not a block bootstrap, so autocorrelation was destroyed, not preserved. That means the p = 0.013 isn't explained by the placebo containing the edge, if anything the null was the easy one. Which raises my real question: what null do you consider right for a time-series momentum rule? Shuffled returns (no autocorrelation), a stationary/block bootstrap with block length chosen per lookback (e.g. Politis–White), or random-entry strategies with the same exposure and holding time? Each answers a different question and I'd like to fix the choice before the next test, not after. On the benchmark: I compare on Sharpe plus max drawdown, not raw return, but I like return-per-drawdown as a primary score. Would you use Calmar/MAR over the full sample, or per year? On maker fees: did you see adverse selection eat the fee saving at small retail size on liquid pairs like BTC/ETH? My fee gap maker vs taker is small, so I'd only switch if the fills aren't systematically worse.

im going to start measuring ETH in Angstroms …

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Two things in your setup make the bar higher than it looks. First, the block bootstrap: if your blocks are as long as the 168h lookback, the fake series keep the same autocorrelation momentum feeds on, so the placebo partly contains the edge you're testing for. That's conservative by design, and it may be why the 168h ETH run sat at 0.013 instead of under 0.01. Worth checking block length against each lookback. Second, beating buy-and-hold on raw return in a sample that includes crypto's big up years asks a timing rule to out-earn being fully long through the best stretches. A rule that sits in cash half the time with a much smaller drawdown can fail that and still be the better thing to own. I'd score on return per unit of drawdown and keep buy-and-hold as a reference, not the bar. And "not feasible at taker costs" is a real finding. The retail people who get further usually pay maker fees or hold long enough that costs stop mattering.

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ETH will be 49 billion dollars next week.

ETH oversold at $2350?! It needs another $1000 drop, then it'll be oversold. This price territory and up to $3500 is home.