ARKUSDT
Ark / Tether USD
cryptoComposite

Drinlassen und sich in der Rente über > 100.000 freuen, bei 20%. Rausnehmen und fine Dönering. Bei Ark/Cathie Wood gehen bei mir die Alarmglocken an, [https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cathie\_Wood#Rezeption](https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cathie_Wood#Rezeption) "Mit ihrem ARK Innovation ETF war Wood zunächst erfolgreich, erlitt im Bärenmarkt von 2022 aber erhebliche Verluste, die sie bis 2024 nicht wieder einholen konnte.[^(\[8\])](https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cathie_Wood#cite_note-:0-8) Die 3-Jahres-Performance des ETF liegt bei −65,77 % (Stand 7. Februar 2024).[^(\[9\])](https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cathie_Wood#cite_note-9) Eine Datenauswertung von [morningstar.com](http://morningstar.com) kam zu dem Ergebnis, dass der ARK ETF Trust insgesamt 14 Milliarden US-Dollar Wert verloren habe, davon die Hälfte mit dem Innovation ETF."

70% CAGR was bullshit when Saylor started invoking it, and is bs now - math was never mathing there. IBIT options killed ability to generate upside volatility, and BTC hasn't proven that it can go up in post ETF era (with the greatest bull market in history as a backdrop). In that world, on a risk-adjusted basis, it's hard to make honest argument about big BTC allocation. And ARK wants to sell you their BTC ETF.

ARK Invest's Director of Research, Lorenzo Valente, has reaffirmed the firm's long-term target of a $16 trillion Bitcoin market cap by 2030. That's an extremely bullish forecast. But what would it actually take for Bitcoin to reach that level? 1. Bitcoin would need to capture a huge share of gold's market. The projection assumes BTC captures around 50% of gold's global market value, potentially drawing $7.5–8 trillion in value from the precious metals market. 2. Institutional adoption would need to accelerate significantly. Sovereign wealth funds, pension funds, and corporations would need to allocate around 3–5% of their portfolios to Bitcoin. That would represent a major shift in how traditional finance views digital scarcity. 3. Bitcoin would need extraordinary growth. Based on the projection, BTC would need to sustain an annual compound growth rate of roughly 63% over the next five years. That's an incredibly ambitious pace, and it would require several favorable market and macroeconomic conditions to align. Of course, this is an ultra-bullish scenario, not a guaranteed outcome. Institutional capital flows, global liquidity, regulation, and demand for alternative stores of value would all play a role. And the gradual integration of BTC into institutional portfolios and traditional financial infrastructure could be significant even if the market never reaches ARK's forecast. The real milestone might not be a specific price. It might be Bitcoin becoming a permanent part of the global financial system. Source: Bitcoin Magazine

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